Scotiabank Market Points

2026 Debt Capital Markets Outlook

Wed, 11 Feb 2026 15:31:00 -0000

In this episode of Market Points, Patrick Dabiet, Managing Director and Co-Head of Canadian Debt Capital Markets and Government Finance, and Fadi Attia, Managing Director and Head of U.S. Debt Syndication, discuss the key forces shaping debt capital markets in 2026 for issuers and institutional investors.

Drawing on a record 2025 for issuance, they examine why liquidity and demand remain robust despite heavy supply and what this means for execution across the curve. The discussion highlights key issuance drivers including hyperscalers, M&A, and refinancing activity in an environment defined by policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and evolving dynamics across U.S. and Canadian markets.

Powering intelligence: AI’s energy footprint

Mon, 03 Nov 2025 18:15:00 -0000

In this special episode of Market Points, Patrick Bryden, Managing Director, Global Head of Thematic and Sustainability Investment Research at Scotiabank, speaks with Alex de Vries-Gao, Founder of Digiconomist, about the fast-growing energy demands of artificial intelligence. Drawing on his recent research, Alex explains the challenges of quantifying AI’s power consumption, the gaps in corporate disclosure, and the environmental implications as AI usage expands. Together, they explore how the rapid rise of AI is reshaping global electricity demand and what this means for policy, sustainability, and innovation moving forward.

China’s overcapacity problem: The LatAm ripple effect

Tue, 21 Oct 2025 19:46:00 -0000

In this episode of Market Points, host Nick Pocrnic, Director, Mining Sales Specialist at Scotiabank in Toronto, speaks with Alfonso Salazar Herrera, Analyst, LatAm Metals & Mining at Scotiabank Inverlat in Mexico City, about how China’s mounting industrial overcapacity is reshaping demand for key Latin American exports. From steel and iron ore to copper and pulp, they explore the knock-on effects of China’s slowing construction, shifting trade patterns, and discuss expectations around China’s upcoming five-year plan. With Latin American producers and investors squarely in the path of these structural shifts, Alfonso cautions, “if you get China wrong, you get everything wrong.”

North to South: Simplifying trade and supply chain complexity

Mon, 06 Oct 2025 18:31:00 -0000

Global trade is shifting—and the pressure is on. In the latest episode of Market Points, Dyanne Carenza, Managing Director, Global Trade & Working Capital Solutions, and Matthew Parker-Jones, Senior Vice President, International Commercial Banking, dive into the rising complexity CFOs and treasurers face across the Americas. From fractured supply chains to FX volatility, discover how Scotiabank is helping corporates build resilient, multi-regional strategies with trusted execution and advisory support.

Midyear IPO Survey: Risk-on for institutional investors

Fri, 22 Aug 2025 14:19:00 -0000

In this episode of Market Points, Michelle Khalili, Managing Director and Global Head, Equity Capital Markets and Corporate Finance Advisory, speaks with Pete Gordon, Director, Equity Capital Markets, about the latest institutional investorsentiment toward IPOs.

Drawing from Scotiabank’s recent IPO survey of global institutional investors representing $4 trillion in assets, they discuss growing risk appetite, the return of growth as the top priority over profitability, and the strong interest in AI-driven technology. While macro uncertainty and inflation remain concerns, the outlook for the remainder of 2025 is constructive, with a robust pipeline and accelerating investor demand.

U.S. and Canada rates update

Wed, 13 Aug 2025 18:54:00 -0000

In this episode of Market Points, host Chris Kelly, Director and Head, U.S. Rates Sales, is joined by Boris Sender, Director, U.S. Rates Strategy, and Roger Quick, Director, Canadian Rates Strategy, to discuss key developments in the U.S. and Canadian rates markets.

They cover the growth boost from U.S. tax cuts versus the drag from tariffs, Canada’s relative insulation from trade tensions, and shifting fiscal landscapes on both sides of the border. The team also explores central bank outlooks, implications for bond issuance, and insights on swap spreads for institutional investors and corporates navigating an evolving macro backdrop.

Highlights from the 2025 Scotiabank Sustainability Summit

Fri, 08 Aug 2025 16:21:00 -0000

In this special episode of Market Points, Patrick Bryden, Managing Director and Global Head of Thematic and Sustainability Investment Research at Scotiabank, presents highlights from the 7th Annual Scotiabank Sustainability Summit. Set against a backdrop of shifting geopolitics and renewed debate over the role of sustainability in global finance, the summit brought together investors, academics, and corporate leaders from around the world. With reflections from members of Scotiabank’s Sustainable Finance and Global Equity Research teams, this episode captures key moments from two days of timely and thought-provoking conversation around the future of sustainability.

U.S. dollar downslide: Are we at a tipping point?

Fri, 06 Jun 2025 17:26:00 -0000

After years of dominance, the U.S. dollar is showing signs of a long-term reversal. In this episode of Market Points, Shaun Osborne, Managing Director and Chief Currency Strategist, is joined by Eric Theoret, FX Strategist, to unpack what’s driving the recent weakness in the greenback.

They explore structural and cyclical pressures including fiscal and trade policy uncertainty, and the growing chatter around de-dollarization. With implications for Canadian investors and the potential for a stronger loonie even in turbulent markets, the conversation offers essential context on where the dollar may be headed.

Treasury without borders: Driving success across the Americas

Mon, 26 May 2025 19:48:00 -0000

In the latest episode of Market Points, John Hunter, Managing Director and Head, U.S. Cash Management, and Stephen Wilkinson, Managing Director and Global Co-Head, Corporate & MNC Sales, share their insights on managing cross-border transactions amidst the complexities of tariff fluctuations, trade policies, and economic shifts.

With over $1.7 trillion in annual cross-border payments across the Americas, this episode provides valuable strategies and real-world examples to help corporate treasurers optimize working capital, manage FX volatility, and leverage banking partnerships for proactive business growth. Tune in for an engaging and informative discussion that will equip you with the tools to stay ahead in the dynamic landscape of cross-border treasury operations.

Navigating leadership in the age of outrage with Karthik Ramanna

Thu, 08 May 2025 17:31:00 -0000

In this timely episode of Market Points, host Patrick Bryden, Managing Director, Global Head of Thematic and Sustainability Investment Research at Scotiabank, welcomes renowned Oxford professor and author Karthik Ramanna to discuss his latest book, The Age of Outrage: How to Lead in a Polarized World.

Ramanna explores the drivers of societal outrage and emphasizes that traditional crisis management is inadequate for the current era. He shares practical insights from behavioural science to help leaders “turn down the temperature” and illustrates how successful organizations build resilience and navigate polarization by aligning authentically with their core missions. This conversation provides business leaders with a nuanced, realistic, yet optimistic guide to managing and thriving amid today’s complex challenges.

