The Transfer Flow Podcast

Episode 183 - Does the Future of Football Look Like PSG vs Bayern?

Thu, 30 Apr 2026 17:23:00 -0000

Ted is back from Japan (lightly concussed by the doorways) and Patrick wastes no time getting into it. Was Bayern 5-4 PSG the greatest Champions League game ever played, and was it a glimpse into how football will look in the future?

Then Arsenal's cagey 0-0 with Atleti, whether Mourinho to Real Madrid makes any sense whatsoever, Enzo Fernández to Real Madrid or Man City and what role he'd actually play at each, and Alex Scott linked to a big move ahead of a World Cup summer that could shake up the transfer market entirely.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Ted is back from Japan

01:01 Bayern 5-4 PSG: was this the greatest UCL game ever played?

03:02 Why both teams had no defensive second gear and why that was on purpose

07:48 The fine margins: second leg adjustments, Hakimi out, Luis Enrique's second half gamble

10:05 Why the media completely missed the point

12:03 Arsenal 1-1 Atleti: less cagey than expected

13:00 Arsenal's second half flatline and what it means for the second leg

14:09 Rice as a six, Arsenal's upcoming fixture run

16:24 Mourinho to Real Madrid: seriously?

18:30 When was Mourinho's last elite season? The case against him

21:27 Enzo Fernández to Real Madrid or Man City: what role does he actually play?

27:47 Alex Scott linked to big clubs + the World Cup transfer window effect

#championsleague #bayern #psg #arsenal #atleticomadrid #realmadrid #mourinho #josemourinho #enzo #enzofernandez #worldcup

Episode 182 - Barcelona are FAILING Lamine Yamal + EPL Roundup

Mon, 27 Apr 2026 18:30:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel break down a big Premier League weekend, starting with West Ham's unlikely survival push and the underlying numbers behind their turnaround. Nuno Espirito Santo has quietly turned this team into a functional mid-table side, but with Spurs breathing down their necks the margin for error is tiny. Xavi Simons is out for the rest of the calendar year with an ACL, which could not have come at a worse time for a Spurs side that just cannot string wins together. Then the conversation turns to Lamine Yamal, out for the rest of the season with a hamstring, and why Barcelona keep doing this to their best players. Patrick and Neel compare his career minutes to players three years older than him, revisit the Pedri cautionary tale, and ask why clubs refuse to manage their stars properly when the fixture pile never gets any lighter. PSG get held up as the model for how to do it right. Arsenal are also discussed, grinding out a 1-0 over Newcastle in a game that left the entire squad doubled over at the final whistle. And finally, Man City's fixture congestion and what it means for the title race, plus a quick look at a Liverpool side that still has no idea what it is.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

00:25 – West Ham's incredible turnaround

06:01 – How Nuno has set West Ham up: shape, style and the front four

09:11 – West Ham are playing like a mid-table team

18:00 – Can West Ham actually survive? Relegation battle prediction

20:16 – Spurs are in serious trouble and Xavi Simons' ACL makes it worse

22:09 – Lamine Yamal, Salah & the injury crisis sweeping European football

23:11 – Will Yamal be fit for the World Cup?

24:31 – Barcelona are doing to Yamal exactly what they did to Pedri

25:29 – Load management: why clubs refuse to learn & what PSG are doing differently

29:33 – Yamal has played more career minutes than players three years older than him

31:05 – Arsenal scrape past Newcastle — what does it tell us?

39:43 – Man City's fixture pile-up & what it means for the title race

42:06 – Liverpool: what even is this team?

46:02 – Patreon, live stream & what's coming this week

Episode 181 - Chelsea Spent BILLIONS To End Up HERE?

Thu, 23 Apr 2026 18:21:00 -0000

Chelsea have sacked another manager. But is Liam Rasenior really the problem? Patrick and Hayden break down what went wrong at Stamford Bridge, why BlueCo's £2 billion project is starting to unravel, and just how tight Chelsea's hands are tied this summer under the new SCR financial rules. Then Hayden tells the story of how he broke into football analytics — and why showing up in person to conferences changed his career.

https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/liam-rosenior-is-actually-doing-fine-with-chelsea

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 — Intro

00:27 — Rasenior sacked: what actually went wrong?

02:17 — Did any Chelsea player benefit under Rasenior?

04:03 — The BlueCo vision explained

08:42 — Are BlueCo's incentives aligned with the fans?

10:34 — The multi-club project: what was the plan?

13:39 — Why Rasenior was brought in as "company man"

15:16 — The concerns we had a year ago are still here

16:03 — SCR, finances and Chelsea's summer nightmare

19:50 — Were Chelsea ever going to finish above fourth?

22:34 — The injury crisis and who Chelsea can actually sell

24:08 — Is it all doom and gloom? The bright spots

28:21 — Who should be Chelsea's next manager?

33:00 — Introducing the Transfer Flow Conference

33:41 — Hayden's origin story: Moneyball to Fleetwood Town

37:22 — Meeting Ted, Stats Bomb courses and a six hour presentation

40:25 — How conferences changed Hayden's career

44:02 — Why you should be at the first Transfer Flow Conference

45:10 — Closing thoughts and Patreon preview

#chelsea #chelseafc #premierleague #rosenior #epl #football #enzofernandez #colepalmer #enzo #cfc #foryou #fyp #soccer #footballpodcast #premierleaguenews

Episode 180 - Why Arsenal will STILL win the Premier League

Mon, 20 Apr 2026 18:39:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel pick through a big Premier League weekend. Man City beat Arsenal 2-1 to tighten the title race to three points with a game in hand, and they break down Arsenal's tactical setup, the second half drop-off, and what it means for the run-in. Chelsea lose 1-0 to Manchester United, all but ending their Champions League hopes, and the guys dig into the financial mess that got them here. Spurs throw away a late lead to Brighton in injury time, edging closer to a club-record winless run and a potential relegation battle with West Ham. Then it's Copa del Rey chat, as Real Sociedad beat Atletico Madrid on penalties in a huge win for Matarazzo's project.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

00:31 Man City 2-1 Arsenal: tactical breakdown

03:53 Arsenal's defensive setup and the O'Reilly question

08:29 The second goal and Arsenal's second half drop-off

10:19 Arsenal's attacking drought across the season

13:11 Havertz back, but is it enough?

15:16 Remaining fixtures and who has the easier run-in

19:08 Predictions: how many points do both teams finish on?

24:22 Arsenal's title odds and the momentum question

27:45 Chelsea 0-1 Man United: Champions League hopes all but gone

32:02 Chelsea's financial mess and what comes next

38:27 Spurs drop points to Brighton in injury time

43:14 Spurs' winless run and the relegation fear

46:07 Can Spurs actually survive? The West Ham comparison

47:23 Copa del Rey final: Real Sociedad beat Atletico Madrid on penalties

Episode 179 - Arsenal Are Running Out of Bodies + Can Anyone Actually Stop PSG?

Thu, 16 Apr 2026 19:24:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel wrap up the Champions League quarterfinals. They break down Bayern's defensive frailties against Real Madrid, great mentality but still unable to hold leads, before turning to PSG's controlled dismantling of Liverpool and why their central fluidity makes them almost impossible to set up against. Then it's Atleti vs Barca, where both teams' defensive vulnerabilities made a high-scoring tie inevitable. Arsenal's win over Sporting is picked apart, with particular focus on their baffling attacking patterns and what that means heading into the weekend's Premier League title crunch at the Etihad against Man City.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Episode 178 - Arsenal aren't blowing the title... right?

Mon, 13 Apr 2026 18:40:00 -0000

Patrick and Ted ask whether Arsenal are blowing the Premier League title, what Arteta is getting wrong, and why fans may still be overreacting. They also dig into how Man City have got themselves back in the title hunt, break down Arsenal's run-in versus City's, and look into Newcastle's horrible slump and the big Eddie Howe decision looming this summer. Plus early transfer gossip, Tottenham's freefall and a preview of the Transfer Flow conference.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

0:00 – Are Arsenal blowing the Premier League title?

1:38 – The numbers: why fans might be overreacting

4:04 – Credit to Bournemouth: a brilliant game plan

5:43 – Arsenal's defensive drop-off and rotation problem

7:44 – The injury returns that could save Arsenal's season

9:11 – Arteta's tactical options and the City game ahead

13:21 – Did set piece reliance stop Arsenal developing a deeper playbook?

13:59 – Arteta's loss aversion and the Rory McIlroy comparison

16:36 – Breaking down Arsenal and City's run-ins

18:01 – Is Man City winning the title actually possible?

20:39 – Every big club is struggling right now

24:20 – Newcastle: 14th, negative goal difference, crisis mode

25:32 – Should Eddie Howe be sacked or just stripped of power?

29:15 – Newcastle's summer transfers graded and found wanting

33:38 – Andy Robertson to Tottenham?

36:00 – Tottenham's long decline and what went wrong

39:28 – End of season fatigue and Danny Welbeck’s scoring

40:26 – Transfer Flow conference preview

Episode 177 - This is Slot's BIGGEST mistake yet

Sat, 11 Apr 2026 11:11:00 -0000

The Champions League quarterfinals are underway and Patrick and Hayden go through all four first legs. Liverpool tried a back three at PSG and it backfired badly. Atletico nicked a 2-0 win at the Nou Camp that looks better the more you think about it. Arsenal did just enough at Sporting to set up a comfortable second leg at the Emirates. Bayern battered Real Madrid in the first half before Real Madrid reminded everyone why you can never count them out. All four second legs previewed, plus kit chat to open because it's a World Cup year and we can't help ourselves. Enjoy! Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964 Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 0:35 PSG vs Liverpool, Liverpool's back three experiment falls flat 5:42 Why Liverpool's narrow midfield gave PSG a free ride 11:13 PSG left points on the board too 14:07 Zaire-Emery and PSG's case as tournament favorites 16:56 PSG's defensive soft spot, will it matter later? 19:13 Liverpool's second leg options at Anfield 20:11 Atletico 2-0 Barcelona, not a smash and grab 22:45 The red card and Alvarez free kick that flipped the tie 25:50 Atletico's third man runs and why Barca keep falling for it 27:50 Second leg preview, Wanda could be chaos 29:36 Arsenal 1-0 Sporting, late sucker punch, boring night 31:30 Arsenal's left side looking better than it has all year 34:01 Can Sporting do anything at the Emirates? 36:44 Bayern vs Real Madrid, first half bloodbath at the Bernabeu 40:05 Real Madrid's second half comeback and Neuer's nine saves 41:19 Second leg, how do Bayern hold this without pressing for 90? 44:47 Trent as Real Madrid's key weapon and Kompany's mindset #championsleague #liverpool #barcelona #ucl #arsenal #atleticomadrid #football #soccer #bayernmunich #realmadrid #psg #sporting #arneslot #lamineyamal #foryou #fyp

Episode 176 - The Complete World Cup Qualifying Breakdown

Wed, 01 Apr 2026 19:14:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel break down every major story from the final World Cup qualifying matches, from Italy's shocking third consecutive absence to Iraq's remarkable 21-game journey to qualification. They cover all the European playoffs and Inter-Confederation ties, analyzing what went wrong, what went right, and which teams to watch at the tournament.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

0:00 — Intro & welcome back

1:03 — Italy miss a third consecutive World Cup: Bosnia & Herzegovina upset breakdown

2:00 — Spalletti vs. Gattuso: was the coaching change a mistake?

5:12 — Italy's three failed qualifying cycles (2018, 2022, 2026) compared

7:42 — Italy's talent problem isn't the players: it's the approach

11:13 — Italy's path was there: what could have been

13:35 — Curaçao, Italy's kit envy, and the Serie A talent debate

16:28 — Iraq vs. Bolivia: altitude merchants meet a defensive wall

17:02 — Bolivia's El Alto home advantage explained

19:30 — Bolivia's defensive collapse and Iraq's incredible qualifying journey

21:02 — Graham Arnold's Iraq: a solid collective built to grind

22:58 — 899 total World Cup qualifying matches this cycle

24:40 — DR Congo back at the World Cup for the first time since 1974 (as Zaire)

25:50 — Jamaica's playoff implosion: why did Steve McLaren resign so early?

29:14 — Reviewing the European playoffs

29:35 — Turkey as dark horses? Guler, Yildiz, and Montella's system

32:29 — Kosovo's impressive run and what's next for them

33:34 — Sweden sneak through via Nations League: robbery or deserved?

34:22 — Poland's aging generation and the Lewandowski era winding down

38:13 — Czechia vs. Denmark: Pavel Sulc's standout performance

39:25 — Denmark's playoff heartbreak on penalties

Episode 175 - Man City MUST beat United to these star midfielders + Spurs hire De Zerbi

Mon, 30 Mar 2026 18:10:00 -0000

Ted and Patrick break down the transfer decisions that will define the Premier League summer. They start with Tottenham and ask whether hiring Roberto De Zerbi with a squad full of players who can't pass is a recipe for relegation. Then it's the big one: with Pep Guardiola likely heading for the exit, Man City and Man United are both targeting the same midfielders, and Ted and Patrick argue City should move first and move hard for Adam Wharton and Elliot Anderson. They also dig into Bruno Fernandes' contract situation at United, Arsenal's left-wing addiction and striker question, a brief look at what Liverpool face post-Salah, and whether Eddie Howe has one last chance to get Newcastle right. Plus: World Cup tools are coming, the in-person conference is set for May 22nd, and Ted is hiring an assistant director of football on the women's side.

Kim's Tottenham article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-3-tiers-of-inevitable-tottenham-player-sales

Ted's Assistant DoF posting: https://jobsinfootball.com/job/123612/assistant-director-of-global-football/?utm_campaign=google_jobs_apply&utm_source=google_jobs_apply&utm_medium=organic

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

0:00 Intro

0:37 Spurs hire De Zerbi

1:33 Why Spurs keep avoiding the hard calls

3:01 De Zerbi with a squad that can't pass

5:28 Man City and United both need midfield rebuilds

6:35 Is Pep leaving? And who replaces him?

7:34 Why Maresca is the name to watch at City

9:10 Rodri's future and the case for Wharton and Anderson

9:42 City should go get both, United probably can't

12:12 Bruno Fernandes, extend or move on?

13:06 City's spending power vs United's constraints

15:23 Kobbie Mainoo's role in United's midfield three

16:02 How hard is it to actually assess this United squad?

17:16 Ted's blueprint for Man United this summer

19:16 Arsenal's left-wing problem

20:43 Arsenal's left back addiction (the Sex and the City bit)

22:46 Locking in Arsenal for the May 22nd conference

24:34 Liverpool post-Salah, too big for today, full episode coming

25:38 Patreon: the history of radar visualizations

26:24 Newcastle: slow decisions, aging squad, Howe under pressure

28:23 Tonali, Livramento and what Newcastle actually needs

30:46 Housekeeping: conference, Patreon, World Cup tools, women's football job posting

Episode 174 - Our Least Favorite Footballers of All Time + Salah's Liverpool Exit

Wed, 25 Mar 2026 19:47:00 -0000

Patrick and Hayden are back for another international break, and rather than debating England squad picks, they're doing something more fun — running through the players they can't stand. From overpriced City signings to entitled Real Madrid lifers to players who've wasted every opportunity handed to them, nothing is off limits. They also find time to celebrate a few underrated favorites, bid farewell to Mo Salah, and make the case for some players you might not be watching closely enough.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

0:00 — Intro & World Cup excitement

5:58 — The format: players we hate (and a few we love)

7:38 — Hayden's #1: Mateus Nunes

11:38 — How much did City pay for Nunes vs. Haaland?

13:36 — Is this signing part of City's wider decline?

15:19 — Patrick's City pick: Bernardo Silva (good player, hate the guy)

18:23 — João Palhinha: stop pretending you're Pirlo

22:02 — Dani Carvajal & the Real Madrid entitlement complex

24:55 — Jordi Alba: all the attitude, none of the quality

26:56 — João Félix: never punished for wasted talent

28:24 — Curtis Jones: running out of time to be what he could be

32:22 — Mamardashvili: a wasted preparation year at Liverpool

33:24 — Jesse Lingard & players with zero self-awareness

34:49 — Marcos Acuña, Sergiño Dest & frustrating fullbacks

36:04 — Players we love: Julián Quiñones

39:27 — Rennes as a factory for exciting players

41:49 — Calafiore & Myles Lewis-Skelly at Arsenal

45:04 — Boubacar Kamara: the most important player you forget about

47:53 — Mo Salah farewell: the worst best player of all time

#premierleague #football #footballers #premierleague #barcelona #realmadrid #epl #manchestercity #foryou #fyp

Episode 173 - Arsenal's Biggest Problem + Are Spurs Actually Getting Relegated?

Mon, 23 Mar 2026 19:12:00 -0000

Patrick and Ted break down Arsenal's buildup crisis after the Carabao Cup final loss to City, why Arteta's selections are becoming too conservative and what it means for the title race. Then Spurs lost 3-0 at home to Forest and are looking like relegation favorites, so the guys break down the run in for everyone involved. Ted gets into the next evolution of set pieces, kickoff routines and why football will look very different in 10 years. Plus Chelsea's manager search, the summer coaching market and why Como are fourth in Serie A. Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964 Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps

00:00 Intro and why Patrick and Ted don't care about the Carabao Cup

00:28 Did the Carabao Cup final actually tell us anything about the title race?

02:13 Why Arsenal's buildup has been off since Christmas

03:27 Arteta's squad building trade offs and why progression is harder now

07:57 Tactical squad building and why Arsenal need a Miles Lewis-Skelly type

10:17 Norgaard, squad depth and the impossible Premier League transfer market

13:40 Is Arteta becoming too conservative and what does next season look like?

15:09 Arsenal's brutal fixture congestion coming up

16:44 Spurs lost 3-0 at home to Forest and Tudor is still in his job

17:42 Why Spurs feel like Southampton under Russell Martin

18:50 The relegation picture and breaking down the run in for Spurs and West Ham

22:48 Would Arsenal fans rather win the title or relegate Spurs?

24:32 Brighton spanked Liverpool and Ted's goal of the weekend

25:54 The next evolution of set pieces and why kickoff routines are underused

27:47 Why teams don't do more with restarts and throw ins

29:03 How football will look different in 10 years

35:45 Chelsea's fourth loss in a row and the manager market

36:41 Why clubs should move early on managers and the World Cup complication

38:46 Why national team managers don't want to go back to club football

40:14 Champions League spots, Villa, Everton and Brentford

43:40 Como are in fourth in Serie A and Ted's StatsBomb connection

Episode 172 - Barcelona Have Sent a Warning to the Rest of Europe + How Slot Can Keep His Job Against PSG

Thu, 19 Mar 2026 19:25:00 -0000

The Champions League quarterfinals are set and Patrick and Hayden are here to pick through the wreckage. Liverpool got past Galatasaray but face a huge test against PSG, and the guys break down exactly how Slot needs to set up to have a chance. Bayern and Real Madrid meet in the most played fixture in Champions League history, Barcelona put seven past Newcastle and sent a warning to everyone still standing, and Arsenal look well placed to get past Sporting and into the last four. Enjoy!

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount until Sunday: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 Intro and Champions League quarterfinals overview

00:46 Liverpool vs Galatasaray

02:06 What Liverpool still need to figure out

03:38 PSG beat Chelsea and what it means

05:40 PSG's ruthless counter attacking quality

07:13 How Liverpool should set up against PSG

09:18 Slot's tactical options and what is on the line for him

11:18 Real Madrid beat Man City

13:10 Vinicius and why Real Madrid are always dangerous

15:33 Bayern vs Real Madrid quarterfinal preview

16:26 Can Bayern's press work against Real Madrid?

19:59 Harry Kane and what Bayern showed against Atalanta

21:01 Sporting beat Bodo/Glimt

22:12 Arsenal vs Sporting quarterfinal preview

23:59 Arsenal vs Leverkusen and Eze's big moment

26:47 Barcelona 7-2 Newcastle

29:24 Why Newcastle's second half approach was a disaster

30:29 What Howe was trying to do and why it backfired

32:26 Barcelona's attacking weapons and the warning they sent

33:56 Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona quarterfinal preview

36:32 Why the draw is actually dangerous for Barcelona

37:07 Joan Garcia injury concern and Joao Cancelo's importance

37:59 Outro

Episode 171 - Why Haaland SHOULD NOT Win Player of the Season + Did Arsenal Just Win the Title?

Mon, 16 Mar 2026 19:30:00 -0000

Arsenal put one hand on the title after a commanding 2-0 win over Everton, and with City dropping points against West Ham, the gap just got very, very big. We dig into what makes this Arsenal side so hard to beat, whether Arteta will start experimenting tactically, and why the title race might actually be over. Then: the Player of the Year debate nobody is enjoying. Is it Haaland by default, or is there actually a case for Declan Rice? We also get into Aston Villa quietly throwing away their top-four spot, Manchester United's unexpected stability under Carrick, Liverpool's tactical identity crisis, Chelsea's chaotic pressing experiment, and what the Premier League's exhaustion problem looks like in Europe. Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10 Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps:

00:00 — Intro: Was this the weekend Arsenal won the Premier League?

01:44 — Arsenal's defensive identity and why the title race might actually be over

06:46 — Arteta's tactical experiments vs. Everton and what separates great coaches from good

08:26 — PL teams exhausted after Europe, Arsenal the exception

09:50 — New Coaches next season?

10:48 — Ted's betting season: +15 in the PL, Championship chaos

16:44 — Aston Villa's slow-motion implosion

19:17 — United looking genuinely solid under Carrick

22:03 — The Player of the Year debate: Bruno, Rice, Gabriel, Saliba, Haaland

25:59 — Why Declan Rice is the most important player in the league

28:57 — Chelsea's transfer ban and that catastrophic pressing experiment

31:55 — The top-four race and Liverpool's identity crisis

33:44 — Different styles in the Premier League

38:12 — Wirtz vs. Cherki and Liverpool's year-one rebuild reality

40:07 — Does Chelsea actually want to win?

44:45 — Liverpool: Slot or another manager?

47:36 — Final Player of the Year verdict: Rice's rare earth minerals vs. Haaland

49:24 — Conference announcements and Ted’s plans

Episode 170 - Chelsea got robbed and Pep blew it AGAIN | UCL Reaction

Thu, 12 Mar 2026 18:38:00 -0000

Patrick and Hayden break down all the midweek Champions League action. PSG beat Chelsea 5-1 despite having just 0.9 xG. Barcelona nicked a draw at Newcastle despite being outplayed. Pep Guardiola's tactical gamble cost Man City again against Real Madrid. And is Liverpool's midfield actually good enough to go deep in this competition? All that plus Bayern's demolition of Atalanta, Atleti vs Spurs, and Leverkusen holding Arsenal. Enjoy!

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro and Transfer Flow Conference announcement

01:35 Bodo vs Sporting

03:09 Atleti 5-2 Spurs: Is Simeone's defence broken?

06:33 Bayern 6-1 Atalanta: Michael Olise is a phenomenon

09:51 Real Madrid 3-0 Man City: Pep blew it again

12:30 What Pep deserves credit for

15:25 Why didn’t they switch back?

17:00 How Real Madrid exploited City

22:25 Barcelona vs Newcastle: why Newcastle can still do it

26:58 Galatasaray vs Liverpool: is the midfield the problem?

35:20 Leverkusen vs Arsenal: three bad performances in a row

41:02 PSG 5-1 Chelsea: the scoreline is a lie

45:28 Wrap up and what to watch next

#championsleague #chelsea #realmadrid #mancity #psg #dembele #arsenal #liverpool #barcelona #haaland #ucl #bayernmunich

Episode 169 - Klopp Is Being Linked to the WRONG Spanish Club + UCL Round of 16 Preview

Mon, 09 Mar 2026 19:22:00 -0000

Jürgen Klopp is coming back to management and everyone is linking him to the wrong club.

In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the Klopp rumours swirling around Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, and make the case for why one of those jobs makes far more sense than the other. Then it's into a full Champions League Round of 16 preview covering all eight ties, who has the edge, and where teams may slip up this week.

This episode covers:

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

00:26 Jürgen Klopp rumours

03:55 Great coaches can’t walk away

06:00 Fit at Real Madrid?

09:15 Atletico Madrid is a much more natural fit

12:42 UCL Round of 16 Preview

13:00 Newcastle vs Barcelona

16:04 Why this is a great matchup for Newcastle

19:37 Galatasaray vs Liverpool

22:46 Arsenal vs Leverkusen

24:18 Bayern Munich vs Atalanta

24:26 Sporting vs Bodø/Glimt

29:19 PSG vs Chelsea

36:32 Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham

43:58 Real Madrid vs Man City

45:10 Real Madrid are underdogs AT HOME?

47:38 How Real Madrid can win

#realmadrid #klopp #championsleague #atleticomadrid #barcelona #arsenal #psg #chelsea #bayernmunich #ucl #liverpool #foryou #fyp

Episode 168 - How Brazil replace Rodrygo at the World Cup + Man City can't close

Thu, 05 Mar 2026 19:30:00 -0000

On today's episode, Hayden and Neel pick through the Premier League. West Ham are making a real run at survival, Nottingham Forest nicked a point at the Etihad, and Spurs are running out of games to save themselves. Then they get into why Arsenal keep finding ways to win even when they don't look great, and why Man City simply cannot close out games the way they used to. And with Rodrygo down with an ACL and out of the World Cup, who does Ancelotti turn to? The answer might surprise you. Enjoy!

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10 Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast
Timestamps:

00:00 - Relegation Race Update

01:34 - Takeaway from bottom of the table games

04:38 - West Ham & Nuno Espirito Santo

07:26 - How Arsenal Are Managing the Title Race

10:00 - The Key substitution

13:35 - Why Man City Can't Close Out Games

18:12 - Arsenal's Shaky Form Since January

22:15 - Joao Pedro's Hat Trick & Chelsea's Attack

27:50 - Brazil & The World Cup + Rodrygo’s injury

30:02 - Who Replaces Rodrygo?

33:55 - Brazil's Fullbacks & The Final Squad Picture

37:12 - Outro

Episode 167 - No one wants to play Bodo/Glimt + Real Madrid are NOT Champions League Contenders

Thu, 26 Feb 2026 19:34:00 -0000

On today's episode, Patrick and @NeelShelat pick through the wreckage of the Champions League playoff round. Bodø/Glimt pulled off one of the most impressive performances you'll see from a team their size, knocking out Inter in style. Juventus went out despite generating over five expected goals. Galatasaray showed exactly how not to manage a knockout tie. And PSG and Real Madrid both gave us serious reasons to doubt them. Who are actually Champions League contenders right now? Enjoy!

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

02:34 – Real Madrid vs Benfica: zero faith in this team

03:20 – Real Madrid can't defend and everyone knows it

05:39 – Why Bodø/Glimt are so hard to play against

07:06 – How Bodø reinvented themselves over the winter break

09:30 – Bodø’s defensive plan: just let Inter cross

13:28 – Why you don't want to draw Bodø/Glimt

14:24 – Can Glimt keep this squad together?

16:41 – Juventus vs Galatasaray: 5 xG and still going out

17:53 – Galatasaray's masterclass in how not to manage a tie

20:43 – Juve’s missed chances and the red card

22:31 – Yildiz is having an insane season

26:25 – Dortmund are certified Champions League bottlers

28:48 – Atalanta deserve more credit than they're getting

31:38 – PSG vs Monaco: time to worry

32:59 – PSG's defensive problems are a serious concern

36:45 – Would PSG fancy Chelsea or Barcelona in the next round?

37:39 – Atletico Madrid vs Brugge: Oblak keeps them in it

38:34 – Can Atletico actually scare anyone anymore?

41:48 – The quarter-final draw preview: which fixtures do we want?

43:07 – Updated Champions League power rankings

44:09 – Outro: draw reaction on Monday, striker rankings on Patreon

#championsleague #realmadrid #psg #bodoglimt #ucl #juventus #newcastle #chelsea #barcelona #benfica #galatasaray #arsenal #bayern #footballpodcast #podcast #footballnews

Episode 166 - Chelsea Can't Stop Stepping On Rakes + Will Arsenal Bottle it AGAIN?

Mon, 23 Feb 2026 19:31:00 -0000

On today's episode, Patrick and Ted break down the North London Derby — how worried should Arsenal really be, and how bad could it get for Spurs? Then they look at two clubs dealing with the fallout of sacking established coaches: Chelsea can't stop stepping on rakes, and Real Madrid have no idea what they are anymore. Plus Nico O'Reilly is turning into a real player, West Ham are quietly terrifying, and football has entered a post-control era. Enjoy!

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

00:38 – North London Derby: Arsenal's form and the bottling narrative

05:26 – Is the media manufacturing an Arsenal crisis?

07:06 – Arsenal's injury problems and what Arteta keeps getting wrong

09:25 – Arteta's rotation problem and the fullback injury curse

11:22 – An edge vs. Arsenal?

13:25 – Chelsea & Real Madrid: life after their control-era coaches

17:06 – Chelsea can't stop stepping on rakes

17:48 – Cole Palmer's injury concern and the coaching matters debate

19:16 – Rosenior’s midfield puzzle: Enzo, Andre Santos and Palmer

24:25 – Man United: are we underrating their rebuild?

27:27 – Why overpaying for players submarines clubs for years

32:01 – Nico O'Reilly and Pep's new NBA-style City

36:25 – Is Bernardo Silva done as a Pep staple?

38:28 – Champions League knockouts: why scorelines are getting crazy

39:32 – Football's post-control world

40:08 – West Ham are quietly terrifying

42:35 – Could Spurs actually get relegated?

44:22 – Outro: TTF Conference, Patreon & Variance Betting

Episode 165 - EVERYONE missed on Victor Osimhen + UCL Playoffs Reactions

Thu, 19 Feb 2026 19:11:00 -0000

On todays episode, Patrick and Hayden take a look at the Champions League Knockout play-offs. We start in Lisbon, where Benfica kept Real Madrid at arm’s length for long stretches before one moment of elite quality decided it. It was low event, tightly controlled, and it raises the same balance questions that still sit over Madrid.

Then it’s Galatasaray pulling Juventus apart. Weston McKennie leads the line for Juve, while Victor Osimhen does what he always does — finding shots from nowhere and turning messy phases into goals.

From there, we head to Norway, where Bodø/Glimt beat Inter Milan by doing far more than riding a big moment. The pressing was coordinated, the blindside runs were constant, and Inter never really found control. This was structural, not random.

We also look at Paris Saint-Germain overwhelming AS Monaco, creating chances at an absurd rate, and whether Atlético Madrid are actually controlling games or just surviving stretches against Club Brugge.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro & Episode Overview

01:10 Olympiakos vs Leverkusen

01:55 Newcastle vs Qarabağ

03:15 Newcastle's Tactical Identity & Future Matchups

06:22 Dortmund vs Atalanta

07:51 Kovacs & Dortmund's Resurgence

10:02 Benfica vs Real Madrid + Racism Controversy

12:50 Real Madrid's Attack: Vinicius, Mbappé & Trent

16:16 Juventus vs Galatasaray

17:12 Galatasaray's Resilience & Juventus's Defensive Collapse

19:02 Lloyd Kelly & Juventus's Squad Concerns

20:19 Osimhen was missed by everyone

23:06 Weston McKennie: Contract Year & Competitor Mentality

27:07 Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan — Major Upset

29:42 Bodø's Tactical Masterclass Breakdown

31:47 Inter's Decline & Chivu's Challenges

34:33 Monaco vs PSG

35:51 PSG's Form & Atlético vs Club Brugge

37:15 Brugge's Width & Atlético's Second-Half Collapse

40:21 Final Thoughts & Round of 16 Predictions

42:50 Outro & Patreon

#championsleague #juventus #realmadrid #josemourinho #vinicius #viniciusjr #osimhen #galatasaray #psg #dembele #atleticomadrid #foryou #ucl #fyp

Episode 164 - Only ONE team can stop Arsenal in Champions League + UCL Playoff Preview

Mon, 16 Feb 2026 20:04:00 -0000

Patrick and Ted kick things off with a bit of managerial madness.

Tottenham Hotspur turn to Igor Tudor in the middle of a relegation battle, while Nottingham Forest move on from Dyche. Are Spurs actually a Champions League-level squad? Is this dysfunction structural? And what do the underlying numbers really say about Forest’s performances?

From there, it’s all about the Champions League playoffs:

• Benfica vs Real Madrid: vibes vs tactics, deep blocks, and whether Madrid are quietly stabilising

• Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta BC: chaos merchants collide

• Club Brugge vs Atlético Madrid: Simeone volatility and Brugge upset potential

• Galatasaray vs Juventus: Turkey away nights and Juve’s quiet resurgence

• Olympiacos vs Bayer Leverkusen: Bundesliga instability meets Greek knockout pedigree

• AS Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain: are PSG ominously clicking again?

They also dig into how to think about betting edges in volatile leagues, when not to gamble, and who the real Champions League favourite is right now. Enjoy!

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:23 - Ben Kingsley, Iron Man 3 and Hugh Laurie

03:00 - Ryan Gosling and a correction

04:23 - Pointing fingers

04:58 - Dyche at Forest

05:54 - Spurs appoint Tudor

06:34 - The rift in the Spurs fandom

07:23 - The Heitenga hire

08:33 - They can’t just ignore the UCL

09:05 - Imagine if they got De Zerbi

10:20 - UCL Playoff preview

10:50 - Benfica vs. Real Madrid and Jose Mourinho

11:48 - Haven’t lost in the league but 7 pts from first

12:34 - Mourinho controlling the narrative

13:10 - Special One TV

14:38 - Real Madrid are very getable right now

15:50 - Tactics vs vibes at Real Madrid

17:25 - Issues in the previous game

18:22 - Atalanta vs Dortmund and self control

19:50 - Likely an entertaining game

21:26 - Atalanta spend little time in the middle third

22:46 - Impact of Lookman’s loss + Hoffenheim

23:34 - Club Brugge vs Atletico Madrid

24:58 - Belgium were good last year

26:30 - Brugge also put up 3 on Barcelona

27:10 - A better use of Lookman?

28:42 - Qarabag vs Newcastle

29:20 - Bodo vs Inter Milan

29:35 - Juventus’ improvement and matchup with Galatasaray

31:29 - How do you approach betting with teams from places like Turkey?

34:55 - How do these teams matchup?

36:20 - Monaco vs PSG

38:12 - PSG getting back in form?

38:59 - Luis Enrique has a job for life

40:05 - An outright favorite for the competition?

41:25 - Variance betting for all of your Champions League needs!

more coming soon!

#psg #arsenal #championsleague #bayernmunich #realmadrid #barcelona #dortmund #intermilan #josemourinho #ucl #tottenham

Episode 163 - Why the Next Spurs Manager Will Fail Too + How Do You Fix an Injury Crisis

Wed, 11 Feb 2026 19:19:00 -0000

Tottenham have sacked Thomas Frank, but will it actually change anything?

In this episode we break down why the next Spurs manager could be walking into the same structural problems. From squad construction and midfield imbalance to the injury spiral and long-term strategy, this feels bigger than one coach. We discuss why Frank’s expected “floor” never materialised, what Spurs are missing behind the scenes, and what kind of profile would realistically make sense next.

There’s also a wider conversation about injury crises in the Premier League, how clubs get stuck in doom loops, and whether squad building is the real preventative solution.

Finally, we take a look at the La Liga title race. Why Barcelona might have the edge over Real Madrid, how style of play matters against low blocks, and what fixture congestion could mean in the run-in.

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:14 - Relegation zone math

02:20 - A long time coming for Frank

03:55 - Who will Spurs get next?

04:34 - Spurs must be run better

06:00 - This is a deeper problem

06:33 - Their relegation risk is low

07:02 - A bleak managerial market?

07:57 - They dug themselves into a big hole + Frank’s floor

09:30 - Bad transfer policy

11:40 - Getting points is all that matters for the moment

13:36 - Longer term, who’s willing to take the job?

14:50 - They need an overachiever

15:56 - Set piece problems + the players haven’t quit

18:04 - 12 days until they play Arsenal

18:53 - Remaining schedule

19:47 - Iraola an option?

21:53 - Would he want it and nothing is guaranteed with him

24:00 - Who’s even available? And Xavi talk

25:15 - People who the Spurs job would be appealing to

26:34 - How do you fix the injury doom spiral?

27:33 - 12 players injured for Spurs

28:14 - UCL games causing problems?

30:20 - Planned substitutions

31:10 - Managing injury and relegation at the same time

31:50 - Squad building problems and fatigue

32:40 - How to prevent the injury crisis

34:05 - This got Maresca sacked from Chelsea

35:40 - Chelsea offer a good blueprint

37:10 - Bad spending and who should get sold

38:40 - La Liga title race

39:49 - Real Madrid still haven’t figured out their lineup

40:50 - Half of the league is battling relegation

41:21 - You must be able to break down low blocks

42:35 - 2 extra UCL games for Real Madrid

43:20 - Barcelona have more weapons

Episode 162 - Haaland Gets Man City Back in the Title Race + Who’s Getting Relegated

Mon, 09 Feb 2026 19:34:00 -0000

On this episode of The Transfer Flow, Patrick and Ted break down a chaotic, high-quality clash at Anfield as Manchester City beat Liverpool in a game that felt like a season’s worth of drama packed into 90 minutes. We dig into what City got right, why Liverpool struggled to solve the press, and how a single moment of brilliance nearly changed the story again.

From there, we zoom out to the title race and ask whether City are really back, what Arsenal should be focusing on down the stretch, and why controlling games in the Premier League feels harder than ever right now. Along the way, we talk Erling Haaland’s underrated all-around impact, elite goalkeeping across the league, and why nobody ever looks comfortable anymore.

In the second half, we get into Newcastle’s worrying drop-off, Eddie Howe’s growing list of problems, and how squad depth (or the lack of it) is shaping seasons at both ends of the table. We also look at the relegation battle, West Ham’s faint hopes of a late escape, and why Forest fans should still be nervous.

We wrap things up with listener questions, including a deep dive into “hot hand” theory in football, sweet spots for shooting, and what analytics can (and can’t) tell us about form, finishing streaks, and player development.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:33 - Dominik Szoboszlai’s free kick

02:44 - The drama of Liverpool/Man City

04:04 - City’s first half

04:55 - Liverpool on their back foot

05:32 - The quality of players in this match

07:42 - You can’t go hard for 180 minutes every week

08:18 - Sideism for Liverpool?

08:45 - The impact of Haaland

10:53 - Gakpo and Ekitike for Liverpool

11:30 - Pep’s weirdness + Rayan Cherki

12:57 - Late game red card + Is the TItle Race on?

13:44 - City were much stronger in past seasons

14:02 - Eddie Howe and Newcastle

15:15 - Uncalled penalties

16:00 - Newcastle fan’s frustrations

17:10 - Managers need to do less, not more

18:46 - Howe overseeing transfers?

20:01 - Arsenal’s overpayment for depth to win a title

21:02 - Should Arsenal fans be concerned?

22:00 - The other end of the table + faith in Leeds?

23:20 - West Ham’s improvement

24:00 - Will West Ham save themselves?

25:20 - Paco Jemez + Comparing schedules

26:58 - Brentford are flying

27:47 - The Fulham vs Everton game

28:22 - Samuel Chukwueze

29:52 - The crazy goalkeeping in this game

31:22 - Impressive saves across the league

32:18 - Hot Hand Theory

33:45 - Sequencing

34:59 - Tracking shooting training data

36:06 - Creating better players

36:45 - Sweet Spots exist, Hot Hand isn’t provable for us

37:52 - When the streaky players fall off what do we change?

39:34 - Smaller margins across the league now

40:27 - Juventus are evil

41:24 - Will there be a goalkeeper bubble?

42:04 - TTF Conference tickets and a £25,000 talk?

#manchestercity #liverpool #premierleague #arsenal #football #epl #soccer #eplnews #manchestercity #haaland #szoboszlai #salah #wirtz #pepguardiola #newcastle #westham #relegationbattle #foryou #fyp

Episode 161 - The Good, The Bad & The Ugly of the January Transfer Window

Wed, 04 Feb 2026 19:16:00 -0000

We wrap up the January transfer window by running through the good, the bad, and the ugly of deadline month. Which clubs actually improved? Who paid too much for short-term fixes? And which moves might come back to haunt teams in a year or two?

We get into Aston Villa’s win-now approach, Fulham’s expensive gambles on upside, West Ham continuing their long tradition of confusing striker business, and why Ligue 1 quietly had one of the smartest windows overall. There’s also a look at Endrick’s loan to Lyon, Atlético taking a swing on Obed Vargas, and what these deals say about how clubs are thinking longer term.

Tickets for the Transfer Flow Conference are still available via the link below, and you can also find a link to Patrick’s charity trek fundraiser if you’d like to support a great cause.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Patrick's Charity Trek: https://www.justgiving.com/page/patrick-van-straaten-1?utm_medium=FR&utm_source=CL

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:02 - Aston Villa

04:19 - A lot of money spent

05:52 - How quickly can you integrate January moves?

07:01 - These players will help them secure the Champions League spots

07:47 - Tammy Abraham

08:19 - Fulham have added players that don’t help them now

09:25 - Oscar Bobb is promising, but hasn’t shown much

11:13 - Bobb’s numbers haven’t even been great

14:14 - Fulham need to pay for robustness and playing time

14:44 - Raul Jimenez and Chris Wood

16:05 - What Fulham’s bread and butter should be

17:25 - Quinten Timber moves for very cheap

18:48 - French teams have been very savvy

19:53 - Endrick and the young talent at Lyon

21:55 - Endrick’s personality vs. his role

22:48 - Not going to the Premier League is a good choice

23:35 - French teams selling to Saudi

25:56 - Go to Saudi, get paid, and go back at pre-peak age

26:34 - The bad: West Ham

28:28 - Will they regret spending this money?

29:07 - Got a lot of money for Paqueta

30:06 - Could you have gotten the same player 3 years ago?

30:58 - Playing time as a resource

32:22 - Keeping our eye on Crystal Palace

33:13 - The value of Strand Larsen

34:57 - Worry about the McNeil deal?

35:38 - What will Obed Vargas and Ademola Lookman bring to Atleti

38:00 - The Penguin and what he brings

38:50 - If Vargas can add either playmaking or defending then he will be worth multiples

#premierleague #transfernews #transferwindow #astonvilla #westham #atleticomadrid #football #soccer #westham #fulham #endrick #lyon #ligue1 #foryou #fyp

Episode 160 - Florian Wirtz and Liverpool are BACK + Chelsea's Defense is Broken

Mon, 02 Feb 2026 18:46:00 -0000

On today’s episode of The Transfer Flow, Patrick and Ted run through transfer deadline chaos and a genuinely weird Premier League weekend.

We start with the biggest rumours flying around late in the window, including Curtis Jones to Inter (and why stats people have always loved him), Ademola Lookman’s move to Atlético, Jean-Philippe Mateta’s failed medical, and the increasingly strange career arc of Jhon Durán.

From there, we dig into Spurs’ comeback draw against Manchester City and why Pep’s side still look incapable of controlling games for 90 minutes. We also talk Liverpool’s recent surge, whether Florian Wirtz and Xavi Simons have finally cracked the Premier League learning curve, and why City’s second-half numbers should worry everyone.

We wrap up with Chelsea’s worrying trendlines under Liam Rosenior, how much beating Napoli matters for him, and what it would take for Chelsea ownership to make a change.

Tickets for The Transfer Flow Conference (May 22, London) are available now for a 10% discount: http://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/1981005227964/?discount=earlybird10

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:42 - Accidentally going live and the TTF conference!

02:34 - Jeremy Jacquet to Liverpool or Chelsea?

03:36 - Minutes as a resource

05:30 - Xavi Simons and Florian Wirtz have figured something out

06:10 - Rayan Cherki was BALLING this weekend

06:55 - Curtis Jones to Inter Milan

07:57 - Will Liverpool let Curtis Jones go?

09:02 - Did Jones need more minutes than he got?

10:10 - Connor Gallagher and Jones + alternate realities for Jones

11:37 -Jean-Phillipe Mateta’s failed medical

12:53 - Why more players are failing medicals

14:04 - Learning from past players (Umtiti)

15:36 - Unfortunate for Palace

16:47 - The price for Larsen is not great

17:34 - Ademola Lookman to Atletico Madrid

18:31 - The price isn’t too far off

19:57 - Atleti are confident bringing in older players

20:38 - Simeone’s kids and Zidane/Thuram

21:48 - Jhon Duran leaving Fernebache

23:04 - Red Flags

25:47 - Solanke’s goal and Tottenham vs City

26:42 - 1st vs 2nd half stats

27:41 - City can’t defend with the ball anymore

29:25 - Ekitike making the Isak signing look insane

29:49 - Have Liverpool flipped a switch?

31:02 - Liverpool vs City

32:04 - Man United vs Fulham

33:23 - Ted’s Carrick suggestion from last year

33:55 - Chelsea’s trending is becoming concerning

34:37 - Shifting between tactical styles

36:00 - Carabao Cup potentially enough?

36:55 - How patient will Chelsea’s ownership be with Rosenior?

38:33 - Forcing Patrick to read a children’s book

Episode 159 - Champions League CHAOS + Palace sign Mateta replacement

Thu, 29 Jan 2026 18:49:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel break down the Premier League striker market, starting with Crystal Palace’s move for Jürgen Strand Larsen and what it says about how clubs are valuing centre-forwards right now. We also get into Bournemouth’s big bet on Brazilian teenager Rayan, why his profile fits the current state of the league, and whether these physical, shot-heavy forwards are the future or a temporary trend.

Then it’s full chaos in the Champions League. Benfica stun Real Madrid, PSG and Newcastle trade blows, and the final day of the league phase turns the table upside down. We look at who benefited, who got burned, what the new knockout bracket means, and who are the real threats for the UCL title.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:16 - Strand Larsen to Crystal Palace

02:32 - The player makes sense, not the price

06:05 - Bournemouth sign Rayan

07:58 - A bit of a risk

09:20 - xG and type of shots

10:46 - Tunnel vision

12:17 - What will they do long term?

14:54 - Coaching situation

16:52 - Champions League drama

17:46 - Benfica stun Real Madrid

18:43 - Did Benfica know they needed a goal?

20:00 - Trubin’s goal

20:57 - PSG and Newcastle draw

21:43 - Extra round is huge for domestic competitions

23:12 - Sporting’s last minute win

24:03 - Newcastle will be kicking themselves

25:53 - The format and fixture difficulty

27:28 - Impact of UCL on league titles

30:40 - The draw friday and potential matchups

31:36 - Real Madrid’s quarterfinal odds

32:50 - The potential for lopsided sides of the draw

34:38 - Teams who will be tough outs

35:37 - Traditional powers aren’t particular good at the moment

36:35 - City’s threat over 2 legs

37:36 - PSG didn’t look dangerous at this time last year

38:33 - EPL teams or Bayern look the favourites

#championsleague #realmadrid #barcelona #psg #premierleague #bayernmunich #arsenal #mancity #crystalpalace #epltransfers #epl #transfernews #football #soccer

Episode 158 - Arsenal’s Answer at Striker + Aston Villa Will Change xG Forever

Mon, 26 Jan 2026 19:03:00 -0000

On today’s episode of The Transfer Flow, Patrick and Ted break down the final week of the January transfer window and the stories shaping the run-in. We start with Spurs’ move for Andy Robertson and whether a 31-year-old fullback on a long contract makes sense for a team still searching for stability. Then we turn to the market’s biggest forward as Arsenal and Barcelona chase Julián Álvarez, asking if he’s worth a nine-figure fee and if he’s the striker Arsenal need.

From there we unpack Manchester United’s win over Arsenal, looking at Arteta’s tactical choices, slow restarts, and growing physical strain, plus how United’s press and long-range shooting swung a title race that suddenly feels tighter. We then move to Aston Villa under Unai Emery, questioning whether their long-range goal spree is a genuine tactical edge or a hot streak, what it means for expected goals, and how the modern striker role is evolving as more teams build attacks around creating space for midfield shooters.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - FBref/Opta situation

02:36 - Impact on people making a career in football?

04:37 - Applying AI to data collection

07:04 - Sign up for The Transfer Flow Conference!

08:04 - Has this window matched expectations?

09:07 - Robertson to Spurs?

12:48 - Gallagher signing thoughts

14:11 - Julian Alvarez linked to Arsenal and Barcelona

16:19 - €100m for a 26 year old?

17:47 - Arsenal need to try again at CF

18:46 - Rodrygo and Vinicius Jr rumours

22:04 - Where will Alvarez land?

23:17 - Should Arsenal fans be worried?

24:18 - Top xG team since December?

26:07 - Are United a good team now? + Arsenal worries

27:00 - No Europe is a GOOD THING for United at the moment

28:40 - Concern meter

29:52 - Finally some rest for Arsenal

31:08 - Odds for Villa to win the league?

33:03 - Restarts should be taken quicker?

34:33 - Villa’s long-range goals and xG off the path?

37:30 - Basketball analogy + how it applies to the PL

39:58 - This might be happening in the PL now

41:00 - Strikers are less involved this season

42:15 - Have Villa found an edge?

43:30 - Game state vs in training

45:12 - Emi Martinez’ performance + flipping the script

46:25 - Have Villa locked up 3rd already?