Mexico’s power play: Unlocking nearshoring through energy reform

Thu, 08 May 2025 15:25:00 -0000

As global trade tensions escalate, Mexico sits at a crossroads—positioned to benefit from nearshoring, but constrained by unreliable and expensive electricity. In this episode of Market Points, Rodrigo Echagaray, Managing Director, Head of Latin America Equity Research and Global Head of Product Management, speaks with Francisco Suarez, Analyst, Latam Industrial Real Estate, Infrastructure, and ESG, and Eduardo Suarez, Vice President of Latin America Economics, about how energy reform could impact future growth. They explore the opportunity in solar, the risks of regulatory uncertainty, and why solving Mexico’s power problem is essential to realizing its nearshoring potential.

Real banking solutions from client-driven collaboration

Fri, 11 Apr 2025 18:44:00 -0000

Businesses often face a “rollercoaster” of surprises when managing their treasury operations. Manual processes, handling traditional paper checks, and crafting new solutions to fit into existing workflows are only a few of the hurdles.

On this episode of Market Points, Mike Suppa, Director and Head, Client Solutions and Partnerships, and Jonathan Poupart, Director, Cash Management Solutions, share examples of client feedback and how uncovering their pain points help drive innovative banking solutions. Whether through strategic partnerships or in-house expertise, Scotiabank has found that

client-driven collaboration is core to making banking easier for all businesses.

The changing world order: The impact on rates and FX

Fri, 04 Apr 2025 11:52:00 -0000

In this episode of Market Points, Boris Sender, Director, U.S. Rates Strategy, leads a deep dive with Gabriel Buteler, Managing Director and Head, Global Rates Trading, and Shaun Osborne, Managing Director, Chief Currency Strategist, exploring the dramatic shifts in

global financial markets driven by changing trade policies and macroeconomic conditions. The conversation delves into rate forecasts for the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada, and also provides insights into inflation and FX market dynamics as markets continue to adjust to a rapidly evolving economic landscape.

IPO Market Outlook: Investor sentiment and key trends for 2025

Wed, 12 Feb 2025 18:15:00 -0000

In this episode of Market Points, host Mark Mulroney, Vice Chair, Global Banking and Markets, is joined by Pete Gordon, Director, Equity Capital Markets, to break down investor sentiment and expectations for the IPO market in 2025. Drawing insights from a recent investor survey, they explore the shift toward higher risk appetite, the role of private capital, and key factors influencing IPO performance. With a strong pipeline of IPOs anticipated, be sure to tune in for expert analysis on what’s driving the IPO market and what to watch for in the months ahead.

Debt Capital Markets Outlook: Key Trends for 2025

Wed, 05 Feb 2025 21:55:22 -0000

With record-setting issuance in 2024 and a shifting rate environment, what lies ahead for debt capital markets in 2025? In this episode of Market Points, Patrick Dabiet, Managing Director and Co-Head, Canadian Debt Capital Markets and Government Finance, is joined by Fadi Attia, Managing Director and Head, U.S. Debt Syndication, to break down the key themes shaping issuance trends in the North American debt capital markets. From corporate refinancing needs and M&A-driven supply to evolving investor dynamics and cross-border funding opportunities, this conversation offers critical insights into how issuers and investors can navigate the year ahead. Tune in to hear expert perspectives on market conditions, pricing strategies, and the evolving debt landscape in Canada and the U.S.

U.S. Rates and Swap Markets: Q1 Outlook 2025

Mon, 27 Jan 2025 20:16:23 -0000

Where are U.S. rates and swap markets headed in 2025? In this engaging episode of Market Points, Boris Sender, Director, U.S. Rates Strategy, leads a dynamic discussion with Scotiabank colleagues Charles Comiskey, Managing Director, U.S. Rates Trading, and James Williamson, Director, USD Swap Trading. Together, they break down the key drivers behind recent market moves, the Federal Reserve’s evolving stance, and the role of policy uncertainty under the new administration. This episode delivers actionable insights to help investors navigate a pivotal year for fixed income markets, so tune in for expert perspectives on what’s shaping the U.S. rates landscape and how to position for what’s next.

2025 Market Outlook – 8 key themes to watch for this year

Mon, 20 Jan 2025 16:06:50 -0000

For many investors 2024 was a good year, but what about 2025? On this episode of Market Points, Hugo Ste-Marie, Director, Portfolio and Quantitative Strategy, Global Equity Research, breaks down some key themes that will shape the investment landscape this year.

He tells us where he thinks markets may head, where there may be opportunities as well as risks, the possible impact of a new administration in the U.S., and much more.

Equity Capital Markets: 2024 in review and what lies ahead for 2025

Wed, 08 Jan 2025 20:24:20 -0000

On this episode of Market Points, Scotiabank’s Michelle Khalili, Managing Director and Global Head, Equity Capital Markets (ECM) and Corporate Finance Advisory, hosts a discussion reflecting on the key themes of 2024 and the outlook for 2025. Featuring John Cronin, Managing Director and Head, U.S. ECM; Matt Sheehan, Managing Director and Head, Canadian ECM; and Charles Kerecz, Managing Director and Head, Global Equity Private Placements, this episode explores the activity in the Canadian and U.S. equity capital markets, the outlook for IPOs and M&A, and the evolving dynamics between public and private capital. Tune in to hear insights on issuance trends, and what investors can expect as markets continue to normalize in the year ahead.

Tech IPOs & M&A: What lies ahead in 2025

Tue, 12 Nov 2024 15:51:22 -0000

With the capital landscape for technology companies evolving, how will IPO and M&A activity unfold in 2025? What are investors looking for, and how can tech companies prepare to go public? In this episode of Market Points, Pete Gordon, Director, Equity Capital Markets, is joined by Sasson Darwish, Managing Director and Global Head, Technology Investment Banking, to explore the opportunities and challenges awaiting technology companies looking to raise capital in the year ahead.

Election 2024: How U.S. politics could reshape the commodity landscape

Tue, 29 Oct 2024 14:09:20 -0000

Shifting political landscapes are creating new challenges and opportunities for commodity markets and investors. On this episode of Market Points, Nick Pocrnic, Director, Mining Sales Specialist, Global Equity Sales, hosts a panel of experts—Hugo Ste-Marie, Analyst, Portfolio & Quantitative Strategy; Ovais Habib, Analyst, Gold & Precious Minerals; and Orest Wowkodaw, Analyst, Metals & Mining, and together they discuss how different U.S. election outcomes could influence key commodities like gold, silver, copper, and uranium. They also explore broader themes such as the green transition and the growing energy demands of AI. Tune in to hear where opportunities may lie and how investors can navigate potential market shifts amid this pivotal moment in U.S. politics.

Central banks, elections, and FX: Decoding the signals for global markets

Fri, 13 Sep 2024 18:04:48 -0000

Shifting interest rate policies are creating new challenges and opportunities for global markets and investors. On this episode of Market Points, Shaun Osborne, Managing Director, Chief Currency Strategist, and Brendan Stark, Managing Director and Head, Institutional Short Term Interest Rate and FX Sales, discuss the market implications of the latest Bank of Canada and anticipated Federal Reserve rate decisions. They also explore the potential market impact of the upcoming U.S. election, including effects on the US dollar, and highlight their expectations for currencies that could outperform in a period of elevated uncertainty and market volatility. Tune in and find out if the Canadian dollar makes the cut.

Focus on nearshoring: Why the EMS industry in Guadalajara, Jalisco, is the next frontier

Mon, 19 Aug 2024 18:54:00 -0000

Mexico is at the center of a historic shift in global value chains to produce semiconductors and electronics. This has catalyzed strong growth of the Electronic Manufacturing Services (EMS) industry in Guadalajara and across the state of Jalisco. On this episode of Market Points, Rodrigo Echagaray, Managing Director, Head of Latam Equity Research and Global Head of Product Management, speaks with Analysts Andres Coello and Francisco Suarez about the factors driving this new frontier.

They explore why existing infrastructure, integrated value chains and education advancements are ideally positioning Guadalajara for EMS opportunities ahead, as well as the real estate trends being fueled by EMS growth. And with a newly elected administration, led by President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum, we’ll explore what investors should watch for and how the incoming policies and priorities will spur nearshoring and EMS-related growth.

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The Future of Data-Rich Payments

Wed, 14 Aug 2024 15:23:45 -0000

For many businesses and consumers across Canada, sending regular remittances abroad and receiving inbound funds can be complex and challenging. In response, Scotiabank and many other payment industry leaders are rolling out new data-rich technology to enhance transparency, streamline payment processes, and speed up transaction times. On this episode of Market Points, Kim Salti, Director, North American Business Payments Products, and Charlene Lee, Director of Cross-Border Payments Transformation, delve into how data-rich payments are changing the game.

Mid-year bonds update: A resilient first half of 2024, but what comes next?

Thu, 01 Aug 2024 14:23:13 -0000

Dormant sectors came back to life in the first half of 2024, significantly boosting debt market activity and issuance. On this episode of Market Points, Patrick Dabiet, Managing Director and Co-Head, Canadian Debt Capital Markets, and Fadi Attia, Managing Director and Head, U.S. Debt Syndication highlight leading sector issuance, key risks, and emerging opportunities. They discuss the factors shaping the market, including the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s policy messaging and anticipated easing. They also look beyond the risks and uncertainty linked to the U.S. election to consider insights and opportunities for strategic investors.

Taking stock 2024: How investors are adjusting to mid-year macro trends

Tue, 09 Jul 2024 19:18:45 -0000

Market dynamics have shifted since the start of 2024. The U.S. economy has been more resilient than expected, and investors are preparing to manage higher-for-longer interest rates. Still, several major central banks, including the Bank of Canada, have started to ease monetary policy. On this episode of Market Points, Scotiabank’s Michelle Khalili, Managing Director and Global Head, Equity Capital Markets (ECM) and Corporate Finance Advisory, leads a discussion on how the U.S. elections, the technology sector, and other factors are driving market performance. You’ll hear from Derek Holt, Vice President and Head, Capital Markets Economics, John Cronin, Managing Director and Head, U.S. ECM, Matt Sheehan, Managing Director and Head, Canadian ECM, and Pete Gordon, Director, ECM.

Focus on nearshoring: How Chinese investment in Mexico could threaten nearshoring trends

Wed, 12 Jun 2024 19:20:49 -0000

With U.S. elections on the horizon, investors are paying close attention to China’s increasing investment in Mexico and its impact on trade tensions, global supply chains and the Mexican economy. On this episode of Market Points, Rodrigo Echagaray, Managing Director, Head of Latam Equity Research and Global Head of Product Management, and Analysts, Alfonso Salazar Herrera and Francisco Suarez, discuss what’s driving these strategic investments. They explore potential responses from policymakers, such as higher tariffs or changes to the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, and the risks and opportunities Chinese investment brings to key sectors of Mexico’s economy, including EVs, steel and infrastructure.

AI is creating ‘another industrial revolution,’ but is Canada keeping up?

Mon, 27 May 2024 17:21:20 -0000

Generative AI, the kind of artificial intelligence that creates content for you or answers questions based on a prompt, is already changing many aspects of our lives. And businesses are also figuring out how they can use it.

On this episode of Market Points, Divya Goyal, Analyst, Technology, Software and Services, Global Equity Research, provides a bird’s-eye view of how Canadian businesses are approaching and adopting this revolutionary technology. She discusses which sectors are ripe for disruption, what role Canada could play when it comes to homegrown innovation, some unintended consequences of this new technology and much more.

What if immigration falls in Canada: an economic view

Thu, 02 May 2024 15:00:41 -0000

Canada’s recent rapid population growth has significantly impacted the economy, posing opportunities and challenges.

On this episode of Market Points, Rodrigo Echagaray, Head of Latam Equity Research and Head of Global Product Management, Equity Research, speaks with a team of analysts about the impact of record high immigration on economic growth. They explore why current immigration numbers are unsustainable without additional investments, and discuss risks to specific sectors if immigration levels decline. You’ll hear from Rebekah Young, Vice-President, Head of Inclusion and Resilience Economics, Meny Grauman, Analyst, Canadian Financial Services, Maher Yaghi, Analyst, Telecom, Media & Cable, and George Doumet, Analyst, Consumer Products.

FX Forecast: Where’s the volatility?

Wed, 24 Apr 2024 18:41:44 -0000

The foreign exchange markets, and indeed several markets, are showing an unexpected level of calm. What factors are at play in this low volatility environment, and what could it mean against the backdrop of global economic conditions, rising conflicts, and the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

On this episode of Market Points, Shaun Osborne, Managing Director, Chief Currency Strategist, and Brendan Stark, Managing Director, Short-Term Interest Rate and FX, delve into these pressing questions. They discuss Scotiabank’s FX forecasts, the low volatility puzzling the markets, and consider the implications of upcoming political developments.

Outlook 2024: A good start for bonds. Will it continue?