48:10 - These teams NEED a summer off

#arsenal #astonvilla #manchesterunited #tottenham #julianalvarez #premierleague #epl #transfernews #transfers #eplnews #football #soccer #soccerpodcast #foryou #fyp

Episode 157 - Spurs Need To Sign THIS Midfielder + UCL Final Matchday Preview

Thu, 22 Jan 2026 19:02:00 -0000

On today’s episode, Patrick and Hayden get into the latest transfer stories, starting with Jean-Philippe Mateta’s potential exit from Crystal Palace. Aston Villa, Juventus, and Manchester United have all been linked. Does Mateta actually make sense for any of them, or is this a move that creates more problems than it solves?Next, we look at Hayden Hackney and why the Middlesbrough midfielder is suddenly on Premier League radars. Is he ready for the step up, which clubs fit his skill set best, and why has no one pulled the trigger yet?Finally, we dive into the Champions League league phase table ahead of the final round of fixtures. Who is safe in the top eight, who is heading for the playoff round, and which big clubs are at real risk of missing out?Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlowSubscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro01:09 - More info on the conference02:20 - Jean-Philippe Mateta on the move?03:26 - Fit at Juventus05:54 - Aston Villa could get interested09:01 - Age an issue for Villa?09:39 - Best for Juventus?11:57 - Potential risk for Villa14:06 - Hayden Hackney’s skillset15:19 - Why hasn’t he moved yet?16:07 - Fit at Manchester United and Tottenham and potential price17:32 - He needs to be protected a bit20:32 - United need to stockpile young talent22:45 - Champions League final matchday preview23:51 - City on the outside looking in25:13 - Goal difference will be key + who’s safe in top 8 and top 2428:26 - Is 15 points enough?29:29 - PSG/Newscastle and Napoli/Chelsea are HUGE31:00 - Teams having something to play for33:18 - Ball is in Man City, Barcelona, and Atletico Madrid’s court35:41 - Liverpool and Real Madrid safe?36:12 - Who can jump into the top 24?39:38 - Is 8 points enough for the playoffs?41:00 - Potential hard matchups in the playoffs#transfernews #premierleague #championsleague #tottenham #epl #crystalpalace #manchesterunited #astonvilla #manchestercity #arsenal #realmadrid #barcelona #football #soccer #foryou #fyp

Episode 156 - How Carrick Used Pep’s Tactics Against Him

Mon, 19 Jan 2026 19:27:00 -0000

Patrick and Ted break down a packed football week, starting with the latest transfer rumours and what they tell us about the plans taking shape at some of the Premier League’s biggest clubs. We discuss Chelsea’s openness to selling Enzo Fernandez, Manchester United’s interest in Adam Wharton and Elliot Anderson, whether Ruben Neves could be a realistic midfield option, and what Manchester City’s January activity says about their looming rebuild.

Then we move onto the weekend’s standout result as Manchester United beat Manchester City. What went wrong for Pep Guardiola, how Michael Carrick set his team up, and whether this performance signals a genuine shift at Old Trafford.

Next, we examine Arsenal’s draw at Nottingham Forest and the growing conversation around their attack. Are these real warning signs or simply the reality of competing in a deeper and more physically demanding Premier League.

We also turn to Tottenham and Thomas Frank. Why his Spurs project has struggled to take shape, how much of that is down to personnel, and whether the club is already nearing another reset.

Plus a look at the AFCON final and why this year’s tournament has once again delivered drama.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:50 - In-person TTF event!

07:24 - Ruben Neves linked to Manchester United

09:29 - United linked with 2 other midfielders already

10:00 - Wharton and Anderson linked

11:36 - City and Real Madrid possibilities?

12:53 - Chelsea willing to sell Enzo?

15:31 - Sell Enzo and buy other players to flip?

16:20 - This transfer window has already been fun

17:48 - Moves to keep an eye on - Alex Toth and Romano Schmid

18:31 - Manchester United beat City, 2-0

20:14 - Rico Lewis was shocking + Is this on Pep?

21:27 - City’s poor press helps hide United’s flaw

24:04 - Carrick used the idea Pep has spent his entire career using

25:26 - Amad Diallo is so dangerous + Carrick thoughts

27:49 - Arsenal draw 0-0 to Forest

28:30 - Was this game actually toothless from Arsenal?

30:25 - Arsenal’s reliance on set pieces

32:52 - There are NO gimmies in the Premier League

34:15 - Our expectations are wrong

37:00 - Pep’s football has not adapted to this season

37:24 - This Arsenal matches up like Jose’s Chelsea teams

42:13 - Do head coaches really matter?

44:24 - The Premier League is way up on the U-curve

44:57 - Thomas Frank in trouble

47:53 - Spurs did not help him this summer

51:39 - Spurs are digging out of mistakes

54:15 - The AFCON final

56:30 - Senegal leave the pitch + Brahim Diaz

#manchesterunited #manchestercity #premierleague #pepguardiola #arsenal #chelsea #football #epl #transfernews #transfers #epltransfers #tottenham #michaelcarrick

Episode 155 - Who will manage Real Madrid next? + AFCON Recap

Thu, 15 Jan 2026 18:04:00 -0000

On today's episode, Patrick and Neel start with covering AFCON. We break down Senegal vs Morocco in the final, why this AFCON has been dominated by tactical control rather than chaos, and how Morocco’s home advantage and growing pressure could shape the biggest game of the tournament. We also look at the Mane vs Salah narrative, Morocco’s conservative approach, and what the semi-finals revealed about both sides.

Then we turn to Europe’s managerial shake-ups. Xabi Alonso is already out at Real Madrid. We discuss what went wrong, why Madrid operate the way they do, and who could realistically take over next. Plus Manchester United appoint Michael Carrick. We look at what his football might look like, how he fits this United squad, and whether this is a smart short-term move or the start of another familiar cycle.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Neel's AFCON article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/breakout-talents-from-the-africa-cup-of-nations

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 - Intro

00:43 - AFCON semifinals

01:59 - The quarters were the best round

05:28 - Egypt played pure haramball + Salah vs Mane

07:41 - Senegal look dominant

09:04 - Senegal vs Morocco preview

13:46 - Morocco’s support of Walid Regragui

16:53 - Brahim Diaz and Hakimi + the tournament hasn’t been dribbly

18:39 - Advances in African football

21:40 - Xabi Alonso sacked at Real Madrid

24:05 - What do Real Madrid do at manager?

24:49 - Alonso is as good an option as Real Madrid could find

25:40 - Luis Enrique, Tuchel, Nagelsmann

28:52 - Top 5 vibes coaches?

30:08 - Would Zidane want this job?

33:23 - Michael Carrick appointed Manchester United manager

36:10 - 2 big challenges

38:30 - If he finds a balance, he will be alright + how will they lineup?

Episode 154 - Why Oliver Glasner is the WRONG manager for Manchester United

Mon, 12 Jan 2026 18:25:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel dive into Manchester United’s managerial search and why Oliver Glasner has become the frontrunner, before questioning whether his tactical approach and track record really fit a club trying to rebuild at the elite level. We look at what United’s squad says about the kind of coach they actually need, and how much room there is for another stylistic reset.

Then it’s across the transfer market: Aston Villa’s links to Conor Gallagher and Tammy Abraham and whether they’re smart upgrades or short-term fixes, Real Madrid targeting Nico Schlotterbeck as they plan their next centre-back pairing, Newcastle’s interest in Giorgio Scalvini and the risk-reward profile of that move, and Spurs spending £13m on Brazilian teenager Souza.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:44 - Brief AFCON talk

02:40 - Oliver Glasner on Manchester United’s managerial short list

05:27 - Not a great fit for a top side?

07:54 - Cup Success but no consistency

09:16 - What do United want to do?

10:17 - Not adding new ideas?

12:48 - No more than 2 seasons at a single club

14:50 - Other names that would fit better

18:32 - Aston Villa’s linked with Gallagher and Abraham

21:00 - Gallagher is on high wages

23:47 - Abraham hasn’t gotten minutes in a while

25:45 - Injury concerns

28:48 - Schlotterback to Real Madrid?

31:30 - Get the deal done now, not in the summer

32:40 - Do they need a RCB more?

34:56 - Scalvini to Newcastle

37:04 - He’s only played in a crazy system

38:49 - Romero comparison?

41:25 - Newcastle need to get younger

43:45 - Spurs linked to a brazilian left back

47:12 - Is this an overpay?

#manchesterunited #manunited #realmadrid #xabialonso #astonvilla #conorgallagher #tottenham #newcastle #transfernews #premierleague #epl #football #soccer #fyp #foryou

Episode 153 - Our 6 BOLDEST Football Predictions for 2026

Wed, 07 Jan 2026 18:21:00 -0000

Patrick and Hayden make six bold predictions for football in 2026, covering players, managers, the Premier League and the World Cup.

We discuss why Benjamin Šeško may never lead Manchester United in scoring, whether Real Madrid could sell Vinícius Jr this year, and why Morgan Rogers could start for England at the World Cup. There’s also a look at Liverpool vs Aston Villa in the league, the post-World Cup managerial market, and whether Diego Simeone’s time at Atlético Madrid is finally coming to an end.

Do you agree or disagree with any of our predictions, or have any of your own? Let us know via a comment below!

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

03:24 - Sesko will never lead Manchester United in goals scored

10:02 - Vinicius Jr. will leave Real Madrid this year

13:04 - Chelsea a landing spot?

20:52 - Morgan Rogers starts for England at the World Cup

26:35 - Liverpool finish ahead of Aston Villa

34:52 - Marco Bielsa will be on the market of the WC

36:22 - Diego Simeone will leave Atletico Madrid this year

40:02 - Simeone to manage Argentina?

44:40 - Takes that just missed the cut

#manchesterunited #realmadrid #liverpool #atleticomadrid #vinicius #viniciusjr #premierleague #epl #worldcup #football #soccer

Episode 152 - Why Ruben Amorim and Enzo Maresca HAD to go

Mon, 05 Jan 2026 18:33:00 -0000

Chelsea and Manchester United both pull the trigger on their managers, and Patrick and Ted break down what these sackings actually tell us about modern football. Why are clubs and coaches increasingly at odds? How much power do medical departments really have? And are results even the main driver anymore?

We dig into Chelsea’s decision to part ways with Enzo Maresca, Manchester United’s shock Ruben Amorim dismissal, and whether United are quietly performing better than the narrative suggests. Along the way, we cover January transfer rumours (Camavinga to Man City, can Brennan Johnson be fixed, Marc Guehi, Semenyo, and more), defensive work, set pieces, injury management, and how fine margins are shaping the Premier League title race and relegation battle.

All that, plus what’s coming next for The Transfer Flow in 2026.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 – Intro

00:53 – Chelsea and Manchester United sack their managers

03:16 – Why modern clubs and coaches keep clashing

06:22 – Control and fit in elite football

09:00 – Head coach vs manager: where power really sits

10:57 – Butting heads with the medical staff

13:32 – Rosenior to be Chelsea’s next manager?

18:44 – Getting along with decision makers

20:05 – Ted’s Brennan Johnson goof

23:02 – Best clubs for Camavinga?

24:18 – Rodrygo news?

25:59 – Ordonez to Liverpool?

28:18 – Marc Guehi rumours

30:02 – What moves will Man City make?

31:36 – Is Semenyo worth the price?

36:48 – Don’t make moves for the sake of making moves

38:00 – Manchester United sack Ruben Amorim

39:27 – Did Amorim want to be fired?

41:31 – The numbers aren’t too bad..

45:08 – But they’ve been terrible

47:05 – Do United still have pull with managers?

47:46 – Kompany to replace Pep at Man City?

50:00 – The Premier League table, variance, and relegation noise

54:48 – Set pieces, marginal gains, and tactical tweaks

01:01:07 – What’s coming next and community updates (TTF Conference!)

#premierleague #manchesterunited #chelsea #rubenamorim #enzomaresca #manutd #cfc #pepguardiola #manchestercity #transfers #transfernews #eplnews

Episode 151 - Why This Could Be the Craziest January Window EVER

Tue, 23 Dec 2025 09:21:00 -0000

The January transfer window is coming, and the conditions are unusually volatile. Patrick and Ted discuss why this winter could see more movement than normal, driven by league parity, World Cup pressures, and clubs chasing narrow competitive margins.

They analyze who should act and why, covering the title race, the top-four battle, and the growing risks for mid-table teams. Along the way, they examine Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool, Chelsea, Aston Villa, Spurs, and several clubs facing difficult strategic choices.

The episode closes with a wider look at Europe and relegation planning, highlighting why January spending is less about fixing everything and more about choosing the right problems to solve.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 – Intro

00:26 – Christmas Break and What to Expect From Transfer Flow

01:27 – Holiday Patreon Content and Upcoming Episodes

02:34 – The Expanded World Cup and Its Impact on January Transfers

03:27 – Premier League Parity and Increased Incentives to Spend

04:03 – Competitive Balance Across Europe This Season

05:42 – Why Premier League Money Is Still Likely to Move

06:22 – Aston Villa’s Position and the Case for Spending

06:44 – What Villa Actually Need in January

08:28 – The Manchester City Signing That Could Swing the Title Race

09:25 – Manchester United’s Underlying Numbers and Youth Reliance

11:37 – Chelsea’s Stagnation and Liverpool’s Stability

13:34 – Liverpool’s January Dilemma and Contract Uncertainty

15:14 – Crystal Palace’s Squad Depth and Direction Issues

16:12 – Palace’s Midfield and Wing-Back Needs

17:26 – Spurs, Recruitment Confusion, and Paratici Rumours

18:03 – Structural Problems Before Squad Decisions at Spurs

18:47 – Managerial Patience and Lessons From Unai Emery

20:22 – Nottingham Forest, Everton, and West Ham’s January Needs

23:05 – Relegation Planning and Risky January Spending

23:53 – Holiday Break, Listener Thanks, and Return Plans

#premierleague #epl #manchesterunited #mancity #liverpool #arsenal #chelsea #astonvilla #FootballPodcast #SoccerPodcast #PLTransfers #transfernews #transferwindow #transfers #football #foryou #fyp

Episode 150 - The Transfers that NEED to happen in January

Thu, 18 Dec 2025 19:30:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel dig into the January window by skipping the obvious links and focusing on moves that actually make sense for both side. They break down Tottenham’s midfield issues and make the case for Raphael Onyedika and explain why Aston Villa should capitalize on their hot run with a smarter attacking midfielder like Romano Schmid. Then they look at Flamengo and what makes Felipe Luis the perfect heir to Diego Simeone at Atletico Madrid.

The episode wraps with rapid-fire takes on Kobbie Mainoo to Napoli, Milan’s striker search, and why some January deals are better left undone.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 – Intro

03:40 – Why we’re skipping the obvious January rumours

04:30 – Tottenham’s midfield problem (again)

05:34 – Defining the profile Spurs actually need

07:00 – Using data tools to find the right fit

07:43 – Why Bryan Heynen doesn’t fit

08:40 – Raphael Onyedika

10:57 – Onyedika’s passing vs defensive trade-offs

13:03 – How he fits with Spurs’ current midfield

17:03 – How much can he really fix?

20:37 – The AFCON complication and January reality

22:26 – Aston Villa fans love Patrick

23:11 – Ollie Watkins variance and Morgan Rogers isn't a 10

24:43 – Romano Schmid as Villa’s solution

25:42 – How Schmid would change Villa’s final-third play

27:00 – Villa NEED someone on the ball

29:48 – Schmid has been consistent over seasons

30:47 – Flamengo’s rise and why they matter

31:43 – Felipe Luís’ rapid coaching ascent

34:55 – Flamengo’s squad age and key players

37:22 – Flamengo’s tactical flexibility

39:10 – Managing egos, minutes, and pressure

43:00– Why Felipe Luís feels like Simeone’s heir

46:23 – Kobbie Mainoo to Napoli: does it make sense?

48:50 – Conte, midfield roles, and Mainoo’s fit

51:33 – Milan’s striker crisis

52:27 – Why Füllkrug makes no sense for Milan

55:10 – Why Vlahovic would work

58:11 – Bad January signings vs doing nothing

#premierleague #transfernews #football #epl #tottenham #kobbiemainoo #astonvilla #footballtransfers

Episode 149 - Will Arsenal's Attack Cost Them The Title? + How Much Progress Have Man United REALLY Made?

Tue, 16 Dec 2025 18:59:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down a chaotic Premier League weekend. Manchester United and Bournemouth play one of the games of the season, raising big questions about Amorim’s control and long-term plan. Manchester City’s attack looks like it’s clicking again, but are the defensive issues still lurking beneath the surface? Arsenal remain the benchmark, but will their attacking deficiencies cost them the title? Spurs look lost after another damaging defeat, should they spend big in January or does Thomas Frank just need more time?

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:00 – Manchester United vs Bournemouth: A Game Without Control

02:27 – What’s actually working for Amorim

03:20 – Defensive mistakes or structural flaws?

05:30 – Lack of different styles under Amorim

07:30 – Wing-back issues and game management

08:40 – Bournemouth concerns and long-term sustainability

09:15 – Bielsa influences and burnout risk

10:47 – Where Bournemouth go from here

12:12 – United’s long-term squad dilemma

12:52 – Youth development vs short-term results

15:05 – Turning to Manchester City

15:49 – City’s attack clicking again

16:19 – Gvardiol, depth, and attacking options

17:49 – Defensive fragility and the Rodri question

18:14 – City vs Arsenal in the title race

18:49 – How Arsenal could still slip

19:40 – Arsenal injuries and attacking limits

21:22 – Merino, Gyökeres, and Arsenal’s ceiling

22:56 – Why Arsenal remain favourites

24:41 – What City still need to fix

25:38 – The league tightening behind the top

27:06 – Why this Premier League season is different

28:18 – Spurs collapse against Forest

29:05 – Suspect Defense and no creativity for Spurs

30:14 – Players want to play for Dyche + Forest’s transformation

32:22 – Does Frank need more time?

34:14 – Trying to be more defensive isn’t working

35:40 – How active will Spurs be in January?

#arsenal #manchesterunited #manchestercity #premierleague #epl #tottenham #haaland #arteta #saka #pepguardiola #football #soccer #footballtransfers #fyp #foryou

Episode 148 - Have Real Madrid Built an UNCOACHABLE Team? + The Race for UCL Top 8

Thu, 11 Dec 2025 18:43:00 -0000

Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips

On today’s episode, Patrick and Hayden dive into Real Madrid’s growing crisis as Xabi Alonso hangs onto his job despite another loss. Are Madrid simply uncoachable at this point? And if Alonso goes… who could realistically manage them?

Then we shift to the Champions League, breaking down the race for the top eight, why January’s fixtures will be absolute chaos, and which big clubs might be staring at the playoff round.

Finally, we look at Ayyoub Bouaddi, the 18-year-old Lille midfielder linked with Arsenal, Chelsea and PSG. What kind of player is he? How high is his ceiling? And which club actually makes the most sense?

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

01:47 Real Madrid’s Alonso dilemma.. is the squad uncoachable?

02:57 Why the dressing room has turned + structural issues at Madrid

05:06 The Mbappé–Vini problem and Madrid’s imbalance

07:41 Are Madrid running out of managers who can coach this squad?

11:08 If not Alonso then who? Zidane, Klopp, or nobody?

15:30 Should Madrid keep Alonso and fix the squad instead?

17:25 Who actually makes the top eight in the Champions League?

20:18 Why the playoff round could be brutal this year

21:42 Inter vs Liverpool

24:03 Who drops out of the top eight?

26:01 Liverpool look better and the Mo Salah drama

30:22 Should Liverpool actually sell Salah in January?

30:52 Transfer Rumour: Who is Ayyoub Bouaddi?

33:08 What makes Bouaddi special and what he still lacks

34:27 Which clubs make sense: Arsenal, Chelsea, PSG?

37:21 Why Bayern might be the best fit

#realmadrid #xabialonso #championsleague #liverpool #mosalah #intermilan #psg #arsenal #barcelona #atleticomadrid #chelsea #lille #football #soccer #foryou #fyp #footballtransfers #transfernews

Episode 147 - Salah OUT at Liverpool? + Messi's MLS Dominance

Mon, 08 Dec 2025 19:45:00 -0000

Mo Salah’s explosive post-match interview has rocked Liverpool, and Hayden & Neel break down what he said, why it landed so hard, and how it affects Arne Slot, the dressing room, Salah’s future (Saudi?), and even the Xabi Alonso question lingering in the background.

We then zoom out to a chaotic Premier League race for Europe and focus on what teams can actually do to get there: consistency, tactical flexibility, smarter use of squads, and the coaching tweaks that can swing a season.

Finally, we head to MLS where Messi leads Inter Miami to the title after a dominant season. How did Inter Miami balance their squad to win despite the label of Messi and friends? Plus, what MLS’s calendar and spending changes mean ahead of the 2026 World Cup.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro:

00:37 – Salah’s explosive interview

02:22 – Why Salah feels “thrown under the bus”

03:56 – Slot’s perspective: rotation, results & AFCON

06:53 – Wirtz vs Salah

08:31 – Should Liverpool consider selling Salah?

10:06 – Salah’s numbers dropoff

10:45 – Liverpool’s defensive struggles and lack of control

13:20 – Upcoming AFCON + Saudi move in the cards?

14:43 – Could Xabi Alonso become an option?

16:45 – Real Madrid and Liverpool similiarities

19:10 – The tight Premier League race explained through XG

21:05 – What mid-table teams must do to reach Europe this season

21:22 – Consistency, flexibility & the chaos of the league table

24:09 – Tactical flexibility: who has it & who doesn’t

27:29 – Chelsea, Maresca & elite adaptability

28:18 – What Spurs and Man United must fix immediately

32:41 – Messi & Inter Miami: Messi dominates the season

36:49 – Suarez, Messi & balancing the squad

49:04 – Vancouver’s rise & how the final was actually won

41:00 – MLS switching to the European calendar

42:29 – What’s next for MLS: spending rules, youth development & style diversity

44:50– The South American talent pipeline dilemma

#liverpool #salah #messi #lfc #mls #premierleague #realmadrid #epl #manchesterunited #tottenham #chelsea #football #soccer #fyp

Episode 146 - Why Barca Can’t Be Fixed + We STILL Can’t Trust Man City

Thu, 04 Dec 2025 19:04:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel open with Barcelona’s win over Atletico Madrid and dig into why Atleti started well, why they collapsed after scoring, and how Raphinha and Pedri change Barça’s ceiling. They also break down what Simeone’s team is missing and whether they can stay competitive with Spain’s top two.

Then it’s onto the Premier League, starting with Sunderland’s brave performance at Anfield and why their approach is working in a season full of chaos. Leeds’ shift in structure, Daniel Farke’s reputation, and their big win over Chelsea come next, followed by a deeper look at Manchester City’s issues out of possession and why their current squad build leaves them stuck between pressing and blocking deep.

The episode closes in Scotland with Celtic’s appointment of Wilfried Nancy. Patrick and Neel walk through his coaching journey, his style of play, and what it might take to implement his system quickly in a tight title race.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Barcelona beat Atleti — what actually happened

01:46 – Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid

03:04 – How Atleti break Barça’s high line (secondary runners + curved runs)

04:51 – Why Atleti collapsed after scoring

06:36 – The Rafinha goal and whether Atleti are stuck between two styles

07:41 – Why Atleti aren’t as defensively solid anymore

08:50 – Can Atleti still be Spain’s third-best team?

09:30 – Barça’s ceiling and what Raphinha + Pedri change

11:12 – Is this sustainable and what happens in Europe?

12:55 – Premier League Round Up

13:26 – Sunderland’s positive approach at Anfield

14:21 – Sunderland looked dangerous and brave

15:19 – Sunderland’s attacking plan and transition work

16:32 – How Sunderland saved themselves

18:50 – Promoted teams: stick to your style or change?

21:00 – Leeds’ tactical shift and changes vs Chelsea

23:07 – The Premier League’s wild parity

24:34 – Leeds’ smart changes (midfield profiles, less 4-2-3-1)

26:10 – How Leeds should shape up in upcoming fixtures

27:34 – Leeds’ plan is working

28:29 – Daniel Farke’s reputation vs the reality

29:06 – Leeds’ quality vs the teams around them

30:01 – Man City vs Fulham: chaos game

31:36 – What’s wrong with City’s pressing

33:35 – City’s personnel issues

35:10 – Elite sides have to be good defensively

36:11 – Foden’s role and where he fits best

36:57 – City’s front three dynamics

38:33 – Aston Villa’s best performance of the season

39:15 – Villa haven’t played well this season despite results

40:50 – Moving on: Celtic hire Wilfried Nancy

41:14 – Nancy’s coaching path: France → Canada → MLS

43:31 – Nancy’s playing style and tactical profile

46:26 – How long will it take to implement this at Celtic?

47:33 – Celtic’s squad + whether the attackers can execute this style

48:54 – Why MLS → Celtic is a logical step

50:21 – Celtic’s messy process leading to the hire

51:25 – Why Nancy is still likely to succeed in Scotland

52:28 – Closing chat & where to find Neel

Episode 145 - Why Spurs should NOT fire Thomas Frank + CHELSEA are the 2nd best team in the Premier League?

Tue, 02 Dec 2025 18:58:00 -0000

Ted and Neel break down Chelsea vs Arsenal and what the match told us about where both clubs actually stand right now. They get into why these two sides look like the Premier League’s most complete teams, what made the match tactically strange, and how Chelsea have quietly benefitted from continuity this season. Then, a horrible list of names to replace Arne Slot and why Real Madrid's Xabi Alonso could be a name to watch.

Then, Patrick joins to discuss Spurs’ season unraveling as their midfield issues finally catch up to them, and why no coach can solve it without real passers. Then a look at PSG’s wobble, the drop in chance quality, and whether Luis Enrique can time another late-season surge. Enjoy!

Ted's Chelsea Article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/are-chelsea-the-second-best-team-in-the-premier-league

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:09 – Chelsea–Arsenal: Are Chelsea the 2nd best team in the league?

02:13 – Chelsea’s defensive improvement

03:47 – Are Chelsea actually better?

05:36 – Stability vs everyone else being chaos this season

07:41 – Last season vs this season for Chelsea

09:36 – Set-piece leap and missing a real center-forward

10:48 – Liverpool’s slide and the press pushing manager-out talk

12:34 – The cursed list of replacement coaches

13:26 – Should Liverpool stick with Slot?

14:13 – Xabi Alonso and Real Madrid’s drama

16:25 – Alonso’s on-pitch signs vs off-pitch madness

17:08 – Big-name squad management problems

18:39 – Would Alonso fit Liverpool?

19:00 – Vinicius, discipline, and why only Ancelotti seemed able to handle it

21:09 – Patrick returns: Spurs’ midfield problem remains the whole story

22:20 – Spurs never solved their passing problem

23:44 – What Spurs actually did in the window and why it made things worse

24:31 – They spent money… just not on the problem positions

25:28 – Close losses, thin margins, and low-event football collapsing

26:08 – No catch-up gear

26:40 – Who’s actually running Spurs?

27:50 – Firing Frank doesn’t solve the issue

28:30 – Bad luck with midfield misses

30:51 – Take your medicine season: no fixing this before January

31:14 – PSG aren’t last year’s superteam anymore

31:51 – Injuries, kids playing big minutes, and defensive volatility

32:49 – Attack still good; defense wildly inconsistent

33:27 – Chance quality

34:49 – Enrique’s enlightened approach and long-view management

36:02 – PSG’s seasonal pattern and how Enrique times their peak

37:13 – Shot quality collapse reasons

37:51 – Patreon plug

#tottenham #chelsea #liverpool #psg #premierleague #epl #arneslot #thomasfrank #xabialonso #realmadrid #foryou #fyp #footballtactics #transfernews #arsenal

Episode 144 - Evaluating Marc Guehi Alternatives for Liverpool + Chelsea DESTROY Barcelona

Wed, 26 Nov 2025 16:31:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down the midweek Champions League action, from Chelsea’s statement win over Barcelona to Manchester City’s worrying dependence on Erling Haaland. Are the new league-phase games actually giving us useful information, or are red cards and rotation killing the stakes?

Then we turn to Liverpool, whose defensive issues are starting to pile up. With Van Dijk aging, Konaté out of form and out of contract soon, and fullbacks rotating every week, what should they actually do in January? Patrick and Hayden each bring a centre-back target Liverpool should consider.

Neel’s Man City Article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manchester-city-s-over-reliance-on-erling-haaland-is-crazier-than-you-think

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

01:38 How red cards ruin these league-phase games

03:16 What the points cutoffs actually look like

04:02 Marseille’s comeback & Newcastle’s European profile

05:07 Chelsea’s first half performance vs Barcelona

06:12 The red card + Estevao’s brilliant goal

07:51 Cucurella’s evolution

09:38 City vs Leverkusen: the Haaland dependency problem

10:37 What City did and didn’t learn from this loss

12:08 Ajax–Benfica & the Mourinho control template

13:20 Rayane Bounida and Promise David

14:21 Malik Tillman’s development

15:19 City’s possession and pressing questions

16:24 Tillman’s large role for the USMNT

17:55 Phil Foden + City missing KDB

19:04 What Cherki needs to become

19:56 Liverpool’s defensive mess + Guehi links

22:26 Fullback additions

23:02 The expiring contracts problem

24:09 Why Liverpool still need a CB despite signing Leono

24:48 The profile Liverpool should target

26:45 Hayden’s list of options

28:58 Hayden’s pick: Mario Gila

30:27 Liverpool can be flexible on age here

33:00 FBRef comparisons

34:16 Why expiring in 2027 matters

36:05 The challenge Liverpool are facing with squad building

#liverpool #chelsea #championsleague #vandijk #arneslot #konate #premierleague #barcelona #newcastle #marseille #mancity #leverkusen #ucl #lfc #marcguehi #guehi #football #soccer #fyp #foryou

Episode 143 - City's overreliance on Haaland is a BIG problem + Liverpool Lose AGAIN

Mon, 24 Nov 2025 19:27:00 -0000

Patrick and Neel break down a wild weekend. Spurs fall apart at Arsenal, Thomas Frank’s plan makes no sense, and Ezra gives Arsenal a completely different look in attack.

Then they move to Newcastle vs Man City where both teams create a ton but in totally different ways. Newcastle go brave in midfield, City lean even harder on Haaland, and the guys ask what happens if he isn’t there.

Liverpool’s slide continues with more tactical confusion and another bad run of substitutions. They talk about what’s actually wrong and whether Slot can fix it.

They wrap with the Milan derby and where Milan, Inter, and the rest of Serie A really stand. Enjoy!

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

01:32 Spurs’ bizarre setup vs Arsenal

02:46 What exactly was Spurs’ plan?

04:02 Arsenal break the U-shape circulation

05:25 Merino and Eze

06:18 Did Arsenal benefit from not having a traditional 9?

09:10 Spurs’ defending issues and blocked shots problem

11:04 Eze is exactly what Arsenal hoped for

12:33 Spurs’ attacking floor disappears

13:15 What can Frank actually fix?

13:49 Spurs’ in-possession issues and the long-ball alternative

15:04 Spurs need a simpler approach

16:15 Arsenal vs Bayern quick thoughts

16:48 Newcastle’s daring plan against City

17:54 Why Newcastle’s approach exposed City

19:52 City’s insane Haaland dependency

23:01 Why City’s system is unstable

24:07 If Haaland gets injured…

25:00 City’s lack of shot-getting wingers

26:26 Marmoush?

27:25 Doku without Haaland

28:21 Savio, Marmoush and City’s weird squad choices

29:14 Pep doubling down on heliocentric football

31:04 Newcastle deserve credit + City no longer feared

32:04 Liverpool’s collapse continues

33:39 The defensive chaos under Slot

34:40 Slot’s changes making things worse

36:05 Why Gravenberch at the base is a disaster

38:17 Can Slot resolve this?

39:49 Should Liverpool move on?

41:00 The Pep-overthinking comparison

42:22 January options

43:40 Italy roundup

44:13 Milan beat Inter + Pulisic hot run

45:00 Inter’s elite underlying numbers

45:50 Why Allegri’s haram-ball is unsustainable

48:42 Milan vs low blocks

49:30 Modric/Yashari midfield questions

50:40 Milan’s shot profile tells the whole story

51:02 Why nobody in Serie A looks like a title team (except Inter)

52:16 Why Inter should win… but might not

53:02 Inter’s aging squad and repeat issues

55:51 Chivu vs Inzaghi

56:45 A real mid-off

#manchestercity #mancity #haaland #arsenal #tottenham #eze #liverpool #slot #arteta #pepguardiola #intermilan #acmilan #seriea #epl #premierleague

Episode 142 - Ranking the 10 Best Midfielders in World Football + Where will Antoine Semenyo land?

Thu, 20 Nov 2025 19:32:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden rank the 10 best midfielders in football for the 2025/26 season. They get into why Pedri is the clear number 1, the difficulties in ranking Caicedo, Declan Rice, and Vitinha. Next comes Dominik Szoboszlai and Fede Valverde, whose versatility makes them super valuable. Slots 7-10 differ for the guys, with Tchouaméni, Joao Neves, Bruno Grimaraes, Elliott Anderson, and Gravenberch all getting mentioned.

Then comes Antoine Semenyo, who is rumoured to be available for £65m in January. Where are his landing spots, why have his numbers declined this season, and could a loan to Barcelona be in the cards? Enjoy!

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 - Intro

01:49 - Establishing rules for the rankings

03:16 - Defining 6’s vs 8’s vs 10’s

04:46 - A Clear #1 - Pedri

05:22 - Injuries are his only downside

06:59 - La Masia’s magic

09:30 - The gold standard

10:16 - Declan Rice vs Caicedo

11:50 - Hayden was WRONG about Rice

12:59 - Caicedo over Rice?

14:27 - Rice’s progressive actions + Caicedo is hard to judge

16:58 - Both are super durable

18:28 - Vitinha second for Hayden?

21:50 - Vitinha runs the game like a manager would want

23:33 - Dominik Szoboszlai, but is he a midfielder?

26:07 - Comparison to Fede Valverde’s versatility

28:26 - Valverde as a leader

29:37 - 11 of 1 player as the best team in the world?

30:00 - Hayden’s remaining 7-10 (Tchouaméni, Joao Neves, Bruno Grimaraes)

32:10 - Who is 10th?

32:33 - Patrick’s 7-10 (Tchouaméni, Neves, Gravenberch, Eliott Anderson?)

36:20 - Contenders for the final spot

38:33 - Antoine Semenyo to leave Bournemouth this January?

40:04 - What teams does he make sense for?

41:00 - The price tag makes this difficult + numbers dropping this season?

43:26 - A loan move to Barcelona?

45:20 - Great fit on the current Bournemouth team

46:55 - Less minutes on his legs than his age would suggest

48:33 - Bournemouth’s talent exodus explaining the dropoff?

#footballplayer #premierleague #barcelona #pedri #declanrice #caicedo #vitinha #joaoneves #arsenal #chelsea #liverpool #laliga #realmadrid #psg #football #soccer #footballpodcast #foryou #fyp

Episode 141 - Buy or Sell: Roma Top 2, Bundesliga Shakeup, and Forest Relegated?

Mon, 17 Nov 2025 19:43:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Hayden go around Europe and play buy or sell on the biggest storylines outside the Premier League. Villarreal’s push toward Spain’s top three, Roma’s rebuild under Gasperini, and why the Bundesliga race behind Bayern looks completely different this season. They dig into whether anyone can get close to PSG, how Enrique has reshaped the squad, and what the depth in Ligue 1 really looks like this year. Then it shifts to recruitment, the mistakes that matter, what people get wrong about player evaluation, and how clubs actually improve their processes. The episode wraps with the Premier League relegation fight, Forest’s chances of staying up, and the teams that should be worried as the season grinds on.

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro and episode overview

02:26 – Villarreal’s rise and whether they can crack Spain’s top three

03:13 – Why their Champions League form muddies the picture

05:48 – Villarreal’s recruitment model and defensive identity

08:30 – Buy or sell on Villarreal finishing third

09:25 – Roma’s rebuild under Gasperini and the Serie A traffic jam

11:27 – Roma’s defensive ceiling and why second place is a reach

13:26 – Inter, Juve, Milan and the top-end parity in Italy

14:04 – Bayern’s insane metrics and the Bundesliga hierarchy

15:40 – Leverkusen’s early meltdown and fast correction

16:06 – Frankfurt’s upside and the challenges of young squads

17:20 – How Leipzig and Dortmund keep shifting week to week

18:10 – The injuries that could flip the Bundesliga race below Bayern

20:33 – PSG’s depth, fatigue and the reality of the title race

22:22 – Similarities to last season for PSG

23:16 – Shot profiles, xG gaps and how Ligue 1’s depth is changing

25:17 – What would it take for PSG to not win Ligue 1?

27:00 – PSG vs Bayern in how well they are run

28:32 – How coaching cycles open windows for challengers

29:45 – What you can see on our Patreon

31:55 – The challenges of player recruitment and the lessons we learn

33:55 – Buy or sell on Nottingham Forest staying up

35:01 – Sean Dyche and squad fit

36:01 – West Ham’s slide and the red flags in their recruitment

36:45 – Who will get relegated?

38:09 – Leeds, Brentford and the margins at the bottom

39:04 – Why West Ham might be the real danger team

43:20 – Wrap-up and Patreon plug

Episode 140 - Should Liverpool Sell Mo Salah? + Can Marseille win Ligue 1?

Wed, 12 Nov 2025 18:51:00 -0000

Patrick and Hayden head around Europe, starting in Spain where Atlético Madrid are quietly changing who they are under Simeone. Is this finally the version that sticks? Then it’s on to La Liga’s heavyweights to look at how Real Madrid’s new system has fixed their defensive issues, and why Barcelona’s press has completely fallen apart without Raphinha. In France, Marseille’s numbers under De Zerbi look seriously good, but can they actually push PSG over a full season? And finally, the big question: would Liverpool be better off selling Mo Salah this summer? Robino Vaz newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/this-18-year-old-striker-is-lighting-up-france Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast Timestamps: 00:00 Intro and episode overview 01:34 - Atlético Madrid’s evolution under Simeone 03:21 - What’s changed in Atleti’s possession and attack 04:55 - Julian Alvarez’s impact and tactical fit 07:42 - Atlético’s new ownership and transfer efficiency 12:32 - Comparing Atleti with Real Madrid and Barcelona 14:42 - Real Madrid’s new style under Xabi Alonso 16:36 - Barcelona’s press issues without Raphinha 19:21 - Why Real Madrid defend better than Barça 21:37 - How pressing and ball recoveries differ between the two 24:34 - Can Barcelona fix their defensive problems? 25:47 - Ligue 1 and PSG’s title race 27:20 - Marseille’s progress under De Zerbi 28:25 - PSG’s injuries and Vitinha's workload 30:01 - Marseille’s ceiling and what could hold them back 32:15 - Fatigue and pressing sustainability 35:22 - Strasbourg’s chaos and Ligue 1 contenders 38:32 - The Mohamed Salah question 39:15 - Should Liverpool sell Salah next summer? 41:24 - Patrick’s take on Salah’s numbers and Liverpool’s attack 43:42 - Where could Salah realistically go? 46:30 - Arne Slot’s challenges at Liverpool 47:55 - Squad depth and full-back problems 49:09 - Missed transfer opportunities and what’s next

Episode 139 - Man City THRASH Liverpool + Man United's Dream Midfielder

Mon, 10 Nov 2025 19:29:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss the Man city vs Liverpool game and how both teams still have problems. Why teams such as Aston Villa and Tottenham are lucky to be in the position they are in and you can expect that to change. While also looking at Man United and why they are looking at signing Conor Gallagher and Angelo Stiller. Enjoy! Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow Neel's article on Bayern: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/are-bayern-munich-serious-champions-league-contenders-eac4 Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast
Timestamps: 0:00 intro pateron link

3:05 Man city vs Liverpool review

3:58 Doku’s amazing season so far

6:16 Pep’s adaptability

8:16 Man City deserved to beat Liverpool

10:10 liverpool’s form this season

11:16 liverpool’s 3 big problems

12:43 Out of possession fall off

15:22 Liverpool transitional year

17:11 Arsenal drop points but played well

19:08 The Premier League table makes no sense

21:20 The only 4 teams that have a positive expected goal difference

21:58 Aston villa are getting very lucky

23:15 Villa score a lot from outside the box

24:05 Villa have no creativity

25:02 More goals from outside the box

29:27 Newcastle have had some bad losses

30:27 Eddie howe is not innocent

32:29 Injuries will save Newcastle

33:20 Eddie howe’s spending and poor sales

34:27 If injuries continue they might be stuck

35:12 Spurs vs Man United was awful

36:07 Frank is struggling at Tottenham

36:37 Variance betting

37:37 Don’t expect spurs to keep getting points

38:54 Man united interesting in Gallagher and Stiller

40:21 Gallagher might not be the best fit

42:26 Stiller would be a great signing

45:02 Stiller’s price

46:05 Wrap-up and pateron link

Episode 138 - This team just became Champions League favorites + Will Vinicius LEAVE Real Madrid?

Thu, 06 Nov 2025 19:36:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel run through this week’s Champions League fixtures. PSG v Bayern leads the show as Bayern make a statement with their turnover-to-chance fluidity and PSG suffer from strange structural moments. Liverpool produce a dominant night against Real while Barcelona’s defensive issues keep showing up (despite Lamine Yamal's brilliance). Will Vinicius Jr. leave Real Madrid and where should he go? Plus Chelsea vs a Harry Potter spell and more. Enjoy!

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Neel's article on Bayern: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/are-bayern-munich-serious-champions-league-contenders-eac4

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:38 – Bayern Munich vs PSG: tactical analysis of the headline clash

02:50 – Bayern’s first-half control and Musiala’s absence

04:20 – Luis Díaz’s role and new attacking balance

06:00 – Upamecano’s defensive leadership and pressing cues

07:30 – PSG’s buildup problems and Marquinhos’ errors

09:15 – Bayern’s fluid attack turning turnovers into goals

11:10 – Are Bayern now clear Champions League favourites?

13:45 – What the Arsenal matchup could reveal about Bayern

15:05 – Liverpool vs Real Madrid: performance insights

16:30 – Slot’s tactical reset and lineup consistency

18:00 – Liverpool's talent advantage

19:10 – Real Madrid’s structural flaws and left-side bias

20:54 – Slot's reasoning

25:00 – Courtois was unbeliveable

27:40 – Will Liverpool stick to this plan?

29:06 – Vinicius Jr’s future at Real Madrid

30:05 – Which clubs could realistically afford Vinicius

33:30 – Chelsea?

34:38 – Saudi the only option?

35:25 – Mbappé’s fit alongside a traditional striker

37:50 – Barcelona’s defensive struggles and high-line collapse

38:54 – Barca's defensive xG woes

40:46 – Club Brugge’s performance

42:11 – Barca's reliance on Lamine Yamal

43:20 – Credit to Carlos Forbes

48:34 – Qarabag vs Chelsea: a shocking encounter

49:20 – Chelsea need a Striker and what Cole Palmer's absensce exposes

51:00 – Wrap-up and Patreon reminder

#bayernmunich #realmadrid #championsleague #bayern #barcelona #liverpool #arsenal #psg #lamineyamal #dembele #mbappe #vinicius #ucl #foryou #fyp

Episode 137 - Why Man City need to sign this EPL midfielder + What's wrong with Spurs and Newcastle?

Mon, 03 Nov 2025 19:06:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden dive into Tottenham’s collapse against Chelsea and why things feel broken under Frank. What’s gone wrong with Spurs’ attack and midfield balance, and can they fix it before January? Then, Newcastle’s attack has gone stale. Are injuries to blame or is there a deeper issue in Eddie Howe’s tactical setup? The guys also discuss West Ham’s big win under Nuno, what still needs fixing, and finish with a look at why Elliott Anderson might be the most interesting £70 million midfielder in England right now. Enjoy!

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Mohamed's Tottenham article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/why-tottenham-s-attack-can-t-get-firing

Mohamed's Newcastle article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/will-newcastle-s-attack-ever-get-going

Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro & what’s ahead on the pod

00:40 – Spurs and Newcastle under pressure

01:25 – Tottenham’s 3–1 loss to Chelsea

02:10 – Spurs’ midfield and passing problems

03:20 – Frank’s tactical setup and early positives

04:35 – Why Spurs can’t play through midfield

05:15 – Simons and Kudus’ dribbling frustration

06:30 – Spurs’ defensive collapse in transition

07:20 – Lack of passing structure in buildup

08:15 – No width and too much congestion

08:50 – What Frank can learn from Newcastle

09:25 – How Eddie Howe’s model applies to Spurs

11:05 – Reliance on long balls

12:10 – Porro the only progressor

14:25 – Sarr, Bergvall, and the wrong player mix

15:27 – The warning signs before Chelsea

16:37 – Newcastle’s similar struggles in possession

18:15 – Do Newcastle’s full-backs fix it?

18:55 – Why their attack still has a ceiling

21:24 – Gordon, Anderson, and what’s missing creatively

22:55 – Newcastle’s bad shot selection

24:20 – Game state, chance quality, and the “good vs bad” Newcastle

25:10 – West Ham’s big win under Nuno

25:47 – Nuno’s early signs and what still needs fixing

28:48 – West Ham’s midfield and defensive worries

30:16 – Why their fixtures could kill momentum

31:00 – Elliott Anderson linked with City, United, and Chelsea

32:38 – Why his style fits City better than United

34:03 – What Anderson would look like in City’s system

35:17 – Comparing Anderson to Gibbs-White and Wharton

37:13 – Man United’s biggest Need

39:14 – City’s biggest weakness

41:00 – Why he makes sense beyond the Pep era

42:01 – Why Chelsea don’t need another midfielder

42:20 – Best fits for Anderson and what each club would gain

43:04 – Join our Patreon + great storylines at the moment

Episode 136 - Best Signings of the Summer (So Far) + Spalletti to Juve

Thu, 30 Oct 2025 19:02:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden look at some of the best transfers of the season so far. From Dean Huijsen’s breakout at Real Madrid to Bournemouth’s perfect fullback swap, Strasbourg’s surprise star striker, and Frankfurt’s smart rebuild, the guys highlight the signings that have already made a real impact. The episode wraps up with Juventus appointing Luciano Spalletti and what makes him one of football’s most fascinating managers. Enjoy!

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 – Intro

02:04 – The ones that missed the cut: João Pedro, Louis Díaz, Dean Huijsen

04:24 – Robin Rufs and Sunderland’s signing of the summer

06:03 – De Bruyne at Napoli and the plug-and-play hits

07:36 – Strasbourg’s Panacelli lighting up Ligue 1

10:23 – How Panacelli’s goals and pressing changed Strasbourg

13:41 – The two-way striker profile that every club wants

15:31 – Why Panacelli could be Chelsea’s future No. 9

16:52 – Bournemouth’s summer rebuild and smart recruitment

18:26 – How Milos Truffert replaced Kerkez perfectly

21:09 – Why Bournemouth’s defensive numbers are holding steady

23:19 – Rennes’ underrated golden generation

24:24 – Frankfurt’s rebuild and the Ekitike replacement

25:52 – Burkhardt’s breakout season and the Frankfurt model

27:48 – The shot-distance revolution and smarter forwards

29:26 – Can Frankfurt actually contend again?

30:57 – Dean Huijsen’s arrival at Real Madrid

33:00 – Why he fits Alonso’s system perfectly

34:48 – Huijsen’s insane passing and defensive metrics

37:41 – The 20-year-old who already runs Real Madrid’s back line

38:23 – Juventus sack Tudor and hire Luciano Spalletti

39:16 – Why Spalletti is the rare coach who’s fun and good

41:37 – Juventus’ midfield puzzle and the big tactical question

42:55 – How Spalletti’s freedom-based system actually works

45:06 – The evolution of Serie A and Gasperini’s influence

46:52 – Why Juventus could become must-watch again

48:43 – Final thoughts on Spalletti, Juventus, and the fun-to-good balance

49:52 – Outro and Patreon Q&A preview

Episode 135 - The Problem With YOUR Premier League Team + Mbappe and Real Madrid destroy Barcelona

Mon, 27 Oct 2025 19:02:00 -0000

Patrick and Ted break down a massive weekend across Europe. Real Madrid hammer Barcelona in El Clásico as Mbappé and Bellingham rip through Barca’s press while Xabi Alonso shows why Madrid look like a Champions League favorite again. Then it’s Manchester United beating Brighton, City falling apart at Villa, and the big Premier League question: is anyone besides Arsenal actually good? They dig into the league’s tactical weirdness, from long throws to set pieces and mid-table chaos, before wrapping with transfer talk on Upamecano, Liverpool’s needs, and Real Madrid’s ridiculous depth. Enjoy!

Join our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

Subscribe to our Clips channel: https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowClips

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro: Real Madrid crush Barcelona in El Clásico

02:10 – Patreon launch and clip channel update

05:00 – What Real Madrid got right tactically

07:40 – Barcelona’s injuries and structural flaws

09:50 – Mbappé and Bellingham destroy the press

11:20 – Are Real Madrid back among Europe’s elite?

13:10 – Liverpool, set pieces, and defending chaos

15:10 – Manchester United beat Brighton

16:50 – Brighton’s flaws and United’s quiet improvement

19:30 – Casemiro, Bruno, and the limits of United’s midfield

20:50 – City lose at Villa: Pep’s strangest lineup yet

22:30 – What’s wrong with Manchester City’s control?

24:10 – Haaland, chaos football, and the question: who’s actually good?

25:00 – Arsenal’s set-piece dominance and open-play drought

26:30 – The long-throw revolution and scoring trends

29:50 – The Premier League’s parity problem (or blessing)

31:00 – Who’s actually good in the league besides Arsenal?

33:00 – Palace, Bournemouth, and the rise of the mid-table monsters

34:40 – The Aston Villa mystery season

36:30 – Newcastle’s depth issues

38:00 – Arsenal’s insane injury list and still cruising

40:10 – Who’s getting relegated?

41:20 – Wolves, Burnley, and West Ham in real trouble

43:20 – The Premier League chaos makes it all fun

46:00 – Transfer rumors: Upamecano to Liverpool or Chelsea?