Mon, 26 Feb 2024 16:56:30 -0000

Higher borrowing volumes and much-improved market sentiment have helped usher a promising start for issuers in 2024. With monetary tightening expected to ease and increasingly attractive conditions for borrowers, will the upturn in bond markets continue as the year unfolds? On this episode of Market Points, Patrick Dabiet, Managing Director and Head, Canadian Debt Syndication, and Fadi Attia, Managing Director and Head, U.S. Debt Syndication, discuss what’s driving the momentum in corporate bond issuance in the Canadian and U.S. markets. They also assess whether these trends will continue and the approach borrowers can take to access the market.

Navigating Colombia’s economic terrain

Thu, 22 Feb 2024 14:58:29 -0000

On this episode of Market Points, Sergio Olarte, Head Economist, Scotiabank Colpatria, and Jackeline Piraján, Senior Economist, discuss how the dynamic economic landscape in Colombia evolved over 2023. They lay out their main concerns and expectations for 2024, including the potential for a healthy deceleration in GDP growth.

IPO comeback: Is the drought over?

Fri, 16 Feb 2024 15:14:43 -0000

Following weak IPO volumes in 2023, the pipeline of potential deals continues to expand. However, private companies looking to go public in 2024 may face tough hurdles, higher expectations from investors and uncertainty leading up to the U.S. election in November. On this episode of Market Points, Michelle Khalili, Managing Director and Global Head, Equity Capital Markets (ECM) at Scotiabank, sits down with John Cronin, Managing Director and Head, U.S. ECM, and Matt Sheehan, Managing Director and Head, Canadian ECM. They consider risks and opportunities for first movers that are ready to test market conditions.

2024 Market Outlook

Thu, 25 Jan 2024 13:44:39 -0000

Markets have been doing pretty well lately, but what’s in store for 2024? On this episode of Market Points, you’ll hear from Hugo Ste-Marie, Director, Portfolio and Quantitative Strategy, Global Equity Research. He provides advice to global institutional investors, but his insights will be of interest to investors of all kinds. He’ll tell us what the markets might look like in the year ahead, where there may be some opportunities, what a ‘perfect soft landing’ is — and whether we may see one — and much more.

Nearshoring: Driving growth across North American markets

Thu, 07 Dec 2023 14:08:49 -0000

Nearshoring is transforming global supply chains and driving immense growth across North American markets, particularly in Mexico. On this episode of Market Points, you’ll hear from Rodrigo Echagaray, Head of Latam Equity Research and Head of Global Product Management, as he moderates a discussion with Francisco Suarez, Analyst, Latam Cement, Construction and Real Estate; Konark Gupta, Analyst, Transportation and Aerospace; Tristan Richardson, Analyst, Clean Technologies and Energy Infrastructure; and Patrick Bryden, Analyst, Head of ESG Research. They discuss how nearshoring is driving significant growth in manufacturing and real estate in Mexico, while accelerating the integration of North America’s air and railway networks. They also cover why ESG is critical to nearshoring and North America’s clean-tech boom.

Let’s Talk Payments: The transformation of cross-border payments

Mon, 18 Sep 2023 15:10:19 -0000

Game-changing innovations are redefining how money moves across borders. Like how SWIFT gpi and other cutting-edge advancements are paving the way for frictionless, transparent, and lightning-fast global transactions. On this episode of Market Points, you’ll hear from Dougal Middleton, Vice President, Enterprise Payments at Scotiabank and Kevin O’Neil, Director of Strategic Relationships and Head of Canada at SWIFT. They’ll discuss recent advancements, the role of data, and other trends that are transforming the global cross-border payments system. As well as the opportunities for businesses as payments become increasingly instant, borderless and contextual.

Mid-Year Outlook: What’s ahead for bonds?

Wed, 06 Sep 2023 19:16:06 -0000

Interest rates increased rapidly to combat inflation in North America in the first half of 2023. However, the U.S. Federal Reserve Board and the Bank of Canada may be nearing the end of their robust monetary tightening cycles. Could this help promote market sentiment and stability? On this episode of Market Points, you’ll hear from Patrick Dabiet, Managing Director and Head, Canadian Debt Syndication, and Fadi Attia, Managing Director and Head, U.S. Debt Syndication, as they discuss corporate bond issuance patterns in the Canadian and U.S. markets in the first half of 2023, and look ahead to highlight key areas for borrowers and investors to consider during the rest of the year.

Outlook 2023: Are bonds back?

Fri, 24 Feb 2023 16:31:00 -0000

Massive interest-rate hikes triggered by inflationary pressures as well as supply and demand imbalances made 2022 especially challenging for global bond markets. Will 2023 bring more of the same turbulence? On this episode of Market Points, you’ll hear from Patrick Dabiet, Managing Director & Head, Canadian Debt Syndication, and Fadi Attia, Managing Director & Head, U.S. Debt Syndication, as they discuss key themes from the Canadian and U.S. markets in 2022 and why there may be reason for optimism for the upcoming year as it relates to corporate bond issuance patterns.

2023 Market Outlook

Tue, 17 Jan 2023 14:22:59 -0000

2022 was an unsettled year for markets. But what about 2023? On this episode, we bring you a conversation from the Scotiabank Perspectives podcast with Hugo Ste-Marie, Director, Portfolio and Quantitative Strategy, Global Equity Research at Scotiabank. His role is to give investment advice to large, institutional investors. In this conversation with him and Perspectives host, Stephen Meurice, he offers us a glimpse into his outlook for 2023. He’ll tell us what trends, potential pitfalls... and opportunities may lie ahead.

Pacific Alliance economies: Inflation, interest rates and implications

Wed, 13 Jul 2022 18:44:26 -0000

As Pacific Alliance economies emerge from the pandemic, the conversation has shifted to things like rising inflation, corresponding interest rate increases, and the implications for the region and individual countries.

This episode of Market Points is all about the growth of the Pacific Alliance economies. You’ll be hearing a conversation led by Stephen Meurice, Director and Editor in Chief of the Scotiabank Perspectives Newsroom. He’s joined by Jean-François Perrault, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at Scotiabank, and Stephen Guthrie, Senior Vice President, International Corporate and Commercial Banking.

They’ll discuss the reasons underpinning this inflationary period and a macro view of how policy makers and central bankers are responding. Also, how Scotiabank’s global expertise, local knowledge and tailored products and services are positioned to support clients in Latam.

Source: Top Bookrunner of LatAm ESG Bonds (in Volume) in the Sustainable Bonds League Table (YTD as at April 2022, Bloomberg).

Presented by The Scotiabank Women Initiative: Heading on the ESG Journey

Fri, 17 Dec 2021 20:32:00 -0000

Diversity and inclusion is at the heart of social financings, and increasingly recognized as a core corporate strategy to drive performance. Navigating the sustainable finance environment is challenging, and our guests look to shed some light on the process. On this episode of Market Points presented by The Scotiabank Women Initiative®, we are joined by Agnes Vara, Director, Term Funding and Capital Management in Group Treasury, who has played an integral part in Scotiabank’s own sustainable issuances. And Melissa Menzies, Associate Director, Sustainable Finance, who is helping large organizations structure their own successful sustainable financings.

Important Disclosures

This communication does not constitute investment advice or any personal recommendation to invest in a financial instrument or “investment research”. This communication is provided for information and discussion purposes only. An investment decision should not be made solely on the basis of the contents of this communication. It is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments and has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. The information in this communication is based on publicly available information and although it has been compiled or obtained from sources believed to be reliable, such information has not been independently verified and no guarantee, representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. Past performance or simulated past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Forecasts are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Please refer to our legal disclosures on our website.

Participation in The Scotiabank Women Initiative® or any program-related event does not constitute advice or an offer or commitment by Scotiabank to provide any financial products or services.

® Registered trademark of The Bank of Nova Scotia, used under license.nce. Please refer to our legal disclosures on our website.

Canadian banking sector: Q3 results beat the street

Wed, 15 Sep 2021 14:55:16 -0000

Q3 earnings for the Canadian banks came in strong again, beating the street by a comfortable margin. On this episode of Market Points, Meny Grauman, Managing Director, Financial Services, Global Equity Research, deciphers the results and shares his thoughts on the outlook for the Canadian banking sector.

Important Disclosures

Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has managed or co-managed a public offering in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has received compensation for investment banking services in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Within the last 12 months, Scotia Capital Inc. and/or its affiliates have undertaken an underwriting liability with respect to equity or debt securities of, or have provided advice for a fee with respect to, this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada. The Head of Equity Research or a Supervisory Analyst owns securities of this issuer in his or her own account or in a related account: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital Inc. and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 1% of one or more classes of the issued and outstanding equity securities of this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. The Bank of Nova Scotia and its affiliates collectively have a net long position in excess of 0.5% of the total issued share capital of the issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services in the next 3 months: Bank of Montreal, Laurentian Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. This issuer and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 5% of the total issued share capital of The Bank of Nova Scotia: Royal Bank of Canada. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. had an investment banking services client relationship during the past 12 months: National Bank of Canada. Scotia Capital Inc. acted as financial advisor to iA Financial Corporation Inc. in the announced sale of iA Investment Counsel Inc. to Canadian Western Bank.

Emerging from the Pandemic: Strategies and Implications

Mon, 23 Aug 2021 15:26:30 -0000

Tune into this episode of Market Points for key highlights from the Emerging from the Pandemic: Strategies and Implications webcast. Presented by The Scotiabank Women Initiative, Brett House, Stephanie Lariviere and Marta Cano Escobar share their perspectives on the post-pandemic world, including an economic overview and insights into interest rates and inflation. The team offers solutions to help mitigate risk and seize opportunities and discusses leadership lessons, as we emerge from the pandemic.

H2 2021: Economic outlook for Latin America

Thu, 05 Aug 2021 13:20:44 -0000

Like most places in the world, Latin America’s economies are well on the road to recovery, but not yet out of danger from the COVID-19 pandemic. Markets have continued to provide support to the region as policymakers adjust fiscal and monetary measures to the next steps in re-opening. On this episode of Market Points, Brett House, Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist at Scotiabank, looks at what’s ahead for Latin America’s economies.

Retail revolution: The year that changed everything

Thu, 17 Jun 2021 14:31:52 -0000

Retail has changed forever. Decades from now we’ll likely look back on 2020 and 2021 as pivotal years in the advancement of technology and the creation of new consumer habits that will carry on beyond retail reopenings. On this episode of Market Points, Patricia Baker, Director, Retailing, Global Equity Research, is back on the podcast to discuss the year that changed everything for retail.

Canadian banking sector: On the upside once again

Thu, 10 Jun 2021 15:10:43 -0000

Q2 earnings for the Canadian banks surprised on the upside once again, as they continue their trend of beating the consensus. Healthy optimism with respect to ending the pandemic and restarting the economy is providing support for the ongoing strength in the banking sector. On this episode of Market Points, Meny Grauman, Managing Director, Financial Services, Global Equity Research, discusses the key factors driving performance and his top favourite pick.

Important Disclosures

Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has managed or co-managed a public offering in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has received compensation for investment banking services in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada. Within the last 12 months, Scotia Capital Inc. and/or its affiliates have undertaken an underwriting liability with respect to equity or debt securities of, or have provided advice for a fee with respect to, this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada. The Head of Equity Research or a Supervisory Analyst owns securities of this issuer in his or her own account or in a related account: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital Inc. and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 1% of one or more classes of the issued and outstanding equity securities of this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. The Bank of Nova Scotia and its affiliates collectively have a net long position in excess of 0.5% of the total issued share capital of the issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services in the next 3 months: Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank of Canada, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada. This issuer and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 5% of the total issued share capital of The Bank of Nova Scotia: Royal Bank of Canada. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. had an investment banking services client relationship during the past 12 months: National Bank of Canada. Scotia Capital Inc. acted as financial advisor to iA Financial Corporation Inc. in the announced sale of iA Investment Counsel Inc. to Canadian Western Bank.

Currency outlook: Where is the Canadian dollar headed?

Thu, 06 May 2021 16:32:23 -0000

At the start of the pandemic’s reach into North America the Canadian dollar tumbled, but by the end of April 2021 the loonie had hit highs against the US dollar that it hadn’t seen for just over three years. Is all this strength leading us back to parity? On this episode of Market Points, Shaun Osborne, Managing Director and Chief Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, joins us to discuss the rise in the Canadian dollar and where we could be headed from here.

Business risk: Fundamentals behind the great Canadian restart

Mon, 29 Mar 2021 19:12:42 -0000

Businesses are feeling more and more optimistic. While it’s clear we are not out of the woods yet, several forces are at play to support a strong recovery. But as the economy heats up, inflation concerns mount. On this episode of Market Points, Scott Morrison, Managing Director and Head, Commercial Derivative Products and FX Sales, and Brittany Owens, Director, Commercial Derivative Products Group, share their insights from the business community and discuss the strong fundamentals behind the great Canadian restart.