48:50 – What both clubs actually need at center-back

50:40 – Real Madrid talk: Rodrygo, Endrick, and what’s next

55:10 – Camavinga, Tchouaméni, and the Madrid youth logjam

57:45 – Wrapping up and Patreon reminders

Episode 134 - Is This Liverpool's Best Lineup? + Why Real Madrid Will BEAT Barcelona

Thu, 23 Oct 2025 16:59:00 -0000

Subscribe to our Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/TheTransferFlow

On this episode, Patrick and Neel break down the Champions League week. Arsenal dominate Atletico Madrid as Arteta’s fullbacks take center stage, while Diego Simeone’s side looks completely out of ideas. PSG smash Leverkusen, but Kaspar Hjulmand has already brought structure and clarity to a chaotic team. Liverpool roll over Frankfurt with an outrageous lineup, but can any of Slot’s new ideas translate to the Premier League? Finally, the guys preview El Clásico and discuss why both Barcelona and Real Madrid still look far from perfect. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

00:38 – Arsenal 4–0 Atletico Madrid

01:15 – Arteta’s fullback experiment

02:10 – Gyökeres finally scores and finds his role

03:50 – Arsenal’s rotation patterns and pressing

05:45 – Why Atleti’s approach no longer works

07:05 – Simeone out? What’s next for Atletico

08:10 – Arsenal’s control vs. Atleti’s confusion

09:25 – Atleti’s defensive numbers are misleading

10:44 – Why Simeone’s system no longer fits the squad

11:30 – Time for a new direction at Atleti

12:05 – PSG 7–2 Leverkusen

12:50 – PSG’s structure and fullback overloads

13:38 – Leverkusen’s decent first half before the red cards

14:55 – What Hulmand changed immediately

15:30 – Direct play and transitions define their style

16:20 – Stabilizing the defense after Ten Hag’s chaos

17:05 – Hulmand’s Denmark influence and club adaptation

18:10 – Building a flexible 3–4–3 shape

19:10 – Leverkusen’s rebuild and young forwards

20:25 – Early signs of balance under Hulmand

21:20 – Frankfurt vs. Liverpool

22:05 – Liverpool’s wild lineup and domination

23:00 – Slot’s tweaks in attack and spacing

23:45 – Frimpong at right back and attacking overloads

24:30 – What Slot might carry into the league

25:40 – Isaac and Ekitiké together up front

26:40 – Why Kerkes still doesn’t fit the system

27:25 – Could a 4–2–2–2 actually work for Liverpool

28:15 – Squad issues and January fixes

29:10 – Transfer targets that make sense

30:20 – Frankfurt’s chaotic defending

31:00 – Liverpool’s tactical ceiling under Slot

31:45 – El Clásico preview

32:30 – Barcelona’s defense looks fragile

33:10 – Real Madrid’s movement and Mbappé’s new timing

34:00 – How Madrid can exploit Barca’s press

35:20 – Barca’s missing outlets and counter problems

36:10 – Real’s press could decide the match

37:00 – Barcelona’s shape and lack of defensive wingers

38:10 – Why Real’s structure gives them the edge

39:10 – Mbappé and Vinícius’ threat in transition

40:10 – Key matchups and tactical questions

40:50 – Outro and Patreon announcement

42:25 - Patreon Teaser

Episode 133 - Pep’s Weirdest Man City Yet + Liverpool lose 4 Straight

Tue, 21 Oct 2025 14:15:00 -0000

Patrick and Ted break down a wild football weekend as Manchester United hand Liverpool a fourth straight loss. They discuss Amorim’s direct tactics, Liverpool’s strange midfield balance, and why both teams are flawed but intriguing. Then it’s Manchester City and the “jazz” version of Erling Haaland, Arsenal’s quiet dominance, and a deep dive into Serie A’s ridiculous title race featuring Milan’s defense, Roma’s Gasparini reset, and Inter’s early control. Plus: Championship betting, set-piece obsession, and Sean Dyche’s unexpected Premier League comeback. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:13 – Crystal Palace chaos and Mateta’s 11-shot performance

03:52 – Liverpool vs Manchester United

05:07 – Why United deserve more credit

06:48 – Liverpool’s possession drop and loss of control

08:32 – Why Liverpool’s structure feels off this season

10:20 – How unsettled teams struggle early in the year

12:49 – The chaos merchants: Bournemouth and Palace

13:15 – Why United’s midfield still doesn’t work

14:03 – Cunha’s impact and late-game control

15:31 – United’s attack looks better, defense still shaky

15:52 – What United’s next fixtures might reveal

16:22 – Maguire’s winning goal and set-piece detail

18:23 – Why set pieces are football’s biggest edge

19:11 – Premier League’s NFL-style coaching evolution

21:29 – Cross-sport learning and smarter coaching structures

22:43 – Arteta’s development and how he learned to adapt

24:15 – Ange out at Forest, Dyche

26:11 – Brazilians, Wood, and Sean Dyche

26:43 – The logic behind hiring a survival specialist

27:11 – How long should clubs wait before firing a manager?

28:34 – Checking in on Manchester City and Haaland’s “jazz football”

30:42 – Haaland’s strange movements and finishing patterns

31:41 – City’s attack, Arsenal’s rise, and the title picture

32:39 – Arsenal’s evolving system and player leaps

34:23 – Arteta’s tactical flexibility and fullback freedom

35:43 – Arsenal’s depth, structure, and defensive record

37:01 – Championship talk and betting update

39:11 – Why the Championship is Ted’s favorite league to bet

40:53 – Coventry’s dominance and historic numbers

42:32 – Serie A’s title race: pure chaos and quality

43:53 – Allegri’s Milan lead and Juve’s collapse

44:59 – The messy brilliance of Serie A 2025

45:56 – Inter’s dominance and Roma’s Gasparini era

47:47 – Milan’s defensive masterclass and Modric’s influence

48:55 – Pulisic, Liao, and Milan’s front-line balance

50:34 – De Bruyne’s Napoli renaissance

50:56 – Inter still the favorites — but it’s far from over

52:31 – Final thanks and upcoming content

#manchesterunited #liverpool #manchestercity #premierleague #epl #seriea #acmilan #juventus #intermilan #seandyche #arneslot #pepguardiola #haaland #foryou #fyp #football #soccer

Episode 132 - Why Manchester United Can Beat Liverpool + Bayern’s Attack Is the Best in the World

Thu, 16 Oct 2025 18:05:00 -0000

Patrick and Hayden preview a huge football weekend after the international break, covering Liverpool vs Manchester United, Bayern Munich vs Dortmund, PSG’s sluggish start in Ligue 1, and Brighton’s uncertain ceiling. They dig into what Liverpool’s press means for United’s direct buildup, how Dortmund’s defensive structure could test Bayern’s machine, and why PSG’s midfield feels off balance. Finally, they debate whether Brighton’s numbers are fine or if the club needs a real coaching upgrade. Enjoy!

Kim's article on Dortmund: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/can-dortmund-win-der-klassiker

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

01:21 – Liverpool vs Manchester United preview

02:59 – Expected goals, form, and fixture difficulty

03:35 – Mo Salah, Wirtz, and Liverpool’s attacking balance

05:11 – United’s shot numbers and finishing issues

06:55 – What’s wrong with United’s defense

08:46 – Liverpool’s press vs United’s buildup

10:22 – United’s final-third inefficiency

11:39 – The “direct buildup” problem under Amorim

13:13 – Can United’s chaotic attack hurt Liverpool

14:03 – United’s crossing patterns and sustainability

15:20 – Creating overloads and numbers in the box

16:28 – What could finally click for United’s attack

17:34 – Who this game actually suits more

18:10 – Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund

19:20 – Dortmund’s improved defense and structure

21:13 – Bayern’s domination and Kane’s ridiculous form

22:15 – Dortmund’s tactical setup under Kovac

23:46 – Guirassy’s movement and how it can hurt Bayern

24:15 – How Bayern’s press could be tested

25:59 – Why Dortmund’s defensive balance gives them a chance

27:18 – Bayern’s dueling style and adaptation test

28:10 – Sunderland vs Wolves: the relegation six-pointer

29:13 – Sunderland’s strong start and survival math

30:17 – Wolves’ struggles and fixture difficulty

31:23 – What’s really at stake in this match

33:04 – Sunderland’s ceiling and Wolves’ mentality

35:20 – Why Wolves might not have enough to stay up

36:24 – Brentford’s role in the relegation picture

37:12 – PSG vs Strasbourg preview

37:48 – PSG’s underwhelming attack and player usage

39:07 – Vitinha’s evolving role and midfield balance

40:03 – How Strasbourg can make this competitive

40:56 – Ligue 1’s tactical divide and PSG’s dominance

42:13 – Final segment: Brighton’s confusing season

43:41 – Brighton’s pressing success and defensive flaws

46:16 – Are Brighton actually improving under Hürzeler

47:41 – Do they need to change manager or style

49:05 – Is Brighton becoming more direct

50:26 – The coaching debate: Hürzeler vs Glasner

52:02 – What Brighton need to fix to take the next step

52:50 – Outro and Patreon info

Episode 131 - Can Carlo Ancelotti Fix Brazil? + Norway are on FIRE

Mon, 13 Oct 2025 17:57:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel take a global tour of World Cup qualifying, from CAF chaos to Brazil’s search for identity under Ancelotti. Nigeria’s campaign turns wild after a points deduction for South Africa, and we look at why one of Africa’s most talented squads keeps finding ways to trip up. Then, Norway are flying through UEFA qualification with Haaland, Ødegaard, and Nusa leading the charge. Finally, Ecuador grind their way to success in CONMEBOL, while Brazil’s new era begins under Ancelotti. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:22 – Patreon updates & fan questions

02:45 – CAF Qualifying: Group C madness

03:30 – Benin on top, South Africa’s points deduction

04:42 – South Africa field ineligible player vs Lesotho

06:08 – FIFA’s late ruling changes everything

06:59 – Eritrea withdraws, CAF chaos deepens

07:34 – Nigeria’s complicated qualification path

08:41 – Math, goal difference & yellow card tiebreakers

09:30 – Nigeria’s emergency landing & travel drama

10:13 – Nigerian FA corruption & unpaid coaches

11:13 – Nigeria’s constant managerial turnover

11:45 – Talent overload but no balance

12:50 – The Super Eagles’ tactical mess

13:38 – Too many attackers, not enough structure

14:39 – Building a stable international setup

15:00 – Moving to UEFA: Group I chaos

15:34 – Israel’s group & UEFA’s moral gymnastics

16:08 – Norway’s incredible rise

16:51 – Norway’s 29 goals scored, only 3 conceded

18:09 – How Solbakken built balance around Haaland

18:26 – Ødegaard, Nusa & Sorloth in perfect harmony

19:58 – Why Norway are terrifying on the counter

20:48 – How they blew away Italy

21:47 – Norway’s depth beyond the stars

22:20 – Oscar Bobb & Strand Larsen impress

23:30 – Why this system finally works

24:43 – Norway’s tactical identity & knockout threat

25:45 – Italy’s struggles under Gattuso

26:40 – Five wins and still second place

27:40 – Italy’s defensive frailty returns

28:50 – Two World Cups missed, another crisis looming

29:20 – Over to CONMEBOL: Ecuador shine

29:54 – Ecuador’s incredible defense, awful attack

30:47 – Style, structure & why they’re miserable to face

31:30 – How Ecuador stay high and compact

32:40 – Defensive line, recovery pace & low event games

33:23 – Scoring issues & Enner Valencia dependence

34:34 – Looking for Ecuador’s next striker

35:21 – Brazil’s slow start under Ancelotti

35:51 – Fourth most valuable squad in the world

36:45 – The striker dilemma

37:49 – Vinicius, Martinelli & Rodrygo options

38:49 – Midfield balance: Bruno G, Casemiro & Andre

39:45 – Transitioning from the old guard

40:29 – Can Ancelotti make Brazil more than the sum of its parts?

42:03 – The World Cup picture taking shape

42:32 – Norway, Nigeria, Ecuador & Brazil outlooks

43:24 – FIFA expanding chaos, but more fun teams

43:50 – CAF drama & new World Cup format

44:41 – Wrap up & where to find Neel

Episode 130 - Why Americans STILL Don't Watch MLS (Even With Messi) + Have Real Madrid FAILED Endrick?

Wed, 08 Oct 2025 17:54:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss Real Madrid’s handling of Endrick and the growing trend of teenage stars jumping to superclubs too early, Nuno’s task at West Ham, La Liga’s controversial plan to play in Miami, and the future of MLS and global fandom. Plus, why Mark Guéhi is being chased by Europe’s elite and who actually needs him most. Enjoy!

Neel's Real Madrid article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/what-is-wrong-with-real-madrid-s-defence

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro: Endrick’s Real Madrid struggles and loan rumors

01:10 – Why do young players join big clubs so early?

02:59 – Clubs vs. player development: who’s responsible?

04:47 – How Real Madrid handle young talent like Endrick, Vinícius and Rodrygo

06:48 – The "sweet spot" for giving youngsters minutes

08:25 – Balancing short-term wins vs. long-term player growth

10:46 – Why Endrick isn’t playing: system fit and physical readiness

13:29 – Comparing Endrick’s path to Phil Foden’s

15:20 – What kind of striker is Endrick really?

17:51 – Endrick’s traits, strengths and weaknesses

19:27 – What type of team would suit him best?

20:00 – Ideal leagues and clubs for Endrick (Serie A, Bundesliga)

22:53 – Why West Ham is a bad fit for Endrick

24:34 – Valencia and Real Sociedad as better loan options

25:56 – Nuno Espirito Santo at West Ham – first impressions

28:32 – Can Nuno fix West Ham’s midfield issues?

30:33 – Squad balance, tactics and survival chances

32:00 – Barcelona vs Villarreal to play in Miami – UEFA’s reluctant approval

33:32 – The global money grab and fans’ backlash

36:05 – Why leagues like La Liga are desperate for new revenue

38:49 – How to make global football sustainable

40:43 – Who counts as a "real fan" in 2025?

42:33 – Why MLS can’t capture American fans’ hearts

44:52 – The storytelling problem in MLS

46:44 – Closing the romance gap in U.S. soccer

49:25 – Mark Guéhi linked with Bayern, Barça and Real Madrid

51:04 – Why Liverpool should still be in the mix

53:25 – Guéhi’s smart contract timing and ideal January move

54:23 – Free transfer vs. January sale – what makes sense for Palace

54:51 – Outro – Patreon, listener questions, and where to follow Hayden

Episode 129 - Will Salah’s decline ruin Liverpool’s title hopes? + Does Hansi Flick need to change his tactics?

Mon, 06 Oct 2025 18:51:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted begin with Liverpool's 2-1 loss to Chelsea. What’s going on with Mohamed Salah, can they replace Trent Alexander-Arnold's output and how much of this is on Arne Slot? Then, Barcelona’s defense collapses against Sevilla as Hansi Flick’s high press unravels. Are young stars being pushed too far in today's game? Finally, Frank Lampard’s Coventry City are flying at the top of the Championship, but is this the real deal or just a hot streak?

Plus: Manchester United regress to the mean, Spurs flirt with hope, and Ted announces his new role in women’s football.

Enjoy!

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro:

00:34 – Liverpool’s slide continues: what’s wrong under Arne Slot?

01:08 – Salah’s dip in form & Trent’s absence felt everywhere

01:58 – Expected goals don’t tell the whole story

02:42 – Liverpool’s attack disappears after strong start

03:29 – Salah’s output vs. effort — should he defend more?

04:15 – Losing Trent’s passing lanes & creative control

05:10 – Szoboszlai, Wirtz & the missing playmaker debate

06:07 – Salah’s age curve and when to rotate your star

07:21 – Slot’s tactical growing pains vs. Klopp’s legacy

08:43 – Liverpool’s xGD and title race math

10:11 – Arsenal, City & Newcastle comparison

11:35 – Injuries piling up across top teams

12:21 – Barcelona’s 4–1 collapse at Sevilla

13:07 – Flick’s high press crumbles, xG tells the story

13:59 – Teenage stars overplayed, injections at 17

15:06 – Barça’s brittle midfield & tired defenders

16:22 – Why hybrid pressing models are failing

17:54 – Flick’s big challenge: adapt or persist?

18:40 – The “COVID generation” of chronically injured players

19:42 – Same minutes, higher intensity – fatigue crisis

20:37 – No summer breaks, endless tournaments

21:31 – Arteta’s “peak-speed” training & data-driven recovery

22:27 – Can player protection actually work?

23:12 – Leicester 15–16 lessons in high-intensity balance

23:54 – Coventry City under Lampard: from chaos to control

24:48 – Insane xG, one of the league’s best defences

25:39 – Lampard’s tactical maturity: less chaos, more structure

26:31 – Same squad, new identity

27:25 – Peak-age players driving the run

28:08 – Betting models underrating Coventry

28:52 – Why reps matter for young coaches

29:43 – Could Lampard get a big job again?

30:26 – Patrick’s early verdict on Lampard’s evolution

31:05 – Manchester United regression to the mean

32:19 – United vs. promoted sides: results fooling fans

33:14 – Cunha & Buemo’s overperformance collapse

34:06 – Bruno Fernandes & bad shot selection

36:02 – United look better, but not good enough

36:42 – Spurs creeping up the table again

37:20 – Villa grinding wins, Newcastle grinding harder

38:09 – Everton’s resurgence and Palace chaos

39:02 – Patrick’s soft spot for Everton

39:42 – Jack Grealish & emotional PL moments

40:19 – B-roll setup: Patreon, Man Down, and hair chat

41:08 – Halloween costumes & beard debates

42:31 – The horror of bearded men unbearded

43:52 – Beard trimmers, body vs. face guards

45:25 – Ted’s Copenhagen trip & secret projects

46:17 – Ted’s new Crux Football role announced

47:41 – Inside the women’s game: NDAs, strategy & growth

49:19 – Prize money, TV deals & tactical evolution

51:12 – Women’s football 100x smaller but rapidly growing

52:58 – Age curves, data gaps & scouting unknowns

54:42 – New audiences, sponsors & culture shifts

56:09 – Football as a vehicle for change

57:36 – Montpellier project & future ambitions

58:54 – Jobs in football

Episode 128- Is This One Weakness Killing Barcelona?

Thu, 02 Oct 2025 17:29:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down Barcelona vs PSG, looking at how Hansi Flick struggled with Barca’s weaknesses and how PSG took control. Then we review Arsenal, exploring their style changes, squad management, and what challenges lie ahead. They also analyse Crystal Palace, separating early-season flukes from real progress, and look at the increasing physical and mental demands on modern football players. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade Follow us on our Socials: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast
Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:53 Why Hayden’s Hating on La Liga 01:28 Why La Liga Shines in UCL 02:09 Barcelona Losing to Paris St Germain 02:49 Hayden’s Thoughts on PSG and the Game 04:26 PSG vs Barca: Tactical Battle 05:41 Yamal’s Tactical Masterclass 06:09 Barca’s High Line Finally Broken 07:53 Hakimi’s Tactical Masterclass 09:00 Exploiting Barca’s Wide Gaps 10:31 PSG Control the Game 11:40 Barca’s Strengths and Weaknesses 14:32 Personnel Limits Tactical Flexibility 17:30 Barcelona Needs a Game-Changer 19:41 Managers Face Tougher Paths 20:03 Arsenal’s Contract Updates 20:27 Strong Start Despite Tough Schedule 21:00 Transfer Strategy & Squad Depth 21:40 High Transfer Fees, Small Impact? 22:44 Arsenal’s Style and Momentum 23:58 Rotation and Squad Depth 24:20 Arsenal: Plan From Last Year 25:00 More Direct, Faster Arsenal 26:40 Breaking Down Mid Blocks 27:20 Crystal Palace's Impressive Start to the Season 28:30 Crystal Palace Early Season Stats 29:20 Palace Defence & Attack Questions 30:08 Early Signals & Trends 31:30 Man United: Podcast Main Character 32:00 Emboimo & Bruno Impact 33:15 Mateta: Brilliant Striker 33:45 Contract Pressure on Palace 34:02 Off-Field Distractions 35:25 Glasner & Guéhi Situation 36:20 Palace Pulling Together 36:54 Planning For January Moves 37:50 The Evolving Intensity of Football 40:33 Intensity Evolution in Modern Football 44:09 Club Control vs International Duty 46:50 Future of Player Health and Technology 51:48 Outro

Episode 127 - Atlético Beat Real Madrid: Xabi Alonso’s Derby Mistakes

Mon, 29 Sep 2025 18:59:00 -0000

On this episode of Transfer Flow, Patrick and Neel break down the Madrid Derby and explore where Xabi Alonso’s setup went wrong. From defensive struggles to vulnerabilities against crosses, we analyse exactly how Real Madrid was exposed and why their rivals capitalised.

They also dive into the Premier League, looking at the relegation battle and discussing whether Sunderland are safe, how Villa can respond, and what Nuno can do to fix West Ham’s misaligned squad. Tottenham’s open play issues, Arsenal’s stylistic shift, and Liverpool’s shaky defence also get a tactical review.

Whether you’re following La Liga, the Premier League, or just love in-depth football analysis, this episode gives you the insights and breakdowns you need.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps: 00:00 Episode Intro 00:28 Neel Stepping in for Ted 01:07 Episode Intro Summary 01:24 Madrid Derby 02:07 Fun Facts about Atlético de Madrid 04:28 Real Madrid This Season 05:08 Possession Split vs Atlético de Madrid 05:42 Xabi Alonso Plan 06:56 Real Madrid Weaknesses 08:20 Jude Bellingham's Return 09:26 Team and tactic analysis 10:43 Real Madrid Struggling to Defend Crosses 13:03 Real Madrid vs. Opponents on Set Pieces 15:31 Jude Bellingham's Return and Long Term Impact for Real Madrid 17:00 No team looks Unstoppable in La Liga 17:08 Elche Game Analysis (Recap from Last Episode) 17:26 Frankfurt Game Analysis (Recap from Last Episode) 17:45 Bundesliga YouTube Highlight Package 18:43 Relegation battle 19:23 Leeds and Sunderland 20:13 Leeds Team Analysis and Progression Chances 23:26 Leeds, Burnley and Sunderland Defending Well 23:50 Sunderland Team Analysis and Progression Chances 27:20 Patrick's Thoughts on Burnley 28:44 Neel's Thoughts on Burnley 30:45 Aston Villa Analysis 30:54 Ollie Watkins Player Analysis 31:16 Aston Villa Poor Defence and Need for a Managerial Change 31:48 Thoughts on Why Aston Villa Playing Poorly and Need for Tactical Improvement 34:57 West Ham and Wolves 35:19 Nottingham Forest Analysis 37:42 West Ham 40:14 Can Wolves Find a Way Back? 42:00 Neel’s Thoughts on Wolves 43:35 Have Neel's Team Predictions Changed Now? 46:14 Patrick’s Thoughts on Nottingham Forest 48:26 Fulham Team Analysis 51:56 Fulham Needs a Wake-Up Call 52:45 Manchester United Team Analysis and Struggles 55:46 Spurs, Liverpool, Arsenal Recap 56:16 Analysing Spurs' Recent Performance 1:00:52 Liverpool’s Tactical Flexibility 1:06:10 Arsenal’s Defensive Strengths 1:06:58 The Balance of Defence and Attack 1:09:38 Closing Thoughts and Future Insights

Episode 126- Cesc Fabregas: Europe’s Next Top Manager

Thu, 25 Sep 2025 18:58:00 -0000

On today’s episode, Patrick and Neel take a deep dive into some of Europe’s most exciting teams and rising talents this season. They start with Strasbourg, highlighting the young players stepping up and who could be Chelsea’s next big signing. Next, they focus on Como, where Cesc Fabregas is making waves as a manager with innovative tactics, showing why his team could surprise Europe. Finally, they turn to Eintracht Frankfurt, exploring the next forwards coming off the club’s conveyor belt that produced stars like Mouhanni, Ekiteke, and Marmouch, and spotlighting the young talents lighting up the Bundesliga. From breakout stars to tactical experiments, this episode covers everything you need to know about these teams before anyone else.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps: 00:00 Intro

00:40 Hoping for a clean audio recording

00:58 Picks from around Europe

01:28 Italy club picks

01:36 Como: The Rising Star of Serie A

02:16 Como Young talent

02:19 Como Transfer Grade in TTF newsletter

02:35 Nico Paz standout player

02:39 Como young talent signings

03:26 Cesc Fabregas Europes Next Best Manager

03:46 Patricks thoughts on Como this season

05:32 Como’s Unique Style

06:50 Cesc and Como tactic testing and versatility

09:00 Two Improvements Neel has noticed with Como

10:15 What Patrick is interested in seeing with Como

11:33 Como’s Attack Under Fabregas

12:41 How far can Como go?

13:23 What’s Next for Como?

13:56 Jesús Rodríguez X Factor player but is still young

14:18 Strasbourg: The Youngest Team in Europe’s Top League

15:37 The Second Youngest Team in Europe’s Top League

16:09 Strasbourg Young Team

16:04 Rosenior’s Style at Strasbourg

19:31 Strasbourg’s Turbulent Season Start

20:18 Panichelli: Strasbourg’s Big Hope

20:45 The Fallout from Amiga’s Chelsea Move

21:05 Where Will Strasbourg’s Goals Come From?

21:46 Too Much Turnover, Not Enough Chemistry

21:59 Why Strasbourg Are Still Fun to Watch

22:51 Why Young Teams Struggle Creatively

23:13 Diego Moreira: Strasbourg’s Next Big Sale?

24:40 Perfect Fits for Diego Moreira

24:04 Can Any Club Afford Him?

24:11 Chelsea’s Young Player Problem

24:47 Chelsea Sign Every Teenage

25:50 Strasbourg: A Jump on Everyone Else

26:19 Ligue 1’s Weird Start (PSG Struggling)

26:55 Bakwa’s Bright Start at Nottingham Forest

37:29 Elche’s Unique Playing Style

28:28 Possession as a Defensive Strategy

31:00 Quick Passing and Midfield Rotations

32:26 Elche’s Intelligent Approach

33:39 Elche’s Transfer Strategy and Player Development

35:24 The Evolution of Young Team in La Liga

35:46 Tempering Expectations for Elche

36:59 Spain Offers Up Something New

37:22 Promoted Teams Experimenting

37:41 Frankfurt’s Competitive Edge in the Bundesliga

38:57 Uzun Star Player

40:40 Jean-Meteo Bahoya: Talent to Watch

43:35 Frankfurt’s Breakout Stars

43:55 Tactical Analysis of Frankfurt

48:31 Union Saint-Gilloise: A Rising Force

53:18 European Competition and Future Prospects

55:04 Union SG: Top of the League and European Challenges

57:31 Outro

57:53 Find Neel on Twitter & BlueSky

Episode 125 - Arsenal, City & Liverpool | What the Stats Are Really Saying

Mon, 22 Sep 2025 19:55:00 -0000

In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the Premier League’s early season and what it tells us about the top teams. We look at Arsenal versus Man City and explore what we’ve learned from this clash of title contenders. Man City’s performance has been strange so far — what does it mean for the rest of the season? Liverpool’s early season numbers aren’t what we expected, so we dig into what’s really going on there. We also touch on Man United versus Chelsea, as well as a roundup of the other Premier League surprises and takeaways.

Plus, Ted discusses how analytics-minded fans can start a career in football and what beginners often miss when getting started in the game.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:46 Ted’s Liverpool Tweet 01:49 Liverpools Performance Metrics 02:24 Mo Salah Playing Poorly 02:39 Defensive Liverpool Fans 03:40 Liverpool Crushing Atletico Madrid 05:00 Numbers are Against Liverpool 07:00 Liverpool Can Still Succeed 08:30 Ted's Liverpool Transfer Grades 9:30 Fans That Don't Get Angry and Takes Criticism 10:37 Transfer Grades and Team Analysis 12:00 Ted and Patrick Saving Easy Money for Man U 12:44 Hayden’s Transfer Grades 13:07 Great Players But Are They The Right Fit? 13:30 Transfer Prices Analysis 15:37 Patricks Transfer Grade List 15:55 Brighton Team Analysis 16:46 Brighton Need New Head Coach 17:52 Crystal Palace Performance 21:57 How Players Were Graded in Consultancies 23:00 Arsenal vs Manchester City Analysis 24:10 Haajland Like Cristiano Ronaldo 24:45 Marmoush Helping Man City 25:00 Half-Time Subs 25:30 Arsenal and City Performance Metrics 26:45 Pep Guardiola Management Analysis 27:40 Bayern and Kompany 28:15 Analysing Tactical Adaptations in Football 30:40 Gary Neville Criticising Arsenal 31:33 Arsenal Rebuilding Squad 32:13 Liverpool Comparison to Arsenal 32:41 Media Talking Heads Problem 36:16 Fulham team analysis 36:50 Ted’s worry for Brentford 38:30 Brentford players risk elements in team 39:20 Fulham, The Good and Bad 40:26 Man U vs. Chelsea 41:50 Man U Better Than We Thought 42:05 Chelsea Boring 42:00 Chelsea Team and Tactic Problems 45:00 Jao Pedro Poor Attacking 45:30 Strikers Poorly Playing Lately 45:49 How We Graded 47:11 Patrick and Ted on United 48:33 Ted's Thoughts On Man U 49:21The Intersection of Data and Tactics in Football 51:09 Understanding Football and the Models 54:34 How Ted Knows He's Measuring the Right Data 58:09 Seeing What's Missing and Doesn't Exist 59:55 How to Get Started and Learn from mistakes 1:02:00 Outro

Episode 124 - Is this the END for Vinicius at Real Madrid? + UCL Matchday 1 reactions

Thu, 18 Sep 2025 18:20:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel break down another Champions League week. Liverpool win in stoppage time against Atletico Madrid, but did Diego Simeone get it all wrong? Chelsea lose to Bayern in a wide-open game where neither side defended well, are Chelsea in for a rough Champions League run? Real Madrid thrash Marseille, but questions remain about Vinicius’ role and their back line. Finally, Juventus and Dortmund play out another chaotic match, but are either team actually good? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:05 – Atlético vs Liverpool, total beatdown

02:00 – Liverpool’s dominance, Atleti’s weak goals

03:25 – Salah central, Frimpong’s role

04:23 – Liverpool’s shape

05:20 – Atleti’s lack of speed up front

06:53 – Can Liverpool control games?

08:21 – Reliance on Van Dijk & Konate staying fit

09:02 – League vs UCL: will Liverpool’s style work?

11:10 – Comparing Liverpool to Arsenal

12:27 – Chelsea vs Bayern, chaos in Munich

13:27 – Chelsea’s poor defensive block

14:27 – Bayern’s rotations through midfield

15:25 – Bayern cut through Chelsea at will

16:26 – Chelsea’s 0.06 xG second half

17:17 – What Chelsea lack in attack

18:29 – Shot leaders for Chelsea

18:52 – Stock market FC

19:19 – Are Chelsea fans patient enough?

19:46 – Real Madrid vs Marseille

21:05 – Rodrigo in, Vinicius benched again

22:20 – Mbappé leading the press

23:44 – Back line still shaky high up the pitch

24:43 – Real’s high turnovers & composure

25:20 – Madrid press exposes Marseille wide

26:09 – Why Marseille lacked a striker outlet

27:45 – Encouraging signs for Xabi Alonso’s Madrid

28:10 – Vinicius on the bench again

29:25 – Selling high on Vinicius?

30:52 – Madrid’s rotation issues

31:30 – This is Mbappé’s team

32:03 – Juventus vs Dortmund, chaos or quality?

32:46 – When Juve last had back-to-back 7+ goal games

34:43 – Why Juventus are still boring

35:16 – Dortmund’s 0.04 xG at halftime

35:51 – 15 goals in 2 games, only 5 xG combined

37:24 – Dortmund defending like statues

37:47 – Funny but frustrating to watch

38:32 – Both teams still unserious

39:09 – When were Dortmund last actually good?

40:48 – Thursday night football rant

41:36 – Outro & newsletter plug

Episode 123 - We saw the future of Arsenal's best Champions League lineup + Are Spain and Barcelona destroying Lamine Yamal?

Mon, 15 Sep 2025 19:14:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted open with the Manchester Derby as City defeat United 3–0, but who should really be worried? Jeremy Doku delivers his best performance, yet City’s problems remain while United’s defensive structure continues to collapse. They then move on to Juventus’ 4–3 win over Inter in a Serie A thriller, Arsenal’s more direct style with Zubimendi, Eze, and Gyökeres, and Aston Villa’s struggles under Unai Emery. The conversation shifts to the importance of set pieces, how clubs train them, and how to get coaches to buy in. Finally, Hansi Flick warns about overplaying Lamine Yamal, the need to protect young players, and bold ideas for football’s rules and competitions close out the episode.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:43 - Welcoming Ted & CL week buzz

01:27 - Early season uncertainty

02:35 - Man City 3–0 United recap

03:25 - Doku’s best game

03:59 - United’s attack better, defense shaky

04:55 - Tactical holes & rebuild timeline

05:22 - Media noise & overreactions

05:30 - Amorim’s issues & first goal breakdown

07:48 - United’s resilience vs. tactical flaws

08:42 - Over-spending, poor recruitment, and limited options

09:57 - Glasner & United’s coaching futures

10:37 - City let United have the ball — tactical choice or necessity?

11:38 - Doku & Foden inverted roles

12:31 - Midfield fragility, CL test ahead

12:47 - Haaland dependence & Arsenal clash

13:56 - Juventus vs Inter chaos

14:29 - surprisingly low xG

14:58 - Serie A: set pieces & bangers

15:32 - Juve’s compact shape vs Inter shot selection

16:33 - Çalhanoğlu punishes space

16:41 - Juve “evil” football

17:24 - Tactical adaptations & long shots

17:51 - Long throws trend in PL

18:19 - Elite shooters finding space

19:22 - Arsenal’s new directness

20:00 - Calafiori–Eze–Gyökeres link-up

20:37 - Arsenal’s best transition lineup?

21:16 - Zubimendi brace

21:37 - Aston Villa struggles

22:03 - Ted never believed in Emery

22:39 - Poor attack, dreadful start

23:07 - Bad xG, no goals scored

23:51 - Everton away embarrassment

24:37 - Injuries & signings (Sancho, Elliott)

25:29 - Big spend, poor squad build

26:19 - Emery’s 3rd season curse

27:21 - Midland’s preview curse

27:50 - How Analytics meets set-piece coaching

28:55 - How analysts get buy-in at clubs

29:45 - Recruitment & set piece work

30:39 - Coaches resisting change

31:37 - Brentford examples & connecting credibility dots

33:24 - Training time needed

33:51 - Goalkeeper vision blockers

35:26 - Coaching salaries & value

36:02 - Early adopters sustain edges

36:54 - NFL-style adaptations

38:22 - Isolating weak defenders

38:35 - Garnacho’s long throw lapse

39:38 - Set-piece pioneers

40:21 - Sir Alex Ferguson’s late-career set-piece shift

42:23 - Lower leagues ripe for set-piece edge

43:36 - Player data & career control (teaser)

44:22 - Flick warns on Yamal workload

45:04 - Club vs international risk

46:59 - Young players’ fragility

47:58 - Fabregas & Wilshere comparisons

48:52 - Spain & Barca overplay their stars

49:36 - Hazard, Sterling early peaks

50:25 - Protecting young talent

50:36 - Patreon coming soon!

52:17 - B-roll: lowbrow YouTube football

53:03 - Set-piece arms race

53:20 - Are set pieces a problem? Tony Pulis/Stoke era memories

54:10 - Rule changes: penalties, throw-ins, time wasting

55:16 - American vs. European attitudes to rule changes

56:15 - Trialing rule changes in the Netherlands

57:35 - Why fans resist big shifts

59:18 - Penalty arcs & alternative spots

01:00:15 - UEFA-wide knockout tournament

Episode 122 - Why Pep HAS TO win the Manchester Derby + Does Ange Postecoglou fit Nottingham Forest?

Wed, 10 Sep 2025 18:10:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden begin with The Manchester Derby as Pep Guardiola’s side face United, Napoli, and Arsenal in a defining stretch. Can City survive the derby and turn their season around? Then, Nottingham Forest sack Nuno and bring in Ange Postecoglou, but is this radical shift in style a gamble too far? Next, more Champions League previews: Liverpool take on Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid face Marseille, and Tottenham battle Villarreal. Who are the dark horses in Europe this season? And finally, which Italian sides look best placed to make a run? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

02:09 – United, Napoli & Arsenal: Can City Survive?

03:17 – Pep’s Injury Problems & Defensive Concerns

06:40 – City’s Pressing Issues & Tactical Weaknesses

08:31 – What City Need from Stones, Doku & Foden

12:58 – Can Savio Replace Marmoush?

14:05 – What to Watch for in City’s Next Games

15:52 – What Would Excite Us About City?

17:07 – First Manchester Derby with United Ahead of City Since 2015

18:10 – Nottingham Forest Sack Nuno for Ange Postecoglou

19:23 – Why the Change? Power Struggle & Playing Style Shift

21:40 – How Forest’s New Signings Fit Ange’s System

23:46 – Concerns About Ange’s Training & Style at Forest

25:02 – Which Players Could Thrive Under Ange?

26:32 – Is This Too Risky for Forest?

27:58 – Champions League Previews Begin

28:32 – Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid

30:06 – Can Liverpool’s New Attack Click?

33:13 – Why Atleti Could Go Back to Basics

33:43 – Liverpool vs Real Madrid Preview

34:53 – Real Madrid’s Electric Start under Xabi Alonso

36:29 – Huijsen, Vinicius & Mbappé’s Impact

37:15 – Can Madrid Evolve into a More Controlling Side?

38:06 – Flick’s Barcelona & How They Press

39:24 – Spurs vs Villarreal Preview

40:24 – Two Wildcards with Something to Prove

41:45 – Pressure on Spurs & Villarreal

43:06 – Who Are the Champions League Dark Horses - Galatasaray curious?

44:15 – Benfica, Bilbao, and Frankfurt as Potential Surprises

47:25 – How Good Are Serie A’s UCL Teams?

48:30 – Atalanta, Inter, Napoli, Juventus — Who Can Compete?

50:19 – Which Teams Make the Top 8?

51:20 – Why This Season’s UCL Feels Wide Open

52:06 – The New Format & Why It’s Great for Fans

53:30 – Where to find the guys

Episode 121 - Newcastle are real UEFA Champions League Contenders + Is Antonio Conte Pep's BIGGEST Nightmare?

Mon, 08 Sep 2025 19:16:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted begin with Tottenham Hotspur and life after Daniel Levy. Why was he let go and what does his departure mean for Spurs’ future? Then, we look ahead to the Champions League: can Antonio Conte’s Napoli exploit Pep Guardiola’s fragile Manchester City? Next, Juventus face Dortmund in a clash of two fallen giants. Are Juventus finally fun again and has Dortmund lost its edge? Newcastle vs Barcelona could be the nightmare matchup for Hansi Flick's side, while Bayern Munich host Chelsea in a battle of two teams still figuring out their identities. The episode wraps up with some news on future content, a tangent on K-Pop Demon Hunters, and Ted’s wild story about meeting a Taiwanese mafia boss at a boy band concert. Enjoy!

Moe's Woltemade article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/nick-woltemade-isn-t-exactly-an-alexander-isak-replacement

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:12 – Ted on Levy’s Legacy at Tottenham

05:39 – Why Spurs Fell Behind

07:41 – Spurs Ownership & Recruitment Shake-Up

10:11 – Football Execs vs Coaches: Who’s Paid More?

11:05 – Transfer Grades Coming Soon

12:10 – UCL Matchday 1 Previews Begin

12:55 – Man City vs Napoli: Conte vs Pep

17:36 – Conte the UCL Nightmare?

19:10 – Juventus vs Dortmund Preview

21:43 – Juventus Look Different This Season

23:03 – Dortmund’s Decline & Lost Edge

24:23 – Patrick Rants About Juventus

26:15 – Newcastle vs Barcelona Preview

29:18 – Why Newcastle Could Trouble Barça

33:06 – Voltemata’s Price Tag Debate

34:38 – How Far Can Newcastle Go in UCL?

35:26 – Bayern Munich vs Chelsea Preview

39:28 – Did Chelsea Get Worse in Attack?

40:55 – Why Bayern Still Look Dangerous

41:41 – Chelsea’s Pressing & Defensive Weakness

41:58 – Wrapping Up UCL Previews

42:37 – Transfer Flow Community Shoutouts

44:36 – B-roll: K-Pop Demon Hunters

48:03 – Ted’s Taiwan Mafia K-Pop Story

50:05 – Singapore Brothel Story & Zhang Ziyi

52:27 – Movie Talk: Michelle Yeoh, Jamie Lee Curtis & More

Episode 120 - The Next World-Class Manager + What's Wrong With Atlético Madrid?

Wed, 03 Sep 2025 18:05:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden begin by breaking down Bayer Leverkusen sacking Erik ten Hag after just 2 Bundesliga matches. Where did it all go wrong? Then, Oliver Glasner has a tough job at Crystal Palace, but is he the next world-class manager? Next, Atletico Madrid have struggled to open the season, but are Diego Simeone's new tactics working? Juventus made some interesting moves this summer, does the addition of Loïs Openda make them Serie A title contenders? The episode ends with unsung moves of the window, including Brian Brobbey to Sunderland, Samuel Chukwueze to Fulham, and Florentino Luis to Burnley. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:04 - The amount of money Premier Leagues have spent

01:39 - Leverkusen sack Erik ten Hag

02:25 - Didn’t come as a shock

04:07 - Comparisons to Xabi Alonso

05:18 - If you have the wrong fit, fire fast

06:43 - What kind of manager will they get?

08:14 - Glasner = Next Bayern Munich manager?

09:24 - Turning down the Guehi move

09:43 - Oliver Glasner’s future is very bright

10:14 - Other landing spots for Glasner?

11:00 - Arsenal are competing, why do people want Arteta gone?

13:08 - Diego Simeone and Atletico Madrid’s struggles

13:55 - Is this what we expected to see?

14:59 - They’re playing more with the ball

15:56 - More about new players than the tactics

17:27 - We’re seeing new things out of Simeone

18:40 - They’ve looked good, just not fully clicking

20:20 - If Atleti want to compete in La Liga they need a more dominant style

20:33 - Juventus making moves

21:16 - Openda to Juve

22:25 - Using Openda’s skill to dictate how you play

23:42 - Does their squad composition make sense?

25:11 - Openda could push the right team over the edge

26:07 - Interesting moves from other top Italian teams

26:57 - Openda and David together could work

28:28 - Juve were SLOW last year

30:06 - Will their dribblers make things work?

30:27 - Kolo Muani debate comparison

31:21 - Kolo Muani at Tottenham NOT as a backup striker

32:04 - Moves that caught our eyes from the end of the window

32:30 - Brian Brobbey to Sunderland

33:17 - He’s played for ball dominant teams, but that’s not Sunderland

34:22 - Sunderland were VERY aggressive this summer

35:06 - The price for Brobbey is very good

36:05 - Are Sunderland going to stay up?

37:48 - Leeds’ business may cause them to go down

38:30 - Sunderland’s style of play may allow them to stay in the Premier League

39:40 - Sunderland had a Liverpool-like window to improve their future outlook?

40:49 - Samuel Chukwueze to Fulham

42:13 - A different element to the Fulham attack

43:13 - They need more moves like this next year

43:45 - Florentino Luis to Burnley is incredible for them

44:25 - Adding top-level experience will help the Burnley squad

45:24 - In a window of overspending, this move has very high upside

46:50 - In 8-10 weeks we’ll see what these teams REALLY are

Episode 119 - Liverpool Beat Arsenal AND Win the Transfer Window

Mon, 01 Sep 2025 18:48:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted breakdown an INSANE deadline day and cover the action from the past weekend. Liverpool defeated Arsenal, 1-0, but have they done it off the field with a £130 million deal to sign Alexander Isak? Did they win the transfer window? On the other hand, Manchester City lost to Brighton, 2-1, but have they made a mistake this summer? Spurs lost to Bournemouth, Villa are losing to everyone, and Everton are making things work somehow? Plus Nicolas Jackson, Randall Kolo Muani, have teams finally figured out Pep, Woltemade and Wissa to Newcastle and so much more!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:25 - A wild deadline day

02:17 - Florentino Luis

03:13 - Teams are much better at evaluations now

03:58 - Tyrique George leaving Chelsea

04:58 - Moves coming from earlier in the summer + kolo Muani

05:54 - Brennan Johnson?

07:25 - Injury concern for Spurs? + Lucking into good moves

08:36 - They still need a passer

09:38 - Chelsea have gummed up the whole window

10:49 - Xavi Simons and Nico Jackson

11:15- Facundo Buonanotte?

12:44 - Chelsea made good sales, but were they correct moves?

14:22 - Always sold well

16:14 - Downgrades at many positions?

17:32 - Spurs did nothing with the ball

17:50 - Bournemouth and David Brooks

19:30 - Alexander Isak to Liverpool + Arsenal game

20:53 - Real depth and star power now

23:50 - Liverpool haven’t been good yet have 9 points

24:44 - Szoboszlai at RB?

25:20 - Arsenal were very conservative

27:00 - Arsenal went win now

28:29 - Age profile is favorable to Arsenal

29:26 - Will their Academy produce top level talent?

30:30 - Liverpool's defense is wobbly?

31:06 - Wirtz is THE ONE

31:50 - Ekitike's fit with Isak?

33:30 - Should sub elite teams save money for next year?

35:00 - Premier League premium

37:28 - Merlin for Everton

38:13 - Everton are think, but they had a solid window

39:13 - Villa fans are very concerned

40:16 - VIlla have been dreadful through 3 games

41:23 - Harvey Elliot and Jadon Sancho

42:50 - Grealish would’ve been a great fit + Lucas Paqueta

44:08 - Man City worries?

44:50 - City’s late window moves don’t make sense

45:30 - City fell off as soon as Rodri got tired

46:44 - Brighton kept 4 men up

47:15 - Similar story to the end of Klopp’s era?

48:05 - City have given teams tape to exploit

48:43 - Cover for Rodri?

49:40 - Teams hybrid pressing

50:40 - The pep school of coaches is finally getting tested

51:25 - Man United have the most shots in the Premier League

53:03 - Angelo Stiller to Manchester United?

53:35 - Has your opinion of City changed?

55:19 - Sunderland's window is very tough to evaluate

55:44 - Did Forest get any better?

56:25 - Woltemade and Wissa for Newcastle

57:31 - The big + little act, but is the money way too high?

58:45 - Newcastle handled this window the wrong way

01:00:34 - The bust potential goes down significantly

01:01:33 - The fees are absurd at the moment

01:02:23 - Live streaming?

01:03:08 - 92m for Thomas Lemar? + transfer window stories

01:03:40 - West Ham paying 85m for Todibo and Mateus Fernandes?

01:04:33 - The best window in recent memory

01:05:32 - Transfer grades coming in 2 weeks!

Episode 118 - Why Kobbie Mainoo Isn’t Cut Out For the Premier League + Liverpool vs. Arsenal Preview

Wed, 27 Aug 2025 18:30:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss Liverpool's early season struggles and preview their matchup against Arsenal. Is something wrong with their attack? Next, Piero Hincapie is linked to an Arsenal move, but does he fix their problems? Then Kobbie Mainoo wants out of Manchester United, but where should he go and is he really a good fit for the Premier League? The episode finishes with discussions on Garnacho or Xavi Simons for Chelsea and Jørgen Strand Larsen's rumoured £55m move from Wolves to Newcastle. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:13 - Liverpool’s strange start to the season

02:14 - Newcastle were able to apply pressure

03:24 - Szoboszlai at RB?

04:14 - Concerns for Liverpool

05:27 - Expectations for Liverpool vs. Arsenal

06:43 - Wirtz needs to get on the ball

07:57 - Losing progression in wide areas

10:08 - Arsenal will shell and try to play transition

10:54 - Liverpool looked uncomfortable against set pieces

12:12 - Problems if Salah can’t threaten Arsenal

12:54 - Issues with the Liverpool squad

14:00 - A good time for Arsenal to be playing Liverpool, except for Saka's injury

15:10 - Will Eze come in and contribute already? + Gakpo

17:00 - Eze and Madueke starting on the wings?

18:00 - Good depth for Arsenal in this game

18:52 - Piero Hincapie to Arsenal?

20:20 - Is he the left-back they’re missing?

22:04 - Gives you lots of flexibility

24:17 - Is the price fair?

27:06 - Lots of similar style players in the squad?

28:30 - Lewis-Skelly to take some of Declan Rice’s minutes?

29:25 - Kobbie Mainoo wants out of Manchester United?

29:53 - Unable to find a home in Amorim’s system

30:20 - Very technical, but slow

31:50 - United won’t get the fee they want for him

32:35 - Is the Premier League the right place for Mainoo?

33:50 - Better suited for Italy or Spain?

34:42 - Inter Milan can’t pay what United want

35:24 - Mainoo needs regular minutes

36:12 - Jackson out at Chelsea, should Garnacho or Simons replace him?

37:24 - Garnacho doesn’t really fit Chelsea’s pace of play

38:07 - Simons can also backup Cole Palmer

39:00 - Previous talk of Garnacho to Chelsea

39:42 - Lower wages and fee for Garnacho?

40:48 - Simons fits the system better

41:41 - Flipping Garnacho for profit?

43:20 - Garnacho could add shots which Chelsea are lacking

44:40 - Strand Larsen linked to Newcastle for £55m?

45:41 - A bad idea for Newcastle?

46:27 - Wolves can reinvest that sum + desperation for Newcastle?

48:12 - 35 or 40 million would be a better price

50:04 - The price makes you expect more from the player

51:27 - They still need an attacking midfielder

52:18 - Where to find Patrick and Hayden

Episode 117 - How Thomas Frank Has Changed Tottenham Hotspur + How Should Palace Replace Eberechi Eze?

Mon, 25 Aug 2025 18:05:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel take a look at Manchester City vs Tottenham and how Thomas Frank has impacted Spurs already. Then, Nuno Espírito Santo and Nottingham Forest are in a disagreement over their recruitment, but does his strategy make sense? Next, they look at Crystal Palace's options to replace Eberechi Eze and wrap up the episode discussing Real Madrid's rough start to the season, their inability to create goals from open play, and how they differ from Barcelona. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:19 - Manchester City vs Tottenham takeaways + Tijjani Reijnders

02:19 - City’s goalkeeping problem

03:27 - Solving City’s buildup?

04:12 - Is Rico Lewis good enough for City?

05:04 - Ederson’s absence

06:53 - Thomas Frank’s selling point

08:14 - Contrast to the Super Cup

09:02 - The Burnley win

10:15 - Spurs showing versatility

11:25 - Backing spurs to finish top 6?

12:05 - Savinho?