Canadian banking sector: Bullish on the banks

Thu, 11 Mar 2021 16:28:34 -0000

The Canadian banks beat the street once again, and analysts make significant upward revisions to forward-looking earnings estimates into 2022. Canadians have increased their savings throughout the pandemic and the pent-up consumer demand is poised to support continuing performance in the banking sector. On this episode of Market Points, Meny Grauman, Managing Director, Financial Services, Global Equity Research at Scotiabank, talks about the strength of the sector and why he is so bullish on the banks.

Important Disclosures

Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has managed or co-managed a public offering in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has received compensation for investment banking services in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group. Within the last 12 months, Scotia Capital Inc. and/or its affiliates have undertaken an underwriting liability with respect to equity or debt securities of, or have provided advice for a fee with respect to, this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group. The Head of Equity Research or a Supervisory Analyst owns securities of this issuer in his or her own account or in a related account: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital Inc. and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 1% of one or more classes of the issued and outstanding equity securities of this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce. The Bank of Nova Scotia and its affiliates collectively have a net long position in excess of 0.5% of the total issued share capital of the issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group.

Pacific Alliance: An investor's approach to Mexico, Peru, Chile and Colombia

Wed, 03 Mar 2021 17:18:24 -0000

The Pacific Alliance – the Latin American trade bloc of Mexico, Peru, Chile and Colombia – has its sights set on growth. But each country has its own idiosyncrasies that investors need to consider. 2021 is particularly unique as the countries are coming out of a global crisis while facing elections, rewriting constitutions, and managing their fiscal and monetary strategies. On this episode of Market Points, Tania Escobedo, Latam Macro Strategist at Scotiabank, explores the investors approach to policy and politics in the Pacific Alliance.

Critical commodities: Economic outlook for oil, gold and industrial metals markets

Thu, 11 Feb 2021 18:20:38 -0000

On his first day in office, U.S. President Joe Biden cancelled the Keystone XL pipeline project, citing America’s prioritization of a clean energy economy. What does the cancellation mean for Canadian oil, and are oil markets safe from a repeat of 2020? As the global economy strives for a turnaround, our guest on this episode of Market Points, Marc Desormeaux, Senior Economist at Scotiabank, makes the connections between some critical commodities and our economic comeback.

Emerging Markets: Economic outlook for Latin America

Wed, 27 Jan 2021 20:08:23 -0000

In the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic, Latin America was reeling from high case counts and economic implosion. But as 2020 came to a close, while Canada, the United States, and Europe were struggling – and still are – to contain a second wave, Latin America bounced back, with some economic activity even returning to pre-pandemic levels. Latin America is now poised for serious growth in the years to come. In this episode of Market Points, Brett House, Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist at Scotiabank, puts Latin America under a microscope and sees promising results.

Currency Outlook: Expectations for the Canadian and US dollars

Tue, 12 Jan 2021 14:22:00 -0000

2020 was the most surreal year many of us have ever experienced. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar seemed to behave normally, which is of course an extremely Canadian thing to do. In 2021, global economies have some heavy lifting ahead, but what should we expect from currencies? In this episode of Market Points, Shaun Osborne, Managing Director and Chief Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, discusses what may be in store for the Canadian and US dollars.

Good Corporate Governance

Tue, 22 Dec 2020 16:35:00 -0000

In 2019, on the first anniversary of The Scotiabank Women Initiative, Global Banking and Markets (GBM) launched its dedicated women initiative with bespoke programs focused on career and business acceleration for clients. GBM’s initiative has now reached its own one-year anniversary milestone. A key highlight for clients and colleagues alike has been The Scotiabank Good Corporate Governance Program. On this episode of Market Points, Loretta Marcoccia, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer and Executive Sponsor of The Scotiabank Women Initiative for Global Banking and Markets and Julie Walsh, Senior Vice President, Corporate Secretary and Chief Corporate Governance Officer, discuss the program and how the Bank is building a pipeline of the most board-ready executives in Canada.

Canadian banking sector: Q4 earnings surprises

Wed, 09 Dec 2020 17:25:50 -0000

The Canadian Big Banks provided earnings surprises once again. But given COVID-19’s deep winter wave and an economy that still requires a lot of support, how much longer can they keep this up? In this episode of Market Points, Meny Grauman, Managing Director, Financial Services, Global Equity Research at Scotiabank, talks earnings opportunities and which bank stocks are worth a closer look.

Important Disclosures:

Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has managed or co-managed a public offering in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has received compensation for investment banking services in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services in the next 3 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada. Within the last 12 months, Scotia Capital Inc. and/or its affiliates have undertaken an underwriting liability with respect to equity or debt securities of, or have provided advice for a fee with respect to, this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. The Head of Equity Research or a Supervisory Analyst owns securities of this issuer in his or her own account or in a related account: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital Inc. and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 1% of one or more classes of the issued and outstanding equity securities of this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. The Bank of Nova Scotia and its affiliates collectively have a net long position in excess of 0.5% of the total issued share capital of the issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group.

Business risk: Hedging strategies through uncertain times

Thu, 03 Dec 2020 18:39:32 -0000

The experience of operating a business during the COVID-19 pandemic has contextualized the meaning of risk for many business owners. Business has always been a risk-reward trade-off, but successful businesses understand which risks are the ones that are worth it: innovative R&D, investing in building inspiring corporate culture, a ground-breaking advertising campaign. And they make a conscious decision to remove the risks that aren’t at the core of their business purpose: things like interest rate and currency uncertainty that could threaten their cash flow and ultimately the business itself. In this episode of Market Points, Scott Morrison, Managing Director and Head, Commercial Derivative Products and FX Sales, explains how hedging strategies work to keep businesses moving through uncertain times.

The “S” of the ESG Triangle

Tue, 24 Nov 2020 22:53:44 -0000

The investment community has embraced Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) with more and more institutional investors formalizing ESG analysis into their investment thesis. Environmental factors have captured most of the headlines for some time, as nations and corporations have recognized the climate crisis, and have been taking steps to address and reverse negative environmental impacts before it's too late. Governance factors have even deeper roots. Institutional investors have been evaluating and calling for stronger board stewardship for decades now, but aspects of the S, the social factors, have been comparatively ignored. Institutional investors have realized that Diversity & Inclusion in an organization is a predictor of superior performance. On this episode of Market Points, we present key highlights from a recent webcast from The Scotiabank Women Initiative, titled The “S” of the ESG Triangle, where our ESG and Sustainable Finance experts put social factors under the spotlight.

US Election: Economic impacts of a Biden administration

Thu, 12 Nov 2020 15:51:52 -0000

Joe Biden was introduced as the President-Elect of the United States this past weekend after major media outlets, as is customary, called the election in his favour. Unsurprisingly, President Trump has failed to concede to date and has continued to push his team to pursue legal action in the hopes of overturning the results, with the general consensus that these efforts will be in vain. The markets agreed, pushing forward as a Biden presidency became more likely, and then on Monday morning, they moved strongly on the news that Pfizer is showing promising results for its COVID-19 vaccine. In this episode of Market Points, Jean-François Perrault, Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist at Scotiabank, discusses his perspective on the economic impacts of a Biden administration.

Workplace Re-Entry: Lessons Learned, A Scotiabank Perspective

Mon, 09 Nov 2020 19:44:13 -0000

The COVID-19 pandemic rages on. As we enter a second wave, we must learn from our experiences these past few months and do what we humans do best: adapt. Armed with new knowledge, businesses have been meeting the challenge head on and reopening their offices in ways that best serve the needs of their employees and customers. Scotiabank started its learning curve early. As a global bank, it benefitted from on-the-ground experience in Asia and quickly maneuvered to evolve its practices as the virus moved around the world. In this episode of Market Points, we share key highlights from a recent webcast, Workplace Re-Entry: Lessons Learned, A Scotiabank Perspective, where leaders discussed their experiences through our collective journey overcoming a once-in-a-century challenge. Presented by The Scotiabank Women Initiative for Global Banking and Markets.

Panelists:

• Loretta Marcoccia, EVP and COO, Global Banking and Markets

• Jennifer Frook, Vice President, Enterprise Crisis Management

• Julia Cowan, Director, HR Business Partner

• Mike Merkley, Managing Director, Global Banking and Markets

LIBOR is on the way out, what is in?

Tue, 13 Oct 2020 19:09:50 -0000

LIBOR, the London Interbank Offered Rate, a key set of interest rates linked to hundreds of trillions of dollars of financial contracts and instruments in on its way out. The British Financial Conduct Authority, or FCA, which oversees LIBOR announced that it may be phased out after December 31, 2021, when they will no longer require the banks to provide LIBOR offers. These decisions have deep and far-reaching consequences. Hear from Scotiabank leaders who discuss key priorities to consider as your organization makes plans for the transition away from interbank offered rates.

Sustainable Finance: Opportunity in Latin America

Tue, 06 Oct 2020 20:43:49 -0000

The Latin American sustainable finance market is teeming with opportunity. As various countries in the region look to fund infrastructure gaps they are turning to the sustainable market for their critical environmental and social projects, which is laying the groundwork for more corporations to access the market. Juan Fullaondo, Managing Director and Head, Debt Capital Markets, Latin America and Caribbean, discusses the regional surge in sustainable finance.

Scotiabank’s newly created Sustainable Finance Group, within the Global Banking and Market’s division, supports clients' evolving requirements for sustainable financing and Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) related investments.

Canadian banking sector: Considerations on Q3 earnings results

Fri, 04 Sep 2020 19:03:00 -0000

The banking sector in Canada surprised the street with better than expected Q3 earnings results. But with credit fears still looming, serious uncertainty remains. In this episode of Market Points, Meny Grauman, Managing Director, Financial Services, Global Equity Research at Scotiabank, analyzes the banking sector’s Q3 results and shares some key considerations for investors.

Important Disclosures

Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has managed or co-managed a public offering in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has received compensation for investment banking services in the past 12 months: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services in the next 3 months: Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. had an investment banking services client relationship during the past 12 months: Royal Bank of Canada. Within the last 12 months, Scotia Capital Inc. and/or its affiliates have undertaken an underwriting liability with respect to equity or debt securities of, or have provided advice for a fee with respect to, this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. The Head of Equity Research or a Supervisory Analyst owns securities of this issuer in his or her own account or in a related account: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. Scotia Capital Inc. and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 1% of one or more classes of the issued and outstanding equity securities of this issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group. This issuer and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 5% of the total issued share capital of The Bank of Nova Scotia: Royal Bank of Canada. The Bank of Nova Scotia and its affiliates collectively have a net long position in excess of 0.5% of the total issued share capital of the issuer: Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, National Bank of Canada, Royal Bank of Canada, TD Bank Financial Group.

Mexican economy: Pain points and bright spots

Mon, 31 Aug 2020 18:11:29 -0000

Mexico entered the pandemic already in a recession – and economic pressures from COVID-19, such as the severe drop in travel and tourism, have only exacerbated the problem. However, our new global reality has also created opportunities for growth in Mexico. In this episode of Market Points, Francisco Suarez, Director, Global Equity Research at Scotiabank Mexico, discusses pain points and bright spots in the Mexican economy.

Talking Treasury: Funding, Risk Management, and Digital Solutions in a post-pandemic world

Thu, 20 Aug 2020 20:59:00 -0000

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the way we conduct business today and will influence the way we conduct business in the future. What has changed, and how can we work to be better prepared? In this episode of Market Points, we present key highlights from a recent webcast hosted by The Scotiabank Women Initiative, Talking Treasury: Funding, Risk Management, and Digital Solutions in a post-pandemic world. Designed for Corporate Treasurers – but pertinent to everyone navigating the current and future business environment – the cross-disciplinary panel of Scotiabank leaders share their experiences and views on relevant topics, from trade to foreign exchange to investment themes to digital opportunities.

Panelists:

• Adam Swinemar, Vice President, Customer Experience and Digital Channels

• Dyanne Carenza, Vice President, Head of Trade and Supply Chain Finance

• Ryan O’Keefe, Managing Director and Head, Corporate and Retail, FX Sales

• Marta Cano, Managing Director, Global Equity Derivatives

Currency outlook: Expectations for the US dollar

Fri, 14 Aug 2020 19:24:00 -0000

While US COVID-19 case numbers have risen drastically over the last few months the US dollar has slid, with the US dollar index off over 10% since its March peak. Typically, in times of global crisis the dollar acts as a safe haven, but there are several forces at play this time around that are contributing to dollar depreciation. In this episode of Market Points, Shaun Osborne, Managing Director and Chief Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, returns to the podcast to triage the ailing greenback.

Sector performance and opportunity: How the office and retail sectors are positioned for the future

Thu, 23 Jul 2020 00:00:00 -0000

When was the last time you visited a mall, or went to your office? The health reasons keeping us away are certainly temporary if we look to history. But what about the rapid adoption of technology that has crystallized the effortlessness and affordability of online shopping. Or finding that by working from home, we are not only getting more done but recapturing precious untold hours we used to spend in traffic. In this episode of Market Points, Mario Saric, Managing Director, Real Estate and REITs, Global Equity Research at Scotiabank, dives into sector performance and opportunity and explains how office and retail are positioned for the future.