12:56 -Improvements in dribbling vs last season

14:24 - Nottingham Forest’s start to the season

15:29 - Disagreement over recruitment

16:30 - Edu and Nuno aren’t aligned + recent signings

18:48 - Omari Hutchinson for 40m+?

19:30 - Arnaud Kalimuendo

20:48 - Fullback and GK depth

22:30 - Is Nuno’s plan smart?

24:01 - Forest can leapfrog Palace, but they’re doing this instead

24:54 - Who do Palace get to replace Eze?

25:28 - Christos Tzolis

27:26 - The right fit for Palace? + high usage player

29:23 - Not an amazing dribbler

31:34 - Does he fit the 3-4-2-1?

33:17 - Yeremy Pino

35:05 - Plugging into Eze’s role?

37:04 - Good numbers, but no standout season?

38:08 - Pino or Tzolis?

38:56 - Who runs the attack then?

40:03 - Real Madrid’s shaky start to the year

42:00 - Lack of ball movement

43:47 - Contract to Barcelona

44:30 - Real Madrid will have a better defence than Barca

45:22 - Super left biased

46:00 - Mbappe at striker is underrated?

46:40 - Hayden’s idea to sell Vinicius

47:50 - When rubbish shots are ok

48:53 - Good counter pressing and defensive structure?

50:15 - Guler midfield experiment

51:12 - Lots of defensive work even against a weak side?

52:10 - Interesting to see them vs stronger teams

52:48 - Lamine Yamal shot selection

Episode 116 - Is this teenager the future of Italian football + 5 other talents you need to know

Thu, 21 Aug 2025 18:20:00 -0000

On this episode, Hayden and Neel look at 6 breakout talents across Europe that you must know this season. he players are Oscar Gloukh (Ajax), Ayyoub Bouaddi (Lille), Javi Guerra (Valencia), Rodrigo Mora (Porto), Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal/Minnesota), Francesco Camarda (Lecce/AC Milan). What makes these players special, what clubs could be interested in the future, and what should we expect from them in the upcoming season? Stick around until the end of the episode to hear Neel put Patrick on fraud watch over Tijjani Reijnders. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:17 - Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

02:51 - What role will he play at Ajax?

03:41 - Standout Qualities

05:00 - Similar money move to Jonathan Rowe

06:10 - Earning a spot in midfield

07:35 - Excitement over his addition

08:43 - Javi Guerra (Valencia)

10:21 - Good defensive coverage with ability to get in the box

11:27 - Carlos Corberán’s first season in charge

13:48 - More than meets the eye

15:07 - Good risks to take

16:09 - Ayyoub Bouaddi (Lille)

17:22 - Champions League minutes

18:26 - Positional discipline

19:35 - Ability in tight spaces

21:17 - Ability out of possession

23:09 - Eye test passes more than the numbers at the moment

25:27 - Game vs Real Madrid

26:25 - Arsenal to sign him? + He’s a Mikel Arteta guy

28:03 - Other top teams interested - Leverkusen or Frankfurt?

30:05 - Rodrigo Mora (Porto)

32:16 - Standout in a free-roam role

34:33 - In a too pass-heavy system for his traits?

36:11 - Traits that make him appealling to Farioli

38:56 - Potential teams interested in the future

40:05 - Most exciting player to revisit

41:19 - Strikers are all the rage

41:49 - Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal/Minnesota United)

42:51 - Minnesota United are an interesting team

45:16 - Oluwaseyi is so explosive

46:34 - Replacing Thierno Barry?

48:55 - Francesco Camarda (Lecce/AC Milan)

50:24 - Milan youth talent = future of Italian football?

52:24 - Intelligence in his movement

54:38 - Good fit in Lecce’s squad

56:55 - Fraud Watch.. For PATRICK?

Episode 115 - What we learned from Premier League Matchday 1

Mon, 18 Aug 2025 18:17:00 -0000

On this episode, Neel and Hayden discuss Premier League Matchday 1! They start with how you should evaluate early season games, then cover the important matchups from the opening weekend. They look at Manchester United vs Arsenal, Liverpool vs. Bournemouth, Wolves v Manchester City, Chelsea vs Crystal Palace, Newcastle vs Aston Villa and preview Leeds vs Everton. What is there to take away from the start of the EPL season? Enjoy!

Get our Premier League Previews: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:23 - How to evaluate early season games

02:15 - Club World Cup weirdness

04:04 - What to watch for

05:37 - Man United vs Arsenal

06:04 - An uncharacteristic performance from Arteta?

07:10 - Need more from Gyokeres

08:15 - Arsenal’s press wasn’t the same

09:58 - Casemiro and Bruno Fernades showed improvement

12:13 - Liverpool v Bournemouth

13:26 - This game highlighted questions at the back for Liverpool

14:49 - Kerkez the right signing for Liverpool?

16:25 - Underrated part of Andy Robertson’s game

16:58 - This was the Ekitike show

19:35 - Wirtz and Mac Allister combinations

20:24 - Will Liverpool be able to protect themselves?

21:16 - Could Gravenberch be a solution?

22:25 - Liverpool need Van Dijk at his peak

24:10 - Slot = Better Bosz ball?

26:44 - How will their other option play out in UCL?

27:33 - Wolves v Man City + John Stones and Rico Lewis

28:16 - The scoreline was a little deceiving

29:22 - 35% possession at times in the 2nd half

29:50 - Long ball for goal #3

30:53 - No answers about City’s press

31:18 - Reijnders looked good, but questions remain

32:03 - Haaland is looking for guys to link up with him

33:04 - Nico Gonzalez lacks some of the speed/quickness that’s needed from him

33:35 - Where do John Stones and Rico Lewis fit in

34:45 - Stones pushing into midfield?

36:28 - Still more to learn about Wolves

36:50 - Rayan Ait-Nouri looked very comfortable

38:22 - Chelsea vs Crystal Palace

39:40 - Reece James is underrated for Chelsea

40:30 - Palace were solid defensively, but do Chelsea’s wingers offer enough?

41:44 - Missing Jackson to stretch the defense

42:05 - Cole Palmer looked like himself, despite not having the best game

44:02 - Disallowed goal may have been allowed in previous years

44:44 - Palace has a solid front 3 if they can keep them together

45:26 - Adam Wharton + how long can Palace keep him?

46:45 - Palace still want to get a few players in

47:22 - Newcastle vs Aston Villa

48:17 - Open game at the start, then became quite boring

49:43 - United and Newcastle lack a box presence

51:20 - Newcastle’s biggest weakness is against teams that sit back

52:16 - Newcastle will be busy as the window closes

53:25 - Leeds vs Everton preview

53:55 - Big game for the relegation race

55:30 - Where will Leeds press the Everton team? + Everton fans want them to be aggressive

57:15 - How will Everton function?

Episode 114 - EPL Hot Takes: Overrated, Underrated, and Sack Race

Thu, 14 Aug 2025 18:04:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel take stock of the Premier League before the season starts. Who are the over and underrated teams? Which players should you keep an eye on? Which managers should we be concerned about? We cover Brighton, Brentford, Forest, Manchester City, Manchester United, Everton, and much more. Enjoy!

Get our Premier League Previews: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:56 - Premier League Previews!

02:21 - Neel’s overrated team: Nottingham Forest

03:24 - Reasons to be pessimistic

04:54 - Must deal with Europa League now

06:02 - Questions about depth?

07:26 - Overperformance last season?

09:37 - Quality depth

12:09 - Patrick’s overrated team: Brighton

13:35 - Fraud watch for Hürzeler?

16:09 - More bets on young players?

17:54 - Little change from last season

19:47 - Weird transfer decisions

21:19 - Fan expectation

23:40 - Neel’s underrated team: Brentford

24:41 - Unknowns with Keith Andrews

26:58 - Trusting Brentford

30:12 - Faith they can replace Wissa

31:16 - Patrick’s underrated team: Everton

32:03 - Reasons to be positive

33:25 - The need for someone to step up at DM

34:17 - Grealish resurgence?

36:10 - Neel has Everton 16th

37:15 - Neel’s player to watch: Yankuba Minteh

40:00 - Minteh’s ability to adapt

41:17 - Standout qualities

42:52 - Where he can improve

45:05 - Everything is in place for him to take a leap

47:20 - Patrick’s player to watch: Rayan Cherki

48:53 - He’s a test for how good City will do this year

50:58 - Challenges for Pep this season

52:40 - Donnarumma = City of FRAUD WATCH?

54:36 - Pep is a control freak + Savio

56:58 - Don’t bet against Pep, but should we be?

58:09 - More fraud watch?

58:35 - Patrick’s concern - Ruben Amorim

01:00:18 - They NEED midfielders

01:02:20 - Is Amorim’s position safe?

01:03:45 - United in the Wenger Zone?

01:04:22 - Not impressed with last season + Donnarumma

01:05:23 - Neel’s Concern: Graham Potter

01:06:19 - Potter’s reputation since the Chelsea job

01:08:20 - Inability to attack

01:10:00 - Not being backed in the window

01:10:56 - Some positivity?

01:12:30 - Everyone too positive about Leeds?

01:13:07 - Next hire options for West Ham?

Episode 113 - Rebuilding Newcastle: Replacing Alexander Isak and Improving Midfield

Tue, 12 Aug 2025 17:54:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden take a look at Newcastle's new signings, find new strikers and evaluate players like Samu Omorodion, Nicolas Jackson and Mika Biereth, and discuss how the Magpies can diversify their options in midfield. The episode ends with our predictions for the upcoming season. Enjoy!

Get our Premier League Previews: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:08 - Newcastle's moves this summer

01:36 - Remaining issues for Newcastle

02:57 - The dangers of waiting to do your business

03:33 - Newcastle need another forward

04:19 - Isak's profile + how to replace him

05:46 - Prioritizing fit in team vs star qualities?

06:36 - Nicolas Jackson the best option?

07:18 - Samu Omorodion?

08:28 - Sorloth or Artem Dovbyk?

09:29 - They need 2 forwards now don't they? + Yoane Wissa

10:16 - Loïs Openda and Mika Biereth?

11:15 - Finding two options that fit is hard

12:23 - Getting more of a sure thing?

13:10 - Taking a risk on Lucas Stassin?

14:35 - Getting more creativity out of their midfield?

16:00 - Newcastle's desire to play out of the back

17:20 - Giving up physicality to get more passing in the side? + Lewis Miley

18:20 - Murphy and Elanga on the right wing

19:25 - Worry creating against deeper defenses?

20:44 - Would Damsgaard make more sense than Wissa?

22:40 - Availability for players is key for Newcastle's remaining window

23:26 - Ismaël Bennacer and Angelo Stiller

24:15 - Tanner Tessmann?

25:50 - Romano Schmid

27:00 - Newcastle spend NO time in a mid block

28:33 - Solving this position with players in different spots?

29:45 - Newcastle will have a ton more games this season

31:23 - Newcastle's core is still together, but there are late market options

33:00 - If Isak was starting this week we'd be quite positive about Newcastle

33:45 - Most other sides have more turnover than Newcastle

34:50 - Isak is the biggest difference maker outside of the top 4

35:40 - How will they do against low blocks without Isak? + Set piece importance

37:02 - Tino Livramento to Man City? Or cornerstone for the future

38:07 - Lots of teams could get use out of Jacob Murphy

38:51 - Having to sell Minteh was painful

40:01 - Reasons for optimism? or a stressful few weeks?

40:33 - Pressure on Sven Botman if no new additions?

41:16 - Newcastle Finish Predictions?

42:45 - Confidence in how settled the Newcastle squad is

44:10 - Too hard about the Isak situation?

45:20 - Premier League previews and our upcoming content!

Episode 112 - Serie A is WIDE OPEN this season + Sesko Chooses Manchester United

Wed, 06 Aug 2025 17:17:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss Benjamin Sesko choosing Manchester United over Newcastle. How does he fit in at United and have Newcastle fumbled their summer window? Then, we take a look at Serie A teams in what is shaping up to be a fantastic battle at the top of the league. Is Sandro Tonali worth £55m for Juventus, how much is Nkunku worth to Inter Milan (and will Chelsea agree to the price?), Roma are linked to Georges Mikautadze, and are Como quietly cooking this summer? Enjoy!

Get our Premier League Previews: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:41 - Premier League previews are LIVE!

01:09 - Benjamin Sesko chooses Manchester United

02:30 - Pieces to like and some to worry about

03:41 - Will United add more Central Midfielders?

04:36 - Does the Sesko price drive up Nicolas Jackson’s price?

04:59 - Newcastle are in a challenging spot

06:18 - Newcastle needed to get more business done early

07:20 - What separates smart clubs from others?

08:13 - Do Newcastle gamble on keeping Isak?

09:50 - Newcastle have minutes that they need people to soak up

10:38 - Serie A player movement

11:08 - Juventus linked to Sandro Tonali

12:06 - What Juventus see in Tonali

13:14 - Major questions around Juventus

14:18 - Juve’s midfielders are jack of all trades

15:38 - Will Tonali translate to another hub?

16:31 - Newcastle swapping Tonali for Gallagher?

17:44 - Would the perception of Tonali be different if he was English?

18:38 - The top of the Serie A table is wide open

19:02 - Vlahovic to United rumours (pre-Sesko)

20:43 - Signing strikers vs midfielders for United

21:36 - Newcastle or Aston Villa for Vlahovic?

22:30 - Inter Milan squad turnover and Lookman deal stalling

23:18 - Lookman gamebreaking runs and passes behind

24:33 - Inter need a guy like Lookman

25:38 - Nkunku linked to Inter also?

26:26 - Chelsea fans want too much for Nkunku?

27:41 - Some players fit Serie A and not other leagues

28:23 - EPL teams want players to fit cleanly

29:07 - Morgan Rogers altering his skillset?

30:03 - Where Chelsea is looking to sell Nkunku

30:30 - Nkunku led the Bundesliga in scoring in his last full season

31:51 - If Chelsea want to sell him they must reduce the fee

32:44 - Buying AC Milan stock this year?

34:00 - Teams outside the top 4 could challenge for the title/UCL

34:50 - Roma’s risk on Evan Ferguson and Georges Mikautadze/Fabio Silva

36:04 - Which player they pick shapes the direction of the team

37:55 - Why don’t we hear more about Mikautadze?

39:08 - Playing with Ferguson

40:08 - Gasparini could just materialize a solution

40:44 - Serie A could have a LOT of shakeup

41:17 - Sarri at Lazio + Lots of contenders

42:00 - No elite talent squad + elite manager and Como could be interesting

44:17 - Help us out + Premier League Previews!

Episode 111 - Isak Replacements Ranked + Chelsea & Manchester United Chase Barca Youngster

Mon, 04 Aug 2025 18:44:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss whether RB Leipzig should take a risk on Rasmus Hojlund. Then, Manchester United and Chelsea are battling over Fermin Lopez, but just how good is the Barcelona youngster? The episode finishes with us checking in on Burnley, looking at a possible James Maddison replacement for Spurs, and picking Newcastle's Alexander Isak replacement. Enjoy!

Get our Premier League Previews: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:21 - Subscribe to us + EPL previews!

02:47 - Rasmus Hojlund leaving Manchester United

03:40 - Is there still value is Hojlund?

04:38 - What type of footballer is he?

05:35 - Worth the risk if cost is low?

06:30 - Competent but not elite at anything?

08:17 - Are United linked with the wrong RN Leipzig forward?

09:15 - Selling at the right time is a skill + the RB group

09:50 - Usual player progression

10:40 - Explaining why a negative trend happened

11:45 - The scarcity of good forward options is overplayed

12:58 - Players that have quietly moved this window

13:23 - Fermin Lopez linked to Chelsea and Manchester United

14:11 - How do we gauge how good he might be?

15:38 - Central shots disappearing last year, but higher creativity

16:53 - Can he operate in tighter spaces?

17:51 - Skills we can be confident about translating

19:30 - The biggest area between fan analysts and pros?

20:31 - Evolution of xG

21:17 - Not all passes are the same also

22:30 - Differentiating between passing numbers

24:19 - Manchester United should not sign him

25:00 - Burnley conversation

25:34 - Setting up to be a yo-yo team? + Acquisitions

26:55 - The world's biggest defensive xG overperformance

27:51 - How is Marcus Edwards 26?

28:33 - Loum Tchaouna and Armando Broja

30:27 - Bashir Humphreys

31:44 - Lucas Stassin

32:35 - Setting themselves up well if they get relegated + Scott Parker confidence

34:12 - Managers standing in the rain

34:42 - Bilal El Khannouss + James Maddison injury

35:45 - Go on loan to promoted teams, not permanent deals

36:40 - Where should he go?

37:43 - Seeing more and more young players move

38:20 - Spurs have money available

39:00 - Buonanotte options?

40:58 - Late in the window for Bundesliga teams?

43:13 - Enzo Millot choosing Saudi over Atletico Madrid and Spurs

43:33 - Would YOU move to Saudi for 5x wages?

45:12 - Coaches face this decision also + Roger Schmidt

46:28 - Jordan Henderson gave up quite a lot

47:32 - Newcastle linked with a bunch of Forwards - Rank them

48:40 - Age, wages and what we expect to happen

49:30 - Figure out your risks and Nicolas Jackson at 60m vs 90m

50:09 - Concern with Openda’s trending at Leipzig?

50:30 - Gonçalo Ramos

51:03 - Worry about Sesko at the price and productivity from last season

51:42 - Sesko or Jackson at the same price?

52:50 - What’s the order then? + Reasoning

53:42 - There should be more links to Ramos

54:10 - Sesko might succeed, but it feels risky

55:13 - What Newcastle fans should think

56:30 - B-Roll (Premier League previews + Fans getting angry at Ted and Patrick)

Episode 110 - Chelsea's transfer strategy is starting to make sense + Finding homes for Man United's castaways

Wed, 30 Jul 2025 17:43:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden start by Jorel Hato to Chelsea. Is Chelsea's business this summer all starting to make sense? Then, Jack Grealish is linked to Everton and West Ham, but does he fit at either club? Next, we try to find a home for Manchester United's castaways. Where should Jadon Sancho, Garnacho, and the rest be looking? The episode ends with discuss of Enzo Millot to Atletico Madrid and transfers we want to happen this summer, including new landings spots for Vinicius Jr. and Endrick. Enjoy!

Social Media Intern application: https://forms.gle/Foie8UWNcpQgU1jq9

Get our Premier League Previews: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:01 - Chelsea’s add Jorrel Hato

02:12 - Hato at Ajax

03:11 - How Hato fits at Chelsea

04:12 - A transition back to a position he’s played

06:38 - Chelsea changing build up structure?

07:21 - Maresca’s teams are well drilled

08:23 - How Gittens fits in

09:16 - Is something changing with how Chelsea are doing business?

10:46 - Raises are on someone else's dime

12:08 - Contract length helping amortization

13:11 - Getting out of bad contracts

14:55 - Jack Grealish linked with Everton and West Ham

15:58 - Questions as a playmaking 10

16:58 - Fit at West Ham?

18:11 - Grealish gives Potter more control

18:52 - Questions about Everton

19:29 - Who is Grealish now?

20:38 - Similarities to Jadon Sancho and fit in Serie A?

21:52 - Serie A vs Bundesliga

23:40 - Should Palace be targeting Man United players?

25:33 - Garnacho is always linked to the wrong clubs

26:34 - Would they accept moves to these teams?

28:28 - Finding a team that can best utilize abilities

29:04 - Will he want to leave?

30:01 - Enzo Millot to Atletico Madrid

30:46 - Uncertainty with Griezmann

31:54 - Atletico’s moves this summer + A good price for Millot

33:28 - Setting up for more goals?

35:27 - Moves we want to see happen

36:01 - Hayden Hackney to Ipswich Town

37:00 - Did Sunderland make a mistake?

37:55 - Evann Guessand to Crystal Palace?

40:30 - James Ward-Prowse to a bubble team?

41:45 - His free kick talent

43:07 - Finding a team for Angelo Stiller

45:17 - Should Tottenham go for Vinicius?

45:56 - Son out the door?

46:50 - What is going on with Endrick?

47:21 - Brighton??

49:06 - Come work for us!

Episode 109 - Do Manchester United Need Donnarumma? + The Best and Worst Transfers of the Summer

Mon, 28 Jul 2025 18:29:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing why the Alexander Isak saga and Newcastle's lack of moves this summer. Then they discuss Morgan Gibbs-White's new deal and if it saved Spurs from themselves. Next, Gianluigi Donnarumma is trying to leave PSG, but does Man United make sense for him? The episode wraps up with Everton's busy summer window and sharing the best and worst transfers of the Summer window (so far!). Enjoy!

Get our Premier League Previews: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:45 - Premier League Previews

01:57 - What is Alexander Isak thinking?

03:27 - Newcastle have been slow

04:15 - Players wanting moves without running down contracts

04:27 - What happens next for Isak?

05:57 - Does next summer make more sense?

06:47 - The most likely outcome

07:20 - Newcastle still want a quality CF + Benjamin Sesko

08:30 - Newcastle are behind other UCL teams

09:55 - Aaron Ramsdale + James Trafford to City

10:55 - Newcastle will have to splash a lot of money

12:17 - Morgan Gibbs-White new deal

13:53 - Are we mean to teams?

14:44 - Nicolas Pepe’s old article

16:00 - Spurs now have money left to spend

16:58 - Forest photo ops

18:04 - Did Forest get Lyon relegated?

18:58 - Gianluigi Donnarumma to Man United?

19:33 - Both sides are negotiating through the press

20:12 - A new era of PSG

21:08 - Finding places that will pay you big wages

21:42 - Doing better than Man United

23:00 - Why do Man United Destroy Goalkeepers?

24:12 - Everton have been busy this summer

25:00 - The Moyes move and lots of needs

26:29 - Cautiously optimistic?

26:55 - Upgrades to their attack

27:24 - Fofana and Moyes

28:20 - Aznou’s numbers

29:00 - Improving their fullbacks?

30:18 - Respect for Moyes

31:08 - Palace are an example to follow

32:18 - Moves we like and hate this summer

32:58 - Eli Junior Kroupi to Bournemouth

34:45 - Tijjani Reijnders to City

35:33 - Rayan Cherki is the opposite

36:04 - Thierno Barry

37:00 - Betting against Pep?

38:35 - Stiller makes more sense than Reijnders at that price

40:15 - AC Milan adding Pervis Estupiñán

41:00 - Matheus Cunha still makes no sense

42:00 - Napoli adding Noa Lang and Lorenzo Luca

43:10 - Atalanta adding Odilon Kossounou and Kamaldeen Sulemana

43:59 - Johnny Cardoso to Atletico

45:00 - American and British Accents

46:34 - Our Meetup + Variance Betting

47:59 - B - Roll (Podcast apps, what kind of freak is Patrick, Ted’s Hinge Story, and Tech)

#manchesterunited #transfernews #premierleague #newcastle #everton #alexanderisak #psg #tottenham #nottinghamforest

Episode 108 - Real Madrid's Vinicius problem + Rafael Leão is worth the risk

Wed, 23 Jul 2025 17:41:00 -0000

On today's episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss the 3 Spanish football giants. We dive into Atletico Madrid's significant recruitment efforts and potential changes in strategy. For Real Madrid, we examine Vinicius Jr.'s critical season under Xabi Alonso and how their new additions fit into the squad. Additionally, we cover Marcus Rashford's move to Barcelona, potential 2nd year issues under Hansi Flick, and why Rafael Leao is worth the risk for the right club. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - Atletico Madrid's busy summer

01:57 - Outgoings and Incomings

03:23 - Midfield changes

04:33 - A changing style for Atleti? + Johnny Cardoso and Thiago Almada

06:35 - Splitting up responsibilities

07:58 - Atletico must add shots

09:04 - Less defensive workhorses?

09:51 - Getting a younger squad

10:45 - Personal accountability at Atleti

11:47 - Spreading out their resources vs spending on 1-2 guys

12:38 - Can they retain their defensive stability and improve offensively?

13:10 - Real Madrid and Barcelona aren't sure things next season

14:00 - Real Madrid will be one of the most interesting sides in Europe

14:55 - Can Mbappe and Vini coexist?

16:01 - Change Rodrygo or Vinicius?

16:38 - Jude Bellingham dropping deeper? + Güler and Mastantuono

18:13 - Vinicius must guarantee his long-term future this season

19:07 - Hard to replace Mbappe due to his output

19:51 - Xabi Alonso changing Real Madrid's style

20:57 - Lots of possibilities for this Real Madrid team

21:56 - Making a big sale and going for a number 9?

22:29 - Nicolas Jackson?

23:42 - Carrying all these players might not be feasible

24:16 - Potential other departures?

25:14 - Marcus Rashford to Barcelona + Joan Garcia

26:53 - Barcelona were depleted defensively last season

27:27 - There is a world in which Rashford works at Barcelona

28:03 - Improved defending will be mandatory

28:40 - Rashford holding out for this move worked well

29:41 - Cautious optimism + World Cup squad inclusion?

30:36 - How do you get the most out of Rashford?

32:01 - Rafael Leao is similar to Rashford in this way

32:43 - He does everything you want except defend

33:34 - Somebody will take the risk, right?

34:49 - Balancing issues with a player like Leao

35:43 - Xavi Simons to Chelsea - why not look at Leao?

37:01 - Leao is a ceiling raiser

38:25 - What's enticing to a coach

38:59 - Workable wages?

40:02 - If the price reasonable - do it and figure the rest out later

42:00 - Game breaking players are rare

42:47 - Our EPL Previews are coming soon! + Why you should care

44:11 - The season is approaching FAST

Episode 107 - Chelsea are making a BIG mistake + Man United won't stop buying forwards

Mon, 21 Jul 2025 17:59:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick look at Newcastle targeting Randal Kolo Muani as their Alexander Isak backup, Manchester United's horrible resource allocation and their striker options, Nottingham Forest's Anthony Elanga replacement and if Chelsea are selling their next great center back. Enjoy!

Our Top 5 Takes video: https://youtu.be/eflqY4AVIis

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:37 - How you can help us + Upcoming content

02:45 - Our top 5 hits video + a MEETUP!

03:41 - Newcastle missing out on targets + Randal Kolo Muani

04:36 - He’s been BAD for 2 seasons?

05:32 - Bad shot volume at PSG, better at Juve?

06:59 - Why United and Newcastle + Similarity to Elanga?

08:20 - Damaged goods?

08:42 - Liverpool lock up Ekitike for £69m

09:15 - All of Newcastle’s targets this summer

10:12 - Mitchell vs Howe and who’s driving the bus now?

11:09 - It’s impossible to do the transfer work and coaching work

11:30 - Difficulty getting players to Newcastle

12:45 - Alexis Sanchez and not wanting to live in Liverpool

14:00 - United linked to Nicolas Jackson + United’s striker strategy?

15:15 - Darwin Nunez is the answer?

16:13 - Amad and Garnacho were fine and not solving other issues

17:20 - Resource allocation doesn’t make sense

18:04 - Central midfield is an empty zone

18:25 - Ted’s offer to Manchester United

19:42 - United can’t get it wrong forever.. Can they?

20:45 - United fan groups

21:33 - Jackson would be super fun + United should go on a diet for 3 years

22:58 - It’s a solvable problem

24:34 - Kyle Walker-Peters to West Ham

25:30 - Is the premier league a league too high?

27:41 - Atletico Madrid interested in Chelsea's Renato Veiga

28:48 - His history at Juve and physical ability

29:48 - Better fit as a CB

30:12 - Levi Colwill and Chelsea's need at CB

31:05 - Do Chelsea care?

32:25 - Atletico Madrid have been BUSY

33:34 - Nottingham Forest's Anthony Elanga replacement Dan Ndoye

35:10 - Necessary, but not exciting?

36:08 - Can he fill Elanga's role? + What's a good price

37:14 - Bournemouth and Sunderland in for Bafodé Diakité

38:03 - How much does height matter?

38:52 - Awesome short DM's

40:22 - Is £34m too much?

41:01 - We're in a bit of a lull

42:59 - B-roll (Patrick's Viral tweet, the USA, and making your parents play video games

Episode 106 - Why Newcastle should sell Alexander Isak + Xabi Alonso’s biggest problem

Wed, 16 Jul 2025 17:08:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Newcastle rejecting a £120m bid for Alexander Isak from Liverpool. How does this play into where Hugo Ekitike lands, should Newcastle accept that Isak wants to leave, and what should they invest the money from his sale in? Then, Xavi Simons has been linked to many clubs, but which is the best fit for him? And finally we close out the Club World Cup with the biggest problem Xabi Alonso is facing at Real Madrid and how Chelsea was able to take advantage of PSG's midfield. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro and Neel's trip to London

03:17 - Newcastle's Ekitike bid and What it means for Alexander Isak

04:12 - Other moves are complicating this deal

04:27 - Ekitike as a target for Newcastle + Marmoush

05:10 - He thrives in transition heavy sides

06:24 - Ekitike's ball striking + Similarities to Isak

07:10 - The main differences between the 2

08:00 - What do you do if you're Newcastle?

09:36 - If there's any possibility of him wanting to leave you must sell

10:44 - Isak's contract length is a key part of this deal

11:25 - Market shrinking and no options left?

12:04 - Is Ekitike worth a superstar price?

13:16 - Ekitike + £40m lets you address other issues

14:06 - Frankfurt are the biggest winners of this

16:11 - Are Liverpool strong-arming Newcastle?

17:12 - IS 40m worth the risk of replacing Isak with Ekitike?

19:04 - Becoming even more of a transition side

20:16 - An interesting one to follow

20:44 - Cristhian Mosquera

21:39 - Good physicals, bad aerial ability

22:50 - Bozo gene?

24:03 - The price is so low

24:34 - Xavi Simons and Bayern Munich

25:01 - Leipzig are bringing in wide players

25:40 - Bayern is kind of a no-brainer for Simons

26:26 - Similarities to Musiala

27:55 - Fixing a hole in Bayern's squad

28:50 - Sales Bayern need to make?

29:50 - fit at United (If no Cunha?) or Arsenal?

30:30 - The hope is you get 23/24 Simons

31:32 - Why have Bayern not bought Rodrygo already?

33:14 - Not much choice left at LW?

33:50 - CWC and Real Madrid's pressing problems

34:48 - Positive for Real Madrid from CWC

35:19 - Arda Guller and adding creativity to the squad

36:00 - Out of possession is still a mess

37:01 - Missing Mbappe helped with the press + Raul Asensio

38:00 - Does Mbappe/Vinicius ever work?

38:55 - Forcing Mbappe and Vini to defend

39:57 - Vinicius was a good presser when he first arrived

40:26 - Luis Enrique video on repeat

40:50 - The game passed Carlo Ancelotti?

42:06 - The ceiling for his is pretty low + adding good pressers?

43:18 - Chelsea surprise winners + did they get aa lucky draw?

44:05 - Chelsea completely outplayed PSG tactically

44:56 - Crowding the middle vs PSG keeps them quiet

46:42 - Issues with PSG's defensive approach

47:19 - Nuno Mendes had a bad day

47:54 - Not pressing Robert Sanchez? + Fatigue?

49:00 - Good result for Chelsea + getting a big bag

Episode 105 - Spurs Are Wasting Money This Summer + Why Chelsea Should Keep Nicolas Jackson

Mon, 14 Jul 2025 18:47:00 -0000

On today’s episode, we dive into Tottenham’s latest transfer moves involving Mohammed Kudus and Morgan Gibbs-White, questioning whether these signings align with the club’s goals. We also explore Chelsea’s bold decision to list Nicolas Jackson for £100 million, and discuss Anthony Elanga’s move to Newcastle as well as Marcus Rashford’s rumored interest in Barcelona. Plus—why does nobody want Victor Osimhen?

Ted's newsletter from Friday: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/a-transfer-rumour-blowout-5e24

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

01:20 - How you can help us out + Content coming soon

02:30 - Tottenham are rolling the dice this summer

03:40 - Kudus' eye test and dribble numbers

04:20 - He hasn't done very much

05:23 - proven EPL players with little upside?

06:08 - Kudus would've made more sense for Ange's Spurs

07:04 - Not for this version

08:00 - We don't know what spurs are doing yet + Long throws!

08:45 - Playing with the lead and set pieces

09:42 - £40-£60m is the sweet spot for all players this summer

10:10 - Gibbs-White doesn't make sense for Spurs

11:20 - Not bad players, but the price and fit don't make sense

12:35 - Osimhen costs £65m + Angelo Stiller

13:16 - Challenging for the league in the next 4 years?

13:50 - Spurs gambled last year, going safer this year

14:45 - The best version of Spurs still has Madison on the pitch

15:35 - Too many 70th percentile players + Other players tolook at

16:26 - How Spurs fans should approach next season

17:08 - Anthony Elanga to Newcastle

18:05 - Plan A stronger vs improving Plan B

19:00 - The strength of Newcastle was their midfield last season

20:10 - Risk and Gamble with 50-60m moves

20:46 - Newcastle had to sell last Summer

22:04 - Other moves Newcastle could've looked at

22:53 - Chelsea willing to part ways with Nicolas Jackson

23:08 - Jackson is only on 100k a week + his stats

24:08 - Ted's Friday article and the most obvious place for Jackson (Manchester United)

25:06 - Data visualization and Jackson's shot map

25:50 - The value of through balls and will anyone help Chelsea with expenditure?

26:34 - His wages and transfer fee don't go together

27:15 - Osimhen and Nunez are the only strikers available worth this much

28:01 - How much will teams be willing to pay? + Fit at United and Villa

28:40 - What would you pay for Ollie Watkins now?

29:51 - Expecting the market to shrink in a few years?

30:55 - Atletico Madrid would've been a fun place for Jackson

31:54 - Marcus Rashford and Barcelona

32:39 - Rashford's wages are high, United will have to eat them

34:29 - Rashford makes sense for Barcelona in attack, but not in their press

35:35 - Barcelona's players are a combination of talent and work ethic

36:10 - A worse player who does their Job and why Pep loved Pedro

36:56 - Superstars that switched into the style and gave everything to it

37:58 - The worry about Rashford + His most obvious destination

39:29 - Gary Neville and Eden Hazard's effort

40:10 - Ted's training ground story

41:36 - Commitment from teams + Luis Enrique and Mbappe vs Dembele

42:15 - Victor Osimhen back to Galatasaray

42:49 - Nobody in for Osimhen?

44:15 - Trending before he left Italy and how much do you believe in Turkey?

44:45 - Gyokeres' agent waived his fee?

45:25 - Nottingham Forest linked to Yoane Wissa?

46:31 - Forest's style is similar to Brentford's

47:14 - What will the price be?

47:45 - This can be a scary season for Brentford

49:11 - Selling players for inflated prices to bigger clubs

49:44 - 100m for Gareth Bale

50:40 - Cristhian Mosquera

51:33 - Season Previews on the way!

Episode 104 - Will Liverpool sell Luis Diaz this summer?

Thu, 10 Jul 2025 18:38:00 -0000

Join us on this episode of The Transfer Flow as we dive into the latest football transfer news and rumors. We discuss Everton's new signing, Thierno Barry, and what he brings to the team. We also explore Sunderland's ambitious moves as they return to the Premier League, Juventus' potential contract termination with Dušan Vlahović (and potential move to Manchester United), and if Liverpool will sell Luis Diaz to Bayern (or at all) this summer. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:43 - Thierno Barry to Everton

02:12 - Fit with Moyes

03:00 - Other players need to step up their game for him

03:49 - Everton's danger on set pieces

05:05 - Everton entered the summer looking in trouble

06:05 - Barry fits Everton's style of play so well + getting a younger squad

08:06 - Can teams coming up from the championship even hope to stay in the premier league anymore?

08:40 - Sunderland have stepped up their recruitment

09:33 - Sunderland needed big investment to stay up

10:10 - What to be scared of as a Sunderland fan?

10:35 - Looking towards Fulham as an example of a midblock setup?

11:16 - The challenge of staying up in the Premier League

12:01 - Bad defensive numbers + recent acquisitions

13:06 - Thoughts on Habib Diarra and Noah Sadiki

14:36 - Diarra filling the Jobe Bellingham role?

16:05 - Sunderland HAVE to defend more

16:44 - Changing to a back 5 or stay with a back 4?

17:38 - Is the Premier league a closed shop?

18:38 - EPL's financial dominance has made it tough

19:44 - Needing to get players from other Leagues now

20:15 - Chances Sunderland stays up?

22:14 - Juventus' failures last summer

22:49 - Francisco Conceicao's transfer fee and why is it so low?

23:53 - Conceicao profile

24:50 - Will Porto budge on price?

25:22 - Will another team swoop in?

26:48 - Como could make sense if Real Madrid want Nico Paz back

27:34 - Capitalizing on Juve renegotiating the deal

28:24 - Juventus terminating Dusan Vlahovic's contract?

29:05 - Hayden's thoughts on Vlahovic

29:38 - Vlahovic's best trait

30:17 - Poor choices of when to set up teammates

31:09 - Kolo Muani and Jonathan David good enough replacements?

31:40 - Vlahovic can't get the wages he's currently on - maybe leave on loan?

32:42 - His wages will stop a mid-table EPL team from being interested

33:14 - Linked to Manchester United?

33:33 - Vlahovic vs Mbeumo

34:15 - United will need to move someone to make this work

35:29 - With how the striker market is, could Vlahovic end up playing at a higher level than expected?

36:06 - Bayern Munich want a winger

36:46 - Musiala's injury has heightened their need

37:15 - Will Liverpool Sell Luis Diaz?

37:47 - No alternatives for Diaz left in the market

38:12 - How Liverpool use their wingers make it hard to replace them

38:54 - Diaz' frustrations are about getting paid more

39:30 - Diaz doesn't like to receive the ball in tight spaces

40:10 - Rayan Cherki to City looks like a better and better move as the summer goes on

40:46 - Top end guys - Bradley Barcola and Rodrygo

41:19 - PSG don't have to let Barcola leave

42:03 - Bayern linked to Nkunku?

42:44 - Rodrygo solves lots of their problems

43:37 - The element of fit in these transfers

44:31 - If not Rodrygo, the options are riskier

45:09 - Kim's Eberechi Eze take

45:42 - Xavi Simons possibility? + Eze's age

46:43 - If you're at 68m for Eze, why not spend more for Rodrygo?

47:25 - Kane replacement, but Kane is never missing games

48:14 - Missing on Wirtz = more money available?

48:54 - We need YOUR help!

Episode 103 - Rebuilding Arsenal: Finding a LW and Evaluating Viktor Gyökeres

Mon, 07 Jul 2025 18:44:00 -0000

Ted and Patrick break down the moves Arsenal have made this summer, evaluate transfer rumours for squad fit and price, and discuss any potential holes the Premier League runner-ups may still need to address. How would Victor Gyokeres, Rodrygo, Eberechi Eze, Madueke, and many more fair for Arsenal? Enjoy!

Kim's part 1 of the Arsenal Rebuild: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-arsenal-rebuild-part-1-9109

Top 5 Takes video: https://youtu.be/eflqY4AVIis

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:07 - A tough start to the year = accelerated moves?

01:45 - Tons of outgoings

02:43 - How do you retool the midfield?

03:18 - Christian Nørgaard

04:44 - Balancing the short term and the future

05:46 - An expensive summer on contract extensions alone

06:48 - Keeping Saka and Saliba

08:17 - Getting rid of players below their level

09:40 - Billy Carpenter and breaking down deep and mid blocks

12:10 - Arsenal NEED to free up the attack more

13:13 - Creativity on the left wing and more pace up front

14:00 - Does Rodrygo make sense?

14:59 - Arteta was too conservative last season + Myles Lewis-Skelly

17:09 - Overwhelming opponents with threats

18:12 - Versatile, intelligent squad, but not the quickest

19:12 - What will they choose to build for? Rodrygo gives long-term and immediate impact

19:55 - Make a move or hope Martinelli takes a leap?

20:44 - Maghnes Akliouche as an option? A 2nd winger or an attacking midfielder?

22:22 - Arsenal negotiating with Nwaneri

23:36 - Nwaneri could vanish the cost of one of these other rumoured moves

24:27 - Data and contract negotiations

25:47 - What young players need to know how to negotiate

26:53 - Noni Madueke

27:19 - Eberechi Eze - worth the price?

29:39 - Arsenal are practical this summer

30:35 - More minutes for other players? Havertz, Max Dowman, Nwaneri

31:15 - More minutes for Saka centrally?

32:30 - Breaking down a deep block/other styles

33:36 - Too much optimism?

34:05 - Who else are in for Rodrygo?

34:50 - Opinions on Noni Madueke

36:00 - Chelsea must sell a bunch of players

37:30 - Getting inspired by PSG and using Saka in a Dembele role?

38:20 - Madueke is not very risky

38:51 - Does missing on Rodrygo make paying 50m ok?

40:25 - Is Vikor Gyokeres FINALLY the guy at Striker?

40:56 - Does the base price make sense?

42:15 - Flat track bully stats?

43:18 - They need a Striker to compete across all their competitions, is this the best option?

44:38 - Havertz will still get minutes up top

46:12 - What about Hugo Ekitike and should they have signed Liam Delap?

47:00 - What to expect from Gyokeres if the move is completed?

47:55 - Sometimes you have to be hyper practical

48:14 - A TON of new additions, will there be a rough transition?

49:30 - The Premier League keeps getting better

50:10 - Anywhere Arsenal are miss profiling or missing out on a player?

51:23 - Arsenal are real contenders for every competition next season

52:14 - Go watch our Top 5 takes!

53:30 - B-roll (Holiday discussion, traveling with children, therapy W's and more!)

Episode 102 - 5 EPL Teams Whose Fans Should Be WORRIED + Lyon players to target?

Wed, 25 Jun 2025 18:45:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Neel discuss 5 Premier League teams that should be worried about their summer window. Why should West Ham, Fulham, Aston Villa, Everton and Sunderland all be concerned? Then, the conversation switches to transfer rumours that just make sense to us this window and which players can teams try to get take from Lyon after they were relegated to Ligue 2? The conversation ends with discussion of the Club World Cup, US weather, and why it won't get fixed for the 2026 World Cup.

Kim's players that made her go "hell yeah": https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/3-radars-that-made-us-go-hell-yeah-de21

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:51 - West Ham

02:40 - Mark Noble and management problems

03:15 - Bad transfers last summer

04:18 - Their squad is between styles

05:08 - Aston Villa

05:52 - Narrowly missing the Champions League and the impact on PSR

07:25 - Villa need to consolidate

08:30 - Fulham

09:19 - Starting to get younger

10:33 - Everton need a LOT of help

11:25 - New ownership and new stadium + Jack Grealish?

12:31 - 8 player rebuild this window?

13:47 - Sunderland

14:27 - Sales that have made them some money

14:59 - Very different outlooks for the 3 promoted teams - Burnley, Leeds United and Sunderland

16:41 - Ownership has a choice to make

18:35 - Rumours and Potential transfers

18:57 - Kota Takai and his giant stature

20:14 - His positioning and reading of the game

22:08 - The price and the EPL getting comfortable with Japanese imports

23:30 - Ardon Jashari to AC Milan

24:51 - Tijjani Reijnders comparison?

26:05 - Andreas Schjelderup to Como?

27:05 - How young he was when he broke in

28:11 - Versatility he provides

28:44 - Are como aiming to make themselves into a new icon of Italian football?

29:41 - Milos Kerkez to Liverpool

30:19 - Lyon's financial mess and John Textor

32:09 - Lyon used to one of the best run clubs in Europe

33:10 - Volatility over the last few years

33:56 - What players should teams be targetting from Lyon?

34:22 - Malick Fofana

35:37 - The many Fofana's

36:13 - Textor's history of irresponsible financial decisions

38:45 - Georges Mikautadze

40:13 - Lyon was bought for a BILLION Euros

41:05 - The Club World Cup has been fun

41:37 - Elements that could be precursors to the 2026 World Cup?

42:15 - City and Real Madrid investing heavily to win this tournament

42:45 - The heat is hurting the players

43:30 - 1994 World Cup game timing

44:28 - Northern Cities have been very hot this tournament

44:52 - How weather impacts gambling and the games as a whole

46:36 - How American weather is different than European

47:05 - The ideal European time zone is peak heat in the US

47:38 - Auckland City got a result

48:08 - Competitive integrity with weather delays?

48:59 - The concern isn't solvable

Episode 101 - How much will Liverpool spend this summer? + Rashford to Newcastle?

Mon, 23 Jun 2025 18:44:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Barcelona signing Joan Garcia to be their goalkeeper of the future, Wolves signing Fer Lopez and if it makes sense, Marcus Rashford being linked to Newcastle, and Liverpool's transfer strategy and just how much they will spend this summer. The episode ends with discussion of PSG's interest in Illia Zabarnyi, Alberto Moleiro to Villareal, and Emi Martinez to Manchester United. Enjoy!

Kim's newsletter on Rashford and more:https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/newcastle-closing-in-on-future-england-no-1-goalkeeper-36e0

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:56 - Barcelona and Joan Garcia

02:21 - Barcelona needed an upgrade at GK + ter Stegen injury

03:45 - Garcia’s height and command of his box

04:38 - Questions about his sweeping ability?

06:00 - Barca's overall short squad

06:43 - ter Stegen's beef with the club

08:01 - Nico Williams should not happen, but it might + Man City crime spree

09:24 - Wolves bring in Fer Lopez

10:18 - Lopez' skillset

11:35 - Does the fee make sense?

13:14 - 3rd largest sale in Celta Vigo history

14:00 - Taking a gamble on this kind of player

15:38 - Cunha replacements and Wolves' transfer strategy

17:00 - Marcus Rashford to Newcastle?

17:49 - His time at Aston Villa

18:33 - What wages will he want? And What position would he play?

19:47 - This will be a huge gamble

21:31 - Newcastle have money, but can't afford to have too many misses

23:04 - Quansah to Liverpool

23:44 - Liverpool's spend so far this summer

24:20 - Quansah's potential + Fit at Liverpool going forward

26:10 - Liverpool's need to find help for Konate and Van Dijk

26:54 - Liverpool's huge squad turnover

27:34 - Going all in this summer

28:58 - How much are they going to spend this summer? 350m?

30:07 - Ilya Zabani to PSG?

31:00 - Makes sense for PSG + better than Huijsen?

33:21 - Is the fee too high? Does it matter because it's PSG?

35:26 - Alberto Moleiro to Villareal + Player profile

37:01 - Alex Baena replacement?

38:46 - Is the fee fair?

40:09 - Emi Martinez linked to Manchester United

40:59 - Martinez = Overrated?

42:04 - Maybe he's an upgrade, but the fee is crazy

42:45 - Unstoppable force vs Immoveable object

43:43 - Where to find Neel

Episode 100 - Can this €63m wonderkid be Real Madrid’s Lamine Yamal? + CWC Check In

Thu, 19 Jun 2025 11:14:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss the Club World Cup attendance issues, players and teams to watch at the tournament, why this tournament matters for teams, and what YOU should care about in this competition. Then, Real Madrid have made a €63m for 17-year-old Franco Mastantuono. How does he fit the squad, what position will he player, and is this a smart move for Real Madrid? The episode finishes with a pair of transfer rumours, Tottenham linked to Arnaud Kalimuendo and Andy Robertson's potential move to Atletico Madrid. Enjoy!

Neel's CWC Players to watch: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/5-young-talents-outside-europe-to-watch-at-the-club-world-cup-59ec

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:10 - Club World Cup attendance

02:20 - 500 people in attendance? + Why attendance is so low

03:40 - Timing + Cities the games are being played

04:35 - Does the CWC matter?

05:30 - Clubs who this tournament matters for + is the CWC too long?

06:25 - Bayern vs Auckland City = FIFA or OFC’s problem?

09:05 - Game that were more fun to watch

10:00 - FIFA vs UEFA competing for big games

11:03 - FIFA love money, but the CWC is great for small teams

12:35 - Rewarding teams for their Champions League success

14:10 - Pulling anti-racism campaigns + Fair trade analogy

15:38 - Gianni Infantino vs Sepp Blatter?

16:25 - Practical Issues with the CWC

17:48 - European Clubs may not be super interested

19:22 - The other teams are really going for it (money + proving themselves)

20:18 - All European semifinal?

20:35 - Other teams to watch out for - Al Ahly

21:34 - Botafogo + Lyon’s financial dependency

22:22 - Boca vs Benfica and Flamengo vs Esperance

23:09 - Mamelodi Sundowns

23:46 - Al Hilal and Inzaghi

24:38 - The talent Al Hilal have

25:36 - Why neutrals should enjoy this tournament

27:13 - Players linked to bigger clubs at the tournament

27:38 - Franco Mastantuono to Real Madrid for €63M

28:22 - Will he go straight into the team? + Diaz and Rodrygo

29:45 - What’s his best position?

30:42 - The talent coming out of River Plate

31:31 - River is VERY reliant on Mastantuano + his numbers

32:12 - Julian Alvarez comparison

32:56 - How will this transfer to Real Madrid?

34:12 - He will have to adapt his game a lot

35:10 - Similarities to Guler + Endrick, Diaz, and Rodrygo

36:25 - What will Xabi Alonso want to do?

37:23 - No clear path even in the long term? + Options if it doesn’t work

38:11 - Technical difficulties + How does he fit with Trent Alexander-Arnold?

38:57 - The CWC is a good place for Xabi Alonso to experiment

40:05 - Many of the European teams are in flux at this tournament

40:35 - Tottenham linked to Arnaud Kalimuendo + Will Son and Richarlison leave?

41:14 - He’s been getting interest for a while

42:15 - Does this move make sense? + fit with Thomas Frank

43:50 - What is his place in the squad?

44:59 - Jonathan David is free? But Kalimuendo is still just 23

46:07 - Andrew Robertson linked to Atletico Madrid?

47:10 - Atleti’s use of fullbacks + Robertson’s flexibility

48:30 - Atleti’s increasing squad age

49:40 - It’s ok only if it’s a reasonable fee

51:17 - Trippier comparison

51:45 - Atleti’s scouting is based on the amount of dog in a player

52:25 - DAZN’s Billion dollar spending

53:17 - Neel’s Players to watch at the CWC

Episode 99 - Rebuilding Chelsea: Buying 2 World Class players + Who must be sold?

Tue, 17 Jun 2025 11:00:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick take on the tough job of rebuilding Chelsea. Where do they even start, how do they handle all their assets, and what positions should they spend their money on? The guys analyze the squad and highlight players that would be smart signings this summer. Enjoy!

Kim's 1st Rebuilding Chelsea article: thetransferflow.com/p/the-chelsea-rebuild-part-1-9fbb

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:45 - Kim’s incredible fact

01:41 - A large group of 70th percentile players

02:25 - Making the Champions League + PSR nonsense

03:50 - Squad size and selling players

04:42 - Chelsea need to sell 10/15 players this summer

05:28 - Overspending on average players

07:00 - Large change in play style + xG chart

08:06 - Able to pick the right striker/LW

08:52 - What about the guys you can’t move?

10:17 - Unknowns surrounding club leadership + world financial state

11:15 - Utilizing Strasbourg

11:53 - What should their philosophy be?

12:13 - Finding a better striker than Delap?

12:41 - Giving young players a chance?

12:59 - Nicholas Jackson as your #1 striker?

13:47 - Delap was a smart move?

14:42 - Buying 2 world-class players - Starting with LW

15:19 - Mike Maignan as their GK + Rodrygo?

16:10 - Xavi Simmons to help Cole Palmer?

17:32 - Allows Enzo to not play as an attacking mid

18:24 - A 2-deep squad is necessary

18:43 - Jamie Gittens and buying unfinished players

20:33 - Liverpool set the LW market

21:28 - Quenda and Tyrique George

21:54 - Strasbourg and Gettier cases

23:06 - Too many players + Overpaying for them

23:50 - Why Rodrygo over other names?

25:27 - With their assets can they make an 80-100m move?

26:42 - Kim’s recap and players who can be sold + the Fofana’s

27:20 - Armando Broja’s poor form

28:34 - Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Omari Kellyman

29:01 - Carney Chukwuemeka and Lesley Ugochukwu

30:08 - What position for the 2nd World Class player? (GK or CB?)

30:47 - How Robert Sanchez was limiting Chelsea

31:36 - Who should they target? And for how much?

32:44 - James Trafford as an option?

33:45 - City have committed to their rebuild, Chelsea must do the same

34:18 - Do they need another CB?

35:40 - Marc Guehi as an option?

36:20 - Keeping Chalaba? Buying Antonio Silva or Alexsandro Ribeiro?

37:57 - 3 things Chelsea need to do

39:20 - Chelsea have been a bit smarter this summer? But so have other teams

40:22 - Man Down and Variance betting updates

41:00 - Club World Cup modelling and Neel Shelat

42:08 - B-roll - No context icing

44:17 - C-Roll - Muppets are perverts?

46:10 - Patrick Intro Fail + Ted’s song

Episode 98 - How will Hugo Ekitike fit EPL? + Brighton's £35m Wonderkid

Wed, 11 Jun 2025 18:42:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss Jack Grealish being left out of the Manchester City Club World Cup squad and teams that could be interested in him during the 2nd transfer window. Then, they move to Hugo Ekitike being linked to Liverpool and Chelsea. Does the 22-year-old striker have the physical tools necessary to succeed in the EPL? Next, Jobe Bellingham has completed a move to Dortmund, but is he worth the money or is he living off of his brothers name? Finally, Brighton completed a £35m move for 18-year-old Charalampos Kostoulas. What makes him so special, why do Brighton always have such odds transfers, and what position will he play for them? Enjoy!

Kim's Ekitike article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-good-is-hugo-ekitike-75b8

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:52 - Jack Grealish out of the CWC squad for Man City

02:11 - City have spent OVER £1m per appearance

02:50 - Interested teams

03:29 - What would Grealish be giving teams?

05:01 - City will likely eat wages, but what will the fee be?

06:19 - Good if your team has off-ball runners

07:30 - Squad composition makes Newcastle not make sense, but what about Bournemouth?

09:24 - Grealish needs a situation set up for someone with his skillset

11:29 - The Club World Cup has changed transfer timelines

12:44 - Teams waiting for deals later in the window?

14:22 - Huge Ekitike's skillset

16:26 - Ekitike's lack of consistency

17:04 - Will gaining the strength he needs make him lose his burst?

17:38 - Liverpool and Chelsea as candidates

19:10 - Is the price too high for Liverpool

19:59 - Spurs and United won't happen, but he fits well

21:47 - The wait surrounded the striker market

22:42 - Once one goes, the rest should follow quickly

23:33 - Jobe Bellingham to Borussia Dortmund

24:12 - He's a different player than his brother + Skillset

25:58 - Improvements season over season

26:59 - Altered impressions of what's expected of a teenager

27:32 - Brandt + Bellingham

28:29 - Brighton send BIG on Charalampos Kostoulas

29:42 - When Brighton spend money like this, take notice

30:18 - He does a lot of things well, but where does he fit in?

31:51 - He stood out athletically in Greece at 18

32:28 - Too many attacking players for too much money?

33:50 - Brighton will show flexibility

34:27 - If 2 guys turn into stars? + They're like a smart Chelsea

35:04 - Some of these guys probably need to be moved

35:52 - Playing time as a resource

36:53 - Fabian Hürzeler on the hot seat?

37:57 - Rebuilding Chelsea coming Monday!

Episode 97 - 3 Things Thomas Frank brings to Spurs + Rodrygo to Arsenal?

Mon, 09 Jun 2025 18:48:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Thomas Frank being linked to the Tottenham managerial job. Why is he the man to replace Ange Postecoglou, what does he bring to Spurs, and will Kieran McKenna replace him at Brentford? Next, Rodrygo is rumoured to be leaving Real Madrid, but should Arsenal make a move for the Brazilian? How much should he cost, is it smart for Arsenal, and what is the importance of price in player transfers? The episode ends with discussion of Anthony Elanga being linked to Newcastle (and Newcastle's recruitment challenges), Real Madrid interested in Álvaro Carreras at LB, and if Mike Maignan can FINALLY fix Chelsea's goalkeeping issues. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro and where Ted has been

01:37 - Lionel Messi's success is due to...?

02:28 - Thomas Frank to Spurs?

03:32 - The squad is quite attractive for him

04:12 - Frank as a communicator + why Ange had to go

05:20 - Ted's history with Thomas Frank

07:22 - Spurs feels like the right spot for him

09:03 - Brentford's early season trroubles + getting value out of players

09:37 - 3 things Spurs are getting with Thomas Frank

11:20 - Spurs need a relaxed manager

12:20 - Kieran McKenna to replace him at Brentford?

13:25 - Traits of a successful manager at Brentford

14:01 - Concerns with Ipswich this season?

14:59 - Options if it's not McKenna?

16:11 - Frank has been there a long time, which makes this difficult

17:41 - But Brentford have been preparing for his right?

18:48 - Rodrygo a target for Arsenal's LW?

19:32 - The Market for Rodrygo

20:23 - Arsenal have picked players with in-check ego's

21:02 - An upgrade to Martinelli?

22:07 - Arsenal spending money on LW instead of a Striker?

23:27 - The context needed for Rodrygo's numbers

24:18 - The setup for Real Madrid's successful teams

24:56 - Arsenal have been missing a threat on both sides for years

26:07 - Putting all of Arsenal's pieces together

27:07 - Havertz vs. Martinelli

27:53 - Do they need to make a move this window?

28:47 - Price dominates everything on if a deal is good or not

29:40 - Player quality vs price + big misses HURT

30:58 - The problem with Manchester United's latest moves

32:31 - So what's a fair price for Rodrygo?

33:40 - The money isn't increasing and why teams are trying to sell

35:13 - Anthony Elanga to Newcastle

36:20 - Horrible dribbling stats

36:55 - Behind the scenes Newcastle Drama

38:23 - Dan Ashworth leaving and Paul Mitchell coming in

39:56 - Eddie Howe coming in

41:12 - Elanga's age + potential to improve

42:21 - Factors in Elanga's favor + getting sued out of existence

44:40 - Real Madrid interested in Alvaro Carreras

45:33 - What were United thinking not using the buy option?

47:33 - Carreras' skillset and history

48:21 - left backs are expensive

48:51 - United fans getting mad at us

50:18 - Mike Maignan to Chelsea?

51:20 - Chelsea's summer has been... good??

52:04 - How much will Maignan cost?

52:33 - Sanchez folding under pressure

53:04 - Rebuilding Chelsea next week + the only way to get through it

53:30 - Upcoming Man Down episodes + TTF turning 1!

54:43 - B-Roll: Watch Patrick attempt to do our Intro + react to getting it done

Episode 96 - Šeško vs Gyökeres for Arsenal + Do Man United need Bryan Mbeumo?

Wed, 04 Jun 2025 19:21:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel breakdown transfer rumours around the Premier League. They start with Bryan Mbeumo to Manchester United, does this deal make any sense for United? Then, Manchester City have signed Tijjani Reijnders and are closing in on Rayan Cherki, but what do these moves mean for Pep Guardiola's side? Next, Arsenal are looking for a striker, but should they sign Benjamin Šeško or Viktor Gyökeres for their squad next season? And finally, a quick breakdown of why Chelsea want Jamie Gittens from Borussia Dortmund. Enjoy!

Kim’s Jamie Gittens article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/jamie-gittens-would-add-much-needed-speed-to-chelsea

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:16 - Manchester United’s transfer business and Bryan Mbeumo

01:41 - How much will Mbeumo cost? + United’s analytics

03:02 - Similarities to Cunha

03:32 - Mbeumo’s stats

04:24 - Fit at Man United?

05:26 - What happens to Amad? + Bruno Fernandes staying

06:25 - Did they make these moves assuming Bruno was gone?

07:46 - The trouble United have put themselves in

09:01 - Bigger club = better offensive numbers?

10:00 - Excited for Amad, yet making him play out of position?

10:59 - United are in a BAD spot

12:16 - What will this team look like?

13:19 - What will they end up doing in midfield?

14:25 - Moving on to Manchester City and signing Tijjani Reijnders

14:59 - Rayan Cherki for 35m? + expected assists

15:35 - Kevin De Bruyne replacement? + Lyon’s financial state

17:29 - Public perception of Cherki

18:08 - Why City didn’t try harder for Wirtz

19:29 - How does Cherki + Reijnders work for City?

21:42 - What does this mean for City’s press?

22:56 - Too many players who don't press well

24:27 - The same problem City faced this season

24:57 - Pepijn Lijnders joining Man City

26:02 - Giving City the benefit of the doubt + Rodri returning

27:20 - What happens to Nico Gonzalez?

28:35 - City do NOT have a good low block

30:02 - No lineup for solely pressing either

31:15 - Lack of success in recent transfer windows for City

32:30 - Sesko vs Gyokeres for Arsenal's striker? + P

33:28 - If the price is similar, who do you go for? Youth vs immediate impact?

34:40 - A clear choice for Neel - the ready to win option

35:13 - Too many questions with Sesko currently?

36:35 - Questions against low-blocks and consistency?

37:22 - Gyokeres' time in the Championship and Champions League consistency

38:17 - He CARRIED Sporting to a domestic double

40:16 - 27 vs 22 - is Gyokeres too old?

40:53 - Sesko's range of gifts (pace, strength, and height)

42:10 - Can Sesko perform without space to run into?

44:00 - Win now or future focused squad building?

45:46 - But what about Victor Osimhen?

46:45 - More money at Left Wing instead?

48:00 - The good thing for Arsenal

49:29 - Jamie Gittins linked to Chelsea

50:15 - The profile Chelsea need

51:24 - How about the price?

Episode 95 - How Enrique unlocked Ousmane Dembele + Rayan Ait-Nouri to Man City?

Mon, 02 Jun 2025 19:01:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down PSG's 5-0 beatdown of Inter Milan. How did Luis Enrique break down Inter's defense, are Inter set for a rebuild, do PSG need any changes to compete next year, and will Ousmane Dembele win The Ballon d'Or? Then, Rayan Ait-Nouri is rumoured to join Manchester City, but does he fit as Pep's next LB? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:08 - Real Madrid v Liverpool final comparison

02:02 - A shocking game for many Inter players

02:52 - Too much time off for Thuram and Martinez?

03:27 - PSG forced Inter to cover tons of ground

04:21 - PSG knew how to attack Inter's weaknesses

05:56 - Why couldn't Inter press high?

06:56 - How PSG used Dembele to create overloads

07:55 - When Inter tried to go man-for-man

08:35 - What's so special about Dembele this season?

09:11 - Dembele's talent + willingness to press

09:49 - The tactical flexibility and intelligence of PSG players

10:51 - The many ways PSG use Dembele + Paul Pogba traits

12:28 - How long can this continue for PSG?

13:02 - Selling Barcola?

13:50 - PSG have options for a number of players

14:30 - Inter need a retool, while PSG are set up to improve

16:34 - Can other teams imitate PSG's style?

17:12 - Should teams be more creative with who they use up front?

19:35 - What about teams that can't compete in the striker market?

20:24 - Liverpool and playing Luis Diaz up top

21:31 - Differences between Ligue 1 and EPL squad building

22:42 - How reproducible is PSG if all their players were bought for 50m+?

23:38 - IShowSpeed and the odd post-game

25:04 - How do Inter Milan start to retool?

25:49 - Free transfers and specific profile fits

26:46 - Best strategy to fix their midfield?

27:20 - Barella's value + age

27:55 - Lots of changes for many Serie A teams

29:31 - The risk of a squad full of more experienced players

30:56 - Manchester City pushing for Rayan Ait-Nouri

31:35 - Is Pep changing how he uses fullbacks?

32:24 - Crossing threat + reconfiguration with Kevin De Bruyne leaving?

33:17 - Switching back to a back 4?

34:11 - Why City are switching gears

35:03 - What would you lose by getting Ait-Nouri and what should you pay?

37:08 - Changes to current City squad members roles?

38:36 - Making a more diverse attack for City

39:35 - The amount of talent coming out of France is absurd

Episode 94 - Champions League Final Preview + How much is João Pedro REALLY worth?

Thu, 29 May 2025 19:00:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss the Champions League final between Inter Milan and PSG. What do the previous rounds tell us about this game, will set pieces be the key, and how will both squads set yp with and without the ball? Then, João Pedro is rumoured to leave Brighton, but is he worth 60m to Liverpool, Newcastle, or Chelsea? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:15 - Inter Milan and PSG both are quite healthy

02:23 - What can previous rounds tell us about this final?

04:25 - Squad differences in average age

06:43 - How squad differences inform how teams play

07:42 - PSG should have more possession and a fast start

08:51 - How Inzaghi and Inter will respond

09:35 - What can PSG learn from Barcelona?

10:42 - Starting Barcola over Doue?

11:42 - Switching the ball + Vitinhas role

12:59 - PSG vs low blocks this season

13:52 - How will PSG unlock them?

14:52 - No threat for PSG on deep crosses?

16:33 - Inter will not care about PSG’s aggression

17:41 - Inter’s long ball threat

20:12 - Inter have many more options than PSG

22:33 - PSG only have one option

23:16 - Inter’s forwards against PSG’s centerbacks

25:17 - Inter have a HUGE set piece advantage

28:06 - Inter substitute AGGRESSIVELY

28:46 - Can this leave them weaker to end the game?

30:30 - PSG taking an early lead would be interesting

31:52 - Bastoni’s ability to put balls in the penalty area

32:37 - Will PSG’s attackers make the runs to help their fullbacks?

33:36 - Luis Enrique’s history of interesting decisions

35:57 - Can PSG make Inter step out and press?

38:09 - PSG may need to solve their problems this summer

40:23 - Joao Pedro transfer rumours

40:42 - Pedro linked to Newcastle, Chelsea and Liverpool

41:10 - Pedro has no set position

42:57 - He is a very streaky player

43:46 - What price is Pedro ACTUALLY worth?

44:37 - Pedro’s stats have decreased since last year

46:09 - For 60M you’d expect more, not a depth piece

46:41 - How would Pedro help Liverpool?

47:19 - Pedro doesn’t fit Liverpool’s needs

47:45 - Pedro’s fit at Chelsea

48:40 - Chelsea play best in transition, which Maresca wants to avoid

49:30 - Would Chelsea pay 60M?

50:32 - What about Newcastle?

51:42 - Fitting into a 2nd striker role?

53:14 - Brighton need to move on at Forward

53:51 - So what should teams actually pay for Pedro?

54:23 - Where to find Neel + Manchester United playing Sergio Aguero in Asia??

Episode 93 - Who should Liam Delap sign for? + EPL season recap

Tue, 27 May 2025 19:21:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden recap the 2024/25 Premier League season. Were Aston Villa robbed of a Champions League spot, how do Manchester City fix their problems, what can Newcastle do to improve their squad, and did Tottenham have a better season than Arsenal? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:01 - Aston Villa lose out on the Champions League

02:36 - It never felt like Villa had control in this game

03:48 - Disallowed goal

05:15 - How Kamara’s absence hurt Villa

06:42 - Europa League + Emery’s track record

08:02 - Was Forest’s slip up inevitable?

09:18 - A successful season still?

10:38 - Forest when scoring first

11:39 - Will they revert to their xG?

12:27 - What to think about Forest going forward

15:04 - Newcastle losing 1-0 to Everton

15:16 - Does Liam Delap fix their problems?

16:43 - Fitting with Isak

17:23 - Newcastle and the back 3 + Eddie Howe

17:51 - Why Delap makes sense

19:46 - Newcastle back in the Champions League

20:51 - Newcastle don't need to retool that much

22:11 - Tottenham are in an interesting spot

23:36 - The need for an on the ball playmaker

24:42 - High upside gambles + getting players out of Barcelona

25:50 - They can't get consumed by the trophy win

27:03 - Manchester City's fall from grace

28:24 - We expected Pep to fix everything - it didn't happen

29:18 - Transfer work also subpar now?

30:16 - Will Rodri be enough?

31:22 - Lack of confidence that it will get better for City

34:00 - Khusanov was a Walker replacement, but doesn't fit the system

34:32 - Move Rico Lewis to the inside?

35:45 - Rodri can't solve EVERYTHING

36:21 - Pep's final years will be spent finding the blueprint for what comes next

37:13 - The gap between relegated teams and 17th

38:00 - Is the prem cutting loose of the English football pyramid?

39:03 - What chance do the promoted teams have?

40:09 - Will Leeds have to change their style?

40:56 - Do the FA/Premier League have to step in to change something?

41:48 - What's the best plan to stay up in the Premier League?

42:57 - We expect teams that go down to be in the playoffs

42:45 - Our plans for upcoming episodes

#premierleague #epl #manchestercity #astonvilla #newcastle #nottinghamforest #arsenal #tottenham #chelsea #football #soccer

Episode 92 - Should Spurs Keep Ange? + 4 Cunha Alternatives for Man United

Thu, 22 May 2025 17:31:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Tottenham ending their trophy drought after 17 years by winning the Europa League. Is it enough for Ange Postecoglou to keep his job? Then, Manchester United have been linked to Matheus Cunha, but are there better options out there? We take a look at 4 options that may work out better for United. Enjoy!

Kim's Cunha Article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manchester-united-will-sign-matheus-cunha-they-shouldn-t-de0c

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:55 - Spurs' trophy drought ended + the game

02:41 - Both teams were bad at defending set pieces

04:24 - United against a low block

05:05 - Inverted wing backs + Why did Garnacho not start?

06:27 - United's player selection

08:06 - Problems with United's attack

09:30 - Repeated crosses + Diogo Dalot

11:52 - Poor coaching from Amorim?

12:54 - Lenny Yoro's effort

13:51 - Should Spurs keep Ange Postecoglou?

15:08 - Injures hit them hard

16:35 - It's not just firing

18:12 - Over a 100M loss

19:00 - Cunha to United?

20:15 - Are United fine in this position?

23:10 - Options other than Cunha?

23:26 - Jonathan David

24:51 - He can play many roles

27:03 - Good with both feet + Fit with Zirkzee

30:17 - His versatility gives United options

32:18 - Option #2 - Evann Guessand from Nice

34:14 - A much more reasonable fee + owning multiple clubs

37:20 - He already knows the system

39:30 - A younger profile: Eliesse Ben Seghir

41:14 - Some injury concerns?

43:42 - Aspects he can grow

45:45 - What should he cost?

47:00 - Monaco's tax may cause an issue

47:58 - DON'T make him a touchline player

49:15 - A better risk than Cunha?

50:42 - Option #4: Malick Fofana

51:38 - Similarities to Garnacho

52:17 - Get him for cheap?

55:03 - More of a passer than Garnacho

56:25 - This move allows United to bank some money

57:49 - Which of the 4 options is the best?

Episode 91 - Rebuilding Tottenham: Rayan Cherki and Choosing the Right Manager

Mon, 19 May 2025 19:14:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick take a look at how to rebuild Tottenham. Should Ange Postecoglu remain, who should replace him, and what positions do they need to improve? The guys look at what their rebuilding strategy should be, which players they should target, and how Tottenham can increase their skill floor. Enjoy!

Tottenham Rebuild Part 1: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-tottenham-hotspur-rebuild-part-1

Tottenham Rebuild Part 2: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-tottenham-hotspur-rebuild-part-2-9652

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:35 - Getting in trouble early

02:00 - Mochi and Paratici

03:45 - Where Spurs are in the table

04:34 - Finishing below Everton and Wolves

05:11 - Ange Postecoglu this season

06:06 - Champions League still a possibility

07:21 - Tottenham’s style and comparison to Arsenal

09:12 - Would you want to sit in the press room like Ange this season?

10:45 - Would you fire Ange regardless of the Europa result?

12:00 - How the rebuild looks with Ange gone

12:55 - Obvious profiles missing from the squad

13:51 - The team should be better regardless of who’s in charge

14:19 - Names for the coaching job

15:19 - The timeline for this rebuild

16:06 - Archie Grey and Lucas Bergvall

17:13 - They need to raise the squad floor

18:09 - Being open to selling anyone

19:38 - Brennan Johnson is singularly focused

20:51 - Pep at Bayern + player education levels

21:44 - Midfield = Spurs biggest area of need?

22:40 - Signing Mathys Tel?

23:36 - Soungoutou Magassa and Lamine Camara

25:37 - Taking guys from the Dutch or Portuguese league?

26:40 - Pepelu?

27:39 - Don’t overpay + Looking at France?

28:11 - Will Still a good option?

29:15 - Hugo Sotelo an underrated option?

29:46 - The BEST 3 leagues for Tottenham to buy from?

31:11 - Lucien Agoumé from Sevilla?

32:40 - Spurs don’t have the ability to pay the top prices - so diversify risk

33:45 - Make Tel permanent.. But for a lower price?

35:13 - Nico Paz from Como/Real Madrid?

36:02 - Madrid may not have room for him currently

37:07 - Paz’ skillset

37:32 - Son Heung-min is aging out

38:59 - Spurs should go for Rayan Cherki

41:31 - For ~30M he’s worth the risk

42:00 - A frontline with too little pace? + Ted’s storytime from Brentford

43:36 - Ted’s favourite player for them that isn’t actually possible: Ansgar Knauff

44:30 - Romano Schmid?

45:19 - Tottenham don’t need home runs, they need doubles and to keep costs low

45:48 - They spent WAY too much last summer

46:54 - Trevor Chaloba as a CB option?

48:22 - Hunt for the best players on relegated teams

49:38 - Would should Spurs choose as manager?

49:56 - Pat thinks Thomas Frank

50:37 - Will Palace let Oliver Glasner go?

51:06 - Would Francesco Farioli fit in? Or Will Still?

53:01 - We want to hear from YOU

43:34 - Check out our track record

54:00 - B-Roll (Meeting Celebrities, Benedict Cumberbatch, and Patrick’s love for Tilda Swinton)

55:42 - C-roll (Tottenham talk, teams Americans are fans of, and Jozy Altidore (Albacore))

#tottenham #thfc #premierleague #coys #epl #heungminson #sonheungmin #solanke #angepostecoglou #postecoglou #soccer #football #europaleague #championsleague #ucl #fyp #foryou

Episode 90 - What signing Jeremie Frimpong would tell us about Liverpool's future

Wed, 14 May 2025 18:17:00 -0000

In this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down what a move for Jeremie Frimpong would say about Liverpool’s long-term vision under Arne Slot. They also turn their attention to Ajax, where, despite sitting at the top of the table, coach Francesco Farioli is facing criticism from fans. Meanwhile in Italy, Antonio Conte continues to work his magic — could he really be on the verge of delivering another miracle Scudetto? And to wrap things up, they spotlight a Championship player you’ll want to keep an eye on. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps

00:00 Intro

01:28 Jeremie Frimpong to Liverpool

02:27 Hayden's thoughts on Frimpong and his fit at LFC

05:46 What Liverpool's Transfer Strategy Reveals 08:02 Jorrel Hato16:38 Eredivisie League

17:00 Ajax Breakdown: What's Going Wrong

21:37 Farioli criticised by fans

24:43 Farioli Coach Style 30:28 Serie A Title Race

34:50 Antonio Conte manager analysis 38:55 Napoli Team Analysis

42:38 Championship Player You Need To Watch

51:19 Outro and What's Coming Next

Episode 89 - Liverpool eye Rodrygo + Why Chelsea should avoid Rafael Leão

Mon, 12 May 2025 22:04:00 -0000

In today's episode Patrick and Ted break down the biggest transfer rumours and burning questions in the world of football. Chelsea are linked with Rafael Leão but why might the Portuguese star not be the right fit for the Blues? Rodrygo to Liverpool is gaining traction – can the Reds pull it off and how much should they pay? Should Ruben Amorim leave Manchester United? Arsenal are reportedly eyeing Jamie Gittens – but how should they approach the winger market this summer? Enjoy

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps: 00:00 - Intro 00:40 Ted's background in football space 01:47 Juicy transfer rumours 02:01 Rafael Leão to Chelsea 04:32 Rafael Leão analysis

09:15 Why Chelsea should avoid Leão 11:16 Jamie Gittens player analysis

12:05 Ted's thoughts on Gittens

12:30 Gitten's price13:00 European League excitement and competitiveness 13:40 Questions about Gittens physicality

14:10 Need for Arsenal to sign a left winger

14:27 Tons of promise in Martinelli at Arsenal

15:11 Arsenal's need to take risks

17:00 Mikel Arteta's thoughts on Arsena

l17:35 Liam Delap to Arsenal

19:14 Arsenal concerns

22:02 Patrick and Ted's thoughts on Mikel Arteta

28:00 The struggles of Ruben Amorim at Man U

30:00 Manchester United perspective on Ruben Amorim

30:58 Roy Keane to coach Man U

31:20 Allegri nightmare to work with

31:30 Zinedine Zidane for head coach

31:50 Man United's problem

35:33 Nottingham Forest and Leicester City

37:20 Brentford in 8th place

37:40 Ancelotti off to Brazil?

39:20 Ted's thoughts on Brentford

43:07 Rumours of selling Mbeumo and Visser

43:30 Liverpool eyeing Rodrygo

44:24 Patrick's thoughts on Rodrygo

48:25 Rafael Leão versus Rodrygo

50:50 Tijjani Reijnders to Manchester City rumour

59:00 Outro (ManDown Podcast, Variance Betting, TransferFlow Newsletter)

Episode 88 - Inter’s Big Win, PSG’s Big Problem | UCL Semi-Finals Reaction

Thu, 08 May 2025 15:50:00 -0000

In this episode, Patrick and Neel break down Inter's dramatic win over Barcelona—a victory that almost slipped away due to their questionable lead management. Despite the victory, was Inter's performance really as solid as it seemed, or did they nearly throw it all away?

On the other side, PSG survived a shaky start against Arsenal to secure their place in the final, but their early mistakes raise big questions. Can they correct those errors before the final? Are they prepared for the big stage, or will their issues come back to haunt them?

Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:17 - Inter Milan vs Barcelona
02:20 - Differences between Leg 1 and 2
03:08 - Barca’s high press spooked Inter after going up 2-0
04:37 - Barca can chase, but cannot hold a lead
05:23 - Inter’s runners getting forward
06:12 - Inter’s lead management was disappointing
07:52 - Inter’s defense + Eric Garcia
09:02 - Garard Martin + Lamine Yamal vs Dimarco
09:39 - A clear weakness
10:24 - The game at 2-2
11:37 - Inter’s aging side
12:33 - Inter’s injury issues
13:43 - Inter were able to calm things down + the sub that changed the game
14:25 - Inter’s late goal deflated Barcelona + Araujo
15:19 - Barcelona’s substitutions
16:35 - Barcelona didn’t try to see the game off
18:29 - Barcelona need to add a game controller
19:22 - Arsenal vs PSG
20:30 - The problem with xG in this tie
21:25 - PSG kept going long
22:15 - Saka was kept quiet
22:51 - Arsenal’s long throws
23:52 - Arsenal had weird,sloppy turnovers
24:43 - PSG struggle to contain a powerful runner
26:32 - A good press, but Arsenal don’t Capitalize
28:04 - What’s the point of building a team of giants?
29:25 - Arteta was too conservative with substitutions
30:14 - Should they have moved Saka central?
31:23 - Arsenal and Barcelona are opposites of each other
33:47 - Arsenal can shut teams down, but it’s tough if they go down
34:40 - It’s clear what Arsenal need this summer
36:18 - Inter Milan vs PSG UCL Final preview
37:24 - Backing Inter because of how flexible they are?
38:16 - Targeting Marquinhos and Pacho
39:13 - PSG’s press and how Inter can adapt
40:58 - Inter against Bayern’s press
41:48 - Happy for either team to win

Episode 87 - Rebuilding Liverpool: Replacing Trent and Finding Mo Salah’s Backup

Tue, 06 May 2025 19:27:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss how they would Rebuild Liverpool. They’re fresh off winning the Premier League title, but Liverpool have many holes they need to fill this summer. How will they replace Trent Alexander-Arnold, will they buy a backup for Mohamed Salah, and what’s up with them at Striker? Plus, they need to find a CM which will cost them a fortune. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Follow us on our Socials:
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q
X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow
Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/
TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps;
00:00 - Intro
01:43 - Why should people listen to us?
03:03 - Liverpool occasionally take chances
04:14 - Why Liverpool are in this position
04:52 - What Liverpool fans want + what extending the Stars actually gets them
06:53 - Was signing Salah and Virgl Van Dijk a good idea?
07:21 - Trent Alexander-Arnold leaving
08:12 - The physicality of their CBs
09:10 - Replacing both fullbacks
09:45 - Other positions of need
11:51 - The fullback market
12:50 - The Right Back market
13:51 - Vanderson as an option
15:55 - Is he resilient enough?
16:32 - Arnau Martínez
17:18 - What about Bradley + Martinez is a City Group player
18:57 - Óscar Mingueza
20:09 - Older age profiles
21:48 - Lutsharel Geertruida
23:11 - The RB System
24:25 - The Left Back Market and Andy Robertson
25:50 - What Profile are they looking for?
26:14 - Milos Kerkez
26:44 - Locking in a good defensive option?
28:08 - Leaving the left winger too much to do?
28:47 - Activating Salah
29:46 - Jorrel Hato at LB?
30:42 - Will Ajax sell?
31:55 - Antonee Robinson??
33:00 - Not an elite passer, but a good age profile
34:07 - Rayan Aït-Nouri an option?
36:15 - It’s all about maximizing profile and versatility
37:38 - Spening big money on CB for Dean Huijsen?
39:06 - How good is Huijsen really?
40:09 - Liverpool have a lot of needs
40:29 - Finding a new CM - Adam Wharton
41:46 - Who else is in for him?
42:40 - Do they want to do everything this summer?
43:39 - Nicolò Rovella would be fun
45:26 - Strikers Liverpool are linked with - Alexander Isak
46:35 - Benjamin Šeško an option?
48:11 - Is he worth 40m?
50:11 - Gonçalo Ramos
51:25 - PSG players are hard to figure out
52:25 - No DREAM player? + A weird era for strikers
53:57 - CB’s are such good athletes now
53:45 - Marmoush was the most ready recently
55:10 - Gyokeres and Osimhen
56:27 - Backups for Mo Salah + It’s a difficult problem
57:30 - Bryan Mbuemo?
59:07 - Something more creative?
59:32 - 2 players that moved last summer
01:00:24 - Tyler dibbling for 100m? What’s the real price
01:01:31 - Maghnes Akliouche
01:02:54 - Salah is well-built
01:04:36 - Liverpool have bought from that system
01:05:35 - Rodrygo and Nico Williams?
01:06:50 - Tottenham for next week!
01:07:12 - B-Roll (Met Gala, Andre 3000, and Tiktokers at the Oscars)

Episode 86 - Is Lamine Yamal the BEST in the world? + Who should sign Darwin Nunez

Thu, 01 May 2025 17:58:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss the UEFA Champions League Semifinals. Lamine Yamal was incredible, but Inter Milan feel confident they can defeat Barcelona after a 3-3 draw. PSG kept Arsenal scoreless for a 1-0 win, but were Arsenal better than you might think? To close the episode the guys talk Darwin Nunez. What's his skillset, what teams could be good landing spots for him, and should clubs take a risk for the potential huge benefit? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:10 - Barcelona vs Inter Milan

01:58 - Inter struck early to go up 2-0

02:41 - Lamine Yamal announced himself on the world stage

03:41 - How Lamine generates so much power from small distances

04:40 - Is he the best player in the world?

05:34 - xG and Inter’s 2nd half

07:07 - Inter’s confidence grew during the game

07:56 - Players that are non-factors, but Barca still performs

08:15 - Pedri’s crossing

08:49 - Raphinha’s screamer

09:50 - Substitutions during the game

10:15 - Szczęsny is a geography teacher

10:55 - Incredible moments in this game

12:29 - Denzel Dumfries ability and performance this game

13:52 - He’s a big game player

15:09 - Barcelona will be scared of him in the 2nd leg

15:51 - Both teams want to attack the right side

16:48 - Inter at the San Siro

17:02 - Arsenal vs PSG

17:54 - The game changed 25 minutes in

19:11 - Arsenal are resilient

20:01 - Donnarumma made Arsenal change their style

21:32 - xG oddities

22:48 - What made the change for Arsenal?

24:18 - The midfield matchup

26:19 - Baiting the opponents and exploiting that

27:06 - Arsenal did not have many options this match - how can Arteta change this?

27:55 - Kai Havertz missed

29:17 - Do Arsenal need a different profile?

30:12 - Merino at CF next week?

30:46 - Will Dembele be healthy? How will PSG adjust?

33:31 - All 4 teams showed themselves well

33:56 - Darwin Nunez on the Market

34:42 - Decline in pressing hurts him + What’s his skillset

36:30 - Atletico Madrid or Atalanta?

37:05 - As a pair with Julian Alvarez

37:47 - How does he fit at Atalanta?

39:15 - Interesting potential options (Real Betis, Bournemouth, and Monaco)

40:36 - Fit at Arsenal?

41:08 - Aston Villa?

42:16 - Nunez + Arteta

43:01 - A good Rashford replacement for Villa?

43:51 - Leeds could be interesting

45:06 - Como and Fabregas?

46:14 - Is Nunez enough to keep Leeds up?

48:17 - A team willing to task a risk can have huge benefit

50:59 - Where to find Hayden

#barcelona #arsenal #championsleague #psg #intermilan #ucl #lamineyamal #raphinha #pedri #saka #arteta #dumfries #yamal #darwinnunez #darwinnúñez #liverpool #arneslot #football #soccer #fyp #foryou

Episode 85 - Rebuilding Manchester United: Victor Osimhen and Picking a CM Target

Tue, 29 Apr 2025 17:23:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted rebuild Manchester United. Which Striker should they go for, what positions do they need to improve (hint: a lot of them), and what players can they keep in their squad? Should they go after Victor Osimhen, Viktor Gyokeres, Liam Delap or someone else? Or should they splurge on a midfielder instead? All that and more on todays episode, enjoy!

Part 1 of our Rebuilding Manchester United Newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-manchester-united-rebuild-part-1

Part 2 of our Rebuilding Manchester United Newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-manchester-united-rebuild-part-2

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:52 - United should be better than this

01:47 - United could finish 17th

02:33 - It’s been good to see United fans suffer a bit

03:19 - Rebuilding United is hard because they have SO FEW resources

04:06 - Their books are depressing, but they have some young talent

05:27 - How are United broke while Chelsea have infinite money

06:12 - United have made tons of mistakes, especially with wages

07:47 - This is a multi-year rebuild

08:49 - Amorim has been honest about this hurting

10:19 - United should NOT go for super specialized players

10:49 - Christian Eriksen = Tin Man

11:32 - They lack athleticism

12:50 - Garnacho and Diallo

13:11 - Their Next Center Forward - Darwin Nunez, Victor Osimhen, Someone else?

14:36 -Darwin and someone to pass to him

16:35 - United can’t shop at premiums anymore

18:24 - Two approaches they can go for

19:52 - The near term option

20:51 - The extreme discipline option

22:19 - Better teams get value out of players

24:20 - If they want a striker, where should they look?

25:49 - Discount Striker and amazing CM?

26:50 - Osimhen or Gyokeres?

27:56 - Jonathan David and Georges Mikautadze

28:27 - Being connected to lesser tier clubs

30:17 - Liam Delap

32:20 - Playing higher variance

33:23 - What’s the plan and who is executing it?

34:13 - Comparison to Liverpool and Arsenal

35:55 - Lionel Messi and doing the right thing

37:11 - Nunez as the answer to structured football

37:47 - Boniface for cheap?

39:06 - Ederson

40:04 - Should’ve bought Joao Neves not Lenny Yoro

40:51 - Rebuilding from 14th to 7th is not 4th to 1st

41:35 - Angelo Stiller

43:30 - Is Cunha too expensive?

44:11 - Adding a changing room problem?

47:40 - Jean-Philippe Mateta

48:36 - United have to shop much deeper in the market

50:08 - Should they gamble on unknown, cheap guys?

51:07 - Buying from surplus English academies

53:25 - They have to fill their needs

55:04 - Xavi Simons and Soungoutou Magassa

56:35 - They need high floor guys

57:17 - Benefiting from a 2nd team?

58:24 - United fans this will take TIME

1:00:48 - Sign 23/24 year olds for the long term plan

1:02:33 - A couple enjoyable players go a long way

1:04:54 - B-Roll (Dorgu, Johnny Evans, and continuity)

#manchesterunited #manutd #premierleague #manunited #garnacho #amaddiallo #osimhen #striker #gyokeres #liamdelap #liverpool #arsenal #amorim #football #soccer #foryou #fyp

Episode 84 - Which competition should Chelsea prioritize + Can Spurs win Europa?

Wed, 23 Apr 2025 17:37:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel break down the semifinals of the UEFA Europa and Conference Leagues. Can Tottenham finally end their trophy drought? Should Chelsea prioritize making the Champions League over winning the Conference League due to their financial situation? Patrick gets quizzed on his ball knowledge, as well as his pronunciation of Finnish teams. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:28 - Manchester United vs Athletic Club

03:19 - Are Athletic Club Favorites?

04:10 -Does the first leg being at San Mames help United?

05:19 - Neither United or Athletic Club have been tested in the knockouts

06:07 - Athletic Club's low block is their identity

07:20 - Nico Williams to miss at least 1 leg

08:43 - United don't really ever have a plan

10:01 - La Liga is more conservative than the Premier League

11:26 - Tottenham vs Bodø/Glimt

12:37 - The set up for Tottenham to bottle it + the BEST home field advantage?

13:58 - Glimt's playstyle

15:37 - Tottenham's job is simple + Glimt's transfer scams

17:48 - Spurs should be able to dominate the ball

18:53 - Spurs recent form is shocking

20:25 - Spurs vs Nottingham Forest (cross spamming)

21:15 - These are really good fixtures

22:25 - Kjetil Knutsen's contribution to Glimt's success

23:44 - Chelsea vs Djurgården

24:50 - Djurgården have came out of nowhere + their injury list

26:40 - Goalkeeper heat maps and Neel is David Attenborough

27:34 - Players to watch for Djurgården

28:49 - Patrick tries to pronounce Finnish teams

31:45 - Chelsea likely blow them away

32:17 - Do Chelsea prioritize making the champions league?

35:15 - Real Betis vs Fiorentina

36:58 - Who has a better chance against Chelsea?

39:48 - The threat of Moise Kean for Fiorentina

41:35 - The only unbeaten La Liga team against Barcelona this season

43:17 - What if Betis can't get a positive field tilt against Chelsea?

45:00 - The first leg at Betis + 3 Straight final losses for Fiorentina?

Episode 83 - Why EVERY remaining team can win the UEFA Champions League

Thu, 17 Apr 2025 16:06:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden recap the action from the 2nd leg of the Champions League Quarterfinals and look ahead to the Semifinal matchups. Who will come out on top from Barcelona vs. Inter Milan and Arsenal vs. PSG? The guys predict the semifinals at the end of the episode and share their thoughts on this UCL campaign as a whole. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:05 - Inter Milan advance over Bayern Munich

01:58 - Inter are comfortable in their own skin + Set pieces

03:30 - How important is Bastoni?

04:50 - Inter is old, is this their last chance?

06:05 - Results by committee at striker - other positions to follow?

06:59 - Olise was Bayern’s creative hub - How much did they miss Musiala?

08:43 - Both teams would’ve felt hard done if they were knocked out

09:13 - Barcelona lose their first game of 2025, but advance over Dortmund

10:03 - Dortmund exploited Barca’s high line - Can Inter do the same?

11:48 - Will inter Target Barca’s left side?

13:06 - Barcelona vs. Inter Milan will be a game of transitions

13:50 - What will Hansi Flock focus on?

14:50 - Inter scored on set pieces, but were also vulnerable to them

16:13 - Aston Villa vs PSG

17:21 - Were PSG uncertain about how Villa were going to play?

18:10 - Villa nearly came back + Rashford was incredible

19:59 - Why did PSG set up like they did?

21:38 - When Rashford went off Villa lost energy

22:25 - Is this PSG’s main weakness?

24:09 - Real Madrid vs Arsenal

24:55 - No concerns for Arsenal on the defensive side of the ball

25:17 - Saliba’s first coach was Mbappe’s father

26:20 - Dembele’s versatility could be key

26:58 - Unimpressed by the Arsenal attack?

28:00 - Impact of Partey’s yellow

28:33 - Real Madrid attempted 43 crosses

29:36 - Luis Enrique is really flexible

31:21 - Who replaced Partey’s physicality?

32:08 - Having the home leg first could play a big role

32:49 - Arsenal are not healthy compared to PSG, so Arteta must adapt

33:52 - Predictions for the semifinals

36:09 - The BEST champions league in a long time

36:47 - We’ve ended up with the strongest teams that are playing the best football

Episode 82 - Who will be Tottenham's next manager + Thomas Müller is UNDERRATED

Mon, 14 Apr 2025 18:59:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted roundup the action from the Premier League over the weekend. Have Manchester City figured it out, are Chelsea doomed, can Newcastle make the Champions League, and who will replace Ange Postecoglou at Tottenham? Then, the conversation switches to Germany for discussion of Thomas Muller's greatness. Is he underappreciated by fans? Enjoy!

Man Down podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@ManDown.Podcast

Luis Enrique and Mbappe: https://en.as.com/videos/luis-enriques-mind-blowing-leadership-talk-to-mbappe-stuns-everyone-v/

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:23 - Premier League round up + top 5 race

03:14 - Manchester City’s different setup vs Palace

04:11 - Did Pep get inspired by Arsenal’s academy?

04:58 - Making fullbacks out of midfielders?

07:15 - What happens to City the next 6+ games? + Ederson’s assist

08:12 - Is Pep weak at developing players early?

09:29 - City’s Academy is no longer elite level? + Players on other teams

10:39 - Can City keep this up?

11:50 - Newcastle defeat Manchester United + United’s defensive issues

13:06 - Amorim set his team up to install principles, not to succeed

14:27 - Rough remaining fixtures

15:15 - Newcastle have taken care of business

16:23 - Chelsea vs Ipswich

17:45 - Nothing has been resolved since the autumn

18:58 - Questions about the manager? Go hire Kieran McKenna?

20:07 - Fire coaches FAST until you strike gold

23:10 - What happens if Chelsea miss on the UCL?

24:28 - Do Villa have a chance?

26:16 - Ange Postecoglou WILL be sacked

28:05 - Bad defending in Spurs vs Wolves

28:38 - Bournemouth haven’t won in 2.5 months

29:43 - Thomas Frank or Iraola if you’re Daniel Levy?

31:04 - Squad fit + Clashing with Levy

32:34 - Spurs need a DM

34:55 - Thomas Muller is UNDERRATED

35:47 - Italy to extend his career?

37:17 - His output almost never gets talked about

38:31 - Patrick thinks Muller is annoying

39:16 - G/A per season

40:32 - The brain required for these numbers is astonishing

42:08 - Lewandowski was the 3rd best player in the world for a long time

43:13 - Muller typifies German Football

43:44 - Guirassy touch + story

46:08 - Max Beier

47:56 - What if Germany had Lewandowski?

49:03 - B-roll (Voice Notes, breaking rules, Luis Enrique and Mbappe, football talk, and Morning Bean)

Episode 81 - Arsenal SHOCK Real Madrid + Inter Milan CAN win the treble

Thu, 10 Apr 2025 16:18:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel breakdown the action from the first leg of the Champions League quarterfinals. They start with Arsenal's 3-0 victory over Real Madrid, in large part due to Declan Rice's 2 freekick goals. Then comes Inter Milan's 2-1 win over Bayern Munich. Was it an upset? Next, Unai Emery and Aston Villa got out to an early lead, but PSG won 3-1. Lastly, Barcelona trounced Dortmund, 4-0. The episode ends with predictions for the Semifinal matchups and picking teams to make the final. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:21 - Arsenal stun Real Madrid 3-0, Declan Rice scores 2 freekicks

03:06 - Ancelotti's out of possession tactics

03:58 - The first half was positive for Madrid

05:14 - Real Madrid couldn't disrupt the buildup

06:07 - Arsenal were more aggressive than usual

07:25 - Madrid did NOTHING in the second half

08:51 - Can Real Madrid come back?

12:40 - Inter Milan defeat Bayern Munich, 2-1, but was it an upset?

14:39 - How both teams set up

16:37 - Inter's artificial transitions and are they a weakness of Bayern?

17:53 - Augusto played phenomenally

19:50 - Will Musiala be back for Bayern? + missing your elite 1v1 players

21:25 - PSG vs Aston Villa

22:40 - How Marquinhos suspension changed PSG

24:16 - Individual moments spoiled Unai Emery's day

25:07 - Did Villa get sucked into an end-to-end game?

26:03 - Dembele free roaming deeper

27:18 - Kvara in a playmaking role

29:06 - The instant response was crucial for PSG

29:55 - Barcelona vs Dortmund

31:03 - Dortmund had some chances

32:04 - Barcelona still have issues in the defense

33:20 - Semifinal predictions - Barca vs Inter?

34:30 - Inter have some tools to hurt Barcelona

35:54 - Arsenal vs PSG seems likely

37:34 - How will PSG's midfield do against Arsenal's?

39:25 - Predictions for the final based on these matchups

40:07 - Inter's treble hopes

42:34 - Hopefully we don't look stupid next week

Episode 80 - Florian Wirtz = Man City's next De Bruyne? + UCL QF breakdown

Mon, 07 Apr 2025 18:51:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick breakdown EVERY UCL quarterfinal matchup. Who will advance and which matchups are worth your time to watch? Then, they quickly touch on the MISERABLE Manchester Derby and how bad Manchester United have been for a decade. The episode ends with 3 quick transfer rumour hits, including Florian Wirtz as a Kevin De Bruyne replacement for Manchester City. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:01 - Arsenal vs. Real Madrid

01:59 - Gabriel's injury

02:55 - First game at the Emirates, can they get going early?

03:59 - Is this who Arteta is?

06:12 - Experience against transition teams in the EPL

07:27 - How much will Arsenal press? + Injuries to Real Madrid

10:21 - Is Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan SNEAKY GOOD?

11:29 - NOBODY is pressing in the Bundesliga

13:37 - Inter play however they need to play

15:50 - Kompany reflecting Pep's old style?

16:54 - Gervinho break

18:28 - Barcelona vs Dortmund

19:37 - Dortmund are more competent under Kovac

21:49 - Should Barcelona be 1.5 goal favorites?

22:34 - Lamine Yamal's injury scare + Ansu Fati

23:58 - PSG vs Aston Villa - Can Emery do it?

24:40 - Villa are in great form

26:19 - Taking PSG seriously, but this is when they bottle it

28:27 - A MISERABLE Manchester Derby

29:58 - United have been better recently

31:04 - United haven't been good since '13-'14

33:22 - Kevin De Bruyne leaving Manchester City

36:12 - Florian Wirtz to replace him?

39:17 - Other teams interested?

42:54 - Jean-Philippe Mateta to Man United?

44:30 - Depth option, but not to compete in the UCL

46:08 - The most interesting rebuild options for Manchester United

47:12 - Teams may need to sell assets

49:22 - Teams are better at spending money these days

49:54 - Antonee Robinson to Liverpool?

51:14 - Does it make sense?

53:24 - Full Team rebuilds coming soon!

54:22 - B-Roll ( Manchester Derby, City vs Chelsea for UCL spots, and will City EVER get punished?)

Episode 79 - Who should buy Victor Osimhen? + How do City handle Haaland's Injury?

Wed, 02 Apr 2025 16:16:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss Erling Haaland's injury and how Manchester City and Pep Guardiola may try to deal with his absence. Then, strikers are in hot demand this summer, but why has Victor Osimhen seemingly dropped off the map? The guys take a look at potential landing spots for Osimhen and dive into why he might be worth the risk. Finally, RB Leipzig have sacked Marco Rose. What led to his sacking, which players might Leipzig lose this summer, and who is rumoured to be their next manager? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:04 - Erling Haaland Injured against Bournemouth

02:27 - City could really use Julian Alvarez

03:09 - Can Omar Marmoush fill Haaland's role?