Housing data: A look at the Canadian market

Fri, 17 Jul 2020 00:00:00 -0000

Through the COVID-19 pandemic, our homes have been converted into offices, classrooms, and in some cases, recording studios. The housing market has roared back in May and June, but the jury is still out on the long-term effects of the crisis on the Canadian housing stock. In this episode of Market Points, Marc Desormeaux, Senior Economist at Scotiabank, provides the latest numbers and shares his insights on the foundational strength of Canadian housing.

Economic prospects: Better, worse, or too early to tell?

Mon, 29 Jun 2020 00:00:00 -0000

The International Monetary Fund downgraded its forecast for 2020 to a 4.9% retraction in global growth. Coronavirus cases are re-escalating in new areas. Employment numbers continue to slide. Yet, retail sales are improving, and we’ve experienced significant gains in equity markets since the late March lows. So, are things getting better, or worse? Or is it too early to tell? In this episode of Market Points, Jean-François Perrault, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist at Scotiabank, provides his perspective on our economic prospects and some of the fundamental shifts we should prepare for.

Stimulus programs: Canada’s effectiveness and financial position

Thu, 18 Jun 2020 00:00:00 -0000

In Canada, the Federal government continues to put the full weight of its financial powers into the fight against the economic turmoil caused by COVID-19. But have these programs performed as advertised, in providing Canadians and Canadian businesses the support they desperately need? Effectiveness aside, the question remains, can we afford this? In this episode of Market Points, Rebekah Young, Director, Fiscal and Provincial Economics at Scotiabank, provides her perspective on Canada’s financial position and sheds light on the question of affordability.

Brexit: Breaking down the UK/EU trade negotiations

Thu, 04 Jun 2020 00:00:00 -0000

In June of 2020, Brexit has lost most, if not all, of its headline attention in North America. But if the UK and the EU cannot agree to new trade terms by the end of this year, Britain will be faced with serious economic consequences. In this episode of Market Points, Juan Manuel Herrera, Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, breaks down the current state of trade negotiations and explains how Brexit may diminish London’s position and power as a global financial centre.

Retail revolution: Reshaping the sector in Latin America

Thu, 28 May 2020 00:00:00 -0000

Latin America is a massive, culturally diverse region under significant stress as Brazil becomes the new epicentre of the COVID-19 pandemic, frustrating near-term re-opening plans. To compound regional challenges, the retail sector across Latam lacks the e-commerce maturity of other markets, historically tied to consumers' reliance on cash. But rapid change is on its way. In this episode of Market Points, Rodrigo Echagaray, Managing Director and Head of Latin American Equity Research at Scotiabank, discusses the regional reshaping of retail.

Retail revolution: How shopping has changed

Mon, 25 May 2020 16:00:00 -0000

When Amazon entered the marketplace, it triggered a retail revolution. The convenience factor has quickly become a necessity for many consumers – and the lasting impact on consumer behaviour will most certainly be significant. But right now, retail is reeling with an unprecedented retraction in sales, big name bankruptcies, and mounting unemployment. In this episode of Market Points, Patricia Baker, Director, Retailing, Global Equity Research at Scotiabank, brings us up to speed with the current conditions and shares her thoughts on how shopping has changed forever.

Currency outlook: Expectations for the Canadian dollar

Thu, 14 May 2020 16:00:00 -0000

Equity markets stormed back despite very frightening economic numbers. How has the Canadian dollar behaved alongside this market optimism? And with continued fiscal and monetary stimulus, fears of inflation have re-emerged. Meanwhile, incoming Bank of Canada governor, Tiff Macklem, has not ruled out negative interest rates. In this episode of Market Points, Shaun Osborne, Managing Director and Chief Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, shares his expectations for the Canadian dollar and explains why inflationary fears may be overblown.

Emerging markets: Latin America in a global context

Fri, 08 May 2020 16:00:00 -0000

The global economy has slowly started to reopen. As the world attempts an apprehensive return to normal, if there is such a thing, how well positioned are Latin American countries for recovery? And what does a strong Latin America mean for Canada? In this episode of Market Points, Brett House, Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist at Scotiabank, discusses Latam in a global context and explains why international relations are more important than ever.

Emerging markets: Opportunities and threats

Tue, 28 Apr 2020 16:00:00 -0000

China appears to be at the beginning of a recovery while the world’s largest economy, the United States, is still reeling from the effects of COVID-19. Emerging market economies around the globe rely heavily on the health of these two giants for trade and investment. But which countries are exposed to greater risk due to additional domestic weakness? Which nations could recover ahead of us all? In this episode of Market Points, Bertha Arroyo, Associate Director, FX Trader at Scotiabank, shares an update on the opportunities and threats facing the emerging market economies in Asia and Latin America.

Stimulus measures: Impact on the economic road ahead

Fri, 17 Apr 2020 16:00:00 -0000

The Q1 numbers on the Canadian economy are in, and the hit we’ve taken has been massive. On April 15th, the Bank of Canada announced a new round of stimulus measures designed to minimize the damage caused by the COVID-19 crisis. By taking a page out of the Fed playbook, the Bank of Canada is reluctant to talk forecasting, citing uncertainty surrounding the situation we find ourselves in. But if we don’t understand how deep the hole might be, is there a downside to these unprecedented fiscal and monetary measures? In this episode of Market Points, Derek Holt, Vice President and Head, Capital Markets Economics at Scotiabank, shares his thoughts on the rough economic road ahead.

Battle plan: A look at COVID-19 fiscal and monetary policy initiatives

Thu, 09 Apr 2020 16:00:00 -0000

If the COVID-19 pandemic is an economic war, fiscal and monetary policy form critical components in the battle plan. A country’s success certainly depends on the size of their war chest, but more importantly, its their willingness to use it. Their speed of deployment, and their ability to coordinate efforts across various levels of government, that will ultimately determine the effectiveness of any policy. But as countries concentrate their efforts on mitigating domestic damage, cracks begin to form in international relationships. The EU has three of its largest economies – Italy, Spain and France – among the hardest hit regions across the globe. In this episode of Market Points, Juan Manuel Herrera, Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, shares his thoughts on government and central bank policy effectiveness, and winning the fight for our lives and livelihoods.

Unprecedented uncertainty: What does this mean for the Canadian dollar?

Wed, 01 Apr 2020 16:00:00 -0000

In what has been one of the strangest quarters in modern history, COVID-19 has brought record volatility and unprecedented uncertainty in the financial markets. Economies around the globe have slammed on the brakes, travel and hospitality industries have virtually disappeared, and oil prices have plummeted. But what does this mean for the Canadian dollar? In this first episode of Market Points, we hear from Shaun Osborne, Managing Director and Chief Currency Strategist at Scotiabank.