05:44 - Who steps into Haaland's role? + Liam Delap

06:40 - Too many creators, not enough goal scorers for City?

08:07 - There's still hope for City

09:39 - City's attack outside of Haaland has been BAD

10:56 - Rodri masked their defensive issues

11:56 - City have never felt like a one striker team before

12:57 - Add City to the teams looking for a striker this summer?

13:27 - Should clubs be in for Victor Osimhen?

16:28 - Osimhen is relatively affordable now compared to other strikers

17:27 - Osimhen's physical ability sets him apart

18:26 - Which clubs would you like to see Osimhen at?

18:52 - Spurs, Inter Milan, and Juventus

20:43 - Newcastle as an Isak replacement?

22:58 - Marco Rose sacked by RB Leipzig

24:25 - Poor UCL performace was a big factor

25:15 - Leipzig have invested a LOT

26:08 - What caused Rose's poor performance?

28:22 - Leipzig's steep drop off

30:59 - How the Bundesliga has adjusted

32:13 - The quality of their players means this shouldn't happen

33:51 - They needed one more passer

35:36 - Oliver Glasner linked to the job

38:48 - Victor Boniface to Leipzig?

39:55 - Thoughts on Glasner as a candidate?

40:56 - Worth it to take this job, even if it's a pay cut?

Episode 78 - Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk replacement? + Chelsea vs. Spurs preview

Mon, 31 Mar 2025 19:35:00 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick look at 5 transfer rumours around the Premier League, including a potential Virgil van Dijk replacement. Which of these make sense and which are agents spouting nonsense? Then, we look ahead to the mid-week games, including a preview of Chelsea vs. Spurs. Enjoy!

Monday's newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/and-so-it-begins

The Dating episode of ManDown: https://youtu.be/IiiVvRX0478?feature=shared

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:22 - Hugo Larsson to Manchester City for £50M?

02:38 - A lower price?

04:09 - How does Pep play into these decisions?

05:26 - Passing as an attribute vs. age curve

06:15 - Jonathan David to Newcastle on a free?

07:27 - Manchester United an option? Or a non-EPL team?

08:10 - Barcelona rumours and David’s creative numbers

10:30 - Isak replacement?

10:52 - Darwin Nunez to Atletico Madrid for £60M?

11:37 - The right kind of coach for Nunez

12:27 - Luis Diaz, Mo Salah, and Trent

13:59 - Nunez as an Isak replacement as well?

14:36 - Enzo to Atleti?

16:59 - Aston Villa?

17:57 - Let Darwin be Darwin

18:39 - Jobe Bellingham to Brighton

20:12 - What will Jobe become?

22:09 - Is Germany a better league for him?

22:45 - The easy Dortmund link?

23:36 - Schlotterbeck to Liverpool for £60M

26:00 - Everything about this makes sense

27:20 - Liverpool’s rebuild + Don’t become Man United

28:04 - Does Schlotterbeck help you get MORE out of VVD?

29:19 - Chelsea vs. Spurs preview

30:58 - Stoppable force meets moveable object

32:24 - Brighton v Aston Villa

33:52 - Beef with Spurs?

35:42 - Wednesday lookahead

36:52 - B -Roll (ManDown, American accents, Coldplay, and Actors)

49:42 - C-roll (Sean Paul, Pitbull, FloRida, and Kate Blanchett)

52:54 - D-roll (findom and pay pigs)

Episode 77 - BETTER targets than Nico Williams and Zubimendi + 2 UNDERRATED CBs

Wed, 26 Mar 2025 17:42:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss 2 Center backs that you MUST keep an eye on going forward. Dean Huijsen and Iñigo Martinez. The players are very different in age and profile, but are both having outstanding seasons. Then, the conversation switches to the transfer rumour mill. Nico Williams and Martin Zubimendi will be highly sought after in the summer, but are Antoine Semenyo and Ederson better options for teams? Enjoy!

Kim's Juventus newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/juventus-fired-thiago-motta-for-being-himself

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:51 - Dean Huijsen player profile and history

04:43 - Time at Juve + What are Juventus even doing

06:45 - Huijsen is only 19 with so much time to develop

08:07 - Potential weaknesses with his passing?

09:42 - His ability and level in the EPL at his age is incredible

12:03 - Even if he doesn't develop more he's at a good level

14:11 - He's 6'5, but bad in the air?

16:45 - Is Real Madrid the team for him? OR someone else?

20:11 - Has Iñigo Martínez been overlooked?

21:03 - Cubarsi gets all the praise

22:01 - Martinez' passing ability

22:44 - Barcelona's high line and the challenges it brings defenders

25:32 - Barcelona got more than they expected from Martinez

29:10 - Barcelona have exceeded squad expectations as whole, especially when factoring in injury

30:30 - Teams interested in Martin Zubimendi

31:13 - Could Ederson be a better options for teams?

32:42 - Ederson vs Zubimendi skillset

35:01 - Ederson has changed this season, what role would he play for Arsenal or Liverpool?

38:03 - When Zubimendi would be the better option for Arsenal

39:05 - How Ederson fits in

41:03 - Price and age comparison

41:27 - A more free role at Liverpool?

44:12 - Manchester United an option?

45:54 - Nico Williams linked to Arsenal and Barcelona

47:30 - Hard to separate Williams' stats from team effects

48:37 - Shots created off take-ons

49:39 - Is Antoine Semenyo a cheaper option?

51:12 - Semenyo can use both feet equally

51:58 - How much would Semenyo cost?

53:22 - In terms of minutes played, Semenyo and Williams are very similar

54:51 - A more sure bet than Williams?

55:45 - Nico Williams will cost a FORTUNE in wages

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 76 - Predicting the EPL's Champions League Race + Early Transfer Rumours!

Mon, 24 Mar 2025 21:10:03 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss who will claim the Premier League’s remaining champions league spots. Will the table stay it is with Chelsea and Manchester City staying safe, or will Newcastle, Bournemouth, or someone else knock them out? Then, the transfer rumour window is heating up. Patrick fires rumours from the weekend at Ted to see if they are a good idea or bad idea, as well as plausible or straight BS. Enjoy!Ted's Variance Betting update: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-scoop-on-variance-betting-march-update

Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@ManDown.Podcast

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:36 - Mandown Podast launch!

00:01:47 - The Race for UCL spots in the premier league

00:02:30 - Futures bets

00:03:30 - Fixture congestion + remaining schedule

00:04:51 - Nottingham Forest have been pretty lucky, but are seemingly safe

00:06:29 - Why this season has been so weird

00:07:56 - 10th place Bournemouth

00:10:35 - A good long-shot bet?

00:10:56 - Manchester City SHOULD be fine

00:11:51 - Haaland is back

00:12:13 - Odds to finish in the top 5

00:13:48 - Are Chelsea in trouble?

00:14:10 - DGF explanation

00:15:37 - Palmer has been mortal since Christmas

00:16:12 - Chelsea’s injury problems

00:17:50 - Uptick in possession, but worse results?

00:18:41 - Arsenal are the only team of that style that destroys transition

00:20:35 - So will Chelsea drop out?

00:21:05 - Newcastle and Brighton’s resurgence

00:22:10 - Newcastle fans are angry at us

00:23:33 - Newcastle’s remaining games

00:24:50 - Are Brighton good now?

00:27:07 - Danny Welbeck

00:27:31 - Brighton’s schedule

00:28:26 - Matthew Benham/Tony Bloom rivalry

00:30:30 - Aston Villa’s should focus on the Champions League

00:31:29 - Poor goal difference and bad underlying numbers

00:32:47 - Some Parisian slander

00:34:00 - Patrick’s final predictions

00:34:40 - Ted’s prediction

00:35:31 - Ted’s Red Star story

00:40:01 - Early transfer window rumours

00:40:39 - Rashford to Villa for 40M?

00:42:09 - Why this is a bad idea for Villa

00:43:07 - Felix Nmecha to Man United?

00:44:01 - Lack of ball progression with Nmecha and Ugarte

00:44:17 - Xavi Simons to Liverpool?

00:45:26 - Rebuilding bad teams and strengthening good teams

00:45:59 - Adam Wharton to Manchester City for 70M, is it too little money?

00:47:10 - Tyler Dibling to Spurs

00:49:07 - Good dribbler, but no end product

00:49:20 - Angel Gomes to West Ham on a free

00:50:10 - Caoimhin Kelleher to Bournemouth?

00:53:34- B-roll Conversations

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 75 - Barcelona go top of La Liga + Newcastle’s trophy drought is OVER

Mon, 17 Mar 2025 20:32:24 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Barcelona's 4-2 comeback victory over Atletico Madrid. What went wrong for Atleti and what does it mean for the La Liga title race? After a quick discussion of Villarreal vs Real Madrid, the conversation switches to Newcastle's 2-0 victory over Liverpool to claim their first trophy in 56 years. How can the Magpies build off this moment? Then, Inter Milan has a firm lead in Serie A, but will Champions League commitments and lack of depth hurt their title aspirations? The episode finishes with Chelsea fans finally seeing the truth and if Como are preparing to spend this summer. Enjoy!

Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@mandown.podcast

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 - Intro

00:39 - Ted’s shoutout

02:37 - Podcasts as a record of yourself to leave behind

03:33 - Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

04:42 - How Atleti exploited Barca’s high line

05:56 - Why xG is an imperfect metric

07:11 - South American strikers and Wenger

08:41 - Lewandowski’s ridiculous finish

09:15 - Did an uncalled handball lead to the finish we got?

10:00 - Lamine Yamal’s goal and Goalkeepers vs. deflections

11:24 - Atleti didn’t deserve the results they got this week

12:09 - Villarreal vs Real Madrid

13:24 - Even when Real Madrid are off they find a way to win

14:15 - La Liga table

16:27 - With no UCL, Atleti can focus on the La Liga race

18:10 - Raphinha to Man United for £70M?

20:04 - Patrick and Ted’s NEW podcast

20:47 - Newcastle Win the Leagues Cup and end their trophy drought

21:15 - Why was Mac Allister marking Dan Burn?

23:55 - How Liverpool uses Salah’s movement before they win the ball back

24:52 - Leicester City and Mourinho’s Real Madrid were great at countering from corners

26:14 - How Newcastle countered this strategy

27:56 - Joelinton’s physicality

29:24 - Newcastle are good at frustrating top sides, but are not set up to deal with bad teams every week

30:14 - Newcastle will have to do some squad building in the summer

31:56 - Inter Milan vs Atalanta and Ederson’s red card

33:37 - Inter really didn’t do much until the red card

34:07 - Depth a problem with Inter still being in the UCL or is the international break more scary?

35:54 - Chelsea fans are finally seeing the truth

37:00 - It looked like Chelsea were off to a great start, but the problems are showing now

38:04 - Jackson and Palmer can’t ALWAYS save chelsea

38:55 - First season with a new manager, give Maresca time to adapt

40:32 - Como and Cesc Fabregas

41:51 - will Como spend big this summer?

43:07 - Will Juventus fire Motta?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 74 - How Arsenal can UPSET Real Madrid + UCL Quarterfinal Predictions

Thu, 13 Mar 2025 17:29:22 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down the action from Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, Barcelona vs. Benfica, and Dortmund vs. Lille and look ahead to the quarterfinal matchups. Can Arsenal defeat Real Madrid, will Dortmund upset Barcelona, and who will prevail in Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan? The episode ends with predictions for the next UCL round. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 - Intro

00:33 - New UCL Format + a great 2 days of games

01:14 - PSG shock Liverpool

02:52 - Did Slot’s gameplan make sense?

03:26 - Luis Enrique’s tactics and Dembele

04:33 - Donarumma was VULNERABLE early

05:42 - If you can weather PSG’s storm they drop off considerably

06:38 - How PSG’s “micro-midfield” ran the game

07:43 - How does PSG stack up against Aston Villa?

10:01 - Luis Enrique is an excellent problem solver

11:09 - Real Madrid SURVIVE Atletico Madrid

12:05 - Modric and Bellingham did not have a geat game

14:22 - Real Madrid need someone other than Vinicius and Mbappe to unlock defenses

15:10 - What will Arsenal’s gameplan be?

17:04 - If Saka is back, how will Arsenal set up?

18:56 - Saka’s gravity and two-footedness

20:16 - Barcelona vs Dortmund

20:41 - Lille scored “too quickly” against Dortmund

21:38 - Barcelona will NOT allow Dortmund to have the ball and attack all game

22:03 - Raphinha is in ridiculous form + Barcelona matchup perfectly against Dortmund

23:29 - Barcelona can score their way out of trouble

24:46 - Lewandowski might be declining, but he’s what Barcelona need

26:10 - Bayern Munich vs. Inter Milan

26:41 - Will Bayern break down Inter, or will Inter be able to counterattack?

27:34 - The biggest game of Vincent Kompany’s managerial career

29:15 - Does each club's domestic title race impact this matchup?

31:01 - UCL Quarterfinals predictions

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 73 - Arsenal’s NEW hire makes sense + Why fitness coaches WIN you TROPHIES

Mon, 10 Mar 2025 19:40:38 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss how the numbers may have lied about the first leg of PSG vs. LIverpool and what they mean for the 2nd leg. Then, Arsenal have hired Andrea Berta to be their next director of football. Who is he, what does he need to do, and how should Arsenal fans feel about the hire? Next, a quick look at games from the Bundesliga over the weekend and a discussion on how fitness professionals can impact teams the most. The episode ends with a look at Claudio Ranieri’s Roma team, Inter Milan being a good longshot for the UCL, the Serie A table, and Arsenal vs. Manchester United. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:22 - PSG vs Liverpool

01:59 - Stats from the game

03:22 - 1st half vs 2nd half

05:01 - PSG were much more open in the 2nd half

06:08 - How does this line up for the 2nd leg?

06:59 - You can’t just “be more defensive”

08:25 - PSG needs to allow their creativity to create chances, not pound shots

11:09 - A look at the Champions League matches

12:23 - Arsenal hire Andrea Berta as director of football

13:16 - How the media handle these things and Raul Senllehi

16:03 - Arsenal have a clear idea of what they need to do

17:07 - Why the Berta hire makes sense

19:21 - Saka coming back for Arsenal, will he be cautious or come back at full speed?

21:02 -Stability with Arteta should make Arsenal fans feel confident

22:05 - A quick look at the bundesliga - Why were they running so much?

23:33 - Bayern’s PPDA were crazy even with 10 men

25:05 - Sprint management

26:20 - FItness people being on the same page as coaches

26:45 - How fitness coaches can give teams absurd value

27:51 - We’re hiring!

28:48 - Rainieri and Roma

30:13 - Napoli are in a rough stretch

30:39 - Inter a sharp bet to win the UCL?

32:22 - The Italian table

33:51 - We’ll talk the top 5 race in England next week

35:04 - Raya was UNBELIEVEABLE for Arsenal v. Manchester United

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 72 - How Real Madrid OUTSMARTED Atletico + Arsenal BATTER PSV

Wed, 05 Mar 2025 17:55:54 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel take a look at the Champions league Games from Tuesday, focusing on Real Madrid's 2-1 win over Atletico Madrid and Arsenal's 7-1 BATTERING of PSV. How did Real Madrid get the advantage and what can Atletico do to win in the 2nd leg? Why did Arteta decide to play such attacking football? Plus two players you NEED to watch Wednesday, Vangelis Pavlidis and Igor Paixão. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:03 - Real Madrid Defeat Atletico Madrid, 2-1

01:51 - Individual efforts were the story of the game

02:56 - Real Madrid and Ancelotti are breaking the mold of top teams

05:31 - If not for Alvarez, Atletico would have produced very little

07:05 - Real Madrid dropping their defensive line

07:51 - Luka Modric’s introduction to the game

08:53 - Atletico are good are breaching high lines

10:25 - Atletico’s defense was shocking on the second goal

12:27 - Atletico can shop for defensive centerbacks that other big teams wouldn’t go for

14:14 - How can Real Madrid be exploited in the 2nd leg?

17:28 - Arsenal BATTER PSV

17:55 - Why no haramball from Arteta?

19:12 - Arsenal beat PSV at their own game

20:16 - Was the scoreline a bit harsh?

21:54 - Benitez had a horrible game

23:33 - Dortmund vs Lille was definitely a game of football

23:44 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa and pure haramball from Emery

24:51 - The last goal makes it REALLY hard for Club Brugge to comeback, but they’ve had a great campaign

25:36 - Brugge’s young talent

28:22 - PLEASE watch the Madrid derby next week instead of Villa v Brugge

29:05 - Pavlidis has been on a TEAR for Benfica

30:05 - He’s 3rd in the UCL in non-penalty expected goals

31:23 - His movement is what sets him appart

33:33 - Benfica have made some interesting Striker signings

38:30 - Pavlidis’ left foot

39:56 - Igor Paixao is a player to watch Wednesday for Feyenoord

41:41 - Paixao’s shot map and decision making

42:30 - Inter have defensive problems

43:09 - Will he leave the Eredevisie?

44:21 - Premier League fit + Playing with Yankuba Minteh

45:15 - Paixao is dynamic, but lacking in the final third

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 71 - UCL Round of 16 Preview: Madrid Derby, PSG v Liverpool and EVERY other matchup!

Mon, 03 Mar 2025 19:57:43 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick break down every matchup in the Champions League Round of 16. Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, and Benfica vs. Barcelona be the standout matches of the round, or will we see a surprise result? Enjoy!

Ted's article on recruitment from Monday: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/what-recruitment-teams-are-doing-right-now

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:14 - Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid

02:19 - Was Modric starting vs Betis the right call?

03:01 - Isco’s performance and history

05:29 - Atletico are looking great

07:01 - Julian Alvarez’ insane form

08:17 - How will Real Madrid beat Atletico’s defense?

10:23 - La Liga standings are crazy right now

10:46 - PSV vs Arsenal and Arteta’s Haramball

12:19 - Liverpool vs PSG and Dembele’s form

13:15 - Liverpool’s physicality + PSG’s attack

15:24 - Gamblers thoughts on the game

15:57 - Salah vs PSG’s defense

17:34 - Luis Enrique vs Arne Slot?

17:57 - Benfica Barcelona

18:43 - Dortmund vs Lille tangent

19:14 - Barcelona’s recent form and Benfica won’t make it easy

19:56 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa

21:38 - Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen

22:20 - Will Leverkusen beat Bayern AGAIN?

24:08 - You can’t judge teams now based on their early season form

24:42 - Bayern withdraw Kimmich contract offer + Next team and replacements

26:03 - Finding valuable archetypes

28:31 - Feyenoord vs Inter Milan and Inter v Napoli

29:02 - Inter stopped attacking

31:05 - Hope for Feyenoord? No, look at their injury list

33:37 - An exciting round of fixtures

34:05 - Patrick’s disclaimer

35:06 - Ted and Patrick’s new venture

36:10 - B-Roll

36:15 - Watching 4 games at once and being cool in school

37:23 - Commentators having no clue what they’re talking about

39:59 - Cristiano Ronaldo Free-kick perception vs Lionel Messi’s

40:48 - Ted and Patrick’s beef with Journalists

42:39 - Patrick goes off

44:32 - Ted’s story time from his time working in football

49:41 - Ted’s (almost) time at Lyon

51:07 - Ridiculed for leaning on a goalpost

52:36 - Patrick’s realization and more honesty from him

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 70 - Man United making HUGE cuts + Who's getting promoted to EPL?

Wed, 26 Feb 2025 19:31:11 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss the Championship playoff race. Leeds seem poised to take the top spot, but who will get the second automatic promotion seed and who will make the playoffs? Then, Manchester United have fired MORE staff and cut back on their canteen under INEOS and Jim Ratcliffe. Why would they do this, how does this impact the staff, and what do they need to do going forward? The episode ends with each host sharing a player that you NEED to watch as the season comes to a close. Enjoy!

Our episode with NTT20 to start the season: https://youtu.be/_LymoQM0MvE?feature=shared

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:51 - The Championship playoff race

01:51 - Burnley’s defense and Leeds’ attack

03:06 - Promoted teams having to reinvent themselves

03:58 - Burnley’s retooling and a bet with J.J. Watt

05:17 - The race for second

06:20 - Spots 3-6 are WIDE open

07:42 - Hope for Middlesbrough?

09:52 - Frank Lampard and Coventry

12:31 - Lampard didn’t revolutionize much, but brought what the team needed

14:19 - Predicting the top 6 that will make the playoffs

17:11 - Patrick’s predictions

18:24 - Manchester United cutting 200 more jobs + food options

20:19 - Why teams have meals for their staff

21:58 - Why would United make these cuts?

23:46 - United don’t need someone to develop a culture of excellence

25:34 - United’s commitment to Amorim

27:06 - United still have players coming into the first team despite their troubles

27:47 - 2 Players you should be watching

29:14 - Jorthy Mokio

31:04 - Who does Mokio compare to?

32:43 - Ajax is a good place for him to develop

34:12 - Patrick’s player - Emanuel Emegha

35:44 - Benefiting from a weak league?

37:13 - Emegha’s ability to use both feet

38:14 - Comparison to Dembele’s ability and recent form

38:59 - The traditional number 9 is making a comeback

40:43 - Is he someone to take a chance on this summer?

#manchesterunited #manutd #premierleague #efl #eflchampionship #leedsunited #sheffieldunited #burnley #coventry #football #soccer

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 69 - Is this Mo Salah's best EVER form? + Why Bayern are FRAUDS

Mon, 24 Feb 2025 20:00:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Manchester City’s 2-0 loss to Liverpool over the weekend. How reliant are City on Haaland, is this Mo Salah’s best form EVER, and is it finally time to call Kevin De Bruyne washed? Then, the conversation switches to the race for the Champions League spots. Will City secure a spot, or will one of Chelsea, Forest, Newcastle, Bournemouth, or Aston Villa knock them out? Next, Bayern defeated 3rd place Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 over the weekend, but do they have weaknesses that may cost them in the Champions League? And finally, the Serie A title race is as close as ever. Who will be on top when the season ends? All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!

Kim's newsletter on Mo Salah and when great players become washed:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-long-can-mohamed-salah-stay-on-top

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

01:20 - Liverpool vs Manchester City 2-0

02:22 - City’s Issues with Haaland out

03:19 - City’s success hinges on Haaland’s fitness

04:09 - Liverpool’s passive press

06:43 - Arne Slot and the press

08:53 - Salah’s Best ever form? and Kim’s article on when players become washed

09:59 - Kevin De Bruyne might be past it

11:03 - How Liverpool are reliant on Salah

12:40 - How do Liverpool figure out Salah’s contract given his form and age?

14:26 - A whole right-sided rebuild is coming?

15:39 - Will City make the champions league next season + Top 5 predictions

18:00 - How european matches may impact the top 5 race

21:02 - Final spot predictions

21:44 - Bayern pummel Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 + Freiburg goal difference

24:25 - How good Bayern can be + Frankfurt's Marmoush replacement

25:25 - What are Bayern not good at?

27:13 - How teams can hurt Bayern in transition

30:41 - Bayern's draw in the UCL and their chances there

31:54 - Can Inter trouble Bayern in the next round?

33:42 - What’s going on with Leipzig?

35:56 - The difficulties of trying to switch styles of play

37:21 - The Serie A title race narrows

39:20 - Atalanta ahead of Napoli, but are Inter still the favorites?

41:36 - Inter vs Napoli next weekend

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 68 - Real Madrid Dismantle Man City + Atalanta's Lookman DRAMA

Thu, 20 Feb 2025 16:10:53 -0000

On this episode, Hayden and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe and Real Madrid dismantling Manchester City, 3-1. What caused City’s defense to collapse, could this be a good thing for City, and have things finally clicked for Real Madrid? Next, Atalanta was shocked by Club Brugge in both legs and their manager had harsh comments for their star player after the game. Is Ademola Lookman’s time at Atalanta done after this season? Then, Italian teams struggled in the Champions League while Dutch clubs had great success. What caused this sudden deviation from expectations? And finally, the title race in La Liga is heating up with Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid separated by just one point. Who is in the best position to win the title? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:59 - Real Madrid Defeat Manchester City 3-1

02:28 - Mbappe was a mismatch

03:18 - Was it coaching or the players making mistakes?

05:09 - How Madrid got their goals

06:01 - Man City get a break now and Madrid REALLY needed this

07:47 - Have things clicked for Madrid?

09:36 - Atalanta lose to Club Brugge in both legs

11:53 - Tolio’s red card

12:22 - Lookman penalty situation + Gasperini’s response

14:33 - Lookman’s response and reactions

15:49 - Will Lookman leave in the summer?

17:35 - Potential landing spots for Lookman

19:58 - Italian clubs suffered while Dutch teams excelled

21:32 - PSV have been excellent for 18 months

22:54 - Why can’t Serie A clubs perform in the UCL + Juventus continue to be BORING

25:26 - Has Peter Bosz improved as a manager?

26:56 - PSV have let Ajax back into the Eredivisie title race

28:12 - Feyenoord will be a tough environment for visiting teams next round

29:46 - The La Liga title race

30:40 - Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico are in a stalemate

31:33 - Are Barcelona in the best position to win La Liga and will Real Madrid focus on the Champions League?

33:06 - Unsung heroes performing for Barca/Real Madrid

33:47 - Does signing players from the top end of the market mean they are able to solve problems better?

34:58 - Jude Bellingham’s ability to be better than the opponent when needed

36:32 - Messi is another problem solver

37:20 - Players Hayden worked with that surprised him with what they saw

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 67 - Arsenal's Striker solution + Why is Chelsea's defense terrible?

Mon, 17 Feb 2025 20:00:07 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Chelsea's woeful form and their 3-0 loss to Brighton this weekend. Then, the conversation switches to Manchester City and their revived attack. Is Ederson's long ball ability to Haaland and Marmoush the key to saving their season? Next, Arsenal seem to have found their Kai Havertz replacement, but it's not one you would expect. Is Mikel Merino the man for the job going forward? The episode ends with a woeful Tottenham vs. Manchester United game, an apology to Everton fans, and questioning if Liverpool fans should start to get a bit nervous after their last 2 games. Stay tuned to find out about a new venture that Ted and Patrick are planning to launch! Enjoy!

Kim's INEOS roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/tottenham-and-man-united-meet-in-the-disaster-bowl

The singles party Ted Mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIgUyFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpt1fCOH1LFRprRYsrkjme9YNvHf3jEzhHhjK6K_1gUJkMpCKrSINKTr7Qw_aem_rBiF6cicDe8OwUAqTsAoGg

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:48 - New host hires

00:01:39 - A damaging for months for Chelsea

00:03:08 - Sanchez finally out of goal

00:03:58 - Chalaba and Colwill

00:05:17 - Ederson vs Raya vs Sanchez distribution

00:07:08 - Is it a coaching issue? + Cucurella struggles

00:08:03 - Very high PPDA for Chelsea

00:09:51 - How Arsenal play out of possession + Wenger anecdote

00:12:47 - Nicolas Jackson out 6-8 weeks

00:13:28 - Marmoush, Haaland, and Ederson

00:15:27 - Haaland takes so much attention

00:17:33 - Newcastle vs. United

00:19:17 - Spurs games are FUN for neutrals

00:20:16 - United completed 2 dribbles and Zirkzee playing like Felliani

00:21:17 - Amorim has dealt with injuries, but United are BAD

00:22:35 - Ted’s preseason prediction

00:24:23 - Kim’s INEOS writeup

00:24:58 - Arsenal’s new number 9 + Raheem sterling seems DONE

00:27:32 - Mikel Merino slotting in as your center forward

00:28:42 - Merino = Land shark

00:30:18 - An apology tour for our Everton takes

00:30:46 - Same level of play, different results

00:32:36 - Will this run continue?

00:35:14 - Should Liverpool fans be concerned?

00:36:34 - Salah is playing great, but he will need some rest

00:37:36 - A tough run of games coming up

00:38:35 - Liverpool’s FA cup loss could help them rest

00:39:36 - Share your topic suggestions with us!

00:40:24 - Ted and Patrick’s new podcast

00:41:33 - Patrick’s thoughts on Another Round

00:43:45 - Ted’s TikTok inspired adventure

00:47:45 - Ted’s history

00:49:18 - No history of dating with smartphones or on apps

00:50:52 - Experimenting to optimize Ted’s profile

00:52:08 - Why Patrick is qualified to speak on this topic

00:54:25 - What the podcast will be about

00:55:22 - Pilates and Yoga are a great way for men to meet people

00:56:29 - Ted gets vulnerable and talks about himself

01:00:36 - Breaking up with someone, but breaking your own heart

01:03:28 - Doubling down to vulnerability after being avoidant

01:05:29 - Men love sports because they get to feel

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

STOP chasing the action! Pro Gambler's picks for EPL Matchday 25 - Variance Betting episode 11

Fri, 14 Feb 2025 16:23:23 -0000

Ted Knutson, a former professional gambler, shares his picks for every Premier League match this weekend and explains why you shouldn’t chase the action on weeks where the total bet number is small. He then goes over some of the reads he shared on social media earlier this week. Enjoy!

Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:16 - Bet105

02:28 - Brighton v Chelsea

04:04 - The best players are only worth so much to lines, even Messi and Ronaldo

04:43 - Leicester v Arsenal

06:24 - Fulham v Forest

06:55 - Southampton v Bournemouth

07:45 - Aston Villa v Ipswich

08:33 - Man City v Newcastle

11:08 - West Ham v Brentford

12:07 - Crystal Palace v Everton

13:14 - DON’T chase the action

14:23 - Liverpool v Wolves

15:00 - Tottenham v United

16:57 - Running totals and new bet size

17:56 - Ted’s recent reads on Plymouth and AC Milan

21:11 - More about The Transfer Flow

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 66 - Arsenal's Kai Havertz PROBLEM + Real Madrid STUN Man City

Wed, 12 Feb 2025 18:37:01 -0000

On today's episode, Patrick is joined by Neel Shelat to discuss all things Champions League from Tuesday's slate of games. They start with the big one, Real Madrid's 3-2 victory over Manchester City. Where were the new transfers, what went wrong for both teams, and can City bounce back in the 2nd leg? After discussing the other games from Tuesday, the conversation switches to the Saudi Pro league and the market opportunities for smart teams. Should more European clubs be trying to get players BACK from Saudi? The episode ends with Kai Havertz' season ending injury. Should Arsenal have made a move in January? Enjoy!

Neel's article on Man City's huge January window: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manchester-city-spent-180m-planning-for-the-future

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:04 - Neel’s Manchester City transfer article

03:17 - Marmoush is the biggest impact for this season

04:35 - These transfers were meant to rejuvenate an aging squad

05:16 - The transfers did not play early

05:53 - The start of the game + Real Madrid’s initial plan

07:29 - City should have taken more advantage of Madrid’s poor start

07:49 - City have forgotten how to close out games

09:48 - The pressing in this game was staggeringly incompetent

10:35 - Bellingham grew as the game went on

11:18 - Their 2020 matchup and the similarities between the games

12:42 - City’s intensity dropped in the second half

14:49 - The threat of Vinicius vs. De Bruyne

15:42 - Will City become more of a transition side with Marmoush?

17:28 - City must score early in the 2nd leg

18:28 - Quick roundup of Tuesday’s UCL games

18:55 - Juventus vs. PSV

21:33 - Dortmund vs Sporting + the transition to Kovac

24:42 - Opportunities for teams in the Saudi Pro League

25:46 - How many foreign players in the Saudi Pro League?

26:58 - Teams are maxed out - No more huge market movement

27:48 - Fofana example + the opportunity to get players to improve European teams

28:49 - Teams have to be careful with wages

31:08 - Players now have to be careful about getting replaced in a few years time

32:29 - The difference between Saudi and the Chinese Super League

35:16 - Kai Havertz out for the season for Arsenal

36:04 - The timing of moves matters

37:31 - Rotating players to avoid injuries during long seasons

39:06 - Arsenal have ran their stars into the ground

39:45 - Options to replace Havertz + players returning from injury for Arsenal

40:42 - Arteta needs to think about his 13/14 key player rotation + Using Arsenal’s great academy

42:16 - The amount of games are not going to go down ($$$$$$)

42:55 - Where to find Neel

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 65 - Predicting EVERY Champions League Knockout matchup

Mon, 10 Feb 2025 20:56:38 -0000

On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick breakdown every match in the Knockout phase of the Champions League. They start with the biggest match of the round, Real Madrid vs. Manchester City. Both teams have clear weaknesses, but who will be able to take advantage of them the most? Then they get into Ousmane Dembele, is he the best player in the world right now? Stay tuned to see the hosts live reaction to Feyenoord sacking Brian Priske, underrated matches to watch this round, and some stories from Ted. The episode ends with predictions for EVERY matchup and some behind the scenes footage. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Nicolas Cage is a Coppola?

00:54 - Champions League Playoffs

01:31 - Real Madrid v Man City

02:25 - City are a coin flip and Pep vs Ancelotti

04:57 - How both teams will approach this game

05:53 - Ederson is the best long-ball goalkeeper in the world

07:38 - Madrid can’t press, but their ability to play out from pressure is elite

08:28 - Madrid Derby reactions

09:45 - Dani Ceballos is Madrid’s best player at the moment

11:25 - Patrick vs Rodri, who wins right now?

12:04 - Real Madrid have the worst defensive record in the UCL, why did they make no moves?

15:36 - But surely Real Madrid could have done SOMETHING?

17:10 - Football nepotism = Genepotism

18:24 - Brest vs PSG + Dembele is the form player in the world right now

19:26 - Dembele’s positional change

20:40 - How his ability to use both feet impacts defenders

21:22 - The drastic xG difference

24:55 - Juventus vs PSV

26:16 - Sporting v Dortmund

27:21 - One to watch for potential summer transfers

28:56 - Brugge v Atalanta

29:46 - Atalanta play a very unique style

30:34 - How is Gasperini doing this?

31:36 - The oddities of Italian coaches + a story from Ted

32:52 - Celtic v Bayern Munich

35:21 - Do Celtic have it in them?

36:11 - Feyenoord v AC Milan

37:42 - Milan’s season is becoming more and more unhinged

38:50 - Zlatan not being a bit, he’s just weird

40:01 - Should be a fun contest between managers?

41:27 - Breaking news - Priske sacked mid recording + Reactions

43:32 - Monaco v Benfica is sneaky fun

44:41 - Can Benfica replicate their form?

46:41 - A ton of young, exciting players in this game

49:22 - Predictions for EVERY matchup

51:53 - Behind the scenes - Andre 3000, Australians, and a cliffhanger from Ted

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 64 - City's UNUSUAL Rodri Replacement + BIG moves around Europe | Ep. 64

Thu, 06 Feb 2025 19:39:20 -0000

On today’s episode, Patrick is joined by José C. Pérez to discuss the end of the transfer window. They start with Man City’s spending spree this January and the addition of Nico Gonzalez. Is he their Rodri replacement? The conversation moves to Aston Villa, where the guys try to make sense of their additions. How will Unai Emery use his new firepower? Next, Arsenal and Liverpool both made no moves, but does this mean the Gunners are throwing in the towel? Then comes La Liga, whose teams spent far less this window than the other big leagues. Real Madrid also made no moves, despite a squad that needs upgrades. Is it a sign of things to come across Europe, or is it only due to their financial regulations? The episode finishes with discussion of AC Milan’s moves this window, including Joao Felix, and Como and Rennais both making a TON of moves. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:37 - Man City have spent BIG this window

02:14 - Have City neglected their needs for a while?

04:43 - City’s press has rapidly declined

06:22 - An aging squad + Rodri’s injury

07:56 - Nico Gonzalez history and escaping Barcelona’s grasp

09:18 - City need a more positional version of Gonzalez

10:42 - Physicality and similarities to Rodri

13:27 - Jose’s thoughts on Aston Villa’s window

16:43 - Similarities between Rashford and Malen

17:59 - Asensio’s quality, but do they have enough defensive presence?

19:36 - Why did Liverpool and Arsenal make no moves?

21:24 - Are Arsenal throwing in the towel?

22:46 - Why did La Liga make so few moves?

25:03 - Why are Real Madrid making no moves if they have the money?

27:17 - Why are Madrid averse to spending on defenders?

27:51 - A historic spending spree coming?

30:22 - Serie A went MAD

30:47 - Conceicao and AC Milan’s window

31:51 - How does Joao Felix fit in?

33:05 - Kyle Walker as a conventional RB?

34:33 - Does the Santiago Gimenez make sense?

36:52 - What will Conceicao’s style look like?

37:51 - Como and Rennes make a TON of moves

40:21 - A mix of reloading on talent and trying to win now?

42:09 - Should they have done fewer transfers, given how hard it is to interchange squads?

44:28 - Where can people find Jose?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 63 - Villa are paying Rashford HOW MUCH? + Kids SAVED Arsenal's season

Mon, 03 Feb 2025 19:46:59 -0000

On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Arsenal’s 5-1 victory over Manchester City. Have Arsenal’s academy kids saved their season? Then comes Aston Villa, who have acquired Marcus Rashford and Marco Asensio on loan. Why have they agreed to pay the rumoured 75% of Rashford’s wages? Next, Tottenham’s search for defenders and the loan addition of Mathys Tel from Bayern Munich. Why would spurs agree to a loan deal if it only helps Bayern? The episode ends with discussion of Evan Ferguson’s loan move to West Ham, Brighton stockpiling assets, and the atmosphere at the Arsenal/Man City game. Stick around for behind the scenes footage with discussion of Japanese game shows, Natalie Portman, and Kumail Nanjiani.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:50 - Arsenal thrash Man City

03:14 - Teams are teeing off on the City press this year

05:03 - Lewis-Skelly and the Arsenal kids SAVED their season

06:08 - Nwaneri and Lewis-Skelly don’t look like kids

07:03 - How good Academy players influence the rest of the squad

08:09 - They’re mentally ahead of the curve

09:55 - Not every youngster is capable of this

10:33 - Will Lewis-Skelly stay at left-back?

12:36 - Arsenal are in win now mode

15:27 - Marcus Rashford and Asensio to Aston Villa

16:49 - Why are they paying 75% of Rashford wages?

17:37 - Villa are focusing on the Champions League

18:55 - Villa love a big name from a big club

20:24 - Tottenham’s search for defenders

20:36 - Palace turns down 70M for Guehi? And Brighton turned down 90M for Mitoma?

22:40 - Spurs sign Tel on a straight loan… WHY?

24:02 - Spurs sign Kevin Danso as well, is he a backup?

26:20 - Will Spurs try a back 3? + Back 3’s this season

28:28 - Brighton and Fabian Hurzeler

29:27 - Teams can save themselves money by having design

30:00 - Brighton let Evan Ferguson join West Ham on loan

30:42 - What would you want Ferguson’s buy option to be here?

33:01 - He’s going to a coach who knows him

34:10 - What would Brighton hope to get for him in the summer?

36:24 - Brighton are stockpiling forwards

38:03 - Brighton have everything in place, but Hurzeler might not be the coach for the job

38:41 - City fans complaining about the Arsenal atmosphere

39:47 - It’s part of wearing the crown

40:19 - The Arsenal/Man City games have become a real rivalry

42:48 - PSG have ruined their rivalry with Marseille

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Bournemouth are for REAL + Premier League Matchday 24 best bets! | Variance Betting Ep. 10

Fri, 31 Jan 2025 17:51:16 -0000

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, shares his picks for EPL Matchday 24. He shares why he's taking Bournemouth over Liverpool, betting on Ipswich, and staying away from Arsenal v Man City.

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:40 - Find the best Prices at Bet105

01:40 - The BEST Super Bowl promo

02:22 - Forest v Brighton

04:31 - Bournemouth v Liverpool

07:23 - Newcastle v Fulham

09:02 - Everton v Leicester

10:46 - Ipswich v Southampton

12:19 - Wolves v Aston Villa

14:36 - United v Crystal Palace

15:00 - Brentford v Tottenham

16:23 - Arsenal v Manchester City

18:43 - Chelsea v West Ham

20:19 - How much Ted has in play this weekend

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 62 - Transfer Rumours: Garnacho to Chelsea + Brian Brobbey to WEST HAM?

Wed, 29 Jan 2025 17:36:54 -0000

On this episode, Patick is joined by Hayden Van Brewer to discuss the latest transfer rumours around Europe. They start with Garnacho leaving Manchester United and look at the best potential landing spots. Does he fit in better at Chelsea, or should Napoli make a serious run at him? Next comes Brian Brobbey, who has been linked with West Ham this January. Does he fit in well with Graham Potters system and what skillset would he bring? The conversation turns to Victor Boniface, who has an offer from Saudi side Al Nassr. Could he make a difference on a top European team instead? We finish up with Rayan Cherki being linked to Newcastle and Albert Gronbaek's move to Southampton. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:11 - Garnacho appears DONE at Manchester United

02:33 - Clubs interested in Garnacho

04:11 - How he fits at Chelsea

05:20 - Whats a better fit, Chelsea or Napoli?

07:09 - The creativity at Chelsea suits Garnacho

08:01 - What about his defensive side?

09:26 - Garnacho is still only 21 + Amorim’s system needs money

11:16 - Brian Brobbey linked with West Ham

12:06 - Brobbey is a physical specimen + his skillset

13:39 - A replacement for Antonio?

14:53 - Would he fit in with Graham Potter?

16:51 - Why did he not work at Leipzig?

18:36 - Victor Boniface linked with Saudi

19:49 - Boniface could be a difference maker for a Europa/Champions League side

21:15 - Is the market wary of players with injury history?

23:41 - How do pro teams look at a players trends and injury concerns?

26:45 - Rashford linked to Barcelona, but he has lots of miles on his legs

27:33 - We’ve talked about this with Kobie Mainoo

28:20 - Is there a market opportunity? Or are older players too risky?

30:35 - Looking where others aren’t gives you the most chance to find an edge

32:01 - Rayan Cherki on the Market, linked with Newcastle

33:22 - Could Newcastle convert him like Joelinton?

34:36 - His skillset would help Newcastle unlock defenses

35:32 - Too much of a weakness in the press?

37:11 - A good partner for Aleksander Isak

37:40 - What club would suit Cherki the best?

39:35 - Albert Gronbaek to Southampton

40:30 - Gronbaek’s skillset

41:51 - The dutchification of The Transfer Flow

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 61 - Marmoush looks PERFECT for Man City + Arsenal & Man United rumours

Mon, 27 Jan 2025 19:30:35 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Manchester City's 3-1 win over Chelsea this weekend. Khusanov struggled, Marmoush excelled, and Robert Sanchez needs to be replaced. The conversation turns to who will finish the Champions League spots. Can Bournemouth, Newcastle, and Forest overtake City and Chelsea, or will the giants regain their form? To round out the episode Patrick and Ted take a look at some transfer rumours. They start with Patrick Dorgu being linked to United, how he fits, and what his price should be. Then, 18-year-old Sverre Nypan has interest from many clubs. Is a move to Arsenal in the cards, or could he prefer a lower league before making the jump to the EPL? Make sure to stay tuned until the end of the episode for a behind the scenes look at Sir Alex Ferguson stories, Ted's invite to a Party, and Billy Beane.

Tickets for the party Ted mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIEdFpleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpop_xpK7gZiFyk8r-GL6W8n5Y_LZ3Q48xOv1TUyL7ZqeWPEp0htiwhz2Uw_aem_jG_OuTl6kQHs3Yp94__tJw

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:07 - Man City v Chelsea + Khusanov’s rough start

02:33 - Haaland’s creation during the game

03:10 - Gvardiol and a continuing theme for Pep

04:16 - Marmoush fit in instantly

06:00 - 2 teams who want to play with control, but neither had it

06:37 - What does this performance mean for Chelsea?

07:53 - Sanchez has the yips

08:36 - A change at keeper is surely coming

10:02 - Maresca has Chelsea playing to the level of their talent

11:31 - The importance of asking questions in football

13:01 - 2 instances where Ted called out bad transfers

15:06 - GM’s and DoF’s should be in the media regularly

16:09 - The race for Champions League spots in the Premier League

16:45 - Ted disagrees with Patrick

17:20 - Bournemouth's form despite an injury crisis

17:52 - Are Forest in trouble?

18:37 - Can Bournemouth add any players?

19:44 - City still have problems defensively and with the press

20:56 - Can city rebuild their press?

22:47 - So who makes it into the top 5?

23:59 - Who falls out of the CL spots?

25:07 - The second team out?

26:37 - Newcastle are the most fragile of the contenders

27:56 - Everything but the title race should be interesting to follow

28:35 - Patrick Dorgu to United?

29:25 - How much is he worth?

30:03 - He has traits to succeed in the EPL and at United

30:42 - He sometimes is able to coast, which hurts him

32:02 - He fits into a tough position at United

33:39 - Should they buy back Alvara Carreras instead?

34:39 - It looks like Garnacho will be gone eventually

35:12 - Sverre Nypan rumours

36:10 - Other Norwegian youngsters

37:05 - Nypan’s skillset + Does a weak league hurt him?

38:22 - What’s a comfortable price?

39:15 - Arsenal’s history of developing young talent

41:43 - The Premier League is back to attracting the best young talent

42:46 - Trying out new hosts!

44:27 - Behind the scenes footage (Sir Alex Ferguson story, Ted’s party invite for everyone, and Billy Beane?)

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

How I Won $3,200 Last Week + EPL Matchday 23 picks REVEALED! | Variance Betting Ep. 9

Fri, 24 Jan 2025 17:38:47 -0000

On episode 9 of Variance Betting, Ted goes over his big results from last week, gives a crash course on discount bookies and Asian Handicaps, and shares his bets for Premier League Matchday 23!

More info on Asian Handicap betting: https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:10 - Running totals, last weeks recap, and updated bet size

04:29 - New courses coming this summer

05:13 - Why we prefer Discount Bookies + Bet105 promo

08:38 - Why Asian handicap betting?

12:00 - What is Variance Betting?

14:13 - Liverpool v Ipswich

15:34 - Wolves v Arsenal

16:41 - Brighton v Everton

18:17 - Southampton v Newcastle

18:54 - Bournemouth v Forest

19:45 - City v Chelsea

21:58 - Tottenham v Leicester

22:59 - Crystal Palace v Brentford

24:27 - Aston Villa v West Ham

25:47 - Fulham v United

26:45 - Total bets this week

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 60 - Barca's INSANE 5-4 comeback, PSG and Man City BOTH need points, and Yoane Wissa linked with Forest?

Wed, 22 Jan 2025 14:37:18 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick roundup Champions League matchday 7 and preview the Wednesday night games. They start with Barcelona's 5-4 comeback over Benfica which featured featured a ton of chaos. The conversation turns to Atletico Madrid's 2-1 win over Bayer Leverkusen and why Julian Alvarez is such a good fit for Atletico. Next comes Bologna's 2-1 upset over Dortmund. Nuri Sahin was sacked, but can the next manager solve Dortmund's problems? In the transfer mill, Yoane Wissa has been linked to Nottingham Forest, but will Brentford sell the 28-year-old? , Ted and Patrick share their thoughts on the huge game between Manchester City and PSG tonight. Both teams are in the danger zone, but can one of them earn a much needed victory? The episode closes with Ted's bets for Wednesday's games, our search for a new host, and 18 simultaneous games next week. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:27 - The chaos of Benfica v Barcelona + Szczęsny tackle

02:56 - Pavlidis hat-trick + Barca’s high line

03:53 - Club Brugge v Juventus bore fest

05:35 - It’s difficult to play this Barca team for the first time

06:11 - Was Raphinha’s goal intentional or an accident?

07:40 - Benfica penalty shouts then Barca’s winning goal in the final minute

09:21 - Pavlidis as a potential transfer target

09:48 - Atletico Madrid v Leverkusen

10:52 - Ted’s recent run on Variance Betting

12:49 - Atletico’s unusual defensive style

13:58 - Alvarez is a perfect fit for Atletico + Griezmann story

15:38 - The winning goal

16:42 - Wissam Ben Yedder and tiny, square players

17:24 - The most interesting thing about Atletico this season

18:12 - Bologna v Dortmund and Nuri Sahin sacking

18:58 - Guirassy panenka penalty

19:45 - Dortmund can’t get out of their own way

20:58 - Roger Schmidt as next Dortmund manager?

21:30 - Would Andoni Iraola make sense?

22:38 - Yoane Wissa linked to Nottingham Forest

24:10 - Wissa’s skillset

24:54 - What should the price be?

26:27 - What would his role be at Forest?

28:51 - Patrick’s love for Thomas Frank

29:37 - PSG vs Man City

30:23 - PSG have struggled against physicality

31:37 - Weaknesses with City

32:51 - PSG have been what the critics say they are

33:33 - Can PSG’s runners trouble City?

34:19 - Marquinhos’ importance to City

35:08 - Real Madrid v Salzburg and Feyenoord v Bayern Munich

35:59 - Clash of styles between Inter Milan and Sparta Prague

36:20 - Arsenal can lock up top 8 vs. Dinamo Zagreb

37:36 - The gap from 26th to 27th may save one of PSG and City

38:07 - 18 games at the same time next week

39:19 - Help us find a Co-host!

40:50 - Subscribe to Variance Betting to increase Ted’s base bet size

#championsleague #barcelona #psg #manchestercity #brentford #nottinghamforest #football #soccer #realmadrid #transfernews #football #soccer #raphinha

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 59 - Finding Arsenal a Striker + The BEST club for Rayan Cherki?

Mon, 20 Jan 2025 20:05:15 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the many strikers that have been linked to Arsenal. Is the answer Victor Osimhen, Benjamin Sesko, or someone else? Next, Erling Haaland signed an extension with Manchester City until 2034. Why did both City and Haaland choose to get this deal done? Then comes Romain Esse's move to Crystal Palace. Have Palace gotten enough credit for their recent decision making? The conversation moves to Rayan Cherki, with the hosts trying to find the best league and team for the talented, but hard to work with, Frenchman. The episode ends with discussion of the weekends Premier League games, Liverpool stepping on the gas, and how Manchester United fans should feel. Stick around to see Patrick and Ted discuss Ralph Lauren, Coco Channel, and just how hot Olivier Giroud is.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:56 - Strikers linked to Arsenal

02:38 - What Arsenal need and don’t need

04:58 - The type of player that fits their squad

06:01 - Does Victor Osimhen make sense?

07:22 - Why Osimhen is still at Napoli + what will they do with him

08:54 - What is a good price for Osimhen?

10:43 - Negatives with Osmihen?

12:09 - What about Benjamin Sesko?

14:42 - Lower shot volume since moving to Germany a worry?

15:51 - Is targeting pre-peak players a risk?

19:10 - Erling Haaland’s big extension with Man City

20:24 - City’s perspective for making this happen

22:46 - Perspective from Haaland’s side

24:59 - Could this hurt City in the long run?

26:44 - If Barcelona did this with Messi

27:45 - Champagne and Oysters for Fulham

28:28 - Ted and Patrick’s train beer preferences

30:09 - Romain Esse to Crystal Palace

31:30 - A good bet for the future

32:38 - Tottenham and Archie Gray

33:33 - Do Palace get enough credit?

34:42 - Glasner’s potential to be a top coach

36:53 - Rayan Cherki available to leave Lyon

37:35 - A talented but difficult to work with footballer

39:41 - He’s the type of player you dream for as a fan

40:47 - He needs to be on a team that can keep him focused

41:31 - The best league and team for him

43:04 - What club will make the next coaching move?

43:58 - Liverpool have stepped on the gas

46:08 - How good Virgil Van Dijk and Konate are

46:34 - The champions league race + how United fans should feel

48:32 - Behind the scenes (is Giroud hot, double denim, and Coco Channel)

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Betting £1 on the EPL for EVERY subscriber I have - Variance Betting Episode 8

Fri, 17 Jan 2025 17:21:07 -0000

On the 8th episode of Variance Betting, Ted goes over how his bets have fared at the mid-way point of the season, gives you a way to get better prices on your bets, and goes over his EPL Matchday 22 picks.

Ted's mid-season Variance Betting roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-update-on-variance-betting

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:33 - Why we paused

01:27 - Where to get better prices on your bets

03:24 - Why do you care?

04:44 - Ted’s results so far

06:08 - Betting £1 for every Variance Betting subscriber

07:13 - EPL matchday 22 picks

07:16 - Newcastle v Bournemouth

08:29 - Leicester v Fulham

09:45 - West Ham v Crystal Palace

10:43 - Brentford v Liverpool

11:39 - Arsenal v Aston Villa

13:48 - Everton v Tottenham

15:11 - Nottingham Forest v Southampton

16:21 - United v Brighton

17:05 - Ipswich v Man City

18:15 - Chelsea v Wolves

20:11- Join Variance Betting for more betting related content

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 58 - Arsenal don't need Zubimendi + Would Real Madrid be BETTER without Mbappe?

Thu, 16 Jan 2025 15:00:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Arsenal closing in on signing Martin Zubimendi. How does he fit, do they need him, and will signing him cost them a player in the future? Next comes Barcelona’s 5-2 thrashing of Real Madrid. What caused Real Madrid issues in the game, would they be better off if they didn’t sign Mbappe, and can Vinicius Jr. and Mbappe have a good game at the same time? The episode ends by touching on Nkunku being linked to Bayern Munich and Loic Bade getting interest from Aston Villa. This is Ravi’s last episode with us, show him some love in the comments!

How to get a job in Football podcast: https://youtu.be/nI_qZHXA1eI

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:27 - Ravi announcement

01:19 - Arsenal close to signing Zubimendi

01:57 - Is this the player Arsenal need most?

03:41 - Too many defensive midfielders?

04:46 - Freed up wages, but what is the plan?

05:33 - Did the key in on Zubimendi too hard?

06:49 - Will they miss out on someone because of this transfer?

07:45 - Who is the player that sits?

09:53 - Are they building too hard into one style even if they get Nico Williams?

12:06 - Would Williams and Saka open up enough space?

13:55 - How the finances work

15:36 - What if they don’t get their ideal targets?

16:43 - Opportunity costs

17:17 - Barcelona thrash Real Madrid

18:35 - Multiple Madrid issues in this game

20:26 - Stats that can be misleading

21:24 - Should Ascensio have started?

22:31 - Real Madrid need immediate solutions

23:59 - Which of their attackers will sit?

24:54 - How easily Barca scored some of their goals

26:56 - Madrid turned Bellingham into a more of an attacker

28:23 - Pass accuracy against both Barcelona and Real Madrid

29:35 - Hansi Flick’s coaching job

30:18 - What if Madrid didn’t add Mbappe in the Summer?

31:30 - Can both Vinicius and Mbappe have a good game at the same time?

33:32 - Would a different coach be better for them?

34:43 - Xabi Alonso rumoured, but does the squad fit?

35:16 - What will make Real Madrid make a change

37:18 - Nkunku leaving Chelsea for Bayern Munich?

39:47 - Being able to cover for Musiala

41:27 - What should the price be?

42:22 - Chelsea cannot set the price too high

43:28 - Loic Bade linked with Aston Villa

46:17 - Concern from moving from La Liga to the Premier League

49:14 - Aston Villa have been busy

51:09 - Goodbye to Ravi

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 57 - HUGE Man City shakeup, Kvara on the move, and Man United's fire sale

Mon, 13 Jan 2025 19:26:49 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s move from Napoli, potential suitors, and how much he should cost. Next, Manchester United are having a fire sale, but will anyone be interested in the players they are offering? Then, Manchester City are close to completing a few deals, but are they overspending? And how will Pep Guardiola be able fit Omar Marmoush into the squad? The episode ends with Everton firing Sean Dyche (and their fans getting mad at Ted) and a potential move for Kyle Walker to AC Milan? Enjoy!

Ted's Friday Variance Betting Column: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-update-on-variance-betting

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia set to leave Napoli

02:37 - Napoli need to sell him for budget reasons

03:48 - Liverpool, United, and PSG are alleged suitors

04:57 - Why would PSG be interested?

06:46 - Could Ligue 1 be a draw for Kvara?

07:16 - Kvara vs. Barcola

08:54 - The problem with Kvara’s shots

10:27 - His shot map + worse radar from last season

11:12 - A Garnacho replacement for United?

13:02 - Atletico Madrid’s form

14:30 - Manchester United’s fire sale

15:14 - Kobbie Mainoo’s fan perception + United’s incompetence

17:52 - How would you price Mainoo and Garnacho?

19:08 - What to do with Mainoo

20:46 - Amorim and United are in damage limitation mode

21:35 - What makes sense for Garnacho?

25:30 - Man City getting closer to a few deals for BIG money

26:43 - Should City fans temper expectations for Marmoush?

27:34 - Why does he have a low dribble rate?

28:15 - Marmoush radar + shot map and what they tell us

29:21 - How does Pep fit him in?

30:32 - Everton fans are mad at Ted

31:15 - Sean Dyche did one of the best managerial jobs this season?

32:49 - He changed his style to keep Everton up

34:55 - Kyle Walker to AC Milan?

36:50 - Variance Betting information

38:04 - Behind the scenes

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 56 - Randal Kolo Muani's next move, 2 NEW Arsenal targets, and West Ham turmoil

Wed, 08 Jan 2025 18:57:39 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Randal Kolo Muani's move from PSG, teams that he's linked to, and what his best fit would be. Then comes West Ham, who have a rift between manager Julen Lopetegui and sporting director Tim Steidten. Can it be fixed, or is the situation too far gone? The episode ends with a look at two new options for the Arsenal attack, Kang-in Lee and Mikkel Damsgaard. Which player is the best option for Arsenal, how much will they cost, and will Arsenal just wait for Nico Williams in the summer? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:41 - Randall Kolo Muani is on the market

04:06 - Kolo Muani as a player

05:58 - What are the questions with him?

07:34 - How Kolo Muani’s age impacts what teams will get from him

09:36 - Comparison to Nicolas Jackson

12:06 - Kolo Muani’s best fit

13:27 - Do Arsenal, United or Spurs make sense?

14:28 - A Timo Werner replacement for Spurs?

16:17 - A rift at West Ham

17:41 - Julen Lopetegui and Tim Steidten drama

19:21 - West Ham’s Summer window

20:34 - How does this rift between manager and Sporting Director impact the club?

22:44 - Is a Lopetegui sacking inevitable?

24:03 - Did Moyes keep West Ham together?

25:02 - 2 new targets for Arsenal

25:36 - Kang-in Lee’s history

26:49 - How Lee’s role has changed at PSG

28:18 - What’s his best position?

29:50 - Would he be worth the price?

32:15 - Will Arsenal just wait for Nico Williams in the Summer?

33:28 - The value of a young player who has played multiple roles

36:05 - Mikkel Damsgaard’s history

36:49 - Damsgaard’s skillset

38:02 - He makes sense as a backup

38:56 - Low pass success rate, but high chances created

39:57 - Comparing Lee and Damsgaard

41:32 - Arsenal do not dribble much, but how does Nico Williams fit in?

43:13 - Arsenal run a NBA half-court offense

44:52 - The differences between Liverpool and Arsenal

46:36 - Arteta will have to “open the playbook” for Williams

48:30 - Do Arsenal need a more diverse attacking profile?

49:14 - The constant push and pull of sporting directors and managers

50:22 - Bob Voulgaris’ strategy for Castellon

52:26 - Different philosophies to combat variance

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 55 - Who will spend BIG on Omar Marmoush + 3 more potential transfers

Mon, 06 Jan 2025 20:24:24 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Frankfurt forward Omar Marmoush. Who will sign him, how much will it cost, and what is his best fit? Then, Donyell Malen has been linked with Aston villa, but are there better teams for him to sign with? Next comes City, who have been linked with 20-year-old CB Abdulkadir Khosanov. Is he their Kyle Walker replacement? After City, Ted goes in-depth on the state of pricing in football, who benefits and suffers, and how owners can handle it differently. The episode ends with discussion of Liverpool v. United, Crystal Palace v Chelsea,Southampton v Brighton. Stay till the end for an easter egg, plus Patrick teaching us how to pronounce Abdulkadir Khosanov.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:00 - Omar Marmoush linked with multiple teams

02:37 - Marmoush’s history and skillset

05:23 - Does he make sense for Liverpool?

06:16 - What does he excel at?

09:24 - Marmoush’s fit at Arsenal, City and United

13:05 - What price for him?

14:39 - Villa linked with Donyell Malen

15:30 - Malen’s traits

17:12 - The rumoured fee

18:05 - His career numbers + time at Arsenal

19:25 - More fun destinations for Malen

20:00 - City linked with 20-year-old CB Abdulkadir Khosanov

21:20 - Kyle walker replacement?

22:27 - Is Benfica’s Antonio Silva the long-term replacement?

23:23 - How do city approach the window?

24:10 - City’s last few games

26:14 - We don’t know what teams should be pricing players at right now

28:21 - We’re already seeing prices come down from their peaks

29:16 - Who benefits and suffers from this?

32:33 - How do owners handle this?

36:05 - Will we see teams start to sell aggressively?

36:48 - Ben Doak linked with Palace and Ipswich

38:22 - Should Liverpool sell him?

39:53 - What should the price be if they do sell?

41:04 - Liverpool vs. Man United Thoughts

43:56 - United have a lot of mismatched toys right now

44:28 - Brentford's 5-0 win over Southampton

45:16 - Brentford tried to maximize transition opportunities

46:08 - Chelsea draw Crystal Palace, 1-1

47:02 - Chelsea controlled the game pretty well

48:13 - Chelsea’s Sanchez problem

50:03 - Arsenal were pretty poor over the weekend

51:11 - Ted’s easter egg for those who stick around

52:40 - B-roll (Trying to pronounce Abdulkadir Khosanov)

#premierleague #transfernews #liverpool #manchestercity #arsenal #manchesterunited #chelsea

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 54 - How do Arsenal replace Saka? + Barcelona FUMBLE Dani Olmo

Fri, 03 Jan 2025 15:48:13 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss what Arsenal best course of action after Bukayo Saka's injury. Can they replace him, who are their best options, and is the replacement already in the squad? Next, they move to Barcelona failing to register Dani Olmo. Can Barca fix this issue, or will Olmo leave the squad? Along the way they discuss Virgil Van Dijk and Mo Salah's extensions, Marcus Thuram replacing Darwin Nunez, and Joshua Zirkzee's struggles. Lastly, Nottingham Forest have been on an incredible run in the Premier League. Will they finish in a Champions League spot? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:45 - Games over the break

03:13 - A good time to have a great Academy

03:25 - Saka’s injury

04:21 - Salah’s incredible run of form (James Yorke tweet)

05:06 - Alexander Isak’s story

07:18 - Erling Halaand’s transfer history

09:26 - What should Arsenal do about Saka’s injury?

10:58 - Buying a replacement vs. playing youngsters

11:52 - Is Omar Marmoush an option?

12:55 - Could the be after Marcus Rashford?

14:03 - Teams taking the money vs waiting for the “right” price (Chelsea…)

15:34 - Names that could be Saka replacements

15:40 - Does Bryan Mbeumo make sense?

18:11 - He has high risk reward passing style

19:18 - Mathys Tel on Loan?

20:28 - Evan Ferguson to bolster the attack?

21:09 - Will Brighton sell?

22:55 - Leroy Sane as a direct replacement?

23:46 - Sane brings a broad skillset, but is he too old

26:55 - Barcelona fail to register Dani Olmo

27:51 - Barca are the only thing to make Ravi angry

29:18 - Hansi Flick should be furious + Olmo Landing spots

31:08 - La Masia is their saving grace and will they scapegoat Frenkie de Jong

32:27 - de Jong = Bobby Bonilla?

33:37 - Manchester United players are “available”

34:07 - Should City sign him + What is his actual position?

37:03 - Giggs hamstring story

38:38 - Marcus Thuram to Liverpool?

41:14 - Extensions for VVD and Salah?

42:29 - How does Thuram fit in the squad?

44:37 - Joshua Zirkzee saga continues

45:34 - Missing a lot of big chances means you are in good positions a lot

47:18 - Can Nottingham Forest continue their run of form?

50:28 - Forest’s attack is fragile, will it cost them?

52:49 - A coin flip for top 4 or for top 5?

54:40 - How Forest have won their recent games

56:32 - Going full circle

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 53 - Liverpool's attack is SCARY + Are Barcelona in Crisis? + Manchester United are in a multi-year rebuild

Mon, 23 Dec 2024 19:14:09 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ted start by discussing Liverpool's 6-3 battering of Spurs. Mo Salah is ageless, should Ange Postecoglou change his style of play, and do Liverpool have the best attack in the world? Then, Southampton have hired Ivan Juric as manager. Who is he, what is his style, and how is he different than Russell Martin? After that comes Arsenal, have they finally flipped the switch and fixed their attack? Next, Barcelona lost 2-1 to Atletico Madrid. Are Barcelona in crisis, or do the numbers tell a different story? And finally, Manchester United lost 3-0 to Bournemouth, but is there reason for United fans to be hopeful? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:01 - Liverpool Defeat Spurs, 6-3

03:21 - Injured defense against the best frontline in the world?

04:21 - How Liverpool created their chances

05:15 - Ange Postecoglou’s style of play

07:51 - Ange won’t change his philosophy

09:51 - How good would Spurs be with one elite midfielder?

11:42 - Mo Salah is ridiculous

13:09 - It’s getting hard to see how Liverpool doesn’t win the title

14:29 - Southampton hire Ivan Juric as manager

17:01 - Differences between Juric and Russell Martin

18:21 - The new generation of Italian football

19:03 - Big Shakespeare fan

19:38 - We fixed Arsenal

21:07 - Gabriel Jesus’ last 2 games

21:47 - Arsenal played much for attacking football

22:38 - Kai Havertz is very versatile

23:49 - Can Arsenal find the right balance?

24:28 - Saliba had a poor game

25:22 - How teams are trying to stop Arsenal’s set piece advantage

28:20 - The more variation you throw at them the better

30:13 - Calling basketball plays in open play

31:09 - Ben White/ Cristiano Ronaldo’s approach to getting open for crosses

32:11 - Saka injured in this game, should fast-attacking teams un-invert their wingers?

34:26 - Are Barcelona in Crisis after 2-1 loss to Atletico?

35:44 - The numbers are still good despite the results

37:57 - Lamine Yamal was out injured

39:00 - Go and watch Pedri in this game

40:04 - United are the leakiest club in the league

41:21 - Man United are in a multi-year rebuild

42:29 - They’re trending well on Defense

45:19 - Ted’s request for the listeners

#liverpool #barcelona #arsenal #tottenham #manchesterunited #saka #lamineyamal #pedri #arteta #angepostecoglou #atleticomadrid

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 52 - The team that NEEDS to make €100m in sales + Evaluating Kompany at Bayern Munich

Wed, 18 Dec 2024 18:46:02 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by Discussing Vincent Kompany's tenure at Bayern Munich. They lead the Bundesliga, but have struggled in big matches. What's the best way to evaluate Kompany's performance? Then, the conversation switched to Lyon, who need to make 100M in sales this January to avoid being sent to Ligue 2. How has the happened, who will they sell, and what teams might those players go to? Finally, the Serie A title race has been close since the start of the season, but is it now down to 3 teams? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - Vincent Kompany’s tenure as Bayern manager

02:51 - What would be a successful first season?

04:14 - Lack of success in Big Matches

06:49 - They’ve missed key players for multiple matches

08:00 - Do they have the squad for Kompany?

10:26 - Bayern by the numbers this season

13:35 - How Kompany has approached this season

16:15 - How do you evaluate Kompany?

17:33 - Should Bayern manage expectations?

19:30 - Do you evaluate Kompany solely on big matches?

21:36 - What positions should Bayern target in January?

23:15 - Kimmich has played the most minutes and may leave

24:50 - Why Lyon need to make 100M in January

26:15 - Lyon have spent money poorly

27:50 - Lyon are not a team that spend big money historically

30:29 - Players Lyon can sell for significant money (Caqueret and Cherki)

33:05 - Why hasn’t Cherki left Lyon yet?

35:52 - Georges Mikautadze

36:48 - Malick Fofana is a great prospect

38:46 - Ernest Nuamah

39:45 - What club for Fofana and Nuamah?

40:51 - The Serie A title race

41:29 - Is it a 3-team race (Inter Milan, Napoli and Lazio)?

44:00 - Why Fiorentina is likely not a challenger

44:38 - Napoli’s advantage

45:27 - Upcoming schedules for the top teams

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 51 - Is something WRONG with Arsenal? + Late drama in the Manchester Derby

Mon, 16 Dec 2024 19:48:36 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Arsenal's recent run of poor results. What's going wrong, how can they fix it, and do they need to add someone in January? Next, Russell Martin and Gary O'Neil were sacked this weekend. Why did it happen and should the firings have come sooner? The conversation moves to the Manchester Derby after United edge out a 2-1 win over City thanks to 2 late goals. What's wrong with City, can Pep fix it, and just how good is Amad Diallo? To end the episode they discuss Diego Gomez' move from Inter Miami to Brighton, marking the first move of the January window. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - What’s wrong with Arsenal?

02:22 - An accumulation of imperfect choices

04:07 - Lack of squad depth

06:31 - Injuries have been a factor, but they have played conservatively

07:59 -The piece they’re missing

09:51 - Martinelli

11:30 - Why Odegaard might be tired + stories from Ted

15:06 - Should Arteta be playing more aggressively?

16:30 - The risk/reward trade off of pushing for more goals

18:16 - What kind of player should Arsenal target in January?

21:28 - Russell Martin FINALLY sacked by Southampton

24:21 - Why did they keep him so long?

26:01 - Wolves Firing Gary O’Neil

29:18 - How many EPL teams allowed over 60 xG last season?

30:09 - Late drama in the Manchester Derby

31:09 - City couldn’t get anything going

32:21 - Lack of quality at DM and fullback are hurting Pep

33:52 - Can pep fix it?

34:32 - Can they buy their way out of it in January?

35:17 - Amad Diallo

35:57 - The first transfer of the window: Gomez to Brighton

36:54 - Neymar to join Lionel Messi at Inter Miami?

38:41 - Brighton’s strategy of stacking up useful talent

39:59 - It may allow them to make consistent Champions League runs soon

41:51 - Ted’s recent run on Variance Betting

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 50 - Champions League Roundup: Biggest Surprises, Giants Underperforming, and Top 8 Predictions

Thu, 12 Dec 2024 19:16:23 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi breakdown the Champions League after round 6. They start by discussing the new league phase format and the effects it may have down the road. Next, they look at the most surprising teams so far, as well as giants that have underperformed. Then, the conversation turns to young talents that are emerging. Which players have caught their eyes? And finally, they predict the top 8 and where the underperforming giants will finish in the table. All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:01:00 - New Champions League format discussion

00:02:57 - New format = more marquee matchups

00:06:48 - 3 surprise teams this Champions League

00:07:20 - Aston Villa

00:09:00 - This is what Unai Emery does

00:10:45 - A clear path to the top 8

00:11:43 - Brest are struggling in Ligue 1, but have had the easiest path in the CL

00:12:39 - The rest of Brest’s schedule

00:14:05 - Lille actually have worse numbers than Brest in the CL

00:15:20 - Lille have had a pretty hard schedule

00:16:44 - Bruno Genesio has put together good plans and Lille have good talent

00:18:46 - Big name teams that are STRUGGLING

00:19:29 - City and PSG have good xG differential but are low in the table

00:20:06 - PSG are underperfoming their xG by a crazy amount due to bad misses

00:22:29 - Man City and PSG play a huge game in round 7

00:24:44 - City’s final game appears easy, but you never know

00:26:03 - Pep’s CL away record

00:27:38 - Are City’s league and CL problems the same?

00:30:07 - Rodri’s importance and who can replace him in January

00:32:29 - Real Madrid are unlikely to go out due to relatively easy last 2 games

00:34:25 - Qualified teams could put more pressure on these 3 teams

00:36:04 - Real Madrid don’t have free midweeks coming up

00:37:25 - Madrid’s xG conceded numbers are very high

00:38:31 - Atalanta’s style played into Madrid’s hand

00:39:25 - Madrid’s sorcery is getting weaker

00:40:27 - Emerging young talents

00:40:54 - Álvaro Carreras - Benfica

00:43:12 - Enzo Millot - Stuttgart

00:45:06 - Similar stats to Florian Wirtz

00:46:23 - Charles De Ketelaere - Atalanta

00:49:00 - Malik Tillman - PSV

00:51:22 - Johan Bakayoko - PSV

00:53:38 - Other player shoutouts

00:57:57 - Top 8 Predictions

01:00:16 - Real Madrid, PSG. Man City predictions

01:03:21 - Argentina’s 40-team league = CL table this year

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 49 - Why Man United fired their Sporting Director + Chelsea's attack is FLYING

Mon, 09 Dec 2024 19:22:32 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Manchester United and Dan Ashworth parting ways. What did Ashworth do in his 5 months at United, who will be their next Sporting Director, and will Amorim be allowed to get his guys in the squad? Then, Chelsea's 4-3 win over Spurs highlighted Tottenham's injury crisis. Can Ange Postecoglou fix the squad, or are they destined to have some heartbreak this season. The conversation switches to Cole Palmer, is he the best player in the Premier League or does he still have some growing to do? Finally, Andoni Iraola has Bournemouth high up the table, but will he move to a bigger club after this season? Stay tuned for Ted's Story at the end of the episode! Enjoy.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - Dan Ashworth Out as Manchester United Sporting Director

03:18 - Who can replace him?

04:02 - United are trying to Pin blame on Ashworth

05:03 - What did Ashworth do in his 5 months at United?

06:40 - What do United do next?

08:26 - How good is Dan Ashworth actually?

10:23 - How outside consultants provide value to a club

12:41 - Will United allow Amorim to bring in his guys?

14:27 - Chelsea defeats Tottenham, 4-3

15:49 - Spurs are so injured

16:24 - No centerbacks for Spurs

17:37 - Social media videos hiding mistakes + Cucurella mistake

19:05 - Both teams were spotted goals

20:08 - Takeaways from the game for Tottenham

20:37 - Chelsea’s attack is flying

21:53 - Can Ange fix this despite the injuries?

23:09 - Is Cole Palmer the best player in the Premier League?

24:40 - We’ve become indifferent to Saka because of how long he’s been good

25:37 - Palmer pulls the strings for Chelsea’s break

26:36 - You can’t overplay Palmer due to Chelsea’s squad

27:11 - The free role allows Palmer to develop more skills

27:48 - What about Palmer’s defensive side?

29:16 - What happens if Palmer doesn’t score in preseason and never leaves City?

32:03 - Andoni Iraola is due for a big move this summer

33:00 - Iraola = Dr. Octopus from Spiderman

33:47 - Bournemouth has done really well under Iraola

34:45 - Where could Iraola end up?

38:34 - Story Time with Ted

#premierleague #manchesterunited #chelsea #tottenham #colepalmer #bournemouth #saka

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 48 - Is Lamine Yamal ALREADY the best player in La Liga, Barcelona's registration issues, and how have Real Madrid closed the gap?

Wed, 04 Dec 2024 18:33:59 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Barcelona's recent run of form and how much they've relied on 17-year-old Lamine Yamal. Is the teenager already the best player in La Liga? Then, they move to Barcelona's recurring registration issues. Why does this keep happening and how can they fix it? Next they discuss Real Madrid, whose recent run of form has them back near the top of the table. Will they be forced to spend big in the Winter if they continue to struggle in the Champions League? Finally, Atletico Madrid have figured out how to use Julian Alvarez, but are they good enough to win the League? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:39 - What’s happening with Barcelona recently?

02:33 - Due a loss after a run of tough games

03:35 - Lamine Yamal’s importance to Barcelona

05:08 - Why does Yamal attract so much attention?

06:21 - His assist yesterday was a skill even Messi didn’t do often

07:01 - Yamal’s work out of position sets him apart

10:31 - Why didn’t Barcelona run away with the title

11:55 - Barca are much more direct this year

12:35 - Hansi Flick’s success with a changing defensive line

13:25 - Barcelona have never pressed this much

13:55 - Is Lamine Yamal the best player in La Liga?

14:33 - One aspect he needs to improve upon

16:09 - Wenger helped Thierry Henry fix a similar problem

17:04 - Barcelona’s registration issues and Dani Olmo

18:32 - They tried to solve their issues but failed

20:07 - Didn’t the Nike deal fix it?

23:26 - Could they be forced to sell Frenkie de Jong?

26:25 - Real Madrid’s recent form

27:45 - An easier run of games in La Liga than the Champions League

28:17 - Starting to get players back from injury

30:33 - Will Madrid’s young players keep their spot in the squad?

31:00 - Will Madrid make a big splash in the Winter Window?

34:02 - If they struggle towards the end of the group stage, they may try to make a move

34:53 - Atletico Madrid are quietly near the top of the table

36:12 - They’ve figured out how fit Julian Alvarez into the squad

37:30 - Atletico are playing a few youngsters

39:15 - Can they improve their set pieces?

42:28 - Odds for Atletico to win La Liga?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 47 - What's wrong with Phil Foden + Is Saka the BEST player in the league?

Mon, 02 Dec 2024 19:27:53 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Phil Foden. Why has the reigning Player of the Season's production dropped for Manchester City? They then move to Aston Villa and Unai Emery, who are struggling over their last few games. Is this expected after Emery's time at Villarreal, or will they find a way to improve? Then, Brentford is must-see TV at home against lesser teams. Will Thomas Frank leave the club at the end of the season? Finally, they discuss Bukayo Saka's importance to Arsenal as their "glue guy." Is Saka the BEST player in the Premier League right now? Watch until the end for a glimpse behind the scenes.

Kim's Struggle Era article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/your-team-s-struggle-era-lineups-are-hilarious

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:07 - What’s wrong with Phil Foden?

02:54 - Lack of shooting success this year

04:23 - Maintained shot numbers, just less xG on each

06:43 - How dead are Man City?

07:56 - Kim’s struggle era article

09:01 - How did City allow Salah to run at them multiple times?

10:53 - Foden’s shift towards creating vs. shooting

11:38 - Are Foden’s struggles Doku’s fault?

13:26 - City’s success over the last 6 years has led to this

14:17 - Aston Villa are STRUGGLING

15:10 - Similarities to Unai Emery’s time at Villarreal

17:48 - Villa are riding the wave of variance

18:15 - Emery will have his best moments in the CL Knockout rounds

20:17 - Villa are good at executing set pieces

21:33 - Brentford home games are must see TV

22:39 - Brentford make a stylistic choice depending on their opponent

24:22 - Thomas Frank's skill as a manager

25:12 - Elite managers switch their styles when needed (Conte/Fergie)

27:42 - Is Bukayo Saka the best player in the Premier League?

28:47 - Saka is a “glue guy” for Arsenal

30:23 - Saka remained productive with Odegaard out

31:33 - The combination of Odegaard and Saka is what beats teams over and over

32:25 - Saka, Palmer, and Salah are the 3 best players right now

33:17 - How you can help us

34:40 - Story time with Ted

#premierleague #manchestercity #arsenal #foden #saka #astonvilla

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 46 - Barcelona Transfer Rumours: Replacing Aging Stars, The Answer at Left Wing, and who to sign at Right Back?

Wed, 27 Nov 2024 19:42:16 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Barcelona's needs for the upcoming transfer window. They begin at right back, where they haven't had a stable answer in years. Should they bring in Devyne Rensch, bring back a former player, or swing for the fences and sign Trent Alexander-Arnold or Alphonso Davies?? Then comes striker, how do they handle finding a backup for Robert Lewandowski? Getting the position right could extend Lewandowski's peak, but is it a low-risk strategy? Next comes left winger, where Rafael Leao could make a splash move. However, is his defensive work rate too low to work with Lewandowski? And finally, Ravi tells all on Borja Sainz, who might be the next big move for Athletic Club.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:30 - Barca have produced academy kids at many positions

03:11 - Defenders Barcelona could be looking at

03:14 - Devyne Rensch from Ajax

05:22 - One Quality he has that’s very important

09:38 - Barcelona have been searching for the answer at RB

10:32 - The changing nature of the fullback position

12:22 - Óscar Mingueza

13:08 - He’s all-out attack

15:02 - Is he a profile that Barcelona need?

16:06 - Could Trent Alexander-Arnold come on board?

17:17 - Alphonso Davies is more realistic w/ Hansi Flick as manager

18:24 - Vitor Roque as a Lewandowski Replacement

19:17 - Jonathan David

20:36 - David plays a different style than Lewandowski

22:58 - Prolonging Lewandowski’s peak

25:51 - It’s a low-risk strategy

28:04 - What’s the plan at left winger and goalkeeper?

29:35 - Rafael Leao could bring magic to the wing

30:30 - How much defensive work will he really do?

32:20 - Leao is a Soloist

34:03 - Leao and Lewandowksi can’t coexist defensively

35:22 - Borja Sainz is on a tear

38:12 - He’s also a good presser

38:51 - He’s from the Basque region, could Athletic Club be interested?

40:31 - Could an EPL team swoop him up?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 45 - How Amorim already changed United + Man City's downward spiral

Mon, 25 Nov 2024 19:03:02 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick start with Mo Salah's goal vs. Southampton and how good Liverpool need to be to win the title this year. Then comes Man City, whose 4-0 loss to Tottenham marks their 5th straight defeat. City need help, but can they hang on until the January window? Next, Ruben Amorim led United to a 1-1 draw with Ipswich in his first game as manager. How much impact has he had already, and how long will it take for United to turn things around? Finally, the episode ends with discussion of Arsenal vs. Forest, Everton vs. Brentford, and Joao Pedro's wonderful assist vs. Bournemouth. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:24 - An Interesting Segue and Mo Salah’s goal

03:16 - A Bad defensive performance from Liverpool

04:15 - Liverpool are on the good side of Variation (but they create it too)

05:39 - Liverpool don’t need to be THAT great to win the title

06:36 - Man City lose their 5th game in a row

07:38 - Kyle Walker is no longer Pep’s get out of jail free card

09:18 - City need 3 players in the January window

11:04 - Tottenham were constantly running at the back four

12:34 - Ruben Amorim’s first match as United manager

13:40 - Amorim’s influence is already showing

14:38 - Who is scoring goals for United?

15:48 - United built through the wingbacks (especially Mazraoui)

17:05 - United will continue to change over the next few weeks

19:43 - Who are the wide attackers that are helping to create for United?

20:52 - Will Gyokeres be the solution? + Should United become Sporting

21:45 - Where will United finish this year?

22:57 - Arsenal vs. Forest

25:20 - Odegaard facilitated the Arsenal attack, which was missing while he was gone

26:56 - Arsenal have to figure out how to attack without relying on Odegaard

27:32 - Arsenal haven’t put games away this season

28:06 - Leads allow teams to transition more

30:16 - Everton vs. Brentford

30:45 - Everton went up a man but couldn’t find a goal

32:45 - Joao Pedro’s assist in Brighton’s win over Bournemouth

33:32 - The angled run from Mitoma was beautiful

34:24 - Fans of big teams only are selling themselves short this season

35:41 - Taking a break Thursday and Friday

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 44 - Real Madrid Transfer Rumours: Addressing their defensive needs, signing Florian Wirtz, and taking BOTH Trent-Alexander Arnold and Mo Salah from Liverpool

Wed, 20 Nov 2024 19:06:04 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the many transfer rumours surrounding Real Madrid. They start with Centre backs, and look at options for both established players and rising young stars. Next, they look at options for right back. Could they promote a youngster from their academy? The conversation moves to Florian Wirtz, who has been linked to Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Manchester City. Finally, they end the podcast by discussing if Madrid can take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool, whether any of these transfers solve their Mbappe problem, and if Vinicius will be sold in the coming years.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:47 - Pressing Concern at Centreback for Real Madrid

02:10 - Madrid’s current options at CB

03:43 - Is there an obvious profile for them?

05:03 - Hard to find solutions in January

05:31 - Tchouaméni at CB?

06:04 - 2 groups of candidates we’re hearing

08:28 - Real Madrid won’t throw away this season + how they should approach it

09:35 - Jonathan Tah from Leverkusen

11:28 - Tah plays for Xabi Alonso, who is rumoured to be at Madrid next season

11:49 - Aymeric Laporte

13:27 - Mario Hermoso

14:38 - The information we don’t have

15:24 - The most likely option out of these 3

16:18 - The younger players Real Madrid could be looking at

16:42 - Vitor Reis from Palmeiras

18:22 - A recruiters perspective of a young prospect

20:19 - Madrid’s Brazilian players could make the move easier for Reis

21:51 - Castello Lukeba from RB Leipzig

25:13 - Murillo from Nottingham Forest

28:04 - Does Madrid’s current squad push you to a more established player?

29:23 - Tah’s Leverkusen defensive partner, Piero Hincapié

31:19 - Options for right back?

31:27 - Could Madrid address this through their academy, or is it a response to Barcelona’s success?

31:52 - Asencio as an option

33:16 - Jesus Fortea

34:02 - Do Madrid need to improve their Academy strategy, or is it inevitable with how they handle transfers?

37:17 - Florian Wirtz linked with Madrid, Bayern and Man City

38:29 - Not a great fit for Madrid

39:11 - Guler linked to Arsenal

42:11 - Wirtz makes more sense for Bayern

42:47 - Could Madrid take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool?

43:44 - Madrid would have to sell Rodrygo

44:37 - None of this solves their Mbappe Problem

46:14 - Could Madrid be forced to sell Vinicius?

#realmadrid #transfernews #mbappe #vinicius #rodrygo #ardagüler #wirtz #laliga #championsleague #madrid

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 43 - A GOOD Rodri replacement could cost £100m, Man United and Chelsea Rumors, and will Gyokeres finally make a move?

Mon, 18 Nov 2024 19:07:21 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick dive into transfer rumours ahead of the January window. They start with Joshua Zirkzee, who may already be on the move from United. Then comes Victor Gyokeres, is his agent keeping is name in the news or will he finally make a move? Next up is Jeremie Frimpong, who has been linked to many huge clubs, including Real Madrid, Manchester City, and Liverpool. Discussion of how Manchester City replaces Rodri follows, with Enzo's name thrown out and a possible £100M fee for Baleba? They finish the episode rounding up the rumours with Nkunku linked with United, Murillo to Real Madrid, Kudus to Arsenal, and Samu Omorodion to Barcelona. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:15 - Joshua Zirkzee to leave United?

01:37 - An addition to the podcasts

02:05 - Why is Zirkzee in the news again

03:37 - Will Amorim keep him?

05:21 - Ted’s opinion on what United should do

06:33 - Victor Gyokeres’ agent is keeping the coals hot

08:52 - Ted’s story about previous transfers he

11:41 - Jeremie Frimpong linked to Madrid,Liverpool, and City

12:29 - Everything depends on Trent Alexander-Arnold

13:33 - How Frimpong fits at City and Real Madrid

16:40 - Salah and Trent to Real Madrid?

17:53 - Xabi Alonso rumoured to Real Madrid next season?

19:10 - Will Zubimendi leave Real Sociedad?

21:41 - How much would City pay to get Baleba? + Enzo Fernandez?

22:41 - £100m to £150m for Baleba???

23:34 - Enzo is a good option, but is not fit enough

25:29 - Nkunku linked with United

26:57 - Chelsea would like to pay off their remaining transfer fee for Nkunku

28:32 - Would Chelsea sell him to United?

28:32 - Forest CB Murillo linked with Real Madrid?

29:54 - Mohammed Kudus linked to Arsenal

31:13 - Kudus is versatile, but what is he worth?

33:57 - Kudus would fit great at United

35:10 - Samu Omorodion linked with Barcelona

38:37 - How a data analyst handles incomplete information

39:34 - Ricardo Pepi looking to move from PSV?

41:11 - Pepi’s history of insanity

#manchesterunited #manchestercity #realmadrid #chelsea #arsenal #transfernews #premierleague #epl #rodri #gyokeres #salah #football #soccer

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 42 - Man City Are Old and Slow, The INSANE Serie A Title Race, and Arsenal vs. Chelsea Breakdown

Mon, 11 Nov 2024 19:26:26 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Man City losing their fourth game in a row — is it all down to injuries, or do they have bigger issues in the squad? Next, they break down Arsenal vs. Chelsea, who played to a 1-1 draw over the weekend. They dive into Arsenal’s struggles in attack, Maresca’s impact at Chelsea, and Martin Ødegaard’s return from injury. Finally, they analyze the chaos of the Serie A title race, where just two points separate the top six teams. Who are the title favorites, and who should you be rooting for? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:04 - Man City lose AGAIN

02:04 - A different Man City vs. years past

02:21 - Man City injuries + squad age

03:01 - Brighton’s adjustments won them the game

04:45 - City’s old midfield

05:56 - Brighton’s next 9-figure player?

07:19 - City have young players, but not centrally

07:46 - Can City fix this in January? Or will it cost them the title

09:22 - Liverpool’s youth players are playing well

10:28 - City can’t let their stars play the whole time

11:10 - Creating chances despite losing

11:38 - Nobody has full control this season + Villa vs. Liverpool

12:57 - Teams will drop lots of points this season

15:33 - Man City/Liverpool title odds

18:32 - English teams in the Champions League

19:24 - Arsenal vs. Chelsea

19:39 - Odegaard minutes + called up for Norway again

20:23 - Game breakdown

22:36 - How do Arsenal start attacking again

23:51 - Maresca’s influence + Chelsea in a tight table position

26:07 - Caicedo + a shaky defense

27:21 - Chelsea are bad at set piece execution

28:46 - The crazy Serie A title race

29:37 - The most entertaining league in the world (except for Juve)?

30:03 - Conte and Napoli + Other good coaches in Serie A

31:21 - 8 teams with a positive xG difference

32:03 - Fiorentina are coming from nowhere + Napoli/Juve bad attacking numbers

33:22- Atalanta are the best attacking team + Sarri/Lazio

34:56 - Napoli are not taking enough shots in big games

35:31 - We liked Juve’s transfer window

37:30 - Which teams should you root for? + Zlatan overseeing things at AC Milan

38:45 - Lampard or Mancini to manage Roma?

39:51 - Newcastle dominate Forest

#manchestercity #seriea #premierleague #arsenal #chelsea #liverpool #manchesterunited #newcastle #napoli #juventus #intermilan #acmilan #football #soccer

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 41 - Why are Real Madrid and Man City STRUGGLING + Who Replaces Edu Gaspar at Arsenal?

Thu, 07 Nov 2024 13:00:34 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal. What should Arsenal look for in their next sporting director, what names are on the list, and how does Arteta factor into the equation? Next they move to Manchester City’s 4-1 loss to Ruben Amorim’s Sporting CP, Victor Gyokeres’ performance, and City’s dependence on Erling Haaland to score goals. Lastly, they cover Real Madrid losing another game at home, this time a 3-1 defeat to AC Milan. Do Madrid have a politics problem with their lineups, should Endrick and Arda Guler get more minutes, and will Carlo Ancelotti be the manager next season? Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:01:11 - Edu Gaspar Leaves Arsenal

00:01:47 - How big a change is a move like this behind the scenes?

00:04:37 - Jason Ayto to become Interim Sporting Director

00:06:28 - Difficulty finding a Sporting Director at a top team + Edu’s transfer record

00:10:46 - How do Arsenal go about finding a replacement?

00:12:57 - You need someone who is comfortable with disagreements

00:15:59 - Who are the candidates on the shortlist?

00:17:12 - Julian Ward + Txiki Begiristain

00:18:49 - Monchi

00:19:58 - Paul Mitchell

00:20:21 - Arsene Wenger??

00:21:29 - Roberto Olabe

00:24:03 - Personality might be the biggest part of this hire (to stand up to/mesh with Arteta)

00:25:31 - Phil Giles

00:26:14 - How long will Arteta stay at Arsenal?

00:29:11 - Ruben Amorim and Sporting defeat Man City

00:30:33 - Viktor Gyökeres performance + will he be in the Premier League soon?

00:32:22 - Sporting did not play their usual style

00:33:45 - City had problems trying to breakdown Sporting’s defense

00:35:24 - Injuries hurting City + KDB returning

00:38:19 - Overreliance on Haaland + lack of attacking creativity

00:42:37 - How can Brighton take advantage of City’s bad form?

00:45:59 - Weird Medical remedies over the years

00:47:49 - Real Madrid lose at home to Milan

00:48:56 - Did the Ballon d’or debacle hurt Madrid?

00:53:57 - Lucas Vasquez vs Rafael Leao + lack of balance in attack

00:54:44 - No Endrick or Guler used as subs

00:56:14 - Madrid have a problem with “sacred cows”

00:57:28 - Will Ancelotti be Madrid’s manager next season? + Camavinga must start

01:00:57 - Endrick and Guler lacking minutes

01:02:23 - Will Madrid look to buy Joshua Kimmich?

01:03:35 - Ravi = Neo?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 40 - Are Liverpool New Title Favorites, Manchester United Got LUCKY vs. Chelsea, and Tottenham vs. Aston Villa Reactions

Mon, 04 Nov 2024 19:16:12 -0000

In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the games from this past weekend. They start at the top of the table, with Arsenal and Manchester City faltering, leaving Liverpool 2 points in the lead. They discuss whether Liverpool can maintain their lead with a tough upcoming schedule, if City can rebound despite their injuries, and whether Arsenal are already out of the title race. Next, they talk about Manchester United's lucky 1-1 draw with Chelsea and how they managed to escape two possible red cards. Finally, they finish with Tottenham's 4-1 victory over Aston Villa and the difficulty of separating the top 13 teams in the Premier League. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:55 - Arsenal,City, and Liverpool over the weekend

01:23 - How Brighton setup against Liverpool

02:34 - How stressful the Premier League is

03:15 - Liverpool weathered the storm then attacked

04:37 - How long Liverpool’s squad has been in rotation

05:43 - Tough schedule ahead for Liverpool

06:21 - Are liverpool favorites or should it still be city?

07:41 - City have a ton of injuries and an old squad

10:16 - Arsenal’ lack of attacking threat vs. Newcastle

11:47 - A bad game for Arsenal and Arteta

13:00 - Are managers too conservative with substitutions

14:07 - Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal

16:39 - What is the best approach to substitutions?

20:25 - Is Arteta taking more power at Arsenal?

22:31 - Are Arsenal out of the title race?

24:26 - Phil Foden’s added threat for City

26:16 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea

26:40 - United were lucky to not get red cards (Ugarte/Martinez)

30:00 - Defensive breakdowns leading to chances + Why is Robert Sanchez in goal

31:24 - The game from a United Perspective

32:54 - The game from a Chelsea Perspective + Cole Palmer

34:05 - Concern for Chelsea’s defense?

36:10 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa

37:21 - How managers give their players breaks during the season

38:30 - Villa were unable to contain the match

39:16 - Spurs are GOOD?

39:24 - Hard to separate teams the top 7 and top 13 teams in the table

42:26 - What makes every week exciting in the Premier League

44:00 - Serie A is also BANANAS

#premierleague #liverpool #manchesterunited #manchestercity #manutd #arsenal #tottenham #chelsea #astonvilla #arteta #colepalmer #philfoden

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Variance Betting Episode 7 | Why You MUST Wait for Lineups to Bet This Week - EPL Matchday 10 Picks

Fri, 01 Nov 2024 17:54:42 -0000

Ted Knutson shares his insights for EVERY EPL Matchday 10 game and discusses why you MUST wait for the lineups before betting certain games.

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:05 - Liverpool vs. Brighton

01:48 - Why you must check the lineup before betting this match

02:22 - Ipswich vs. Leicester City

02:41 - Forest vs. West Ham

03:48 - Bournemouth vs. Man City

04:44 - Newcastle vs. Arsenal

06:13 - Southampton vs. Everton

06:36 - Wolves vs. Crystal Palace

07:03 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa

09:29 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea

11:31 - Fulham vs. Brentford

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 39 - How To Get a Job in Sports Analytics

Wed, 30 Oct 2024 21:08:03 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Ravi answer frequently asked questions about getting started in sports analytics using their extensive knowledge and experience in the industry. They get into how to look for a job, the skills you need, and what to expect once you land a job. If you have more questions you want answered, leave them in the comments down below!

Details for Ravi's conference in Houston:

https://americansoccerinsights.com/

Data Contest/Call for Proposals:

https://americansoccerinsights.com/call-for-proposals

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:01:01 - How do I get started?

00:04:46 - What skills do I need?

00:21:25 - Where to look for football jobs?

00:23:17 - Apart from football clubs, where are some other places I can find data jobs in football?

00:26:25 - I want to go into football, but I don't have the data skills - where can I learn them fast?

00:35:24 - How can I set myself apart from the crowd?

00:46:00 - The pay seems very low - what can I do about it?

00:51:10 - What's it look to work for these teams?

01:04:52 - What are your biggest takeaways from working in sports?

#dataanalytics #analytics #data #football #soccer #sports #sportsanalytics #premierleague #mls #stats

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 38 - Manchester United SACK Erik ten Hag, Potential Replacements, and Barcelona THRASH Real Madrid

Mon, 28 Oct 2024 19:45:28 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Manchester United firing manager Erik ten Hag. They run down why he had to be fired, Ruud van Nistelrooy as interim manager, and potential names for the job. Then, Ravi joins Patrick to discuss Barcelona's 4-0 victory over Real Madrid over the weekend. They talk about Barcelona's high line causing problems for Madrid, Madrid lacking a holding striker, and if Barcelona can maintain this form for the rest of the season. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:00:47 - United sack Erik ten Hag

00:01:31 - Ruud van Nistelrooy interim manager

00:01:45 - Manchester United’s recent form

00:04:14 - Trends for United

00:04:39 - Could they be better with a better coach?

00:05:39 - What a good and bad manager change process looks like

00:07:24 - The U Curve of coaches

00:10:18 - Could ten Hag’s hurt United?

00:10:56 - Dan Ashworth’s limited early influence

00:11:53 - Who should United hire?

00:12:39 - Pochettino and Tuchel already have jobs

00:13:28 - Could van Nistelrooy stay on?

00:14:29 - Gareth Southgate

00:15:27 - Ruben Amorim

00:15:54 - How do budgets play into the new hire decision?

00:17:51 - Xavi as next United manager?

00:20:05 - Luis Enrique

00:21:12 - Graham Potter

00:23:09 - Eddie Howe

00:24:24 - Mourinho was the most pragmatic of recent United coaches

00:25:05 - Michael Carrick

00:28:44 - Adi Hutter

00:30:57 - Bournemouth manager Andoni Iraola?

00:31:47 - Thomas Frank

00:34:08 - The ability of a manager to get player buy-in

00:35:41 - Roger Schmidt and his pressing style

00:37:44 - Julian Nagelsmann

00:39:44 - Should United settle for the least costly option?

00:40:53 - The stress of managing/working for a team

00:41:38 - Ravi joins to talk El Clasico

00:42:46 - The game was closer than the score and Barca’s impressive workload

00:44:33 - Madrid’s gameplan was to be direct

00:45:19 - Was Fermin Lopez the correct choice?

00:46:06 - The technical ability on display

00:46:46 - Substitutions settled the game for Barca

00:47:55 - Casado’s line-breaking pass for Goal #1

00:48:52 - The high line was very impressive

00:50:11 - Lucas Vazquez struggled

00:53:14 - Who should be blamed for Madrid?

00:54:46 - Madrid struggle with a pivot and where was Endrick?

00:56:52 - Bellingham’s lack of forward threat

00:58:52 - Can Barcelona sustain this performance?

01:02:06 - Mbappe moving to the right side?

#manchesterunited #realmadrid #barcelona #manutd #eriktenhag #elclassico #football #soccer #podcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Variance Betting Episode 6 | Backing Liverpool.. and FULHAM? EPL Matchday 9 Picks

Fri, 25 Oct 2024 17:00:10 -0000

On this episode, Ted shares his picks for EPL matchday 9. He starts by explaining why he flat bets and when to use accumulators. He gives insights on the matches he's betting on, including Arsenal vs. Liverpool, and explains why he's staying away from certain matchups (both City and United). Enjoy!

More information on fractional Kelly betting: https://www.pinnacle.com/betting-resources/en/betting-strategy/revisiting-the-kelly-criterion-part-2-fractional-kelly/gbd27z9nljvgflgg

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Why do you bet flat amounts?

03:44 - Why don't you bet accumulators?

06:23 - Leicester City vs. Forest

07:16 - Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth

08:03 - Brentford vs. Ipswich

09:02 - Manchester City vs. Southampton

09:51 - Brighton vs. Wolves

11:33 - Everton vs. Fulham

13:10 - Chelsea vs. Newcastle

14:15 - Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham

15:33 - West Ham vs. Manchester United

17:02 - Arsenal vs. Liverpool

#premierleague #epl #betting #liverpool #arsenal #chelsea #tottenham #soccer #football #manchesterunited

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 37 - El Clasico Preview, Real Madrid vs. Dortmund, and Xabi Alonso to City?

Wed, 23 Oct 2024 19:40:29 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Real Madrid's 5-2 win over Dortmund and the injuries to Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo. Next, they preview the Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Champions League match today and how the game might be insightful for El Clasico on Saturday. They then dive into the best lineups for both Real Madrid and Barcelona, how much injured (Dani Olmo and Gavi) and older (Luka Modric) might play, and give their predictions for the final score. They end the conversation with Xabi Alonso's rumoured exit from Bayer Leverkusen at the end of the season, potential landing spots, and if he will actually leave. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:02 - Real Madrid vs. Dortmund

04:32 - Real Madrid’s defense was shocking

05:32 - Different Midfield lineups Madrid has used

06:50 - Ravi’s pre-game prediction

07:48 - Bellingham last season vs. this season

09:43 - Modric, Valverde, and Madrid’s Galactico mindset

11:02 - How do they fix their midfield issues?

11:41 - How much will Modric play?

14:08 - Will Rodrygo be the odd man out?

15:12 - Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Preview

16:20 - A good test for Bayern

17:39 - Barcelona players returning from injury

18:50 - How much can Gavi give them?

21:02 - What front 3 will Barcelona play?

22:35 - Giving minutes to returning players against Bayern

23:33 - What lineup will Madrid use against Barcelona?

24:10 - Courtois injury for Madrid

25:19 - An offensive vs. defensive lineup

26:37 - Stylistic matchups

28:21 - Should Barcelona play more conservatively?

30:11 - Both teams are weak at fullback

31:13 - Lewandowski should play as a pivot

31:57 - Ideal lineup for Barcelona

33:21 - Ravi’s predictions for El Clasico

35:38 - Patrick’s prediction for El Clasico

36:45 - Flick’s first Clasico

37:12 - A La Liga game vs. a Champions League game

39:19 - Leverkusen rumoured to be looking for a Xavi Alonso replacement

40:14 - The timing with Txiki’s departure and Pep’s contract expiring

40:52 - Real Madrid also make sense

41:34 - Hugo Viana and Ruben Amorim

42:21 - The obvious spot for Xabi Alonso

44:25 - What happens if Carlo Ancelotti doesn’t want to leave?

47:18 - Alonso’s contract ends in 2026

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 36 - Red Cards and VAR got Arsenal AGAIN, Liverpool Survive Chelsea, and Southampton Need a New Manager

Mon, 21 Oct 2024 18:32:50 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the eventful Liverpool vs. Chelsea match and Liverpool's defense looking vulnerable. They also discuss the impact VAR had over the weekend, and get into Saliba's red card in Arsenal's 2-0 loss to Bournemouth. Next comes Southampton's loss to Leicester and Russell Martin's comments after the game. They finish with Fulham vs. Aston Villa, Brighton vs. Newcastle and the resurgence of Raul Jimenez, Manchester United looking competent, and the trend of teams playing safer.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 - Intro

01:06 - Liverpool vs. Chelsea

03:23 - Trent Alexander-Arnold is a double-edged sword

04:22 - How cautious can you be in the modern Premier League?

05:07 - Concern for Andrew Robertson?

07:44 - Did Chelsea deserve an early penalty?

08:00 - VAR and red cards this weekend

08:44 - Caicedo as a playmaker

09:58 - This was Liverpool’s first real test

10:41 - Arsenal vs. Bournemouth

11:47 - Saliba’s red card

13:03 - Marginal calls in football

14:55 - How coaches game plan in the Premier League

16:24 - Manchester City look fragile

17:35 - Taking a red card vs. allowing a chance

19:16 - Southampton vs. Leicester City

20:36 - Russell Martin’s comments after the game

22:02 - How coaches start to talk when they want to be fired

25:29 - Mourinho’s ability to deflect from a bad performance

26:17 - Southampton’s poor performance under Martin

28:38 - 8 point gap to Leicester now

28:59 - Facundo Buonanotte and Brighton’s future

30:35 - Fulham vs. Aston Villa

33:03 - Neutral’s will love Fulham games

33:15 - Raul Jimenez is in insane form

35:10 - The resurgence of Old and Tall strikers

36:32 - Newcastle vs. Brighton

38:52 - Manchester looked competent

40:53 - Garnacho’s tendency to take wide-angle shots

42:45 - Is the trend of teams playing safer a problem?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 35 - EPL Roundup: Top 6 Predictions, Relegation Battles, and Teams the Table Is Lying About

Wed, 16 Oct 2024 12:00:19 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss all things Premier League related from the start of the season. They begin with teams that should be higher or lower than their current position in the table. Next, they decide which of the 4 relegation candidates will stay up. And finally, both Patrick and Ted give their predictions for the Top 6. Where do you think Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea, Manchester United, Tottenham, and the rest of the Premier League will finish?

Sebastian's guest newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/3-young-attacking-mids-on-the-rise

Ted's preseason gambling podcast: https://youtu.be/keg7HlCXPwE

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00:00 - Intro

00:02:34 - Who is the premier league table lying about right now?

00:02:41 - Newcastle United

00:05:37 - Giving honest takes vs driving engagement

00:06:31 - The table of justice

00:07:16 - Tottenham should be slightly better

00:08:03 - Spurs are playing like a Bundesliga team

00:09:12 - Exciting young pieces

00:11:03 - Where are they likely to finish?

00:12:44 - Bournemouth are better than the Table says

00:14:30 - Optimism for Everton

00:15:10 - Guest Newsletter authors

00:15:45 - Dwight McNeil’s blossoming role

00:18:11 - A Cash injection this January can fix their issues

00:19:02 - Everton fans should be happy with the takeover

00:21:35 - Manchester United’s rough start

00:22:36 - The Model’s take on United before the season

00:24:34 - United don’t tolerate long processes

00:26:20 - United fans who have never seen the good times

00:27:12 - Of the 4 candidates, who will get relegated?

00:27:27 - Ipswich

00:29:30 - Wolves

00:31:40 - Patrick’s prediction to stay up

00:32:43 - Leicester’s 5 point advantage

00:34:06 - the difficulty making a case for any of these teams

00:36:30 - What the gambling markets say

00:38:50 - Predicting the top 6

00:39:11 - factoring in a potential punishment for City

00:41:23 - Patrick’s top 4

00:42:40 - Talent goes a long way

00:44:56 - Patrick’s title winner

00:48:07 - Patrick’s 2nd place team

00:52:39 - 3rd place

00:56:48 - Debating the Last Champions League spot

00:59:57 - Patrick’s 5th and 6th place

01:00:24 - What the betting markets say

01:01:46 - Ted’s top 6

01:03:26 - When we’ll check back in on our predictions

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 34 - Breaking Down Serie A’s Top Contenders: Can Conte and Napoli win the title, should Inter be the favorites, and are Lazio Legit?

Mon, 14 Oct 2024 19:30:00 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi do a deep dive on the top teams in Serie A. They start with Napoli, who are top of the table despite what may have been the worst transfer window of any team. Next is Inter and their hopes back-to-back titles. Can they pull it off again despite an aging squad? Then comes Lazio, whose unconventional approach to players and manager hires sparks an interesting discussion on high variance teams. Last comes Milan, who almost sacked manager Paulo Fonseca early in the year, but have stabilized to be just 5 points out of first place. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamp:

00:00 - Intro

01:07 - Napoli’s fantastic start

01:40 - Our rough grades for Napoli’s window

03:04 - Lack of minutes for new players

05:26 - A more Conservative defensive style

06:28 - Grades are not based on 7 games

08:02 - Low shot quality in Serie A

10:53 - Lack of depth in attack for Napoli limits their title threat?

11:58 - Napoli’s advantage with no European Competition

14:50 - Where will they finish?

16:12 - Inter’s erratic start to the season

17:22 - The most balanced team in Serie A?

18:58 - Inter’s defensive shift

19:20 - Can the oldest team in Serie A keep this up?

21:31 - Marcus Thuram

22:39 - Do Inter need to share minutes more?

25:19 - Could they switch styles later in the year?

26:55 - Predictions for Inter’s season

27:17 - Lazio’s surprising start

28:41 - unexpected names contributing for Lazio

31:10 - Marco Baroni’s influence

35:43 - Are fringe European teams to conservative with their coaching hires?

39:12 - Thomas Tuchel’s training stories and how coaches influence their players

42:36 - Analytics only matter if you can translate them into simple messages

45:15 - Milan shake off a rough start

47:14 - Favorable matchups coming up

47:57 - Pulisic playing well and staying healthy

49:38 - Rafael Leao’s Attacking threat

51:47 - Using avoidance strategies to change player behaviors

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 33 - Who should Real Madrid sign to replace Dani Carvajal, Chelsea’s Attacking Dilemma, Manchester City Lose Their Director of Football, and What’s Next for Paul Pogba?

Thu, 10 Oct 2024 13:00:48 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Dani Carvajal's injury and potential replacements that Real Madrid should consider. Can they get Trent Alexander-Arnold to come over, or should they look elsewhere? They then get into Chelsea's front line and which combinations of players is best for their team. Next, Manchester City's Director of Football Txiki Begiristain is set to leave, who are the likely hires with Pep's departure looming. Finally, Paul Pogba suspension was reduced, where are the likely landing spots for the 31-year-old Italian midfielder? Enjoy!

Ted's article on potential Toni Kroos replacements: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/kroos-ify-me

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:46 - Dani Carvajal's injury

01:34 - Specifics of the injury

04:50 - Carvajal's 1 year extension

05:23 - Solutions for Real Madrid

05:57 - A leadership gap

07:33 - Can Madrid lure Trent Alexander-Arnold?

10:03 - Hakimi as an option at RB

12:50 - Sliding Militao over from CB?

15:16 - Other candidates at RB

17:55 - Will Kroos unretire?

18:20 - Unresolved Vini Jr/Mbappe problems

19:55 - Who should play in Chelsea's front line?

24:29 - The disadvantage of signing the best players from smaller sides?

26:26 - Where does Nkunku fit in?

27:23 - Can players change their pressing style?

30:18 - Joao Felix's adaptability

31:02 - What happens against better sides?

32:33 - City lose their Director of Football, Txiki Begiristain

33:24 - How did Txiki perform?

36:17 - Potential replacements

39:09 - How does a DoF influence the rest of the back room?

42:47 - Will the next DoF be more powerful with Pep likely gone?

45:38 - Paul Pogba's suspension reduced

46:12 - Where might Pogba end up?

48:38 - Is MLS an option?

50:20 - Could he stay in Italy?

51:28 - Playing Pogba as a 10

53:16 - Taking a smaller contract to entice bigger teams

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 32 - Brentford Solved Football, Bayern's Fragile Defence, Real Madrid's Injuries, and the End of Short Goal Kicks?

Mon, 07 Oct 2024 19:20:29 -0000

On this Episode, Ted and Patrick do a deep dive on Brentford's fast starts to game and how teams are undervaluing set pieces. They then move to discussion on playing out of the back, which has caused issues for many teams to start the season. Next, they move to Bayern Munich's recent games and their high defensive line looking fragile. To end, the move to quick hits on Real Madrid's injury situation and their need to spend big in the winter window, Micky van de Ven struggle in Spurs' loss to to Brighton, and Cole Palmer during Chelsea's 1-1 draw with Forest. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:18 - Brentford have solved Football

01:54 - Set Pieces and Ted's history with them and Brentford

06:33 - Brentford has applied this to kickoffs

08:28 - Is it sustainable?

09:22 - Zdeněk Zeman

10:22 - Team's undervaluing set pieces

13:21 - The biggest differences between a corner and a long-throw in

16:17 - How the fast starts have helped Brentford

19:54 - Principles to watch on set pieces

22:49 - Football being influenced by other sports

25:33 - Short goal kick equilibrium

26:16 - Daryl Morey's thoughts on short Goal kicks

28:27 - Forcing other teams to adapt to your style

28:51 - The end of short goal kicks?

33:09 - Teams that adapt faster will benefit

33:17 - Bayern's recent struggles

35:13 - Omar Marmoush's good form

36:24 - Bayern's high line is vulnerable

39:03 - Pep's ability to kill off games

40:39 - Will Kompany be able to learn?

43:04 - Real Madrid's injuries and the Winter window

43:49 - Madrid are missing Kroos

44:15 - Petar Sucic as a Kimmich-like

45:35 - van de Ven and Spurs vs Brighton

47:07 - Mitoma's = Bukayo Saka?

48:45 - The Welbeck winner and 2 amazing assists from the weekend

49:15 - Chelsea vs Forest and Cole Palmer

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Variance Betting Episode 5 | Why I'm Betting AGAINST Chelsea

Fri, 04 Oct 2024 16:12:28 -0000

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his Premier League Matchday 7 picks. Subscribe for more!

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter:

https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

More on Asian Handicap betting: https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Intro

00:54 Asian Handicap betting explained

4:23 Newsletter

5:39 Crystal Palace v Liverpool

6:42 Leicester City v Bournemouth

7:57 Arsenal v Southampton

9:11 Brentford v Wolves

10:07 West Ham v Ipswich

12:24 Man City v Fulham

14:15 Everton v Newcastle

15:48 Chelsea v Nottingham Forest

17:22 Aston Villa v Man United

19:30 Brighton v Spurs

21:25 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 31 - Arsenal Dominate PSG, Barcelona's Youth Integration, and Dortmund's Managerial Situation

Thu, 03 Oct 2024 12:31:00 -0000

Patrick and Ravi discuss Arsenal's win over PSG, Dortmund's demolition of Celtic, and Barcelona's loss to Osasuna. They further analyse Dortmund's managerial situation, Barca's incredible youth integration, and Arsenal's defensive tendencies. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps

00:00 Episode Overview

00:23 Intro

2:35 Arsenal v PSG Review

3:08 Lineup Reaction

6:07 Tactical Breakdown

8:35 Absence of Dembele

9:14 PSG creating identity

10:27 Arsenal’s dominant defence

13:15 Are Arsenal too defensive?

17:10 Dortmund v Celtic Review

22:51 Dortmund under Sahin

26:31 Will Dortmund sack Sahin?

28:30 Barcelona’s loss to Osasuna

30:08 How to properly rotate your squad

38:56 Champions League format thoughts

40:00 La Masia player integration

46:58 Are some positions easier to break into?

54:25 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 30 - Cole Palmer is a Superstar + it's time for Ten Hag to go

Mon, 30 Sep 2024 19:19:34 -0000

Patrick and Ted discuss the best way for Manchester United to move on from Erik Ten Hag and debate whether Cole Palmer is currently the best player in the Premier League. They also analyse the Madrid Derby and do a deep dive on Bayern Munich under new manager Vincent Kompany. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Episode Overview

00:36 Intro

1:46 Bayern vs Leverkusen review

4:30 Bayern going under the radar

6:55 Match breakdown

9:47 Kompany’s impact

11:30 The Pep Guardiola Effect

13:52 Man United vs Spurs Review

18:58 United’s terrible midfield

19:32 Spurs looking dangerous

19:54 Ten Hag and Man United’s summer recruitment

23:56 Man United’s new manager hunt

40:59 Chelsea’s start to the season

43:34 How not to play out from the back

44:43 Nicolas Jackson’s hot start

45:00 Is Cole Palmer the best player in the League?

51:00 James Justin golazo

51:30 Madrid Derby Review

56:17 Outro

57:42 Variance Betting Subscription update

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 29 - How Man City Replace Rodri, Barcelona Flying While Real Madrid Stars Lack Chemistry

Thu, 26 Sep 2024 12:28:25 -0000

Patrick and Ravi discuss how Man City can cope without Rodri, potential replacements, and a La Liga Roundup. They analyse Barcelona's strong start to the season, Real Madrid's start studded squad, Atletico Madrid's solid defence, and ownership issues in the league. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 Episode overview

00:37 Intro

1:53 Barcelona’s surprising form

2:30 Ter Stegan’s injury & replacements

9:09 Can Barcelona hold off Real Madrid?

13:16 Real Madrid’s recent form

15:44 Lacking balance in midfield

17:42 Madrid’s stacked attack

20:50 Concerns about defence

22:40 Atletico Madrid’s Strengths & Weaknesses

26:25 Analysing Atleti’s solid defence

29:13 Valencia’s struggles

31:40 Sevilla’s ownership issues

32:56 Valencia under Peter Lim

37:22 Rodri ACL injury

41:40 Impact on Man City

43:15 How can City cope?

47:10 What solution will Pep come up wIth?

50:18 Potential Rodri replacements

1:00:45 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 28 - Pep Screwed Up, Arsenal's Set-Pieces, and Luis Diaz's Improvement

Mon, 23 Sep 2024 18:53:54 -0000

Patrick and Ted discuss how Pep Guardiola didn't take advantage of Arsenal going down to 10 men, Danny Welbeck's rejuvenation, and Luis Diaz's improvement. They also recap all the other action from this weekend's Premier League games, including West Ham's horrible defence, and a deep dive into Arsenal's set-pieces. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

00:00 Episode Overview

00:30 Intro

1:47 Crystal Palace v Manchester United Review

4:24 Thoughts on Zirkzee

6:33 United’s Improved Defence

7:37 Man City vs Arsenal Review

9:17 Calafiori Golazo

10:51 Gabriel Goal & Arsenal Set Pieces

15:40 Second Half Analysis

18:03 Arsenal Defence

21:38 West Ham v Chelsea Review

22:32 Thoughts on Lopetegui

24:38 West Ham Defensive Issues

27:44 Fulham v Newcastle Review

32:45 Liverpool v Bournemouth

36:00 Luis Diaz Improvement

37:30 Brighton v Nottingham

38:25 Goals Analysis

40:28 Danny Welbeck Rejuvenation

41:40 Refereeing In Premier League

43:28 Brighton Being A Young Arsenal

44:30 Weekend Recap

46:30 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Variance Betting Episode 4 | Why I'm Betting AGAINST Liverpool

Fri, 20 Sep 2024 16:10:49 -0000

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his Premier League Matchday 5 picks and why he is betting AGAINST Liverpool. Subscribe for more!

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Introduction

00:45 Last Week Recap

1:12 TheTransferFlow & VarianceBetting

2:13 Closing Line Value

6:11 Why Does It Matter?

7:25 West Ham v Chelsea

9:17 Aston Villa v Wolves

10:41 Fulham v Newcastle

11:54 Leicester v Everton

13:42 Southampton v Ipswich

15:31 Liverpool v Bournemouth

17:59 Spurs v Brentford

19:31 Crystal Palace v Manchester United

21:37 Brighton v Nottingham Forest

22:37 Manchester City v Arsenal

24:45 Championship Betting

25:15 Conclusion

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 27 - Haaland's new role, Champions League format verdict, and Barcelona's strong start

Thu, 19 Sep 2024 10:57:46 -0000

Ted and Ravi discuss Manchester City and Inter Milan's chances of winning the Champions League, changes to Erling Haaland's role, Barcelona's strong start and their expectations for the season. They then answer some listener questions which include discussions on player stocks, what to do when teams begin to figure you out, and a deep dive into the use of data to overturn some traditional football opinions.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Episode Overview

00:33 Introduction

2:38 Man City VS Inter Milan

3:20 Inter in the UCL

6:45 Man City’s UCL Squad

7:45 Man City’s New Style Of Play

12:50 New UCL Format

18:32 Player Fatigue

20:42 Barcelona As Contendors

22:10 Dani Olmo & Barca Injuries

23:35 Hansi Flick’s Bareclona

25:35 Emergence of Youngsters

27:17 Barcelona Expectations

29:05 Biggest Changes Under Flick

32:42 Barca’s UCL Schedule

33:08 Most Entertaining Team

33:42 Hansi Flick vs Xavi

36:25 Players Stocks

39:22 Stocks To Buy

40:14 Bournemouth Under Iraola

40:47 Teams Figuring You Out

43:36 Two Halves of a Season

46:30 Kieran McKenna

47:15 Using Data To Overturn Traditional Opinions

58:45 In Swinging Corners vs Out Swinging Corners

1:03:16 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 26 - Spurs' biggest weakness, Liverpool get upset, and Newcastle's power struggle

Mon, 16 Sep 2024 18:53:46 -0000

Patrick and Ted start the episode by discussing the North London Derby and the weakness that Spurs continue to show in their midfield. Next, they move to Liverpool, who seemed to have fixed there defense, but were unable to get anything going offensively. After touching on City vs Brighton and United vs Southampton, they move to Newcastle's Internal power struggle, as Eddie Howe and Paul Mitchell compete for power. Finally, they end the episode with their thoughts on Chelsea vs Bournemouth (hint: not good) and West Ham vs Fulham. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

03:28 - Arsenal vs. Spurs

04:47 - The midfield battle

06:30 - Spurs crosses were not effective

07:38 - How teams can get value from crosses

09:23 - Watching the ball vs. the man

10:11 - Spurs' biggest weakness

10:41 - The type of midfielder Spurs needed

11:52 - More opportunities for mistakes

13:40 - The evolution of pressing

14:33 - Alexis Sanchez' pressing ability

15:32 - Arsenal's plan this game

18:39 - The launch of Variance Betting

19:38 - Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest

19:53 - High handicaps coming off international break

20:43 - The signs of value of Nottingham Forest

22:22 - Liverpool's defense continues to shine

23:14 - Liverpool's offensive struggles

25:05 - Ryan Gravenberch in a deeper role

27:16 - Brentford vs. City

28:11 - Thomas Frank as Manager

31:12 - Brentford's possession #'s against City

31:28 - City's lack of pressing

32:05 - The problems Pep is facing

34:20 - Manchester United vs Southampton

35:37 - United's set piece goal

36:40 - Tyler Dibling

37:24 - Is Russell Martin's job safe?

40:13 - Newcastle's internal conflict

42:21 - Paul Mitchell vs Eddie Howe

44:24 - Newcastle are doing well in the table

44:46 - How do Newcastle mend things?

46:06 - Chelsea vs Bournemouth

47:17 - Subbing in Neto for Jadon Sancho

48:09 - Bad signs for long-term success

48:55 - Chelsea need a structured attack

50:53 - West Ham vs Fulham

51:37 - Danny Ings

53:21 - Brighton vs Ipswich

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Variance Betting Episode 3 | How To Be a Smarter Premier League Bettor

Fri, 13 Sep 2024 19:03:34 -0000

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, explains his best betting practices and discusses his Premier League Matchday 4 picks. Subscribe for more!

Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Introduction

1:44 Who is Ted Knutson?

2:20 Working With Pinnacle.com Products

3:26 Working at Brentford/Midtjylland & SmartOdds

4:05 Founding StatsBomb

4:25 Present Day — TheTransferFlow.com

4:58 Variance Betting Principles

5:21 Discount Bookies > Bonuses

8:20 Price Shop

10:37 Working with Models & Knowledge

12:35 Why Early Season is Tricky

13:54 Your Bets are your own

14:47 Market Implied (MI) Model

16:18 Be careful about Promoted Teams

17:18 Expected Goals (xG) Model

18:07 Caveats

21:06 Plugs

20:23 Recreational Sports Betting

22:32 Brighton v Ipswich Bet

23:52 Southampton v Man United Bet

25:11 Crystal Palace v Leicester Bet

26:02 Fulham v West Ham No Bet

26:25 Liverpool v Nottingham Forest Bet

27:25 Man City v Brentford No Bet

28:35 Aston Villa v Everton No Bet

29:46 Bournemouth v Chelsea Bet

31:20 Spurs v Arsenal Bet

32:39 Wolves v Newcastle No Bet

33:31 Recap

33:54 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 25 - Chelsea's Ownership Crisis and Arsenal's Injured Midfield

Tue, 10 Sep 2024 18:43:52 -0000

Ted and Ravi start by discussing a controversial analytics take from someone that's a part of the community. Next, they talk about Chelsea's owner rift and the leaks that suggest a potential buyout may happen. They then get into discussion about Arsenal's injury situation with Martin Odegaard and Mikel Merino set to miss time. And finally, they wrap up with the MLS transfer window and all of the things that you need to know about that, including biggest additions and misses of the window.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

01:48 - Is analytics for player recruitment solved?

03:18 - every action in football has 3 parts

04:40 - You don't have data for everything

06:15 - Difficulty at scale

07:30 - Different level of information impacting decision makers

09:48 - Evaluating players from lower leagues

11:53 - Player factors impact on transfer success

13:55 - Chelsea's ownership rift

16:13 - Boehly joined and isntantly became Interim Sporting Director

16:58 - Where this confidence comes from

17:43 - 2 captains driving the boat

19:52 - Football clubs run like investment funds

21:46 - Blitzer and Harris make co-ownership work

22:31 - Arsenal's injury situation

23:59 - Small point loses feel insurmountable

25:04 - What would a long-term Odegaard injury mean?

26:06 - Champions League format changes help

26:29 - September International break

29:18 - MLS window rules and time period

30:21 - MLS is paying real money

32:22 - Their offset window creates mismatches

33:45 - Josh Sargent example

35:17 - How MLS can fix this issue

35:58 - Extra problems that come with overseas transfers

37:48 - The profile of MLS Winter signings

38:28 - NWSL eliminating the draft

39:45 - MLS academies draining talent out of the draft

41:12 - Balancing International roster spots

42:13 - Big free agent signings - Giroud and Reus

42:50 - Discovery Lists

44:16 - Griezmann rumours

47:15 - MLS connection with South/Latin America

48:15 - Spurs weird deal for Johnny Cardoso

49:20 - More additions to the MLS this year

51:10 - Players the U.S. and Canada excel at creating

52:26 - Deals that fell through because of the deadline mismatches

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 24 - Manchester United and Tottenham Spend BIG | EPL Transfer Grades (Part 4)

Fri, 06 Sep 2024 17:54:40 -0000

Ted and Ravi discuss the summer windows for Manchester United, Southampton, Tottenham, West Ham and Wolves. They start with United's expensive, but sensible, window and how their new signings may fit in the squad. Then comes newly promoted Southampton, who made additions at goalkeeper and to their defense in the hopes of staying up. Tottenham paid up for Dominic Solanke and Archie Gray, while West Ham spent too much on a number of different moves. Finally, we discuss Wolves window and what essentially feels like them playing the lottery.

Ugarte Newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manuel-ugarte-manchester-united-transfer-rumours-analysis

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Intro

0:36 Man United Overview

1:50 Man United Finishing Top 4

2:14 Squad Needing Change

2:59 Resisting Overpaying

3:58 Joshua Zirkzee

4:11 De Ligt

4:50 Too Many Ajax Players?

5:16 Overpaying For Leny Yoro

5:30 Window Review

6:37 Manuel Ugarte

8:00 United Outgoings

11:10 Southampton Overview

11:59 Aaron Ramsdale

12:31 Making Loans Permanent

13:02 Mateus Fernandes

13:40 Yukinari Sugawara

14:00 Brereton Diaz

15:02 Some Confusing Signings

15:40 Southampton Outgoings

15:51 Southampton Overall Grade

16:22 Spurs Overview

16:56 Dominic Solanke

18:30 Overpaying for youngsters?

19:46 Incomings Grade

19:52 Spurs Outgoings

21:38 West Ham Overview

22:30 Risky Transfer Strategy?

23:42 Niclas Fullkrug

26:19 Max Kilman

26:45: Jean-Claire Todibo

27:41 Wan-Bissaka &

28:09: West Ham Outgoings

28:42 Outgoing Grades

28:57 Wolves Overview

29:24 Wolves Outgoings

29:39 Andre

30:00 Sam Johnstone

30:23 Strand Larsen

31:36 Wolves Overall Grade

32:21 Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 23 - Liverpool's Transition Window and a Newcastle DISASTER | EPL Transfer Grades (Part 3)

Thu, 05 Sep 2024 17:49:38 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Ravi discuss the transfer windows for Leicester City, Liverpool, Manchester City, Newcastle, and Nottingham Forrest. They start with a confusing window for Leicester and move to Liverpool in their first window under Arne Slot. Next up is Manchester City, who made some good moves and got good value for Julian Alvarez. Then comes Newcastle, who had possibly the worst window of any team not named Chelsea. Finally, they discuss Nottingham Forest's VERY busy window.

Link to the newsletter for part 3:https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/liverpool-gearing-massive-changes

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

00:48 - Leicester City Inbounds

01:41 - Bilal El Khannouss

02:55 - Caleb Okoli and Odsonne Édouard

03:42 - Oliver Skipp and Harry Winks

05:06 - Facundo Buonanotte's loan

06:45 - Leicester's Overall Grade

07:02 - Using early games to predict relegation

09:13 - Liverpool's transition window

11:09 - Lack of new contracts for their 3 stars

15:00 - Long-term view vs. short/medium term

16:00 - When to move on from stars

17:45 - Salah changing his game as he ages

20:28 - The decision for TAA/ Real Madrid leveraging stars

22:15 - Zubimendi in January?

22:56 - Manchester City's Window and Sávio

23:30 - Gundogan joining from Barcelona

24:45 - Selling Julian Alvarez

26:47 - Madrid coming for Rodri?

27:58 - Newcastle's Window

28:13 - Their lone savior?

29:26 - Not overpaying for Marc Guehi

31:49 - Clubs that are good at extracting value for players

34:20 - Nottingham Forrest's busy window

35:43 - Evaluating their window on face value

36:33 - Inbound grade for Forest

37:32 - Did they solve their issues from last year?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 22 - Chelsea NEEDS to STOP! | EPL Transfer Grades (Part 2)

Wed, 04 Sep 2024 16:20:04 -0000

Chelsea's transfer window was a disaster, so make sure to listen until the end to hear our thoughts on what is probably the worst window for ANY club in many years. We're grading 5 teams in alphabetical order on the second episode of our offseason transfer grades, starting with Crystal Palace and their head-scratching decision to not sell Marc Guehi to Newcastle. Then, Everton's Poor window to go along with their lackluster start of the season. Next comes Fulham, who sold João Palhinha for 50m, but chose to reinvest some of that money into older players. And finally, before we go in on Chelsea, we touch on Ipswich's risky transfer strategy and how it sets them up for the future, even in they get relegated.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps -

00:00 - Intro

02:06 - Crystal Palace's Window

02:42 - Failing to sell Marc Guehi

03:36 - 2 new centerbacks

04:04 - Oliver Glasner as manager

04:18 - Will Hughes

04:53 - Teams Scrambling to find a backup goalkeeper

05:18 - Joachim Andersen

05:53 - What will they get out of Eddie Nketiah?

07:38 - The Grade for Crystal Palace

08:09 - 5M for Jordan Ayew??

08:21 - Moving on to Everton

09:02 - Blowing a 2-0 lead in the 87'

09:40 - Jarrad Branthwaite and Jacob O'Brien

10:45 - Everton's struggles this window

12:27 - Their squad mismanagement

13:58 - Everton get their Grade

14:26 - Fulham's window

15:37 - 50M+ for João Palhinha and where they spent the money

16:39 - Spending money on older players

18:03 - Elite players can age gracefully

20:05 - Emile Smith-Rowe and Joachim Anderson

20:48 - Grades for Fulham

21:05 - Ipswich's window

22:12 - the need to change their playstyle

23:48 - Ed Sheeran and Taylor Swift

24:13 - The 3 options Ipswich had entering the Premier League

25:44 - Risky transfers that set them up for success

27:14 - Ipswich's lack of outgoings

27:51 - Chelsea's crazy window

28:41 - Ravi's biggest issue with Chelsea's window

30:11 - A fix for load management?

30:44 - Chelsea operating like an investment fund

33:33 - A huge risk on Pedro Neto

35:16 - Similarities to Barcelona

36:13 - Where Chelsea deserve credit

37:07 - Chelsea's assumptions make backfire

39:44 - How did Chelsea grade?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 21 - Arsenal Needed Another Attacker | EPL Transfer Grades (Part 1)

Tue, 03 Sep 2024 18:59:42 -0000

Ted and Ravi discuss their transfer grades for Arsenal, Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Brighton and Brentford. We start with Arsenal, who made some solid signings this window, but failed to improve their attacking depth and we disagree a bit on the quality of the incoming transfers. We also grades for the next 4 Premier League teams in alphabetical order. Namely, Villa's PSR driven offseason and some good business by them in the offloading of Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby, but did the incomings substantially improve the Champions league team? Next, Bournemouth's big sale of Dominic Solanke and where they might replace his production. Finally, we finish with why we rated Brentford's window a mild success, and discuss how Brighton's aggressive approach might pay off for them. Enjoy!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

03:00 - Arsenal Discussion

04:3 - Arsenal's Grades

05:58 - Riccardo Calafiori and Ben White

06:28 - Mikel Merino

07:36 - Adding Sterling

08:24 - The need to improve the #9 position

09:00 - Osimhen allegedly offered to Arsenal

09:41 - Aston Villa Weirdness

11:34 - Ian Maatson

12:48 - The Jaden Philogene Saga

13:20 - Douglas Luiz and Moussa Diaby

15:10 - Villa Grade

15:18 - Bournemouth and their Stadium

16:10 - Offseason additions (players & staff)

19:10 - Replacing Dominic Solanke's Production

21:31 - Grades & Above average talent for Bournemouth is a win

22:33 - Brentford

22:42 - Selling Ivan Toney to Saudi and Fabio Carvalho

23:47 - Igor Thiago

27:56 - Jayden Meghoma

28:48 - Brentford Grades

29:13 - Brighton

30:11 - Brighton's Net Spend this window

31:48 - Not investing in their Academy

32:06 - Yankuba Minteh

32:44 - Mats Wieffer

34:48 - Fabian Hürzeler and the risk of a 31-year-old manager

37:46 - Challenging for CL spots?

38:49 - Brighton Grade

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 20 - Liverpool Sign Chiesa, Simakan Linked with Newcastle, and Darwin Nunez to Arsenal?

Thu, 29 Aug 2024 18:33:10 -0000

Ravi and Patrick discuss Federico Chiesa signing with Liverpool, his role, and the potential to move out wide. Next, they move to Darwin Nunez potentially leaving Liverpool, Arsenal being a possible landing spot, and Arsenal lacking attacking depth. They then touch on Newcastle's interest in RB Leipzig defender Mohamed Simakan after being unable to finish their Marc Guehi transfer, comparisons of the two players, and Newcastle's hopes for the season. Lastly, they finish with Dani Olmo's fantastic Barcelona debut, and the injury to 17-year-old midfielder Marc Bernal.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 19 - Victor Osimhen's Price, Juventus' Spending Spree and Barcelona Finally Register Dani Olmo

Tue, 27 Aug 2024 18:01:03 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Napoli's move this off-season, including new manager Antonio Conte, and how what Victor Osimhen's price is now. Next, they move to Juventus and their acquisition of Francisco Conceicao and Nico Gonzalez. They also touch on Dominic Calvert-Lewin being linked with Chelsea, Barcelona FINALLY registering Dani Olmo, and what the future may look like for Endrick at Real Madrid.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

03:00 - Napoli's moves this Summer

04:40 - Conte as Napoli's Manager

05:56 - The addition of Lukaku

08:03 - Scott McTominay

09:50 - Coaching Blindspots

13:12 - Billy Gilmour

13:45 - David Neres

17:41 - New Centerbacks

20:01 - Osimhen's Price

22:49 - The issues PSG are facing

23:56 - Juventus targeting wingers

24:30 - Francisco Conceicao

28:23 - Nico Gonzalez

30:43 - The financial risk of amortization

31:02 - Liverpool's approach vs Juve and Napoli

37:09 - Chelsea and Dominic Calvert-Lewin

46:34 - Could Arsenal be in for DCL?

51:24 - Dani Olmo Registered by Barcelona

54:49 - Endrick's Future

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 18 - Gundogan Returns to Man City, Georginio Rutter, and Maresca Speaks on Chelsea's Squad

Thu, 22 Aug 2024 11:00:09 -0000

On this episode, Ravi and Patrick start off with Ilkay Gundogan leaving Barcelona to return to Manchester city in what could be Pep Guardiola's last season. Then, they discuss Georginio Rutter moving to Brighton, Brighton's Transfer strategy, and Sander Berge moving to Fulham. They finish with Oliver Skipp's move to Leicester and Enzo Maresca speaking out on Chelsea's training sessions despite their huge squad.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

01:15 - Gundogan returns to City and Pep's Last Season?

09:44 - Georginio Rutter to Brighton/ Brighton's transfer Strategy

20:44 - Sander Berge to Fulham/ Fulham's squad

33:04 - Oliver Skipp and why did Leicester City spend 25m on him?

38:25 - Enzo Maresca speaks on how Chelsea manages their training

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 17 - Joao Felix to Chelsea, Mbappe's First La Liga Game, and Manchester United Survive

Tue, 20 Aug 2024 18:34:11 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Manchester City vs. Chelsea, Raheem Sterling's comments on his omission from the squad and Joao Felix's transfer. They then touch on Real Madrid struggling in Kylian Mbappe's first La Liga game and their tendency to play through the left side, as well as Manchester United's narrow victory over Fulham.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 16 - Manchester United's New Duo, Liverpool's Contract Situation, and a Kingsley Coman Loan?

Thu, 15 Aug 2024 18:59:52 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Matthijs de Ligt and Noussair Mazraoui joining from Bayern Munich, Kinglsey Coman's possible loan to Arsenal or Barcelona, and Liverpool Stars entering the final year of their contracts. Plus Arsenal's attempt to sign Mikel Moreno, why South American players may be more likely to join a Saudi side than Europeans, and more!

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

2:05 - De Ligt and Mazraoui join United

15:28 - Kinglsey Coman's loan move

24:35 - Arsenal's attempt to sign Mikel Merino

31:25 - Liverpool Stars entering the final year of their contracts

39:42 - The impact of Saudi on decision making

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 15 - Ali From NTT20 on Championship Promotion/Relegation, Manager Changes, and Players to Watch

Wed, 14 Aug 2024 17:53:24 -0000

On this episode, Ali Maxwell, co-host of the Not The Top 20 Podcast, joins Patrick and Ravi to discuss the promotion and relegation battles in the championship, managerial changes and their impacts, and players to watch in this Championship season. They also get into Wayne Rooney at Plymouth, manager performance vs. perception, and surprises after the first week of games.

Not The Top 20's EFL Preview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jy8OiJPgh5E

Follow Ali and NTT20:

NTT20: http://www.youtube.com/ @NotTheTop20

Ali: https://x.com/AliMaxwell_

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Intro

1:37 - Managerial changes in the championship

6:10 - Plymouth sign Wayne Rooney

12:00 - Manager performance vs. perception

15:45 - Style vs. Results

18:27 - Promotion and relegation battles

21:12 - Newly relegated teams and how championship teams stack up

23:00 - Promoted/relegated teams adapting to a new style of play

25:30 - How will teams from League 1 cope?

29:37 - Players to keep an eye on

34:33 - Which new transfer/young player will break through?

36:10 - Any Surprises after week 1?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Variance Betting Episode 2 | Professional Gambler Shares His English Premier League Preseason Picks

Tue, 13 Aug 2024 17:27:46 -0000

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, breaks down market implied models, the different odds styles in various countries, and shares picks for the Premier League title, top four, and relegation battles. He also dives into what's next for Variance Betting and shares stories from his time at Pinnacle and as a professional gambler.

Link to Odds Checker: https://www.oddschecker.com/

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 - Introduction

1:32 - Ted's time at Pinnacle

4:04 - the goal of Variance betting

5:45 - models + humans

8:00 - Behind the scenes at Pinnacle

13:26 - Learning from your mistakes

14:04 - The market implied model

16:09 - Value in the winners market

17:10 - Different odds styles

18:41 - Back to the winners market

19:56 - The Arsenal wager

21:43 - Liverpool's value

22:28 - The top four

23:56 - Bankroll management

25:00 - Manchester United's value

25:55 - Newcastle and Chelsea's value

27:33 - The relegation market

28:30 - Southampton's relegation chances

28:50 - Ipswich's Odds

29:12 - Leicester losing their coach

29:33 - Crystal Palace

30:41 - Wolves chances

30:58 - Everton to stay up?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Variance Betting Episode 1 | Former Professional Gambler Shares His Knowledge with YOU!

Tue, 13 Aug 2024 17:24:28 -0000

Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, discusses his history with gambling, his plans for his new venture Variance Betting, and shares picks for the upcoming championship season. Subscribe for more!

Sites mentioned:

Bet105 - https://bet105.eu/en?clickid=QiMBLJfA-Vpn7ty2Gsq9MGNd7ZgqdRLk&sportId=220

Prime Sports: https://www.primesports.com/

Pinnacle: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 14 - Dani Olmo to Barcelona, Arsenal Players Pickpocketed, and Martin Zubimendi to Liverpool?

Sun, 11 Aug 2024 10:00:50 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Martin Zubimendi being linking with Liverpool and his similarities to Xabi Alonso, Dani Olmo's strange move to Barcelona, and Newcastle being linked with Marc Guehi. They also get into Maximilian Beier's potential move to Dortmund and Mikel Arteta hiring pickpockets to steal from his players to "keep them on their toes"

Link to the Sid Lowe article on Zubimendi that Ravi mentioned: https://www.theguardian.com/football/2022/sep/08/real-sociedad-martin-zubimendi-xabi-alonso-manchester-united?CMP=share_btn_tw

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction/Leagues Cup discussion

03:45 - Martin Zubimendi linked with Liverpool

07:55 - Zubimendi's versatility and potential impact

09:23 - Comparison to Xabi Alonso

15:27 - Dani Olmo's curious move to Barcelona

16:12 - Olmo's long injury history

17:38 - Barcelona's problem finding youth minutes

19:52 - Olmo ISN'T a winger

23:14 - Barcelona refuse to learn

25:01 - Max Beier moving to Dortmund

29:01 - What position is best for Beier

29:36 - Marc Guehi to Newcastle

32:10 - Concern with 1v1 defending

36:04 - Mikel Arteta's pickpocket saga

38:22 - The wrong time for a lesson

46:35 - Outro

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 13 - The Striker Market with Julian Alvarez to Atletico, Solanke to Spurs, and Chelsea Signing Another

Fri, 09 Aug 2024 18:23:31 -0000

In this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the Striker market. They go into Julian Alvarez' transfer to Atletico Madrid and his fit in Diego Simeone's system, Dominic Solanke signing with Tottenham, Samu Omorodion joining a packed Chelsea squad, and West Ham completing a move for 31-year-old Niclas Fullkrug.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 12 - Mbappe Buys a Team, Jadon Sancho's Future, and Conor Gallagher to Atletico?

Thu, 01 Aug 2024 18:19:10 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe purchasing a stake in Caen, Jadon Sancho's uncertain future, and Conor Gallagher's fit with Atletico Madrid. They also get into the importance of sell-on clauses and how teams utilize them, Teun Koopmeiners' next move, and Jake O'Briens move to Everton.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 11 - Chelsea's Strange Signings, Victor Osimhen's Next Club, and Viktor Gyokores

Tue, 30 Jul 2024 19:01:02 -0000

On this episode, Ravi and Patrick discuss Victor Osimhen's strengths and his fit at different clubs, Viktor Gyokeres potential move to the Premier League and how much he should cost, and Chelsea signing their EIGHTH goalkeeper. They also dive into Celtic's Matt O'Riley play in the preseason, Federico Chiesa open to leaving Juventus, and more.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 10 - Manchester City's Future Plans, Liverpool's Search for a DM, and Villa's Busy Summer

Thu, 25 Jul 2024 16:20:44 -0000

On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Ederson potentially leaving Man City and possible replacements, Liverpool's drop in midfield quality and their search for a defensive midfielder, and Aston Villa's ambitious transfer window and possible Joao Felix addition.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

#ederson #manchestercity #mancity #mosalah #liverpool #liverpoolfc #joaofelix #epl #premierleague #soccer #football

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 9 - Liverpool's Mo Salah Replacement, Kevin De Bruyne to Saudi, and the USMNT Coaching Search

Tue, 23 Jul 2024 16:26:38 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Liverpool's efforts to replace the aging Mo Salah, Kevin De Bruyne agreeing to terms with Al-Ittihad, and the search for the next USMNT manager. They also get into PSG and Bayern Munich's interest in Desire Doue, their Arsenal fandom, Cody Gakpo and future plans for gambling content.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q/

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 8 - Leny Yoro to United, Trent Alexander-Arnold's Potential Move, and Xavi Simmons

Fri, 19 Jul 2024 17:02:42 -0000

On this Episode, Ravi and Patrick discuss Leny Yoro's move to Manchester United, Real Madrid possibly tempting Trent Alexander-Arnold away from Liverpool, and landing sports for Xavi Simons. They also touch on Adrien Rabiot, Martin Terrier and the ripple effects in the transfer window.

Ravi has worked in sports data analytics and player development for over a decade, helping build the Seattle Sounders analytics team. Patrick is a Therapist by day, but has written and produced content about football for nearly a decade, primarily with Sky Sports Media.

Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe

X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/

TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 7 - Joao Neves, Marc Guehi, and the Chelsea Academy Changes

Tue, 16 Jul 2024 16:43:45 -0000

On this episode, Ted and Patrick go into Joao Neves and how much his transfer fee should be, Marc Guehi being linked to Liverpool, and the potential ramifications of the Chelsea Academy changes. They also discuss Emile Smith Rowe and the uncertainty surrounding Arsenal's young players, Joshua Zirkzee's move to Manchester United and more.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 6 - Copa America Skirmish, England Advance, and a "Staged" Photoshoot?

Thu, 11 Jul 2024 15:47:59 -0000

In this episode, Ted Knutson and Ravi Ramineni discuss Uruguay vs. Colombia and the skirmish that followed. They touch on the resurgent England midfield, as well refereeing and a controversial penalty call against the Netherlands. The conversation moves to the challenges newly promoted teams face in the Premier League and what Ipswich's transfer strategy should look like. Ted and Ravi finish the conversation by discussing Jaden Philogen and his agent's Barcelona photoshoot, Dani Olmo's release clause and potential landing spots, and how TV rights deals are impacting the transfer market.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 5 - LCBs, Data Scouting Kids, plus the USMNT Problem

Fri, 05 Jul 2024 12:53:28 -0000

In this episode, Ted Knutson and Ravi Ramineni discuss the importance of left-footed center backs in football/soccer. They explore the reasons why teams prioritize left-footed center backs, such as the ability to play across the body and open up the field. They also discuss the trade-offs teams have to make when choosing between an aerially dominant center back or one who is good on the ball. The conversation touches on specific left-footed center backs in the transfer market, including Ricardo Calafiori, Jarrad Branthwaite, and Max Kilman.

The conversation also covers the struggles of CONCACAF teams in the Copa America. They also touch on the performance of the United States national team and the talent level of American players. The conversation concludes with a discussion about Chelsea's signing of young player Aaron Anselmino and the difficulties of evaluating young talents.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 4 - Kobbie Mainoo + England. Ugarte, Gordon, Nico Williams + More

Wed, 03 Jul 2024 09:29:58 -0000

Ted and Patrick Van Straaten discuss their backgrounds in professional gambling and football media, as well as their experiences in the world of football analytics. They touch on topics such as the early days of using data in football, the importance of age curves in player development, and the challenges of making predictions in public. They also discuss the performances of young players like Kobbie Mainoo and the potential transfer of manuel Ugarte to Manchester United. In this conversation, Patrick and Ted discuss various transfer rumors and player evaluations. They touch on topics such as the potential transfer of Joshua Kimmich, the rebuilding project at Manchester United, the rise of Nico Williams at Athletic Bilbao, the future of Anthony Gordon at Liverpool, and the interest in Calafiore from Arsenal.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 3: Transfer Takes on Jonathan David, Joshua Kimmich, DCL and More

Thu, 27 Jun 2024 10:48:57 -0000

Ted thinks Yankuba Minteh could be a future star.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 2 - Nikos Overheul

Wed, 19 Jun 2024 09:25:43 -0000

Ted Knutson and Nikos Overheul discuss their experiences in the football industry, including their time at Brentford and Vancouver Whitecaps. They highlight the challenges of building and running a club, the importance of clear objectives and strategies, and the common pitfalls in the industry. They emphasize the need for effective communication, realistic expectations, and a well-thought-out hiring process.

The conversation covers various topics related to working in football, including the emotional connection to the game, the challenges of hiring coaches, evaluating players, and the current state of the Dutch national team. The hosts discuss the importance of having a clear style of play and aligning recruitment with the team's goals. They also highlight the flaws in the hiring process and the difficulty of projecting player performance. The conversation ends with a story about a team requesting increasingly positive reports on players they were planning to sign.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Episode 1: An Interview with Ravi Ramineni. Plus Man United's Football Shambles

Fri, 14 Jun 2024 09:15:41 -0000

In this conversation, Ted Knutson interviews Ravi Ramineni, a former VP of analytics and research at the Seattle Sounders. Ravi shares his journey from being a fan of Spanish football to working in the futbol/soccer and analytics space. He discusses his transition from a software engineer to a football analytics professional and his experience working with the Sounders. Ravi also talks about the challenges of working in a multiclub group and his decision to start a football consulting company. He emphasizes the importance of personal fit and finding a role that aligns with one's goals and values. The conversation covers various topics, including having access to coaching staff, and the weird things that happen at clubs, including Ravi's experience translating for a player during a visa issue

The back half of the episode switches into current football topics,like the challenges faced by Manchester United, the impact of financial regulations like the Premier League's PSR and UEFA's FFP, and the decision-making process for young players like Benjamin Sesko on whether to make a pressure-filled leap to the Premier League. We also discuss the changing role of the football front office and the need for sophisticated financial modeling and risk management in the era of salary caps..

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.